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Thread: Thursday 8/5/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

  1. #21
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    Tony Sacco

    Tony Sacco's Free Play for Thursday:
    SF/Ariz UNDER 9 runs

  2. #22
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    Hollywood Anthony

    Your Free Play from Hollywood

    MLB Take Chicago Wsox w/Keuchel -185

  3. #23
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    R and R Totals

    MLB CHICAGO CUBS/COLORADO ROCKIES o11.5

  4. #24
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    FURBOOKIE

    NFL DALLAS COWBOYS/PITTSBURGH STEELERS o32.5

  5. #25
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    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Canterbury Park

    Canterbury Park - Race 7
    Win, Place &Show / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Daily Double / $.50 Rolling Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9)
    Claiming $7,500 • 7 1/2 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up CR: 91 • Purse: $14,500 • Post: 8:12P
    (RAIL AT 20 FEET). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE FEBRUARY 5 OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE MAY 5 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $6,250 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY). MINNESOTA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $12,500. (IF MANAGEMENT DEEMS IT INADVISABLE TO RUN THIS RACE ON THE TURF, TWO-YEAR-OLD RACES WILL BE RUN AT 6 AND 1/2 FURLONGS AND RACES FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS AND UP WILL BE RUN AT A DISTANCE OF1 MILE ON THE MAIN TRACK.)
    Contenders
    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line
    Accept
    Odds

    Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * JUST BLAZE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good R ace within the last 30 days. PAPA RIZZO: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. STITZY: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
    7
    JUST BLAZE
    9/2
    3/1
    6
    PAPA RIZZO
    6/1
    7/1
    5
    STITZY
    5/2
    8/1

    P#
    Horse (In Running Style Order)
    Post
    Morn
    Line
    Running Style
    Good
    Class
    Good
    Speed
    Early Figure
    Finish Figure
    Platinum
    Figure
    3
    OUTRUN THE POSSE
    3
    12/1
    Front-runner
    84
    77
    75.3
    79.2
    62.2
    10
    HAWKWOOD
    10
    12/1
    Front-runner
    86
    84
    70.4
    81.6
    69.6
    8
    COPPER FIDDLE
    8
    10/1
    Front-runner
    87
    87
    63.0
    72.1
    62.1
    9
    MY COWBOY
    9
    8/1
    Front-runner
    92
    93
    0.0
    0.0
    0.0
    6
    PAPA RIZZO
    6
    6/1
    Alternator/Front-runner
    92
    81
    75.8
    78.0
    71.5
    5
    STITZY
    5
    5/2
    Stalker
    90
    77
    54.0
    86.3
    76.8
    4
    CAMPS BAY
    4
    4/1
    Trailer
    89
    88
    68.3
    72.0
    62.5
    7
    JUST BLAZE
    7
    9/2
    Trailer
    94
    86
    63.8
    89.2
    85.2
    1
    TWO CHANCE
    1
    15/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    85
    82
    49.4
    66.6
    55.1
    2
    BLUEGALE
    2
    20/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    75
    62
    27.8
    47.4
    27.4

  6. #26
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    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Evangeline Downs



    Evangeline Downs - Race 7
    Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta
    Allowance • 7 1/2 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up CR: 80 • Purse: $31,500 • Post: 8:32P
    (RAIL AT 20 FEET). FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 5, 2021 ALLOWED 3 LBS. (CLAIMING RACES FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).
    Contenders
    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line
    Accept
    Odds

    Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * OH MY ACHING ARCH: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the high est TrackMaster Power Rating. FATHER GOOSE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. LOVE TO SINGH: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. WISE ANCHOR: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's di stance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
    5
    OH MY ACHING ARCH
    7/2
    4/1
    6
    FATHER GOOSE
    6/1
    7/1
    3
    LOVE TO SINGH
    12/1
    7/1
    2
    WISE ANCHOR
    5/2
    10/1

    P#
    Horse (In Running Style Order)
    Post
    Morn
    Line
    Running Style
    Good
    Class
    Good
    Speed
    Early Figure
    Finish Figure
    Platinum
    Figure
    6
    FATHER GOOSE
    6
    6/1
    Front-runner
    79
    68
    70.2
    65.3
    57.8
    4
    DRILLING REPORT
    4
    2/1
    Front-runner
    79
    77
    0.0
    0.0
    0.0
    2
    WISE ANCHOR
    2
    5/2
    Stalker
    79
    70
    66.6
    65.4
    55.4
    5
    OH MY ACHING ARCH
    5
    7/2
    Stalker
    82
    78
    65.9
    77.5
    73.0
    3
    LOVE TO SINGH
    3
    12/1
    Alternator/Stalker
    83
    79
    58.6
    69.6
    63.1
    1
    DREWHUSTLE
    1
    4/1
    Alternator/Stalker
    81
    81
    48.4
    46.8
    38.3

  7. #27
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    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.




    Race 3 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $8100 Class Rating: 72

    FOR NATIVE THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 20 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE JULY 5 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE JUNE 5 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000, FOR EACH $2,000 TO $16,000 2 LBS.

    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    # 2 GUANAJIBO 4/1
    # 4 OPERASTICO 3/1
    # 3 BOLD MASTER 5/2

    GUANAJIBO is my choice. Could best this group here, showing strong numbers of late. He has a very strong distance/surface win record - 10 for 54. Ran a sharp last race. OPERASTICO - Should come out strong - I have liked the way this gelding has moved sharply to the front end recently. Has a sharp shot for this race if you like back class. BOLD MASTER - Is worth considering and may be a bet - strong Equibase Speed Figures (63 average) at today's distance and surface lately. Looks quite good versus this group and will probably be one of the early speedsters.

  8. #28
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    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



    Emerald Downs - Race #7 - Post: 8:45pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $6,600 Class Rating: 56

    Rating:

    #2 DAME OF THE WEST (ML=3/1)
    #1 SAN JUAN STORM (ML=12/1)
    #4 BODE'S BEST (ML=7/2)


    DAME OF THE WEST - We have lots of early speed with this thoroughbred. She could wire this field. I think the shorter distance will help this filly stay the trip. SAN JUAN STORM - I like that last race on Jul 16th at Crooked River Roundup where she ended up third. Just check out her last speed rating, 56. That one fits well in this field. Recent Equibase speed figures show powerful pattern of improvement. BODE'S BEST - I'm figuring this horse to run a big one this time out.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #8 DADDYS LITTLE GIRL (ML=5/2), #6 GUARDING ELK CAMP (ML=5/1),

    DADDYS LITTLE GIRL - When looking at today's class figure, she will have to register a much better speed figure than last time out to be competitive in this dirt sprint. GUARDING ELK CAMP - Unlikely that this animal will finish better than she did last out when finishing fourth.

    GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - DAME OF THE WEST - I always scan for the horse that is number one in earnings per start. If she meets my criteria I make a play.





    STRAIGHT WAGERS: Put your money on #2 DAME OF THE WEST on the nose if you can get odds of 2/1 or more
    EXACTA WAGERS: 2 with [1,4]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Box [1,2,4] Total Cost: $6
    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip

  9. #29
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    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delaware Park

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.




    Race 3 - SO - 8.5f on the Turf. Purse: $24000 Class Rating: 94

    FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $12,500 OR LESS IN 2020 - 2021 OR CLAIMING PRICE $20,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 5, 2021 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $12,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING

    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    # 10 BELLA PIERINA 8/1
    # 1 SHIFRA MAGICIAN 8/1
    # 6 SUIKO 9/2

    I think BELLA PIERINA is a solid choice especially at a long price. Has respectable Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a wager for this event. Players ought to take a good look at this one as this mare has one of the best win percentages at this distance in this field. Has the look of a lucrative wager. SHIFRA MAGICIAN - Ashby is trying to score with this one by bringing her back so soon. Has to be carefully examined - I like the numbers from the last affair. SUIKO - The speed fig of 89 from her last contest looks decent in here. Trainers don't bring ponies back this soon for no reason.

  10. #30
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    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



    Del Mar - Race #4 - Post: 3:30pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $23,000 Class Rating: 96

    Rating:

    #1 STUDLY PERFECTION (ML=6/1)
    #8 JAN'S RESERVE (ML=7/2)
    #2 T BONES TRICK (ML=5/2)


    STUDLY PERFECTION - Gelding won on Mar 14th at this class and distance. This horse has the pace, and no one may be able to keep up with him. JAN'S RESERVE - Desormeaux and Trela teamed up together are a punter's friend. I like the piece of information that this gelding's last speed rating, 99, is tops in this bunch. T BONES TRICK - You always have to be on the lookout for bankroll building rider/conditioner tandems; we have an instance right here.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #6 HOUSE LIMIT (ML=4/1), #10 KENZOU'S RHYTHM (ML=6/1), #7 SAYIN GRACE (ML=8/1),

    HOUSE LIMIT - Tough to play at 4/1 odds after the two most recent efforts. KENZOU'S RHYTHM - I can't play this frequent non-winner. Gets the task done now and then. SAYIN GRACE - In the last affair this pony finished fourth. Doesn't look promising for his chances this time. You always think this equine has a shot to be victorious, but he falters frequently.


    STRAIGHT WAGERS: Putting our cash on #1 STUDLY PERFECTION to win. Have to have odds of at least 3/1 or better though
    EXACTA WAGERS: 1 with [2,8]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Box [1,2,8] Total Cost: $6
    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [1,2,8] with [1,2,8] with [1,2,3,8,9] with [1,2,3,8,9] Total Cost: $36

  11. #31
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    Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Saratoga



    08/05/21, SAR, Race 8, 5.05 ET
    08/05/21,SAR,8,1 1/8M [Dirt] 1:46:03 ALLOWANCE. Purse $90,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over Allowed 2 lbs.
    . . . .
    Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
    After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
    Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
    100.0000 7 Joey Loose Lips 15/1 Vargas. Jr. J A Giangiulio Michelle FL 180 35.56 1.26/$1
    097.9784 2 Quick Return 8/1 Santana. Jr. R Ferraro James W. 180 35.56 1.26/$1
    097.0987 3 Uncle Curly 15/1 Alvarado J Walder Peter R. SW 180 35.56 1.26/$1
    096.7363 8 Here's Waldo 12/1 Beato I Synnefias Dimitrios K. 180 35.56 1.26/$1
    096.2289 5 Bingo John 5/2 Franco M Cox Brad H. T 180 35.56 1.26/$1
    094.4951 6 Bustin the Rules 6/1 Davis D Baker Charlton 180 35.56 1.26/$1
    093.1516 4 Irish Valor 4/1 Lezcano J Ferraro M. Anthony 180 35.56 1.26/$1
    092.4061 1 Our Man Mike 2/1 Ortiz J L DePaz Horacio JEC 180 35.56 1.26/$1
    Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 35.44, ROI 1.26/$1
    Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.0216
    [Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
    [All Dirt] Last Race Distance Is Not Greater Than Today

  12. #32
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    Tommy King Wins MLB BOSTON RED SOX ‑120 2 1 +35
    R and R Totals MLB CHICAGO CUBS/COLORADO ROCKIES o11.5 1 1 -10
    Winning Cappers MLB SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS ‑160 1 1 -15
    Rocketman Sports No pick yet 1 1 -15
    Assassin Sports Betting MLB CHICAGO WHITE SOX ‑190 1 1 -20
    Insider Sports Report No pick yet 0 1 -110
    Tys Terrific Tips MLB ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS/SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS u9 1 2 -120
    The Money Team Wins Sports No pick yet 1 2 -145
    FURBOOKIE NFL DALLAS COWBOYS/PITTSBURGH STEELERS o32.5 0 1 -160

  13. #33
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    Steve Janus

    Aug 05 '21, 7:07 PM in 17m
    MLB | Indians vs Blue Jays
    Play on: Indians +174 at SC Consensus

    1* Free Sharp Play on Indians +174
    The Indians (+174) are worth a shot as a massive road dog against the Blue Jays in Thursday's MLB action. This is just too good a price to pass up with Cleveland, as Toronto is being way over-priced right now. No way should the Blue Jays be this big a favorite with a guy like Ross Stripling on the mound. He's 4-6 with a 5.17 ERA in 17 starts. He's also comes in with a 7.60 ERA and 1.501 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Play the Indians +174!

  14. #34
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    Hunter Price

    Aug 05 '21, 7:10 PM in 20m
    MLB | Pirates vs Reds
    Play on: Pirates +210 at Caesars

    1* Free Pick on Pirates +210

  15. #35
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    Jeff Alexander

    Aug 05 '21, 7:10 PM in 20m
    MLB | Pirates vs Reds
    Play on: Reds -1½ -115 at pinnacle

    1* MLB - Pirates/Reds FREE PICK on Reds -1.5, -115
    Thursday's Free MLB Pick is on the Cincinnati Reds on the -1.5 run line as they host the Pittsburgh Pirates. Cincinnati is red-hot right now. They have won 6 of their last 8. Offensively they have been on an absolute roll, scoring 5 or more runs in 11 of their last 12 games. They should have no problem putting up at least that against Pittsburgh's William Crowe, who has a 6.03 ERA and 1.427 WHIP in 7 road starts. While Sonny Gray doesn't have great numbers for the Reds, he is coming off a great outing at New York, where he held the Mets to just 1 run in 6 innings. Bet Cincinnati -1.5, -115!

  16. #36
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    Frank Sawyer

    Aug 05 '21, 8:00 PM in 1h
    NFLX | Cowboys vs Steelers
    Play on: UNDER 33 -110

    FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR THURSDAY, 8/5:
    My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Thursday is with Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Cowboys and the Pittsburgh Steelers. With the Total being bet down from 33 to the 31.5 range, the bookies are begging for Over bets. Don’t take the bait. Offenses are behind the defenses with these teams just two weeks into training camp. This will be a battle of back-ups with neither Dak Prescott nor Ben Roethlisberger playing tonight. Five of the last eight Pro Football Hall of Fame Games have seen 30 or fewer combined points scored — and only two of those 16 teams scored in the 20s. Take the Under. Best of luck — Frank.

  17. #37
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    Brandon Lee

    Aug 05 '21, 8:10 PM in 1h
    MLB | MIN vs HOU
    Play on: UNDER 9½ -115

    FREE PICK - Twins/Astros UNDER 9.5
    RATING: 30*
    ROT#: 923/924
    I'll gladly take my chances with the UNDER 9.5 in Thursday's series opener between the Twins and Astros. I definitely think there's a good chance Houston comes out a bit flat in this one, as they just finished up a 8-game west coast trip with 2 massive games at the Dodgers.
    I also think there's value here with Minnesota starter Griffin Jax. He got roughed up a bit in his first start at the Royals, but has allowed just 2 runs on 3 hits with 8 k's in 9 innings over his last 2 starts.
    Houston turns to Framber Valdez. he's 7-2 with a 3.01 ERA in 12 starts. Valdez has only given up more than 3 runs in 2 starts all season. He's 2-0 with a 1.46 ERA in 2 starts against the Twins. One of those coming this season, where he allowed just 1 ER run in 7 innings at Minnesota. Give me the UNDER 9.5!

  18. #38
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    Mike Lundin

    Aug 05 '21, 8:10 PM in 1h
    MLB | Royals vs White Sox
    Play on: White Sox -1½ -101 at pinnacle

    Mike Lundin's Royals vs. White Sox Free Pick August 5, 2021
    **WHITE HOT 10-1 FREE PICK RUN**
    I like the White Sox to snap back from a humiliating 9-1 loss to the Royals on Wednesday.
    Royals' rookie left-hander Daniel Lynch (1-3, 6.95 ERA) has only 22 big league innings spread out over five starts under his belt. He has allowed three earned runs or more in four of those starts, and Lynch is 0-2 with a 7.23 ERA on the road. The White Sox are 31-14 against the runline when facing a left-handed starter dating back to the beginning of last season.
    White Sox southpaw Dallas Keuchel owns KC. He is 6-2 with a 2.76 ERA in 12 career starts against the Royals.
    Free pick on Chicago White Sox -1.5.

  19. #39
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    Dave Price

    Aug 05 '21, 8:15 PM in 1h
    MLB | Braves vs Cardinals
    Play on: Braves -114 at BetVegas

    Dave's Thursday Free Play:
    1* on Atlanta Braves -114
    The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals just added Jon Lester and JA Happ prior to the deadline, two of the worst starters in baseball. They went bargain shopping and clearly aren't trying to win with those moves. Lester was rocked Tuesday in a 6-1 loss to the Braves, and Happ wasn't any better in a 7-4 loss to the Braves Wednesday. Now the Atlanta should jump on Wade LeBlanc tonight as well. LeBlanc is 0-2 with a 3.99 ERA and 1.67 WHIP in 7 starts this year while averaging just 4.2 innings per start. He has never beaten the Braves, going 0-3 with a 4.87 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against them. Take Atlanta.

  20. #40
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    Bobby Conn

    Aug 05 '21, 8:15 PM in 1h
    MLB | Braves vs Cardinals
    Play on: Cardinals +110 at Mirage

    1* Free Play on Cardinals +110

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