Saturday 8/21/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Mejia

Event: (209889) Chicago at (209890) Orlando City SC
Sport/League: MLS

Date/Time: August 21, 2021 8PM EDT
Play: 1H Orlando City SC +117
Orlando City has won twice, drawn four times and lost only once over the past seven matches, but they're currently on a run of matches that end up even resembling Ted Lasso's FC Richmond squad in Season 2. The Chicago Fire visit Exploria Stadium on Saturday night and may end up with a draw, but it's a good bet that they'll struggle in the heat and humidity in Orlando before things cool off and should fall behind in the first 45 minutes. Ride Orlando City to win the first half over Chicago at plus money.

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Dwayne Bryant

Event: (421) Indianapolis Colts at (422) Minnesota Vikings
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: August 21, 2021 8PM EDT
Play: Minnesota Vikings -140

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Tokyo Brandon

Event: (911) Philadelphia Phillies at (912) San Diego Padres
Sport/League: MLB

Date/Time: August 21, 2021 8PM EDT
Play: San Diego Padres -1.0 (-120) A Nola (RHP), J Musgrove (RHP) Must Start
Musgrove has been great at home and in his career has held these batters down. Nola, on the other hand, has been awful on the road. The Padres have the bullpen, form, lineup and every other advantage here so take them on the alt -1 run line. If they win by 1 it is a push. If you do not have a -1 then take them on the money line.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kyle Anthony

Event: (24717) Parker Porter at (24718) Chase Sherman
Sport/League: MMA

Date/Time: August 21, 2021 10PM EDT
Play: Chase Sherman winning via KO +130
In a main card bout Chase Sherman faces Parker Porter…
The professional MMA record of Chase Sherman isn't impressive. Losing to tougher vets but beating lower level talent. Most recently losing to Andrei Arlovski and he actually looked sharp against a tough UFC vet. On Saturday night Chase takes a step down in competition level facing Parker Porter who's 1-1 since entering the UFC. The style at which Parker fights should allow Chase to dominate the stand up. So, how does Parker fight...?? He enjoys blocking punches with his face. The lackluster defense will provide openings for Chase to push the pace early firing bombs which I believe the KO shot will land. Getting off the big straight money line price of Sherman (-195), method of victory is the play. These are the exact type of fights Chase finds a finish coming off a loss against higher level talent. His career has been this way and I don't see it any different Saturday.
+130 on the better fighter in a heavyweight bout with both guys willing to stand toe to toe and exchange, I'm on Chase getting the KO finish at plus money.

Play: Chase Sherman winning via KO (+130)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus

Aug 21 '21, 12:30 PM in 1h
Soccer | Eupen vs Oud-Heverlee
Play on: Oud-Heverlee +147 at linepros

1* Free Sharp Play on Oud-Heverlee +147

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker

Aug 21 '21, 1:05 PM in 2h
MLB | Twins vs Yankees
Play on: Yankees -215 at SC Consensus

Free Pick on Yankees

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Sal Michaels

Aug 21 '21, 2:20 PM in 3h
MLB | Royals vs Cubs
Play on: Royals +110 at Caesars

Free Play on Royals +110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Cassia County Fair

Cassia County Fair - Race 6	$2 Exacta/ $2 Quinella/ $2 Trifecta($1 Tri Box)
Derby • 250 Yards • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 77 • Purse: $4,900 • Post: 3:30P
QUARTER HORSE 250Y, CASSIA DERBY - FOR THREE YEAR OLDS, OPEN TO MIXED BREED. $150 TO NOMINATE. LIMITED TO 8 HEAD. WEIGHTS: 124 LBS.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * JESS CUERVO TIME: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surf ace. IM RENEE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. RED TELLER: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the g ate fast. Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. ZOOMIN FOR SHER: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
1	JESS CUERVO TIME	12/1	5/1
2	IM RENEE	10/1	5/1
6	RED TELLER	6/1	6/1
3	ZOOMIN FOR SHER	2/1	10/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	JESS CUERVO TIME	1	12/1	Average	88	78	5.1	0.0	0.0
2	IM RENEE	2	10/1	Slow	86	76	7.1	0.0	0.0
3	ZOOMIN FOR SHER	3	2/1	Average	77	71	4.5	0.0	0.0
4	JANDUST	4	4/5	Fast	75	62	3.2	0.0	0.0
5	TELLMSHESA 10	5	15/1	Slow	63	56	8.5	0.0	0.0
6	RED TELLER	6	6/1	Fast	71	70	3.2	0.0	0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delaware Park

Delaware Park - Race 4	Double / Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / .50 Pick 3 (Races 4-6)
Claiming $10,000 • 5 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 88 • Purse: $20,000 • Post: 2:45P
(RAIL AT 15 FEET). (PLUS UP TO 50% OTHER SOURCES) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 21, 2021 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000, IF FOR $8,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $6,250 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES). (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT NOT TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT FIVE FURLONGS)

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * RACINGINTHESTREET: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top thre e in TrackMaster Power Rating. SHALL RETURN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs. CULTURAL MANDATE: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and horse has run well in the pas t in its first and/or second starts after a long layoff. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. THE AURELIA FACTOR: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the t op three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
3	RACINGINTHESTREET	3/2	5/2
7	SHALL RETURN	4/1	7/1
4	CULTURAL MANDATE	6/1	8/1
2	THE AURELIA FACTOR	10/1	9/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	CULTURAL MANDATE	4	6/1	Front-runner	84	76	105.9	72.4	66.4
1	YEYETZI	1	15/1	Front-runner	62	69	94.8	9.5	0.0
8	UNCLE MO'S AFFAIR	8	12/1	Front-runner	77	71	93.9	63.5	54.5
3	RACINGINTHESTREET	3	3/2	Front-runner	89	91	90.3	81.4	77.9
2	THE AURELIA FACTOR	2	10/1	Stalker	70	72	83.8	75.7	66.7
7	SHALL RETURN	7	4/1	Alternator/Stalker	82	75	70.0	74.8	67.3
6	LIANA SUSQUEHANNA	6	3/1	Alternator/Non-contender	89	80	0.0	58.8	50.8
5	STATUS ASTHMATICUS	5	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	57	64	0.0	0.0	0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Arlington

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight - 8.5f on the Turf. Purse: $30000 Class Rating: 83

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. LANE 1.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 7 ADMIRAL RETURNS 5/2
# 6 K RULES 6/1
# 9 CAPTAIN FANTASTIC 9/2

I've got to go with ADMIRAL RETURNS. Boasts sound speed figures on average overall when put alongside the rest of this group. The average class fig of 76 makes this entrant hard to beat. Has to be given consideration versus this field displaying formidable figures recently and an average speed figure of 80 under similar conditions. K RULES - Had one of the top Equibase Speed Figs of this group in his last race. A solid 84 avg Equibase class rating may give this colt a distinct class edge versus this field. CAPTAIN FANTASTIC - Has earned strong Equibase Speed Figures in turf route races in the past. One of the best win percentages between this jock and handler make this colt dangerous.

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Ferndale

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 7 - Maiden Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6000 Class Rating: 62

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 CIRCLE OF HONOR 5/1
# 7 ROYAL DANIELLE 3/1
# 8 PROJECT LOGIC 4/1

I've got to go with CIRCLE OF HONOR. Could best this group here, showing solid figures of late. Is a sharp contender based on figs garnered lately under today's conditions. Earnings per start in dirt sprint races is sound for this pony. ROYAL DANIELLE - Has to be considered based on the very strong speed rating recorded in the last race. PROJECT LOGIC - With a formidable 50 average speed rating at the distance, seems well suited for today's affair. She has decent class ratings, averaging 75, and has to be given a chance here.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Evangeline Downs - Race #4 - Post: 7:11pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,500 Class Rating: 46

Rating:

#6 TIZINDY QUEEN (ML=8/1)
#2 TAP THE CAT (ML=5/2)


TIZINDY QUEEN - I'm optimistic this filly will run well today. Last work was 2nd fastest of the day, which tells me she's sharp right now. Dropping in class figure points from her June 30th race at Evangeline Downs. Based on that data point, I will give this horse the edge. TAP THE CAT - This horse is not the M/L favorite, yet she finished ahead of today's chalk in their last race together. This filly's last figure recorded on July 16th is at the top in last race Equibase speed figures.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 ITS GLITTER TIME (ML=2/1), #7 OUR LITTLE GIRL (ML=7/2), #5 DARING DARIAN (ML=4/1),

ITS GLITTER TIME - I don't normally play a favorite that hasn't been to the track in the last three weeks. OUR LITTLE GIRL - This filly hasn't had any strong victories in short distance affairs in the last sixty days. This entrant hasn't shown much life in the last couple affairs. DARING DARIAN - This steed ran a substandard speed rating last time out. She shouldn't show signs of improvement and will likely suffer defeat in today's event running that rating.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#6 TIZINDY QUEEN is going to be the play if we are getting 3/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Charles Town - Race #2 - Post: 7:32pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,100 Class Rating: 39

Rating:

#3 SPEEDING TICKET (ML=9/2)


SPEEDING TICKET - Filly took a little vacation, but has been racing into shape. Dropped in class last out, running against the same type today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 SPRITZ OF SPRITE (ML=7/5), #5 GRANDMA SCHNUR (ML=7/2), #4 SWEET PIPER (ML=4/1),

SPRITZ OF SPRITE - Awfully tough to bet on this steed when she hasn't been showing any signs of life recently. This entrant hasn't been on the track since July 10th. Not even any drills. GRANDMA SCHNUR - Don't think that this filly has value at 7/2 this time. SWEET PIPER - Tough for this closer equine to get up today. Without a hot pace to stir things up, the lone front speed is going to make it awfully hard to get the job done.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #3 SPEEDING TICKET on the nose if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Pass
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park

08/21/21, GP, Race 4, 1.58 ET
08/21/21,GP,4,5 1/2F [Dirt] 1:02:02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $21,000 (includes up to $3,000 FHBPA-FOA - FHBPA Florida Owners Awards). FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 118 lbs. Claiming Price $12,500.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

Rating	P#	Horse Name	M/L	Jockey	Trainer	Best	Occ	Win%	ROI
100.0000	4	Rayo	7/2	Rios J M	Rodriguez Angel M.	SFE	101	42.57	1.39/$1
097.6995	10	Panorama Truck	4/1	Jaramillo E	D'Angelo Jose Francisc	J	38	36.84	1.44/$1
097.4566	9	Prayin On Currency	6/1	Camacho S	Smith Robert G.		38	36.84	1.44/$1
097.1190	7	Wow Run	8/1	Berrios H I	Sanchez Amador Merei	T	38	36.84	1.44/$1
097.0754	3	Regio	12/1	Vasquez M A	Olivares Luis		38	36.84	1.44/$1
096.5647	2	Oriental Park	20/1	Prado E S	Collazo Henry		38	36.84	1.44/$1
096.4166	11	Patanemo	12/1	Calles F	Sano Antonio		38	36.84	1.44/$1
096.3792	12	Shirley's Sherman	12/1	Morelos J E	Ramirez Luis M.	W	38	36.84	1.44/$1
096.3273	1	Vancouver d'Oro	20/1	Sutherland C	Lander Jesus		38	36.84	1.44/$1
096.3131	5	El Policia	30/1	Lebron V	Burns Patty A.		38	36.84	1.44/$1
096.2622	6	Gus K	12/1	Martinez G A	Rodriguez Angel M.		38	36.84	1.44/$1
093.7318	8	Regal Holiday	9/2	Meneses M	Abreu Fernando		130	36.15	1.25/$1

Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 26.76, ROI 0.62/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.3005
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Best Speed -with-
[Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Was Sprint With Sprint Today

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Free Winners for Saturday, August 21st 2021 from THE LEGEND!
FREE HORSE PICKS
MONMOUTH PARK
RACE #9
TIME: 6:52 PM EST
PICK: BET #3 I’m A G Six 15/1 odds to win @ Bovada

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Bob Weir

Del Mar Pick 6

All-A ticket
$0.20 Pick 6: 4,7 with 3 with 1,2 with 3 with 4,5 with 4,5,8,11 ($6.40)

All-A+B ticket
$0.20 Pick 6: 4,7 with 2,3,5,6 with 1,2,4,6 with 1,3,4 with 4,5 with 4,5,8,11 ($153.60)

Five-A, one-C tickets
$0.20 Pick 6: 1,2 with 3 with 1,2 with 3 with 4,5 with 4,5,8,11 ($6.40)
$0.20 Pick 6: 4,7 with 3 with 3,7,9 with 3 with 4,5 with 4,5,8,11 ($9.60)
$0.20 Pick 6: 4,7 with 3 with 1,2 with 7,9 with 4,5 with 4,5,8,11 ($12.80)
$0.20 Pick 6: 4,7 with 3 with 1,2 with 3 with 1,3,7 with 4,5,8,11 ($9.60)

Total: $198.40

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Duane Colucci

Saratoga Races Nos. 8-11

$0.50 Pick 4 (cost $45)

Race 8: 1,2,3,4,7
Race 9: 2,6
Race 10: 1,5,7
Race 11: 1,4,6

Saratoga Race No. 10

#1 Crazy Beautiful (6-1 morning line) in the Grade 1 Alabama Stakes. “Well-traveled filly has won 3 of last 4, all graded stakes. She has also won at multiple tracks and has been working steadily at Saratoga for a month. Trainer Kenneth McPeek and jockey Jose Ortiz show a $2.36 ROI this year and McPeek is hitting at 21% in graded stakes with a $2.54 ROI. Bet 1 to Win and key 1 over 5,6 & 7 in exactas, trifectas and reverse.”

Del Mar Race No. 7

#3 Smooth Like Straight (9-5 morning line) in the Grade 2, Del Mar Mile Stakes. “I rarely give out favorites, but this 4-year-old colt shortens back to a mile where he is 4-for-7 with 2 places, 2-for-4 at Del Mar with 2 seconds and solid workouts. He’s the best miler on the West Coast. Bet 3 to Win and key 3 over 1,2 & 6 in exactas and trifectas.”

Del Mar Races Nos. 8-11

$0.50 Pick 4 (cost $67.50)

Race 8: 1,2,7,8,9
Race 9: 3,4,7
Race 10: 1,3,5
Race 11: 1,4,5

Del Mar Race No. 10

#3 Dr. Post (4-1 morning line) in the Grade 1 Pacific Classic. “Crushing victory in the Monmouth Cup. Trainer Todd Pletcher ships this colt after some superb workouts at Saratoga. Jockey Joel Rosario and Pletcher have a $2.55 ROI this year. Dr. Post should be around 3-1 or 5-2.”

Del Mar Race No. 11

#1 Media Blitz (30-1 morning line) in the $300,000 Del Mar Handicap. “This long shot cruised to victory here on July 31 at a price and now trainer Simon Callaghan steps him right up. Umberto Rispoli takes over and will have good position. This colt loves distance and has a chance at a price. Callaghan and Rispoli are hitting at 24% this year, so look out! Bet 1 to Win and key 1 over 4,5 & 8 in exactas, trifectas and reverse.”

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ed Sehon

Saratoga

$0.50 EARLY PICK 4 (Races Nos. 2-5, 1:41 p.m. ET/10:41 a.m. PT)

Race 2: 4,5

Race 3: 1,2

Race 4: 2,3,4

Race 5: 1,4,8 ($18)

EXACTA EXTRA (Race No. 5, 3:23 p.m. ET/12:23 p.m. PT)

Three sharp trainers hold keys to exotic bet: #1 Regal Speaker (5-2 morning line) for Danny Gargan; #4 Ghost Giant (2-1) for Rob Atras; and #8 Good Old Boy (7-2) for Robertino Diodoro. Repeat after me: Regal Ghost is a Good Old Boy. Wager: $5 Exacta Box of 1,4 & 8. ($30)

$0.50 LATE PICK 4 (Races Nos. 8-11, 5:03 p.m. ET, 2:03 p.m. PT)

Race 8: 2,3,4,6
Race 9: 2,4,6
Race 10: 6,7
Race 11: 1,4,9 ($36)

BEST BET (Race No. 9, 5:39 p.m. ET/2:39 p.m. PT)

A personal friend of Mr. Ed, who is a breeder-owner, recently hired Jorge Abreu to train string of young horses. He is delighted with his decision. NY-bred filly #4 Runaway Rumor (7-2 morning line) looks live, especially stretching out on turf. Rumor is Jose Lezcano will ride. Wager: $20 to Win, $10 to Place on 4. ($30)


PRICE PLAY (Race No. 10, 6:13 p.m. ET, 3:13 p.m. PT)

Many handicappers look forward to a rematch of top two finishing fillies in Coaching Club American Oaks. Mr. Ed looks beyond that duel, picking Grade 1 newcomer, winner of last two, #7 Army Wife (6-1 morning line) for top trainer Michael Maker to score upset under young Tyler Gaffalione in prestigious Alabama. I’m in the Army now. Wager: $10 to Win & Place. ($20)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Winners for Saturday, August 21st 2021 from THE LEGEND!
FREE MLB PICKS
Diamondbacks @ Rockies
TIME: 8:10 PM EST
PICK: Bet OVER 11.5 @ Bovada

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Saturday, August 21st, 2021 from VEGAS BLACK CARD CLUB!FREE MLB PICKS
Phillies @ Padres
TIME: 8:40 PM EST
PICKS: BET UNDER 8 @ BOVADA