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Service Plays Tuesday 8/17/21
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Tokyo Brandon
304619) KIA Tigers at (304620) Doosan Bears
Game: (304619) KIA Tigers at (304620) Doosan Bears
Date/Time: Aug 17 2021 5:30 AM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 1%
Play: Doosan Bears -1.0 (-120)
These are two terrible pitchers starting, but Doosan has every advantage. Lee Young Ha has a 2+ WHIP this season but has not faced Kia which is the worst hitting team in the league. Kim Hyeon Su is a relief pitcher who can not go long against Doosan's big bats. I expect Doosan to give up a lot of run but score more. Take Doosan on the -1 alt run line. You can take them money line or 1.5 as well.
(304617) LG Twins at (304618) KT Wiz Suwon
Game: (304617) LG Twins at (304618) KT Wiz Suwon
Date/Time: Aug 17 2021 5:30 AM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 2%
Play: 1H Total Under 5.0 (-110)
Suarez and Bae are two excellent SPs who pitch very well against the other team. The team totals for 1st 5 equal 4 so even the Bookmakers know 5 is too high. These are excellent SPs and so-so lineups so it points to the under here. My numbers have it at 4.8.
(304611) NC Dinos at (304612) SSG Landers
Game: (304611) NC Dinos at (304612) SSG Landers
Date/Time: Aug 17 2021 5:30 AM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 1%
Play: NC Dinos +115
These are two struggling SPs who have been much worse they their careers. Oh has allowed 13 runs his last two starts and Song has a 6+ ERA and 1.67 WHIP. I think Song is the better pitcher pitcher though looking at FIP and K:BB rates. NC are the current champs and have the lineup and bullpen advantages. This is worth a small play on NC as a dog.
(304137) Hanshin Tigers at (304138) Yokohama Baystars
Game: (304137) Hanshin Tigers at (304138) Yokohama Baystars
Date/Time: Aug 17 2021 5:00 AM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 2%
Play: 1H Hanshin Tigers -135
Aoyagi is clearly the better SP and the Tigers are the best 1st 5 run producing team in the league. Aoyagi's stats are a bit skewed because the manager for Hanshin is not good and leaves him in too long. Most of his ERs are after the first 5. Take Hanshin and the 1st 5 money line or run line.
(304141) Hiroshima Carp at (304142) Chunichi Dragons
Game: (304141) Hiroshima Carp at (304142) Chunichi Dragons
Date/Time: Aug 17 2021 5:00 AM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 3%
Play: 1H Hiroshima Carp Total Over 1.5 (-110)
Fukutani has struggled against Hiroshima in his career and has a 7+ ERA against them this season. He also has a 4.10 ERA at home. The number is skewed because the Dragons games all go under but the matchup says this is way too low. Take Hiroshima 1st 5 Over 1.5.
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Stephen Oh
TORONTO @ WASHINGTON | 08/17 | 7:05 PM EDT
TORONTO -177
ANALYSIS: My model says the Blue Jays win in almost 70 percent of the simulations, so you're getting strong value with them at this number. Toronto split the first six contests of its eight-game road trip and now faces a Washington team that has lost seven straight and 12 of its last 13. The Nationals also have dropped seven in a row at home and allowed 22 runs while losing three against Atlanta over the weekend. Washington RHP Erick Fedde is winless in his last 10 starts. Take the Blue Jays.
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MLB
NL games
Atlanta (63-56) @ Miami (51-68)
— Ynoa is 3-2, 3.35 in seven starts.
— He broke his hand punching a bench after his last start, May 16.
— Braves are 4-3 in his starts.
— under 4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-1
— He gave up a run in 6 IP in an April 12 start vs Miami.
— Braves won 11 of last 13 games.
— Atlanta won its last eight road games.
— over 9-3 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 44-119
— record in first 5 innings: 61-42-16
— Alcantara is 2-2, 3.86 in his last five home starts.
— Marlins are 10-14 in his starts.
— under 10-3-2 last 15
— allowed run in first inning: 5-24
— record in first 5 innings: 11-9-4
— He is 2-0, 3.44 in three starts vs Atlanta this year.
— Marlins won three of last four games.
— Miami is 8-5 in last 13 home games.
— over 11-4 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-119
— record in first 5 innings: 44-55-20
Cubs (52-69) @ Cincinnati (65-54)
— Hendricks is 1-1, 6.18 in his last five starts.
— Cubs are 14-10 in his starts.
— over 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 7-24
— record in first 5 innings: 15-8-1
— He is 0-0, 5.23 in two starts vs Cincinnati this year.
— Cubs are 10-36 in last 46 games.
— Chicago is 3-12 in its last 15 road games.
— Over is 7-3-1 in last 11 games.
— scored run in first inning: 34-121
— record in first 5 innings: 47-61-13
— Gutierrez is 4-0, 1.78 in his last four starts.
— Reds scored 37 runs in those four games.
— Reds are 9-5 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 7-14
— record in first 5 innings: 7-4-3
— He is 1-1, 2.38 in two starts vs Chicago.
— Cincinnati is 18-12 in its last 30 games.
— Reds won their last six home games.
— over 11-3 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 36-119
— record in first 5 innings: 58-46-16
Milwaukee (72-47) @ St Louis (61-56)
— Burnes is 3-0, 1.89 in his last five starts.
— Milwaukee is 10-2 in his last 12 starts.
— over 7-1-2 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 4-20
— record in first 5 innings: 13-3-4
— He is 0-1. 1,82 in two starts vs St Louis this year.
— Brewers are 19-8 in last 27 games.
— Milwaukee is 15-2 in last 17 road games.
— over 9-4-3 last 16 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 40-119
— record in first 5 innings: 63-35-21
— Wainwright is 4-0, 2.10 in his last four starts.
— Cardinals are 14-9 in his starts.
— under 13-9-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-23
— record in first 5 innings: 10-8-5
— He is 18-11, 2.48 in 38 starts vs Milwaukee.
— Cardinals are 8-1 in last nine games.
— St Louis is 3-5 in its last eight home games.
— Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 40-117
— record in first 5 innings: 51-46-20
San Diego (67-54) @ Colorado (53-66)
— They haven’t named a starter.
— Padres lost five of last six games.
— San Diego is 5-9 in last 14 road games.
— over 13-5-1 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 37-121
— record in first 5 innings: 50-53-18
— Marquez is 3-3, 4.29 in his last six starts.
— Rockies are 14-10 in his starts.
— under 10-4-1 last 15
— allowed run in first inning: 4-24
— record in first 5 innings: 14-9-1
— He is 2-0, 1.38 in two starts vs San Diego this year.
— Colorado lost five of last seven games.
— Rockies are 39-21 at home, 14-45 on road.
— over 4-3 last seven home games.
— scored run in first inning: 39-119
— record in first 5 innings: 48-55-16
Philadelphia (60-57) @ Arizona (38-80)
— Gibson is 2-0, 2.13 in two starts for Philly.
— Phillies are 2-0 in his starts.
— over 7-3-2 last 12 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-21
— record in first 5 innings: 11-6-4
— He is 1-1, 0.75 in two starts vs Arizona.
— Phillies are 10-4 in last 14 games.
— Phillies are 36-25 at home, 25-32 on road.
— over 5-0 last five road games.
— scored run in first inning: 38-118
— record in first 5 innings: 49-46-23
— They haven’t named a starter
— Arizona won three of last four games.
— Arizona is 4-6 in its last ten home games.
— under 4-2-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 17-118
— record in first 5 innings: 44-64-10
Mets (59-59) @ San Francisco (77-42)
— Stroman is 1-3, 3.86 in his last four starts.
— Mets are 11-13 in his starts.
— under 6-0 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 3-24
— record in first 5 innings: 10-13-1
— He gave up 4 runs in 6 IP in one start vs San Francisco.
— Mets are 24-34 in their last 58 games.
— Mets are 1-7 in last eight road games.
— under 4-1 last five road games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-118
— record in first 5 innings: 49-57-12
— Webb is 2-0, 1.50 in his last four starts.
— Giants are 12-4 in his starts.
— over 7-3 last 10
— allowed run in first inning: 5-16
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-2
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.
— Giants are 19-10 since All-Star break.
— Giants are 11-3 in last 14 home games.
— Under is 3-2 in last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 35-119
— record in first 5 innings: 64-41-14
Pittsburgh (42-77) @ Los Angeles (73-46)
— Crowe is 0-2, 8.31 in his last two starts.
— Pirates are 7-10 in his starts.
— over 6-2-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 6-17
— record in first 5 innings: 5-10-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Los Angeles.
— Pirates are 6-25 in last 31 games.
— Pittsburgh is 1-8 in last nine road games.
— over 8-5 last 13 road games
— scored run in first inning: 30-118
— record in first 5 innings: 35-69-14
— Price is 0-1, 3.86 in nine starts (32.2 IP).
— Dodgers are 3-6 in his starts.
— under 7-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 5-3-1
— He gave up a run in 10.1 IP in 2 games (1 start) vs Pittsburgh.
— Dodgers are 14-6 in last 20 games.
— Dodgers are 6-2 in last eight home games.
— under 6-2 last eight home games
— scored run in first inning: 39-118
— record in first 5 innings: 62-37-19
AL games
Boston (69-51) @ Bronx (65-53)
— Eovaldi is 1-2, 5.22 in his last five starts.
— Red Sox are 1-5 in his last six starts.
— over 11-11-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-23
— record in first 5 innings: 13-6-4
— He is 2-0, 2.05 in four starts vs New York this year.
— Nightcap is probably a bullpen game.
— Boston won four of last five games, scoring 51 runs.
— Red Sox are 2-8 in last ten road games.
— over 4-3 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 40-121
— record in first 5 innings: 55-47-19
— Gil is 2-0, 0.00 in two MLB starts (11 IP).
— New York is 1-1 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Boston.
— Montgomery is 1-0, 0.57 in his last three starts (15.2 IP).
— New York is 12-8 in his starts.
— under 7-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 8-20
— record in first 5 innings: 6-12-2
— He is 0-2, 3.06 in three starts vs Boston this year.
— New York is 25-10 in last 35 games.
— New York is 10-2 in last 12 home games.
— over 16-8 last 24 games
— scored run in first inning: 28-119
— record in first 5 innings: 47-43-29
Angels (59-60) @ Detroit (57-62)
— Bundy is 1-2, 4.43 in his last five starts.
— Angels are 6-11 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 4-11-2
— He is 0-2, 4.91 in 4 games (3 starts) vs Detroit.
— Angels are 9-12 in their last 21 games.
— Angels are 6-4 in last ten road games.
— under 14-2 last 16 road games
— scored run in first inning: 37-120
— record in first 5 innings: 52-54-14
— Mize is 1-1, 4.60 in his last six starts.
— Detroit is 13-9 in his starts.
— over 4-2-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 5-22
— record in first 5 innings: 11-7-4
— He gave up 3 runs in 5 IP, in one start vs Anaheim.
— Detroit is 8-5 in its last 13 games.
— Detroit is 14-5 in last 19 home games.
— under 11-4-1 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-120
— record in first 5 innings: 16-10-1 last 27
Baltimore (38-78) @ Tampa Bay (72-47)
— Means is 1-2, 6.00 in five starts since coming off IL.
— Orioles are 7-10 in his starts.
— under 10-6-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 8-5-4
— He is 0-1, 6.06 in three starts vs Tampa Bay this year.
— Orioles are 0-12 in last 12 games.
— Baltimore is 21-42 on road, 17-37 at home.
— under is 7-4 in last 11 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 39-117
— record in first 5 innings: 38-62-17
— bullpen game
— Tampa Bay won 12 of last 17 games.
— Rays are 6-2 in last eight home games.
— over 8-2 last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 36-119
— record in first 5 innings: 46-46-27
Seattle (63-56) @ Texas (41-76)
— Anderson is 0-0, 3.45 in three starts for Seattle.
— Mariners are 1-2 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 7-21
— record in first 5 innings: 7-8-6
— He is 0-0, 3.37 in two starts vs Texas this year.
— Seattle won four of last five games.
— Seattle is 1-4 in last five road games.
— under 9-3 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 36-119
— record in first 5 innings: 52-53-14
— bullpen game
— Texas lost 24 of last 30 games.
— Texas is 6-8 in last 14 home games.
— over 6-2 last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 24-118
— record in first 5 innings: 37-65-16
Oakland (68-51) @ White Sox (69-50)
— Bassitt is 2-0, 1.80 in his last four starts.
— A’s are 17-7 in his starts.
— under 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 6-24
— record in first 5 innings: 13-4-7
— He is 2-1, 3.04 in four starts vs Chicago.
— A’s are 1-3 in last four games.
— Oakland is 8-4 in last 12 road games.
— Over is 9-4 in their last 13 games.
— scored run in first inning: 34-119
— record in first 5 innings: 51-47-21
— bullpen game
— Chicago is 6-4 in last ten games.
— White Sox are 6-7 in last 13 home games.
— over 8-6 last 14 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 34-119
— record in first 5 innings: 66-35-18
Cleveland (57-60) @ Minnesota (53-66)
— Morgan is 0-3, 5.00 in his last five starts.
— Indians are 4-5 in his starts.
— over 5-4
— allowed run in first inning: 1-9
— record in first 5 innings: 3-6
— He hasn’t pitched against Minnesota.
— Cleveland is 17-30 in last 47 games.
— Indians are 3-6 in last nine road games.
— over 3-1-1 last five games
— scores run in first inning: 35-117
— record in first 5 innings: 44-55-18
— Ober is 0-0, 4.50 in his last six starts.
— Minnesota is 8-5 in his starts.
— over 7-2-1 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 2-13
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Cleveland.
— Minnesota is 5-1 in its last six games.
— Twins are 6-4 in last ten home games.
— over 11-7-1 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 42-119
— record in first 5 innings: 36-59-24
Houston (71-47) @ Kansas City (51-67)
— Valdez is 3-1, 3-1, 2.66 in his last four starts.
— Astros are 10-4 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 9-4-1
— He gave up 5 runs in 4 IP in two relief stints vs Kansas City.
— Astros won four of last six games.
— Astros are 6-8 in last 14 road games.
— under 8-4-1 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 42-118
— record in first 5 innings: 65-37-16
— Lynch is 2-2, 3.81 in his last five starts.
— Kansas City is 3-4 in his starts.
— over 3-3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Houston.
— Royals are 5-11 in last 16 games.
— Royals are 8-6 in last 14 home games.
— under 17-7-2 last 26 games.
— scores run in first inning: 25-120
— record in first 5 innings: 41-60-19
Interleague games
Toronto (63-54) @ Washington (50-68)
— Manoah is 3-0, 2.00 in his last three starts.
— Toronto is 8-3 in his starts.
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 1-11
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6
— He hasn’t pitched against Washington.
— Toronto won 13 of last 18 games.
— Blue Jays are 7-11 in last 18 road games.
— Under is 13-9-2 in last 24 games.
— scored run in first inning: 35-116
— record in first 5 innings: 19-9-2 last 30
— Fedde is 0-1, 5.33 in his last five starts.
— Nationals are 9-10 in his starts.
— over 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 6-19
— record in first 5 innings: 6-10-3
— He is 1-0, 2.89 in two starts vs Toronto.
— Washington is 8-25 in its last 33 games.
— Nationals are 1-8 in last nine home games.
— over 12-3 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 38-118
— record in first 5 innings: 47-51-20
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dubaibets asia
ENGLAND: League Two
Bristol Rovers – Oldham
Oldham +0 @ 2.40
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james-martingale
ENGLAND: League One
Morecambe – Rotherham
Second Half : Over 1.5 Goals
Odds : 2.20 / 2 units
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mega-bet-ticket
Cusco Carlos – Mannucci : Over 2 @ 1.70
Sheriff Tiraspol – D. Zagreb : Over 2 @ 1.73
Total Odds : 2.94
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The Prez
4% - Houston Astros RL - Action
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Larry Hartstein
CHI. CUBS @ CINCINNATI | 08/17 | 7:10 PM EDT
CINCINNATI -1.5
ANALYSIS: The Reds own a .781 OPS versus right-handed pitching, best in MLB, and tonight they face a struggling Kyle Hendricks. The current Cincy roster has a .603 slugging percentage and .984 OPS against Hendricks. Reds starter Vladimir Gutierrez is 3-0 with a 1.42 ERA in his last three starts. With the Cubs on a 12-game skid, I'm playing the Reds -1.5 runs at +115.
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+210 3-1 IN LAST 4 CIN ATS PICKS
9:07 AM
TORONTO @ WASHINGTON | 08/17 | 7:05 PM EDT
TORONTO -1.5
ANALYSIS: The Nats have lost seven straight and 12 of 13, and they have a run differential that's 184 runs worse than the Blue Jays. Erick Fedde has been lit up over his last four starts (6.08 ERA) while Toronto's Alek Manoah has been dynamite over his last six (1.53 ERA). The Blue Jays sport a .788 OPS against right-handed pitching, second-best in the majors. Play Toronto -1.5 runs at -130.
+1024 71-49 IN LAST 120 MLB PICKS
9:02 AM
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ASA
4* Toronto Blue Jays runline
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Docs
San Jose PK -140 (4U)
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Indian Cowboy
Toluca O2.5 -110 (3U)
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Raphael Esparza
UANL Tigres -130 (4U)
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Allen Eastman
Blue Jays RL -110 (4U)
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Vernon Croy
Blue Jays U9.5 (4U)
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Top Rank Sports Picks
Marquee Picks® For 08/17/21
4★ Milwaukee (Burnes)/St. Louis (Wainwright) UNDER 7.5
3★ Oakland (Bassitt) -120 over Chicago White Sox (Lopez)
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Primetime Sports Picks
MEMBER PICKS For 08/17/21
4 Unit --> Cincinnati (Gutierrez) -150 over Chicago Cubs (Hendricks)
3 Unit --> Oakland (Bassitt)/Chicago White Sox (Lopez) UNDER 9
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National Sports Service
4* Oakland (Bassitt) -120 over Chicago White Sox (Lopez)
3* Minnesota (Ober) -140 over Cleveland (Morgan)
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Insider Sports Report
4* San Francisco (Webb) -150 over N.Y. Mets (Stroman)
Range: -135 to -175
3* Cincinnati (Gutierrez) -150 over Chicago Cubs (Hendricks)
Range: -135 to -175
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