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Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis
August 29, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
Northfield Park has a 16-race card scheduled with the first post at 6:00 EST. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 begins in Race 11. That sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool, and it will be my focus.
Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.
Race 11
1-High Impression (7/5)-Many will likely single and if Grismore gets the top in easy fashion that could be the race. But not feeling that is as likely as going off as an odds-on choice. Using, but others are possible at a better price.
2-Fourboltmane (9-1)-My thinking is this 9-year-old will be dialed on high to take advantage of the post draw. Does its best work racing near the top of the stack and can get there versus this crew.
4-Just Bookem (5/2)-Broke slowly last week when dropped to this level. Slow starts have been an issue but does show the gate speed to get the top or a good early seat. Form has been dull but facing a beatable field and with the right steer Wrenn could snag an overdue win for this 6-year-old.
6-Blakemore (10-1)-This veteran price shot needs a trip and honest fractions. But could be sitting on a big try and this would be the level to surprise.
Race 12
2-Joggingtothebank (5/2)-Has been cashing checks versus Open Handicap company. Now drops and faces the same kind as on 6-27, which was his last picture. Looks like a player and could be used early to get the point.
4-T Barrr (9/2)-Makes the 1st start for the Kreiser barn after being claimed. Failed as the even money choice but Merriman sticks and should be forwardly placed throughout.
5-Cherry Peep (4-1)-Here is another who has been facing better but has a more realistic chance for success at this level. Should be in the hunt at a fair price if receives a sharp steer from Stahl.
9-Muscles For Life (7/2)-Has been facing tougher and leaving from the 2nd tier should help the price. Both inside horses could blast out and if Wren finds a good early seat chances for success go up in a race without a true standout.
Race 13
2-Cross Country (4-1)-Dropped and popped in last and now steps up but still fits with this crew. Does its best work racing close to the lead and should have no trouble working that trip. Best to respect, could stay good again and has won 25% of its NFLD starts.
5-Diesel Accelerator (3-1)-Drops from facing Open company and has a much better shot here. Sugg has some options leaving from a prime post. Winner of 8 in 27 starts could add to that total tonight.
Race 14
2-Louie Louie (9/5)-Drops after an even try in NFLD debut. Burke trainee can be in control or near the top throughout. Should enjoy the company and with a solid try could notch its 6th win in 16 starts this year.
$1.00 Late Pick 4
1,2,4,6/2,4,5,9/2,5/2
Total Bet=$32
Jeff Siegel's Del Mar Analysis - Sunday, August 29, 2021
August 29, 2021
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.
RACE 1: Post: 2:00 PT Grade: C+
Use: 3-Miss Kitness; 6-Mongolian Window
Forecast: Mongolian Winter makes a monumental trainer change to J. Wong, who’s had a slow meeting but may be starting to heat up and adds blinkers while moving up a level in this $10,000 claiming main track miler for fillies and mares. Based strictly on speed figures she’s a fit off her best race, so in an open affair she appears as good as any. Miss Kitness is likely the controlling speed and could get brave stretching out after a recent sprint tightener on grass against a much tougher field. She’s won two-turning in the past, and in a field in which the closers are highly suspect the S. Ruis-trained filly may get loose on the lead and never look back. Both should be included in rolling exotic play.
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RACE 2: Post: 2:30 PT Grade: B
Single: 4-Delta Wind
Forecast: Delta Wind didn’t leave cleanly and lost early position and her best chance when fifth in a state-bred sprint on grass earlier this month. With a better break today on the main track, the J. Sadler-trained filly should be quick enough to run her rivals off their feet. She has a history of being vulnerable in the final furlong – she blew a five-length lead when worn down late at Los Alamitos two races back – but against this modest group she should have every chance to stick it out. We’ll make her a rolling exotic single but not take too much lower than her 2-1 morning line in the win pool.
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RACE 3: Post: 3:00 PT Grade: B
Use: 2-Wound Tight; 5-Red Storm Risen; 6-Galilean
Forecast: Galilean was quite unlucky when unplaced as the favorite in a state-bred stakes over this course and distance last month. The son of Uncle Mo was blocked and shuffled back on the turn to lose valuable position, lacked a clear path entering the lane, then finished interest without having any chance to pose a threat while winding up sixth, beaten just over three lengths. He switches to U. Rispoli, and with clear sailing today he should be more than capable of making amends. Red Storm Risen produced a good late kick to win over this course and distance from a lesser allowance field last month, has trained quite well since, and looks dangerous on the raise for the hot P. D’Amato barn. First or second in six of 11 career starts, the genuine and consistent son of Stormy Atlantic likes to settle and produce a late kick and that’s the kind of trip he’ll get from J. Bravo, who stays aboard. Wound Tight, in his third start off a layoff, is most effective as the controlling speed and could be tough if he can secure that type of journey, though Sash, despite being drawn on the far outside, has plenty of early speed and may have an impact on the pace flow.
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RACE 4: Post: 3:30 PT Grade: B
Single: 1-Surely Spectacular
Forecast: Here’s a maiden claiming sprint for juvenile state-bred fillies that is loaded with first time starters. As a group, they haven’t shown a whole lot leading up to this race, so let’s settle on the proven element, Surely Spectacular. She’s had three prior runs and has displayed improvement in her speed figures in each outing, most recently finishing with interest to be second before galloping out nicely. Today, the daughter of Texas Ryano gets an extra half-furlong to work with, so if she can work out a decent trip from the rail the A. Lerner-trained filly should be along in time. At 5/2 on the morning line, we’ll make her a win play and rolling exotic single.
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RACE 5: Post: 4:00 PT Grade: C+
Use: 3-Warfront Fighter; 7-Circle Back; 8-Try to Capture
Forecast: Bottom-rung maiden $20,000 older horses sprint five and one-half furlongs, and you know it’s a weak affair when 17-race maiden Warfront Fighter looks the best of the lot. The New York invader, freshened since June, was claimed for $20,000 two races back and arrives eligible to the ship-and-win bonus money with speed figures that make him the one to beat. He’s hit the board in his last seven starts, so maybe today he can finally break through. Try to Capture has been training at San Luis Rey Downs while showing a decent series of workouts for P. Miller, so maybe he can run a bit. Purchased as a yearling for $67,000 and debuting for $20,000 is not a confidence-inspiring move, but this barn will run them where they can win and against this bunch it’s hard to imagine that he can’t at least be competitive. Circle Back hails from a clever outfit with maidens and the work tab doesn’t look half bad. We’ll toss him in.
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RACE 6: Post: 4:30 PT Grade: B+
Single: 2-Perfectionistic
Forecast: Perfectionistic encountered severe trouble in a similar sprint over this course and distance last month and did extremely well to finish as close as he did (fourth, beaten less than four lengths). By the time the field galloped out to the clubhouse turn the lightly-raced son of Vronsky was well clear in front, so today, if he can enjoy clear sailing from a stalking, second flight position the P. D’Amato-trained homebred has a chance to be along in time. At 5-1 on the morning line he offers a good gamble in the win pool and in rolling exotic play.
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RACE 7: Post: 5:00 PT Grade: B+
Use: 6-Bella Vita; 9-Big Sweep
Forecast: Bella Vita has been facing tougher foes and actually didn’t run badly last time out when forcing the pace and then weakening late after breaking through the gate prior to the start. She’s reunited with “win rider: F. Prat, shows three easy breezes since raced, and will be tough to beat if she minds her manners before they spring the latch. Big Sweep failed at even money when runner-up at this level earlier this month without apparent mishap. It was just her second start of the year, so she has a right to improve, and from her comfortable draw the M. Glatt-trained filly is guaranteed a soft stalking trip. We’ll include both in our rolling exotics with preference on top to Bella Vita.
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RACE 8: Post: 5:30 PT Grade: B-
Use: 1-Big Clare; 2-Keep Dancing; 8-She’s a Dime
Forecast:The main contention appears to be drawn inside with Big Clare and Keep Dancing, second and third, respectively, vs. similar over this course and distance earlier this month, square off again after finishing heads apart last time out. The former enjoyed a dream run while saving ground throughout and getting through at a critical stage in the final furlong while the latter trailed early, had a ton of ground to make and just ran out of room after altering course in mid-stretch. Today, whoever gets the best trip likely will win, though pace players recognizing the possibility of a race with soft early splits may find the need to include the likely controlling speed, She’s a Dime. Unproven on grass but reunited with “win rider” A. Cedillo, the D. O’Neill-trained mare has back numbers that are more than good enough to win, so at 8-1 on the morning line she may wind up being the most attractive gamble in the field.
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RACE 9: Post: 6:00 PT Grade: B+
Single: Team Merchants
Forecast: Team Merchants isn’t a stakes winner – he’s never even raced in one – but this gifted colt gets a chance at the big boys in this year’s renewal of the Shared Belief S. The son off Nyquist, highly impressive beating older horses in a recent fast, highly-rated sprint, stretches out for the first time, but the added distance shouldn’t be an issue and it wouldn’t be surprising to see him on the lead, though he certainly doesn’t need to be. The D. O’Neill-trained colt continues to impress in the a.m., and while he’s thoroughly untested against this type of competition there’s little doubt that he has that type of potential. We’ll take a stand and make him a win play and rolling exotic single.
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RACE 10: Post: 6:30 PT Grade: B
Use: 4-Aligato; 6-Sottocapo; 9-Torrid Tommy; 10-Big Summer
Forecast: Big Summer is listed at 3-1 on the morning line and looks very much like the best of the known element. In the frame in both of his starts, most recently when missing by a neck after being impeded at the break, the son of Mr. Big should have clear sailing outside in this maiden special weight grass dash for state-bred older horses. Dangerous new shooters from winning outfits include a couple of good workers from San Luis Rey Downs (Aligato) and Los Alamitos (Sotocapo), and Torrid Tommy, bred strictly for grass and also showing some ability in local works for barn that does very well with first time starters. It’s a spread race, with a number of price probabilities to finish out the day.
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Jeff Siegel's Saratoga Analysis - Sunday, August 29, 2021
August 29, 2021
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.
RACE 1: Post: 1:05 ET Grade: C
Use: 1-Moonachie; 2-High Heater
Forecast: Moonachie is listed at 4/5 on the morning line after plummeting in class to the $12,500 level despite showing good recent form in strong state-bred allowance company throughout the year. The Central Banker gelding must have problems, but if he has one good one left, he’ll beat this field. High Heater would seem on paper to be a viable alternative for those not trusting the heavy favorite. A reasonable runner-up last time out, the P. Walder-train colt has his own set of issues, having been a voided claim when second at this level last month. Rolling exotic players may choose to use the two listed above, spread deeper, or better yet pass the race.
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RACE 2: Post: 1:41 ET Grade: C+
Use: 9-Charleston Strong; 10-Everesting
Forecast: Charleston Strong shows up in a maiden claimer for the first time and should greatly appreciate the softer competition. Originally a $600,000 yearling purchase, the son of Flatter simply never panned out, but a repeat of his solid third place effort at Belmont Park sprinting on grass two runs back should be good enough to beat this field. Everesting, runner-up over this course and distance at this level earlier this month, has enough early speed to always be within range, has back numbers that make him competitive, and would seem to be the one to fear most.
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RACE 3: Post: 2:15 ET Grade: B
Use: 2-Breaking the Rules; 4-Analyze It
Forecast: Analyze It was good enough to finish a close third in the Breeders’ Cup Mile-G1 in 2018 but now, at age six, the veteran grass specialist has lost a step or two thanks to various issues that has restricted his career to just 12 lifetime outings. First or second on eight occasions and a multiple graded stakes winner, the C. Brown-trained horse was a solid runner-in a similar allowance race at Belmont Park in early June and makes his first start since following a recent series off steady drills. In a race that should produce soft early splits, he should be on or near the lead throughout. Breaking the Rules, freshened since finishing unplaced in the Pegasus World Cup Turf-G1 in January, likes to settle early and produce a late run and if he can get decent fractions to run at the son of War Front will pose a serious threat in the final furlong. He shows a prior win over the Saratoga turf course, has a work tab that should have him fit enough, and goes for a barn that has strong stats with layoff runners. Both should be included in rolling exotic play; we’ll have a few extra tickets keying Analyze It on top.
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RACE 4: Post: 2:49 ET Grade: C+
Use: 3-Too Early; 4-Bronx Bomber
Forecast: Bronx Bomber, in the money in each of his last four starts but winless in 2021, clearly is overdue for a win and has recent speed figures that make him the one to beat in this state-bred second-level allowance main track sprint. The Take Charge Indy gelding projects to settle in the second flight and then have dead aim and every chance from the quarter pole home. Too Early is just 2-for-15 in his career with nine seconds and thirds, so he, too isn’t exactly a win machine. However, he’s always liked the Saratoga main track, has the route-to-sprint angle that we like and is reunited with “win rider J. Ortiz. These are the two we’ll be using in our rolling exotics with a slight edge on top to Bronze Bomber.
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RACE 5: Post: 3:21 ET Grade: B+
Use: 1-Run for the Hills; 10-Distinctlypossible
Forecast: This appears to be a fairly decent maiden sprint for juveniles, with several well-regarded fillies scheduled to make their debuts. We’ll zero in on the two that we believe have trained the best. Distinctlypossible has been impressive enough to warrant inclusion in our Clocker’s “Primed and Ready” list and should come up a hot item at 5-1 on the morning line. The daughter of Curlin is comfortably drawn outside and based on her drills she should be quick enough to secure a good pace stalking trip and then go on with it when ready. Run for the Hills appears to have a ton of early zip and if she breaks cleanly from the rail seems certain to be on or near the lead throughout. The daughter of Runhappy is listed at 8-1 on the morning line but we’ll be surprised if she doesn’t go considerably lower. We’ll use both in our rolling exotics and then have a few extra tickets keying Distinctlypossible on top.
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RACE 6: Post: 3:55 ET Grade: B+
Use: 3-Gun Boat; 7-Pearl Earring; 10-Vagaries
Forecast: Maiden juvenile compete over a distance of ground on grass in a race that should showcase three well-regarded fillies who have been quite impressive in workouts leading up to this race. Gun Boat, a daughter of War Front, has plenty of speed and may find herself on or near the lead throughout if she’s allowed to bowl along. She’s been best of several team drills while working without pressure and seems to be an eager and precocious sort for Shug. She’ll offer good wagering value at or near her morning line of 9/2. Vagaries was scratched out of an off-the-turf race on August 18 after showing plenty of ability in a series of grass drills for C. Brown. The outside draw is of only minor concern for the Irish-bred filly, who has a solid foundation of workouts to have her plenty fit. Pearl Earring has done all of her preparation at Fair Hill and has put together a work tab that looks fairly promising. The M. Stidham barn has solid stats with debut runners, and we suspect this Godolphin homebred has plenty of ability. She looks live at 8-1 on the morning line with J. Rosario taking the call.
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RACE 7: Post: 4:29 ET Grade: C+
Use: 1-Air Show; 4-Stanhope; 5-Montauk Daddy; 12-Charlie Five O
Forecast: Here’s a messy starter’s allowance turf sprint that is wide open and extremely challenging. We’ll use four and hope to get by. Air Show is listed at 10-1 on the morning line and may be better than that. The son of Street Sense should enjoy a ground-saving trip from the rail in his first start following a $40,000 B. Bruce claim, switches to J. Rosario, and has speed figures that fit well at this level. He has an effective stalking style and should have every chance to produce a winning late kick. Montauk Daddy crushed a softer restricted claiming field in an off-the-turf dash last week and is wheeled back on short rest by R. Atras following that career top victory. His record on turf is spotty but he has a few races on the lawn that look okay, so if he can shake loose again he could be tough to catch right back. Stanhope, second off the claim for Rudy and remaining protected in a sign of confidence, turns back from a route, retains I. Ortiz, Jr., and should be prominent throughout. At 8-1 on the morning line he’s quite usable. Charlie Five O, a $35,000 M. Maker claim eight days ago, has rising numbers and plenty of early speed. It’ll be interesting to see if he can improve even more in his first try on grass.
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RACE 8: Post: 5:05 ET Grade: X
Use: 2-Beau Liam; 4-Night Time
Forecast: Undefeated Beau Liam made hard work of it when nosing out a first-level allowance field here last month at even money, but the number came up giant – stakes level for sure – so the son of Liam’s Map will be a heavy favorite once again while moving up a notch on the conditioned allowance class ladder. The S. Asmussen-trained colt is listed at 4/5 on the morning line and based on his speed figures looks every bit of that on pure form. Night Time might be worth including as a backup or a saver. The hard-hitting son of Majesticperfection earned a career top number when missing by a nose in a similar sprint early this month and projects to fold into an ideal stalking position and have his chance to fire his best shot. He’ll need another forward move to worry the favorite but if nothing else looks like a logical exacta partner.
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RACE 9: Post: 5:39 ET Grade: B
Use: 1-Ranger Fox; 7-Straw Into Gold
Forecast: Ranger Fox was quite impressive breaking his maiden at Belmont Park last month. He was scratched August 6 but worked two days later and today the son of Nyquist moves up into restricted stakes competition in this inner turf miler for 3-year-olds. The J. Terranova-trained colt most likely will employ a stalking style in his first try around two turns and with numbers that have risen with each outing this promising sophomore looks ready to step forward with a major effort. Straw Into Gold was victimized somewhat by a wide trip and ran a bit better than the line will show when a close fifth in a first-level allowance state bred event over this course and distance last month. The son of Hard Spun seems likely to settle into a second flight position and then produce his best bid when the field straightens for home. He’s only had five starts (with two wins) and should have further improvement in him.
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RACE 10: Post: 6:13 ET Grade: C+
Use: 1-Count Down; 4-Girl Dad; 6-Chulainn; 8-Made My Day
Forecast: The finale is another highly-challenging starter’s allowance affair in which nothing would surprise. Count Down, a $40,000 Rudy claim last month, stretches out, lands the rail, switches to I. Ortiz, Jr., and is certain to employ gate to wire tactics. He’s never won around two turns, though he’s performed well enough routing on a few occasion, so if he can produce a forward move for his new connections the son of More Than Ready might spring a surprise at 8-1 on the morning line. Made My Day and Chulainn, third and fifth, respectively, in a similar affair earlier this month, both ran well enough to be considered dangerous, while Girl Dad switches to L. Saez and may be the most dangerous of the deep threats.
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Jerry Shottenkirk: My Late Pick 4 Ticket Sunday at Gulfstream
August 29, 2021 | By Jerry Shottenkirk
Fillies and mares are featured in the 10th race on Gulfstream Park’s card on Sunday, and the top two finishers are back, but a third runner has a great opportunity to make some amends.
It’s the third leg of the Late Pick 4, and Choose Joy and Cat’s Astray fought it out to the wire and finished 1-2 last time they met. Meanwhile, Reinagol was well played in that race, but was tardy at the start and was stuck in traffic, and those two things make it difficult at five furlongs on the turf – the same situation they’ll face today.
This Sunday’s suggested Late Pick 4 play amounts to $72, and here’s a look at the players:
8th Race (4:48 p.m. ET, claiming)
AFFICIONADO will be favored off his last start and lightly will be the one to beat as she turns back to five furlongs after going two turns. She’s likely to find with some energy and looks like she could get past the speedsters that are common at this distance.
She's been solid in two of her last three and can again be a handful at this level.
However, there are legit options here, in case she can kept up with the faster pace and can forward the required kick.
Others on the ticket: REAL DOOZIE, HEIR BALL, THE GREAT KATH.
9th Race (5:22 p.m. ET, maiden special weight)
BACKATYA was fifth on the turf and moves over to the main track, which was the comfort zone for his sire, Mucho Macho Man. The colt has been out twice, and he finished sixth in a dirt sprint and fifth going two turns on grass.
He had a good half-mile work last week and looks ready for his best go at it.
Others on the ticket: CALIFORNIA FROLIC, STRIKE HARD.
10th Race (5:56 p.m. ET, handicap)
REINAGOL was favored vs. many of these last time but drew the rail, didn’t reach well, and was shuffled back. With an outside post, she’ll be able to keep a good position just off the leaders and can make a strong run at her speedy friends.
The top two finishers in the last handicap are back and will be tough, but this one, with a little luck, has a good chance to make amends.
Others on the ticket: CHOOSE JOY, CAT’S ASTRAY.
11th Race (6:30 p.m. ET, maiden claiming)
RUSSIAN TO WIN takes a drop from maiden special weight to maiden claiming and is a good bet to improve off his only start.
He showed speed, then retreated and finished a well-beaten sixth. Since that time she has forward three good works and is likely to dig in and finish much better than last time.
This race is full of 2-year-olds that are eligible to improve as many of them also are making the step down from the top maiden level.
Others on the ticket: MR MAC QUHAE, HEY HIGH POCKETS, CHROME’SRISINGSUN.
Gulfstream Park 50-cent Late Pick 4:
8) #4 Afficionado, #6 Real Doozie, #7 Heir Ball, #12 The Great Kath.
9) #4 Backatya, #6 California Frolic, #9 Strike Hard.
10) #6 Choose Joy, #7 Cat’s Astray, #9 Reinagol.
11) #1 Mr Mac Quhae, #2 Hey High Pockets, #6 Russian to Win, #7 Chrome’srisingsun.
Ticket: 4-6-7-12 with 4-6-9 with 6-7-9 with 1-2-6-7 ($72).
Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks
Mountaineer - Race #1
Mountaineer - Race #2
Picks Notes #8 Knockholt Probably isn't going to offer much by way of price, but there isn't much finishing ability signed on in here, and there also is not much past turf success. This guy at least checks some boxes. #4 Texas Gano He's another one who can be finishing with some energy, and he has been in with a couple of decent groups in recent starts. Chance. #6 Golddigger's Dream He has a little bit of pace while trying turf and two turns for the first time, and he might be able to flash some pace and stick around for a piece at a price. Race Summary Knockholt returned off a long layoff with a couple of decent efforts that both stack up nicely with this group. and maybe this third start off the break brings out a winning effort.
Mountaineer - Race #7
Picks Notes #9 Voyant There are some turf influences on both sides of the pedigree, so this guy might have some upside while stretching out on the grass for the first time. Price might be right. #4 Cask No doubt he's the one to beat, but he has had 11 chances and tends to settle for underneath slices. He has a right to be tough off a decent local debut, but he's sure to be overbet. #1 Moon of Royalty Longshot has shown little through four starts, but there are some turf route leans in the pedigree that might allow him to wake up at a big number. Race Summary Voyant might be the right one to try and beat Cask, who figures tough at a short price off his recent races but is starting to run out of excuses.
Picks Notes #3 Sugar Bolt She wasn't beaten badly by the chalk when they met a couple starts ago, and her short dashing ability might be enough to land this at something like a second choice's price. #4 Opeongo Speedy player is tough at this kind of trip, but the price is going to be super short, and the top choice only has a neck to turn on this one. #5 Tel Aviv Might be best used underneath, and she was not a super serious threat to Opeongo when they met recently. Probably needs a bit of luck and a misfire or two. Race Summary Sugar Bolt might be the right one to use to try and beat Opeongo, who we know is tough at this trip but didn't handle 'Bolt by much when they last met.
Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks
Del Mar - Race #3
Del Mar - Race #6
Picks Notes #1 Ready Soul Finished willingly for fourth in his first over the course, turns back to a shorter race and will benefit from following a much faster pace than in his latest. #3 Count of Amazonia Didn't do a lot of running in his first U.S. start but ran well on occasion in Great Britain; keeps Victor Espinoza, which is a good sign. #3 Wound Tight Likes to play it close to the action toward the front and can get the lead if asked; usually right in the ballpark. Race Summary Ready Soul rallied against a slow pace last out and can get a much better pace setup here.
Del Mar - Race #9
Picks Notes #2 Perfectionistic Has a good late kick and was fourth in his latest; can improve in his second over the course and will come running strongly. #4 Grit and Curiousity Was up in time vs. claimed last out and takes a slight step up in class; can step within a length or two much of the way and is a legit threat. #8 McWherter Has speed and can get a good outside run away from congestion; probably won't get that much play and is an upset threat in his first off the claim for DeLeon. Race Summary Perfectionistic does well when he can follow a sizzling pace, and he could get there here; can get the jump on other closers.
Picks Notes #3 Rock Your World Really backed out of the Kentucky Derby and Belmont but was unbeaten in three starts being making that initial move to Churchill. Reunites with jockey Rispoli, who was aboard all three wins. #2 Medina Spirit Was first under the wire in the Kentucky Derby, then followed with a third in the Preakness; has had a bit of a break and can come back strongly here, although this is a strong event without being graded. #6 Stilleto Boy Went wire to wire in the Iowa Derby and most recently tired last in the grassy G3 LaJolla here; capable of contesting or making the pace and looks like he has a good chance for third behind these heavy hitters. Race Summary Rock Your World was roughed up in the Triple Crown races, was given some time off, and has trained well for his return. Expect a return to good form.
BATTAGLIA : Free Play for Sunday
SARATOGA
Race 9
Selections 8-7-5-1 rating 2 stars
#8 Sifting Sands-came off a three month layoff and rallied to get the score over this course last out. He cuts back in distance and that will help his chances for a repeat.
#7 Straw Into Gold-missed by only a length and ¾ last out in his first start over this course. He keeps I.Ortiz and is the one to beat.
#5 Dreamer’s Disease-opened up a 5 length lead late but got nailed in the final strides and missed by a neck while finishing second. He will be a big price, will show speed and could hang on for a piece.
#1 Ranger Fox-drew off to break his maiden by 5 last out and should run into the payoffs.
Rk Sports Services Free Sports Picks Place A Bet 1. NSA(The Legend) MLB – Diamondbacks +155 Line @ Bovada 2. Gameday Network MLB – Pirates +145 Line @ Bovada 3. Sports Action 365 MLB – Reds -165 Line @ GT Bets 4. Vegas Line Crushers MLB – Rays -1.5 Line @ GT Bets 5. VegasSI.com MLB – Red Sox over 9.5 Line @ Bovada 6. PointSpreadReport.com(SAM CASEY) MLB – White Sox -1.5 Line @ MyBookie 7. Winning Big Sports MLB – Twins +135 Line @ MyBookie 8. NSA(Gerry “Big Cat” Andino) MLB – Yankees over 9 Line @ Bovada 9. Lou Panelli MLB – Red Sox over 9.5 Line @ Bovada 10. VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club MLB – Nationals +150 Line @ GT Bets 11. William E. Stockton MLB – Diamondbacks under 8.5 Line @ MyBookie 12. Vincent Pioli MLB – Pirates +145 Line @ Bovada 13. Steve “Scoop” Kendall MLB – Reds under 8 Line @ Bovada 14. SCORE MLB – Astros -1.5 Line @ GT Bets 15. Tony Campone MLB – Royals +135 Line @ Bovada 16. Chicago Sports Group MLB – Twins +135 Line @ Bovada 17. Hollywood Sportsline MLB – Astros -1.5 Line @ Bovada 18. VIP Action MLB – Red Sox over 9.5 Line @ GT Bets 19. South Beach Sports MLB – Nationals +150 Line @ Bovada 20. Las Vegas Sports Commission MLB – Diamondbacks +155 Line @ Bovada 21. NY Players Club MLB – Rays -1.5 Line @ GT Bets 22. Fred Callahan MLB – Reds -165 Line @ Bovada 23. Las Vegas Private CEO Club MLB – Yankees -140 Line @ MyBookie 24. Michigan Sports MLB – Twins +135 Line @ GT Bets 25. National Consensus Report MLB – White Sox -1.5 Line @ Bovada
DMR - 08/29/21 First Post: 2:00pm PT
================================================== ==============
__________________________________________________ ______________________
1. - 1. Paige Runner, 3.=Miss Kitness, 6. Mongolian Window, 5. It's A Riddle
__________________________________________________ ______________________
2. - 4.=Delta Wind, 2. So Very Smart, 6. Kitten's Kid, 5. Nan Elizabeth
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3.(T) 2. Wound Tight, 6.=Galilean, 5. Red Storm Risen, 1. Ready Soul
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4. - 2. Smart Monique, 1.=Surely Spectacular, 11. Sue Ettas Ghost, 10. Allwinedup
Careful, 55% First Starters (FS)
__________________________________________________ ______________________
5. - 3.=Warfront Fighter, 1. Careless Kitten, 13. Diamond Ranger, 14. Cant Stop This Man
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6.(T) 4.=Grit And Curiosity, 3. Mesut, 9. Jamming Eddy, 2. Perfectionistic
__________________________________________________ ______________________
7. - 9. Big Sweep, 6.=Bella Vita, 4. Queengol, 1. Livingmybestlife
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8.(T) 4. Warrens Candy Girl, 1.=Big Clare, 14. Nice Ice, 6. Lena's Big Day
__________________________________________________ ______________________
9. - 2.=Medina Spirit, 3. Rock Your World, 4. Team Merchants, 5. The Great One
__________________________________________________ ______________________
10.(T) 10.=Big Summer, 2. Crash Corrigan, 12. Wearenotbadpeople, 11. Va Va Voom
================================================== ==============
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Ruidoso Downs
Ruidoso Downs - Race 1 Claiming $5,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 63 • Purse: $14,800 • Post: 1:00P FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
Horse
Line
Odds
Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. NO DOUBT is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * NO DOUBT: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. F S POSITRACK: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. CHROMATIC JAZZ: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. NO DOUBT F S POSITRACK CHROMATIC JAZZ
Line
Class
Speed
FigureNO DOUBT Front-runner DIABOLICAL TURN Front-runner F S POSITRACK Front-runner CHROMATIC JAZZ Front-runner SMOOTH BLUES Stalker MY CRAZY SISTER Stalker CAUSING CHAOS Alternator/Stalker MICKEYS GOLD Alternator/Stalker KABULL Alternator/Non-contender
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Gillespie County Fairground
Gillespie County Fairground - Race 1 Maiden Claiming $7,500 • 350 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 65 • Purse: $11,000 • Post: 1:00P QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR ACCREDITED TEXAS BRED MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
Horse
Line
Odds
Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * BOKOLOGY: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. S PLASH OF EISENHEIM: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. BOKOLOGY SPLASH OF EISENHEIM
Line
Class
Speed
FigureHEAVENLY SECRETS Average FELONY FASHION Slow/Trouble-prone FLYIN SOUTH Slow TRES FERRARIS Slow SPLASH OF EISENHEIM Fast EASTER FOOLS Average AMERICAN HOSTILE Slow KOOL MISTRESS Average CRB TERESITA Average BOKOLOGY Slow
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Prairie Meadows
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Maiden - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $14201 Class Rating: 67
QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR REGISTERED STATE BRED MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES 
# 6 CORONA KEN 7/5
# 5 VALS SIZZLING LIPS 5/2
# 3 FLY IVORY FLY 6/1
CORONA KEN looks to be a decent contender. Has been racing solidly and has among the strongest speed in the race for today's distance. His 58 average has this gelding with among the most competitive speed figures for this event. Could best this group based on the Equibase Speed Figure - 61 - of his last contest. VALS SIZZLING LIPS - Amaya's ROI over the last 30 days automatically makes this horse a sharp contender. With a nice class fig average of 72, has one of the most favorable class advantages in this group of horses. FLY IVORY FLY - Has some interesting handicapping angles which make this entrant a play.
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Golden Gate Fields - Race #4 - Post: 3:25pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $30,000 Class Rating: 70
Rating:
#1 VINNIEBOB (ML=3/1)
#6 NUESTRO ENGREIDO (ML=4/1)
#3 CRYSTAL BANDIT (ML=8/1)
VINNIEBOB - The most dangerous animal in racing is the lone speed horse. If they let him get away early they probably won't catch him. I like that latest outing on Aug 15th at Golden Gate Fields where he ended up third. This horse has increased his speed ratings in each of the last 2 races. That kind of progress is worth taking note of. NUESTRO ENGREIDO - Antongeorgi is up for another contest today after getting on board this animal for the first ride on August 15th and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. CRYSTAL BANDIT - Colt is a few starts into a comeback here. Should give a big race today.
Vulnerable Contenders: #7 IL BELLATOR (ML=2/1), #5 SLOOP JOHN B (ML=9/2),
IL BELLATOR - This mount will probably be way back as this group crosses the wire. SLOOP JOHN B - No early speed in this event to help this stretch-runner's efforts.
STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #1 VINNIEBOB to win if we can get at least 3/1 odds EXACTA WAGERS: Box [1,3]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:Box [1,3,6] Total Cost: $6 SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [1,3,6] with [1,3,6] with [1,3,4,5,6] with [1,3,4,5,6] Total Cost: $36
SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:None
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Ferndale
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 4 - Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6500 Class Rating: 63
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES # 5 LEAD ACTRESS 9/5
# 3 RACHEL'S LADY 8/5
# 2 WAHASHA 5/1
I like LEAD ACTRESS here. Ran a strong last race. She has formidable class ratings, averaging 63, and has to be given a shot in this contest. Have to take notice when any horse makes a quick turn around. RACHEL'S LADY - Has very good Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a wager for this event. Is a solid contender - given the 61 speed rating from her most recent race. WAHASHA - Exhibits the look of a money-making play, averaging a solid 54 speed rating which is one of the strongest in this group. Herrera will almost certainly be able to get this filly to break out quickly in this race.
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Timonium - Race #1 - Post: 12:40pm - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $17,000 Class Rating: 66
Rating:
#2 MISS MORENO (ML=4/1)
#5 MEET MICHELLE (ML=1/1)
MISS MORENO - A big drop in Equibase class figure points from her August 1st race at Pimlico. Based on that info, I will give this thoroughbred the advantage. This jock and conditioner have a favorable ROI when they team up. MEET MICHELLE - The 63 last race speed rating looks good in the TrackMaster PPs. D'Angelo brings her back again. I recommend you stick with this strong filly. That last race at 6 furlongs was too short. She'll love the added distance today.
Vulnerable Contenders: #6 MOONLIGHT MISS (ML=3/1), #1 R V TREASURE (ML=8/1),
MOONLIGHT MISS - A pattern of lessening Equibase speed figures 47/22/6 for this mount. R V TREASURE - Tough to wager on any horse to turn things around if there is no reward to taking the chance.
GUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - MISS MORENO - Consider this. Finished sixth on the soft turf last time out. With better footing today, I'd expect a 20 to 25 pct improvement in class ability.
STRAIGHT WAGERS: Play #2 MISS MORENO to win if you can get odds of 3/2 or more EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:Skip SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip
Ultimate
Race 1: 5 It’s a Riddle
Race 2: 2 So Very Smart
Race 3: 5 Red Storm Risen
Race 4: 2 Smart Monique
The following 6 races are part of today’s Del Mar Pick 6
Race 5: 8 Try to Capture
Race 6: 9 Jamming Eddy
Race 7: 2 Melting Snow
Race 8: 7 Bella D
Race 9: 2 Medina Spirit
Race 10: 2 Crash Corrigan
Pedictem
Del Mar Picks for Sunday, August 29, 2021
RACE 1
1. Paige Runner
2. Mongolian Window
3. A J Rock
RACE 2
1. Delta Wind
2. Kitten’s Kid
3. So Very Smart
RACE 3
1. Ready Soul
2. Galilean
3. Wound Tight
RACE 4
1. Surely Spectacular
2. Smart Monique
3. Workin Ninetofive
RACE 5
1. Warfront Fighter
2. Try to Capture
3. Circle Back
RACE 6
1. Grit and Curiosity
2. Mesut
3. Perfectionist
RACE 7
1. Big Sweep
2. Bella Vita
3. Livingmybestlife
RACE 8
1. Big Clare
2. Bella D
3. Keep Dancing
RACE 9
1. Rock Your World
2. Medina Spirit
3. The Great One
RACE 10
1. Big Summer
2. Crash Corrigan
3. Sottocapo
Good Luck!
Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park
08/29/21, GP, Race 2, 1.24 ET
08/29/21,GP,2,5F [Turf] 00:53:03 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $65,000 (includes up to $10,000 FHBPA-FOA - FHBPA Florida Owners Awards). FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 118 lbs. (If deemed inadvisable to run this race over the turf course, it will be run on the main track at Five Furlongs) (Rail at 36 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 30.00, ROI 1.02/$1
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI 100.0000 6 Mr. Extension 8/1 Olivero C Avila Juan Carlos FEL 49 48.98 1.50/$1 098.5006 1 Chiquito Baby 30/1 Morelos J E Avila Juan Carlos SC 212 35.85 1.23/$1 098.0318 10 Golden Soda 3/1 Camacho S Fawkes David T 55 41.82 1.34/$1 097.9170 2 Gone Nuts 7/2 Jaramillo E Casse Mark E. J 49 48.98 1.50/$1 096.7775 11 Impetuous Soul 8/1 Meneses M Gonzalez Oscar M. 55 41.82 1.34/$1 095.1743 3 No Nay Franklin (IRE) 5/2 Maragh R R Biancone Patrick L. 49 48.98 1.50/$1 095.1733 12 Eyokile 6/1 Torres C A Delgado Gustavo 55 41.82 1.34/$1 094.6150 7 Poseidon's Son 30/1 Ramirez M R Negrete Javier W 49 48.98 1.50/$1 094.5993 5 Shirley's Sherman 30/1 Gonzales J J Ramirez Luis M. 212 35.85 1.23/$1 094.4008 8 Akingisalwaysking 12/1 Reyes L Sano Antonio 49 48.98 1.50/$1 093.4803 4 Nerve 15/1 Zayas E J Plesa. Jr. Edward 212 35.85 1.23/$1 091.3126 9 Unique Time 15/1 Rios J M Sano Antonio 212 35.85 1.23/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.4994
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf MdnMClm] Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance 5f Or 5 1/2f
If Race Is Off Turf
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 28.17, ROI 0.68/$1
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI 100.0000 6 Mr. Extension 8/1 Olivero C Avila Juan Carlos SFEL 108 37.96 1.29/$1 095.7604 8 Akingisalwaysking 12/1 Reyes L Sano Antonio 136 36.03 1.18/$1 095.5200 2 Gone Nuts 7/2 Jaramillo E Casse Mark E. J 64 39.06 1.32/$1 094.7828 10 Golden Soda 3/1 Camacho S Fawkes David T 64 39.06 1.32/$1 094.1279 4 Nerve 15/1 Zayas E J Plesa. Jr. Edward 41 48.78 1.72/$1 093.7099 12 Eyokile 6/1 Torres C A Delgado Gustavo 64 39.06 1.32/$1 093.6924 5 Shirley's Sherman 30/1 Gonzales J J Ramirez Luis M. 41 48.78 1.72/$1 093.6525 11 Impetuous Soul 8/1 Meneses M Gonzalez Oscar M. 64 39.06 1.32/$1 092.9695 3 No Nay Franklin (IRE) 5/2 Maragh R R Biancone Patrick L. 64 39.06 1.32/$1 092.1907 7 Poseidon's Son 30/1 Ramirez M R Negrete Javier W 64 39.06 1.32/$1 090.2219 9 Unique Time 15/1 Rios J M Sano Antonio 41 48.78 1.72/$1 085.7370 1 Chiquito Baby 30/1 Morelos J E Avila Juan Carlos C 41 48.78 1.72/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -4.2396
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Best Speed
Mikey Sports MLB CHICAGO WHITE SOX ‑1.5 ‑105 1 1 -10 Hottie4Sports MLB MINNESOTA TWINS u10 2 2 -50 Tommy King Wins NFL LAS VEGAS RAIDERS/SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS o36 2 2 -80 Ace / Sleeper Selections No pick yet 0 1 -110 Winning Cappers No pick yet 0 1 -125 Pure Lock MLB TAMPA BAY RAYS ‑1.5 ‑135 0 1 -145 Vegas Investment Picks No pick yet 0 1 -155 Joe Wiz MLB MILWAUKEE BREWERS ‑140 1 3 -220 GreenTreeSports No pick yet 0 2 -240 FURBOOKIE No pick yet 1 2 -270 Assassin Sports Betting No pick yet 0 2 -430 The Money Team Wins Sports MLB KANSAS CITY ROYALS +145 0 4 -440
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