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Thread: Service Plays Tuesday 8/24/21

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    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Martin Green

    Ludogorets vs. Malmo (Tuesday, 3 p.m. ET)

    Both teams to score -143 (one unit)
    Ludogorets draw no bet -137 (half unit)
    Ludogorets to win 2-1 +850 (half unit)

    PSV Eindhoven vs. Benfica (Tuesday, 3 p.m. ET)

    Both teams to score -137 (one unit)
    Benfica +0.5 -125 (one unit)

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    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    bet-my-ticket
    Brentford – Forest Green : Over 2.5 @ 1.60
    Shrewsbury – Rochdale : Over 1.5 @ 1.28
    Total Odds : 2.04

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    james-martingale
    CHILE: Primera B
    Barnechea – Cobreloa
    Second Half : Over 1.5 Goals
    Odds : 2.40 / 1 units

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    teamronaldinho
    UK : EFL Cup
    Morecambe – Preston
    Preston Over 1.5 @ 2.00

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    both-to-score
    EGYPT : Premier League
    Wadi Degla – Ceramica Cleopatra
    Both to score : YES @ 1.90

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    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    SportsLine Projection Model

    Pick: Mariners +1.5 (-150)
    The Mariners cover in 63 percent of simulations

    Over-Under

    Pick: Under 8.5
    The model is projecting 7.7 total runs

    Money Line

    Pick: Athletics -153
    The Athletics win in 63 percent of simulations

    Projected final score: Athletics 4.2, Mariners 3.5

  8. #8
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    MLB Sharp Action

    7:05 p.m. ET: Tampa Bay Rays (77-48) at Philadelphia Phillies (63-61)

    This 2008 World Series rematch features a pair of Interleague foes looking to solidify their postseason positioning. The Rays sit in first place atop the AL East but need to keep winning with the Yankees hot on their trail (only 4 games back). Meanwhile, the Phillies are 4.5-games back in the NL East and 5-games back of the 2nd Wild Card spot. In tonight's series opener, the Rays trot out righty Drew Rasmussen (1-0, 3.30 ERA) and the Phillies rebuttal with lefty Ranger Suarez (5-4, 1.47 ERA). This line opened at a virtual pick'em with both sides listed at roughly -105 odds. Respected money has pounced on the Rays, steaming Tampa Bay up to a -115 road favorite. Non-division favorites receiving 10-cents of steam or more are 250-158 (61%) this season. Tampa Bay just beat the White Sox 9-0. Road favorites off a big win of 5-runs or more are 81-43 (65%). Short road favorites -150 or less off a win are 139-94 (60%). Tampa Bay is 2-0 against Philadelphia this season. Pros have also hit this under, jumping on the under 9.5 with the hook and steaming the total down to 9.

    7:10 p.m. ET: Texas Rangers (43-81) at Cleveland Indians (61-61)

    These non-division opponents are trending in opposite directions. The Rangers own the third worst record in MLB, ahead of only the Diamondbacks and Orioles. Texas is just 4-14 over their last 18 games. Meanwhile, the Indians just swept the Angels and are now 5-2 over their last seven games. Cleveland is eight games back of the second Wild Card spot in the AL. In tonight's series opener, Texas hands the ball to lefty Taylor Hearn (2-4, 3.97 ERA) and Cleveland counters with righty Eli Morgan (2-5, 5.80 ERA). This line opened with the Indians listed as a -150 home favorite and the Rangers a + 140 road dog. Pros have gotten down hard on the Tribe, steaming Cleveland up from -150 to -165. Non-division home favorites are 404-252 (62%) this season. Sweet spot non-division home favorites between -150 and -175 are 88-47 (65%), This is also a "schedule spot" advantage for Cleveland, who was off yesterday while the Rangers played (and lost 8-4) to the Red Sox. Rested favorites vs teams on a back-to-back are 58-35 (62%). Cleveland is 35-18 as a favorite this season. Texas is 34-69 as a dog. The Indians are 32-27 at home. The Rangers are 15-47 on the road.

    8:10 p.m. ET: Cincinnati Reds (69-57) at Milwaukee Brewers (76-49)

    Both of these NL Central rivals enter on hot streaks, having gone 7-3 over their last ten games. The first place Brewers just took two of three against the Nats while the Reds just swept the Marlins. Cincinnati trails Milwaukee by 7.5-games in the division but currently occupies the 2nd NL Wild Card spot, leading the Padres by one game. In tonight's series opener, Cincinnati sends out righty Tyler Mahle (10-4, 3.78 ERA) and Milwaukee starts ace righty Corbin Burnes (8-4, 2.13 ERA). This line opened with the Brewers listed as a -175 home favorite and the Reds a + 160 road dog. The public is somewhat split on who to back, yet we've seen the Brewers shoot up from -175 to -185. This signals some wiseguy money backing the home favorite Brew Crew. Big home favorites -150 or more coming off a day off are 54-31 (64%) this season. Home favorites off a win are 431-274 (61%). We could also be looking at a lower-scoring game in this one. The total is 7.5 and the public says "easy over" with such a low total. However, the line has remained frozen at 7.5 and the juice is trending under (-115).

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    JIMMY ADAMS


    Game: (965) Los Angeles Angels at (966) Baltimore Orioles
    Date/Time: Aug 24 2021 7:05 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
    Play Rating: 4%
    Play: Los Angeles Angels -125 Action

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    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    XS Sports Picks Executive Top Play Program

    MLB:

    5 LA Angels -1.5 +110

    4 Cincinnati +175


    MLB (Regular Picks):

    4 Seattle +126

    3 Philadelphia +104

    3 NY Mets Under 8.5 -111

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    Docs

    PSV +100 (6U)

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    Jason Sharpe

    Giants -105 (4U)

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    Allen Eastman

    Diamondbacks -120 (7U)
    Nationals -110 (2U)

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    Vernon Croy

    Mariners +120 (4U)

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    The Prez

    4% - Toronto Blue Jays, Action

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    Jeff Hochman

    CHI. WHITE SOX @ TORONTO | 08/24 | 7:07 PM EDT
    TORONTO -125
    ANALYSIS: Toronto will start right-hander Jose Berrios (8-6, 3.52 ERA) on Tuesday. Obtained from the Twins last month, he has faced the White Sox three times this season, going 0-2 with a 4.50 ERA. In 20 career starts against the White Sox, he is 12-4 with a 2.91 ERA. More importantly, Berrios is 3-0 with a 0.35 ERA at Rogers Center since 2018. He's holding hitters to a .191 batting average there.

    +636 13-6 IN LAST 19 MLB PICKS
    +305 4-1 IN LAST 5 CHW ML PICKS
    11:37 AM

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    Tony George

    4 Units- #975 / #976 Tampa Bay / Philly (Under 9.5) *7 EST

    4 Units - #957 Colorado (-130) vs Chicago Cubs *8 EST

    4 Units - #951 Arizona 1st 5 innings (-130) vs Pittsburgh *7 EST

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    Pure Lock

    10* Seattle Storm -3.5
    10* Cincinnati Reds +175

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    Elite Sports Picks

    St. Louis (Flaherty) -1.5 runs -105 over Detroit (Mize)

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    Insider Sports Report

    4* Arizona (Bumgarner) -115 over Pittsburgh (Brubaker)
    Range: +100 to -140

    3* Cleveland (Morgan) -150 over Texas (Hearn)
    Range: -135 to -175

    3* Houston (Garcia) -1.5 runs -125 over Kansas City (Singer)
    Range: -110 to -150

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