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Thread: Saturday 8/28/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

  1. #21
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    Andy Lang

    Event: (953) Cincinnati Reds at (954) Miami Marlins
    Sport/League: MLB

    Date/Time: August 28, 2021 6PM EDT
    Play: Cincinnati Reds -108 V Gutierrez (RHP), S Alcantara (RHP) Must Start
    Alcantara will be going for the Marlins, and he's been solid his last few starts, but he has gotten little to no run support. In the last four games the Marlins have lost when Alcantara has started, they've scored a total of four runs in those games. The Marlins have lost 9 out of 11 games, and the two wins were against the really bad Nationals. Before that they had three wins against the struggling Cubs and a win against the Padres, and five losses before that giving them a 6-13 record the last 19 games, 12 of those losses coming by the run line. Gutierrez will be going for Cincy and he's been fantastic. The Reds are 7-2 in his last 9 starts, and in August he's pitched 32.1 inning and given up only 6 earned runs including a 7 inning start against Miami where he only allowed 1 run. The last 10 wins by Cincy have come by the run line, but at this price, we'll take the run line for the Reds who have won 4 straight games against Miami by a combined score of 27-9.

  2. #22
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    Bobby Ligs

    Event: (955) St. Louis Cardinals at (956) Pittsburgh Pirates
    Sport/League: MLB

    Date/Time: August 28, 2021 7PM EDT
    Play: Total Under 8.5 (-120) A Wainwright (RHP), S Brault (LHP) Must Start

  3. #23
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    Kyle Anthony

    Event: (24877) Alessio Di Chirico at (24878) Abdul Razak Alhassan
    Sport/League: MMA

    Date/Time: August 28, 2021 9PM EDT
    Play: Abdul Razak Alhassan +195

    In a preliminary bout Abdul Razak Alhassan faces Alessio Di Chirico…

    I get it, Alhassan has looked absolutely horrible since returning from a 2 year layoff. 3 straight losses and basically not winning 1 round over that span would make anyone fade this fight. Prior to a 2 year layoff Alhassan was on a knockout murdering spree dropping opponents left and right. No doubt time away from the cage took a massive toll on his overall skill set, but still.. with that said Di Chirico shouldn't be a -250 against anyone. He's the better over all mixed martial artist, but lets be real… Di Chirico was one loss away from being cut by the UFC. After going 0-3 in last 3 UFC appearances, he most recently defeated the slightly over hyped Joaquin Buckley via KO in round 1. Solid win for Di Chirico, but shouldn't provide this kinda price in his next bout. A favorite yes, but this line is to wide in my opinion.
    This wager isn't for the faint of heart as Alhassan could look like absolute trash, but I'm placing a sprinkle on him for a pure value play. I believe he'll make improvements in this camp and keep the fight closer then line indicates. Approaching 2-1 dog money on Alhassan is the only value in this fight. Dog or pass.

    Play: Abdul Razak Alhassan (+195)

  4. #24
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    The Prez

    Event: (303) UTEP at (304) New Mexico State
    Sport/League: CFB

    Date/Time: August 28, 2021 9PM EDT
    Play: UTEP -10.0 (-110)
    303 UTEP Miners at 304 New Mexico State Aggies +10, 58
    The final weekend of August presents us with Week 0 of the college football regular season. The UTEP Miners are on the road to kick off the year by facing the New Mexico State Aggies. Neither of these programs is projected to win more games than they lose, making this game more important than most understand.
    UTEP finished the 2020 season with a 3-5 record, while New Mexico State was only able to participate in a pair of contests due to COVID-related issues. The Aggies split their pair of games and closed the campaign with a 1-1 mark.
    This UTEP program heads into the 2021 season as double-digit road favorites. The handicap that the Miners are issuing New Mexico State is significant considering UTEP has lost straight up and against the spread in three of the last four meetings with NMSU. The Free Pick in this Week 0 contest is a play on the obvious. The obvious being that this Aggies team has more personnel problems than will allow them to compete on Saturday night. The Miners earn the "Dub" with a 20-plus point victory over the NMSU Aggies.

  5. #25
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    Kevin Dolan

    Event: (202489) RB Leipzig at (202490) Wolfsburg
    Sport/League: GBL

    Date/Time: August 29, 2021 11AM EDT
    Play: Wolfsburg +0.5 (-130)
    Wolfsburg +0.5 for Sunday against RB Leipzig.
    Wolfsburg come off an electric start to their 2021-22 Bundesliga campaign as they're currently top of the league as the only team with maximum points at this early stage of the season.
    After a tough opening day loss to Mainz, RB Leipzig bounced back with avengeance in their next game, dispatching Stuttgart with ease via a 4-0 scoreline in Matchday 2.
    That's sets up a really fantastic clash on paper here for Sunday and I like the home team in this one catching a half goal head start at home.
    Leipzig have been incredibly patchy on the road going all the way back to last season. Just 8 wins from their 17 road games last year basically saw their title aspirations evaporate and they're now currently on a four game losing streak on the road as well entering Sunday's game.
    Wolfsburg meanwhile lost just 3 times at home last season, and with fans in the stands for this huge standalone game on Sunday, we expect Volkswagen Arena to be a fortress here and for Wolfsburg to grind out a result at home in this one.
    Take Wolfsburg +0.5 to cover and potentially win outright on Sunday against RB Leipzig.
    PLAY: WOLFSBURG +0.5

  6. #26
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    Trace Adams

    Saturday comp play on Fresno State minus the big number over the Connecticut Huskies.

    When last we saw the Huskies on the gridiron for a game was back in 2019, as UConn opted out of last season's campaign due to COVID-19 concerns.

    So what do we know about the team this year?

    Well, if past history is any kind of harbinger, things won't go too swimmingly today at Fresno State.

    Connecticut is on a 3-36 straight-up run their last 39 games contested and they are just 7-17 against the spread their last 24 games with a line. The Huskies have also given up some 43 points and over 500 yards per game during that 7-17 point spread dive and have a penchant for turning over the football.

    If any of those negative traits persist, then this game should not be close for long as Fresno State does have an experienced quarterback in Jake Haener who spent some time with the Washington Huskies. Haener will throw to his top-8 returning pass-catchers and that my friends are a definite recipe for a blowout in the making.

    Lay it with the Bulldogs over the Huskies.

    4* FRESNO STATE

  7. #27
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    Gus Augustine

    My free pick for Saturday's college football card is the Fresno State Bulldogs laying a mighty big number to the Connecticut Huskies.

    Anyone else realize when the ball is kicked off, it will mark 638 days since the Huskies have played a game? UConn sat out the 2020 season, and will be as big a mystery to itself as it will be for others. UConn finished its 2019 campaign with a 2-10 mark.

    Though 16 players Bulldogs are taking advantage of the extra year of eligibility, granted by the NCAA due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the team added 39 players to the 2021 roster who were not on the roster a season ago.

    A true mystery.

    I don't think this is an ideal spot to open the season, across the country against a feisty team from a conference where members are always trying to prove themselves.

    Fresno State had one of the more balanced teams in the Mountain West last season, with a high-octane offense led by the league's No. 1 passing game, and a defense that was suffocating with an 11.2% sack rate.

    The Bulldogs have a senior-laden offensive unit returning, while a combined nine juniors and seniors are back for this season. With Fresno State returning 20 of its 22 position starters from last season, the 20 returning starters bring a collective 204 career starts into the season, and that'll be a problem for an unknown Huskies team.

    4* FRESNO STATE

  8. #28
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    Jay McNeil

    Saturday's comp play goes on the Reds and the Marlins to play Under the total with a pair of Under pitchers on the mound.

    Cincy starter Vladimir Gutierrez has allowed 2 runs or less in each of his last 6 starts and in 8 of his last 9 overall. On the road, he has gone a rock-solid 6-1 with a 2.92 ERA this year. Each of his last pair of starts and 3 of his last 4 overall have held Under the total.

    Miami hurler Sandy Alcantara has allowed 2 runs or less in 4 of his last 5 starts and owns a 2.43 ERA in his home starts this year. The Under is 15-8-3 when he climbs the bump, so do not expect too much offense going on tonight.

    Cincinnati is now 8-2 Under the total after last night's meeting with the Marlins, while Miami is now Under in 7 of their last 10 overall.

    Gutierrez and Alcantara to dominate.

    Reds and Marlins Under the total.

    5* CINCINNATI-MIAMI UNDER

  9. #29
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    Al McMordie - NFL - Sat, Aug 28 at 1:00 PM

    BIG AL's FREE BILLS/PACKERS WINNER!

    Green Bay Packers vs Buffalo Bills

    Buffalo Bills -8.5 (-104) (BetCRIS)

    At 1 pm, our complimentary selection is on the Buffalo Bills minus the points over Green Bay. The storyline for this game is that Aaron Rodgers will once again not play, while Josh Allen and other Bills starters will see action on Saturday. It’s hard to make a case for Green Bay, given that it has scored just 21 points total in the preseason, while Buffalo has scored 57. Last week, the Bills ran up 41 points on the Chicago Bears behind a 20-for-28 performance from back-up QB Mitchell Trubisky. The line on this game opened up at Buffalo -4, and is currently much higher. Generally, I’m a contrarian, but this statistic will keep me completely off the Packers. NFL teams off back to back losses by more than 7 points have gone 4-23 ATS in the preseason vs. opponents off back to back wins. The Packers have lost their first two games by 9 and 19 points, while the Bills are 2-0. I’m laying the points with Buffalo. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

  10. #30
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    PITBULL BARKING SOCCER

    Sat Aug 28, 2021 6:40 am

    ENGLAND - LEAGUE ONE- (UNDER 2.5 -128) SHEFFIELD WEDNESDAY vs. MORECAMBE (10:00 AM)
    ENGLAND - PREMIER LEAGUE- (UNDER 2.5 -115) CHELSEA vs. LIVERPOOL (12:30 PM)
    ENGLAND - PREMIER LEAGUE- (OVER 3 -103) ARSENAL vs. MANCHESTER CITY (7:30 AM)

  11. #31
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    PITBULL BARKING NCAAF

    Sat Aug 28, 2021 6:40 am

    Nebraska -7 +100 No Illinois (1:00 PM)
    Southern Utah vs. San Jose State OVER 56.5 -110 (10:00 PM)

  12. #32
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    Paul Leiner

    CFB & MLB Picks 8/28"

    100* Yankees -120
    100* Hawaii +17.5
    100* Over 58.5 New Mex St/UTEP

  13. #33
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    NCAAF
    Dunkel





    Saturday, August 28


  14. #34
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    NCAAF

    Week 0


    Saturday, August 28

    Nebraska @ Illinois
    — Last four years, Nebraska is 16-28 SU
    — Cornhuskers’ last bowl game was five years ago.
    — Nebraska has 7 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
    — Cornhuskers have 54 returning starts on the offensive line.
    — Nebraska’s QB is making his 30th career start.
    — Under Frost, Cornhuskers are 2-3 ATS as a road favorite.

    — Illinois has had nine losing seasons in a row.
    — New coach this year is Bielema, ex-Wisconsin/Arkansas coach.
    — Illinois has 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
    — Illini have 88 returning starts on the offensive line.
    — Last six years, Illinois is 9-16 ATS as a home underdog.
    — Bielema is 26-23-1 ATS as an underdog. 11-10 as a home dog.

    — Nebraska won six of last eight series games.
    — Five of those six wins were by 15+ points.
    — Huskers won 42-38/28-6 in last two visits to Illinois.
    — Last three years, Illinois ran for 285-221-383 yards vs Nebraska.

    UConn @ Fresno State
    — UConn didn’t play last year, hard team to handicap.
    — Huskies were 9-39 SU from 2016-19.
    — UConn has 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
    — Huskies have 47 returning starts on the offensive line.
    — UConn has a QB with 6 starts; unsure who the starter will be.
    — Huskies are 2-9 ATS last 11 games as road underdogs.

    — Fresno was 3-3 LY, giving up 34+ points in all the losses.
    — Bulldogs went 7-11 last two years; in 2017-18, they were 22-6
    — Fresno has 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
    — Bulldogs have 51 returning starts on the offensive line.
    — Washington transfer Haener (6 starts) is new starting QB.
    — Last two years, Bulldogs were 4-8 ATS as favorites, 2-5 at home.

    — These teams haven’t met the last 20 years.

    Hawai’i @ UCLA
    — Last three years, Hawai’i is 23-15 SU.
    — Rainbows went bowling last three years, winning last two.
    — Hawai’i has 7 starters back on offense, 11 on defense.
    — Rainbows have 73 returning starts on the offensive line.
    — Hawai’i’s soph QB has started 13 games.
    — Last four years, Rainbows are 6-11 ATS as road underdogs.

    — Three years under Kelly, UCLA is 10-19 SU.
    — Bruins’ last bowl was 2017; last bowl win was 2014.
    — UCLA has 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
    — Bruins have 61 returning starts on the offensive line.
    — UCLA’s junior QB is making his 25th career start.
    — Under Kelly, Bruins are 2-6 ATS as a home favorite.
    — UCLA hosts LSU next week; will they be looking ahead?

    — UCLA (-24) waxed Hawai’i 56-23 in last meeting, four years ago.

    Texas-El Paso (3-4) @ New Mexico State
    — UTEP has had six losing seasons in a row.
    — Three years under Dimel, Miners are 5-27 SU.
    — Miners have 11 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
    — UTEP has 101 returning starts on the offensive line.
    — UTEP’s soph QB has 7 career starts.
    — Last 10 years, UTEP is 1-1-1 ATS as road favorites.
    — Last time Miners were a road favorite? 2015.

    — New Mexico State played two I-AA games LY and lost one.
    — Last three years, NM State is 6-20 SU.
    — NM State has 3 starters back on offense, zero on defense- not good.
    — Aggies have 61 returning starts on the offensive line.
    — NM State’s junior QB is making his 3rd career start.
    — Aggies are 2-5 ATS last seven games as a home underdog.

    — NM State won/covered last three series games.
    — Miners lost 44-35/41-14 in last two trips two Las Cruces.
    — Favorites are 6-0-2 ATS last eight series games.

  15. #35
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    NCAAF
    Week 0


    Trend Report

    Saturday, August 28

    Nebraska @ Illinois
    Nebraska
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nebraska's last 6 games on the road
    Nebraska is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Illinois
    Illinois
    Illinois is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Nebraska
    Illinois is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games

    Connecticut @ Fresno State
    Connecticut
    Connecticut is 8-16 ATS in its last 24 games
    Connecticut is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
    Fresno State
    Fresno State is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Fresno State's last 6 games at home

    Hawaii @ California-Los Angeles
    Hawaii
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hawaii's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hawaii's last 6 games
    California-Los Angeles
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of California-Los Angeles's last 6 games at home
    California-Los Angeles is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

    Texas El Paso @ New Mexico State
    Texas El Paso
    Texas El Paso is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Texas El Paso is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    New Mexico State
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Mexico State's last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Mexico State's last 5 games at home

    Southern Utah @ San Jose State
    Southern Utah
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern Utah's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern Utah's last 5 games
    San Jose State
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Jose State's last 5 games
    San Jose State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

  16. #36
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    MLB

    Saturday, August 28


    Trend Report

    Boston @ Cleveland
    Boston
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games
    Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    Cleveland
    Cleveland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
    Cleveland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

    NY Yankees @ Oakland
    NY Yankees
    NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Oakland
    Oakland is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
    Oakland is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing NY Yankees

    Kansas City @ Seattle
    Kansas City
    Kansas City is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
    Kansas City is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
    Seattle
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing Kansas City
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City

    Arizona @ Philadelphia
    Arizona
    Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Arizona's last 8 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
    Philadelphia
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing at home against Arizona
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games

    Toronto @ Detroit
    Toronto
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Detroit
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games
    Detroit
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Toronto
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games

    Cincinnati @ Miami
    Cincinnati
    Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami
    Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
    Miami
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games

    Tampa Bay @ Baltimore
    Tampa Bay
    Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
    Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
    Baltimore
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Baltimore's last 10 games when playing Tampa Bay

    Houston @ Texas
    Houston
    Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas
    Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Texas
    Texas
    Texas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
    Texas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Houston

    St. Louis @ Pittsburgh
    St. Louis
    St. Louis is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
    St. Louis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
    Pittsburgh
    Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games at home

    Washington @ NY Mets
    Washington
    Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing NY Mets
    The total has gone OVER in 17 of Washington's last 24 games
    NY Mets
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of NY Mets's last 10 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 6 games at home

    Chi Cubs @ Chi White Sox
    Chi Cubs
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games when playing Chi White Sox
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
    Chi White Sox
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games when playing Chi Cubs
    Chi White Sox is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs

    Milwaukee @ Minnesota
    Milwaukee
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
    Milwaukee is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games on the road
    Minnesota
    Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

    San Francisco @ Atlanta
    San Francisco
    San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    Atlanta
    Atlanta is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
    Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco

    San Diego @ LA Angels
    San Diego
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Diego's last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing LA Angels
    LA Angels
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing San Diego
    LA Angels is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing San Diego

    Colorado @ LA Dodgers
    Colorado
    Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
    LA Dodgers
    LA Dodgers is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games when playing Colorado

  17. #37
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    Dunkel

    Saturday, August 28



  18. #38
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    Cappers Access

    Sat (NCAAF) Nebraska
    Sat (NCAAF) Hawaii
    Sat (NCAAF) UTEP
    Sat (NFL) Bears

  19. #39
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    Brandon Lee

    Aug 28 '21, 1:00 PM in 2h
    NCAA-F | Nebraska vs Illinois
    Play on: Nebraska -6½ -113 at pinnacle

    FREE PICK - Nebraska Cornhuskers -6.5
    RATING: 30*
    ROT#: 299
    I just can't help myself here with Nebraska laying less than a touchdown at -6.5 (I would take the -6.5 now, as this could go back to -7 before kickoff and -6.5 is way better than waiting to see if you get -6).
    It's now or never for Scott Forst and his staff to get this Cornhuskers team at least playing some competitive football. No one thought Nebraska was going to 12-20 in the first 3 years under Frost. He gets a lot of blame for the poor record, but I also think some of the blame needs to fall on previous head coach Mike Riley.
    Frost just didn't have the guys to compete in a conference like the Big Ten. I'm not saying they are going to shock everyone and win the Big Ten West, but I feel pretty good about this being the best team Frost has fielded in what is now his 4th year. The offense should be better in year two under OC Matt Lubick and the defense brings back 10 starters.
    As for Illinois, they got 18 starters back, but are in the first year under new head coach Bret Bielema. No question Bielema has a great track record in the Big Ten, but you have to take into consideration the talent he's inheriting and that talent being recruited to play different schemes on both sides of the ball. Bielema went just 3-9 in his first year at Arkansas, before going 7-8, 8-5 and 7-6 in his next 3 seasons.
    Another huge factor here for me is revenge. Illinois went into Lincoln and embarrassed Nebraska 41-23 last year. Looking back, it feels like that was a bit of a trap game, as the Cornhuskers were off an upset win against Penn State and had a game at Iowa on deck, who is their biggest rival in the Big Ten. Nebraska has a game against Fordham on deck. All their attention will be on this game.
    I also love the fact that because of all the allegations with Frost and the team having secret meetings during Covid, this team will be playing with a chip on their shoulder. Give me Nebraska -6.5!

  20. #40
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    Jimmy Boyd

    Aug 28 '21, 1:00 PM in 2h
    NCAA-F | Nebraska vs Illinois
    Play on: UNDER 53½ -110

    1* Free Pick on Nebraska/Illinois under 53½ -110

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