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Thread: Service Plays Wednesday 8/25/21

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    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Tokyo Brandon

    (304161) Yokohama Baystars at (304162) Hanshin Tigers
    Game: (304161) Yokohama Baystars at (304162) Hanshin Tigers
    Date/Time: Aug 25 2021 5:00 AM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
    Play Rating: 1%
    Play: 1H Hanshin Tigers -130

    The Hanshin Tigers have the SP and lineup advantages here but the bullpen is trash. Rookie SP Ito has been gold and is 3-0 with a 1.20 ERA vs Yokohama which his counterpart, Ohnuki has been good but not as good. Yokohama has a pretty good lineup as well so make this a small 1% play on the Hanshin Tigers 1st 5 money line.

    Game: (304167) Chunichi Dragons at (304168) Yakult Swallows
    Date/Time: Aug 25 2021 5:00 AM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
    Play Rating: 4%
    Play: 1H Yakult Swallows -0.5 (-110)

    Yakult is the best 1st 5 hitting team in the league and they have crushed Chunichi SP Matsuba game after game. Yakult SP Ishikawa is as old as dirt but he has a 0.80 WHIP and has held Chunichi in his two starts against them good enough for a 1.64 ERA. Chuncihi is also the worst-hitting team in the league. Take Yakult on the 1st 5 innings run line for anything -130 or better. Right now it is at -110 at Pinnacle.

    (304167) Chunichi Dragons at (304168) Yakult Swallows
    Game: (304167) Chunichi Dragons at (304168) Yakult Swallows
    Date/Time: Aug 25 2021 5:00 AM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
    Play Rating: 1%
    Play: Total Under 8.5 (-105)

    My numbers have this game at 7.4. These teams together are 12-3 to the under this season. Take the Under 8.5.

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    Martin Green

    Monaco vs. Shakhtar (Wednesday, 3 p.m. ET)

    Shakhtar draw no bet +100 (one unit)
    Both teams to score -137 (one unit)

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    Martin Green

    Here are the 2021 Champions League qualifier picks from Martin Green (posted Tuesday):

    Dinamo Zagreb vs. Sheriff Tiraspol (Wednesday, 3 p.m. ET)

    Over 2.5 goals (-150)
    Both teams to score (+100)
    Dinamo Zagreb to win and 2 or more goals in the match -162 (one unit)

    Brondby vs. RB Salzburg (Wednesday, 3 p.m. ET)

    Salzburg to win and 2 or more goals in the match -150 (one unit)
    Salzburg -1.5 +125 (one unit)

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    Stephen Oh

    DETROIT @ ST. LOUIS | 08/25 | 1:15 PM EDT
    UNDER 9
    ANALYSIS: First game of Wednesday and a scheduled matchup of lefties in Detroit's Tarik Skubal and the Cards' Jon Lester. Nearly 60 percent of my model simulations forecast the total to finish Under 9 runs. The Under is 4-0-1 in both teams' past five against a southpaw starter.

    +600 6-0 IN LAST 6 MLB O/U PICKS
    +96 9-7 IN LAST 16 STL O/U PICKS
    9:29 PM

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    SportsLine's Projection Model

    DETROIT TIGERS AT ST. LOUIS CARDINALS | 8/25 | 1:15 P.M. ET

    Against the Spread

    Pick: Tigers +1.5 (-145)
    The Tigers cover in 63 percent of simulations

    Over-Under

    Pick: Under 9
    The model is projecting 8.2 total runs

    Money Line

    Pick: Cardinals -145
    The Cardinals win in 62 percent of simulations

    Projected final score: Cardinals 4.4, Tigers 3.8

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    MLB

    NL games
    Colorado (57-68) @ Cubs (55-72)
    — Marquez is 3-1, 4.84 in his last four starts.
    — Rockies are 15-10 in his starts.
    — under 7-3 last ten
    — allowed run in first inning: 4-25
    — record in first 5 innings: 15-9-1
    — He is 1-2, 6.66 in five starts vs Chicago.

    — Gomber is 1-2, 6.75 in his last four starts.
    — Rockies are 11-10 in his starts.
    — over 5-0 last five
    — allowed run in first inning: 6-21
    — record in first 5 innings: 12-7-2
    — He gave up 6 runs in 8.2 IP in six games (1 start) vs Chicago.

    — Colorado won six of last nine games.
    — Rockies are 43-22 at home, 14-46 on road.
    — under 5-2 last seven road games.
    — scored run in first inning: 43-125
    — record in first 5 innings: 52-57-16

    — Steele is 0-2, 5.00 in two starts.
    — Cubs are 0-2 in his starts.
    — over 1-1
    — allowed run in first inning: 0-2
    — record in first 5 innings: 0-2
    — He hasn’t pitched against Colorado.

    — Davies is 0-4, 9.38 in his last five starts.
    — Cubs are 1-9 in his last ten starts.
    — over 5-1-1 last seven
    — allowed run in first inning: 6-26
    — record in first 5 innings: 9-12-5
    — He is 4-3, 4.57 in eight starts vs Colorado.

    — Cubs are 13-39 in last 52 games.
    — Chicago lost 13 of last 14 home games.
    — Under is 5-3 in last eight games.
    — scored run in first inning: 35-127
    — record in first 5 innings: 49-64-14

    Arizona (42-85) @ Pittsburgh (46-80)
    — Gilbert is 1-0,2.57 in his first two MLB starts.
    — Arizona is 1-1 in his starts.
    — under 1-1
    — allowed run in first inning: 0-2
    — record in first 5 innings: 1-1
    — He hasn’t pitched against Pittsburgh

    — Arizona is 7-5 in last 12 games.
    — Arizona is 4-13 in its last 17 road games.
    — under 8-5-2 last 15 games
    — scored run in first inning: 17-127
    — record in first 5 innings: 50-66-11

    — Keller is 1-4, 5.73 in his last five starts.
    — Pirates are 6-11 in his starts.
    — over 6-1 last seven
    — allowed run in first inning: 8-17
    — record in first 5 innings: 5-9-3
    — He hasn’t pitched against Arizona.

    — Pirates are 10-28 in last 38 games.
    — Pittsburgh is 3-6 in last nine home games.
    — under 7-2-1 last ten games
    — scored run in first inning: 30-125
    — record in first 5 innings: 38-73-14

    San Francisco (81-44) @ Mets (61-64)
    — Cueto is 1-1, 3.94 in his last three starts.
    — Giants are 10-9 in his starts.

    — His last start was August 8th.
    — under 10-2 last 12
    — allowed run in first inning: 4-19
    — record in first 5 innings: 7-10-2
    — He is 4-4, 3.53 in 13 starts vs New York.

    — Giants are 23-12 since All-Star break.
    — Giants are 10-3 in last 12 road games.
    — Under is 8-3 in last 11 games.
    — scored run in first inning: 37-125
    — record in first 5 innings: 67-43-15

    — Walker is 0-5, 6.21 in his last six starts.
    — Mets are 14-9 in his starts.
    — under 3-0 last three
    — allowed run in first inning: 4-23
    — record in first 5 innings: 11-10-2
    — He is 3-2, 3.82 in six starts vs San Francisco.

    — Mets are 26-40 in their last 66 games.
    — Mets are 7-11 in last 18 home games.
    — under 7-2 last eight games.
    — scored run in first inning: 29-126
    — record in first 5 innings: 50-64-12

    Washington (54-69) @ Miami (51-74)
    — Gray is 0-0, 3.27 in four starts for Washington.
    — Washington is 2-2 in his starts.
    — over 2-2
    — allowed run in first inning: 1-4
    — record in first 5 innings: 2-2
    — He hasn’t pitched against Miami

    — Washington is 12-27 in its last 39 games.
    — Nationals are 3-8 in last 11 road games.
    — over 16-5 last 21 games
    — scored run in first inning: 40-124
    — record in first 5 innings: 51-53-20

    — Top prospect Cabrera makes his MLB debut here.
    — He was 1-3, 3.68 in six AAA starts.
    — He started this season at Class A, then AA, AAA, now the bigs.

    — Marlins lost their last eight games.
    — Miami is 6-5 in last 11 home games.
    — over 13-9 last 21 games
    — scored run in first inning: 30-126
    — record in first 5 innings: 44-60-22

    Cincinnati (69-58) @ Milwaukee (77-49)
    — Castillo is 4-2, 3.64 in his last seven starts.
    — Reds are 7-4 in his last 11 starts.
    — over 15-11
    — allowed run in first inning: 9-26
    — record in first 5 innings: 12-12-2
    — He is 0-2, 2.89 in five starts vs Milwaukee this year.

    — Cincinnati is 22-15 in its last 37 games.
    — Reds are 4-6 in last ten road games.
    — over 6-1 last seven road games
    — scored run in first inning: 39-126
    — record in first 5 innings: 62-48-17

    — Woodruff is 0-3, 4.78 in his last five starts.
    — Milwaukee is 2-6 in his last eight starts.
    — over 4-1-1 last six
    — allowed run in first inning: 6-24
    — record in first 5 innings: 11-6-7
    — He is 0-0, 2.31 in two starts vs Cincinnati this year.

    — Brewers are 24-10 in last 34 games.
    — Milwaukee is 6-5 in last 11 home games.
    — under 7-5 last 12 home games.
    — scored run in first inning: 43-126
    — record in first 5 innings: 66-39-21

    Los Angeles (79-47) @ San Diego (68-59)
    — Buehler is 3-1, 1.34 in his last five starts.
    — Dodgers are 17-8 in his starts.
    — over 14-10-1
    — allowed run in first inning: 5-25
    — record in first 5 innings: 12-8-5
    — He is 4-0, 1.76 in seven starts vs San Diego.

    — Dodgers are 20-7 in last 27 games.
    — Dodgers are 8-1 in last nine road games.
    — under 6-2 last eight games
    — scored run in first inning: 42-125
    — record in first 5 innings: 68-38-19

    — Snell is 2-1, 2.45 in his last four starts.
    — Padres are 11-12 in his starts.
    — under 3-0 last three
    — allowed run in first inning: 5-23
    — record in first 5 innings: 9-12-2
    — He is 1-0, 2.35 in three starts vs Los Angeles this year.

    — Padres lost 10 of last 12 games.
    — San Diego is 5-4 in last nine home games.
    — over 14-10-1 last 25 games
    — scored run in first inning: 38-127
    — record in first 5 innings: 50-59-18

    AL games
    Angels (63-63) @ Baltimore (38-86)
    — Ohtani is 4-0, 1.36 in his last five starts.
    — Angels are 12-6 in his starts.
    — under 9-9
    — allowed run in first inning: 5-18
    — record in first 5 innings: 11-4-3
    — He hasn’t pitched against Baltimore.

    — Angels lost three of last four games.
    — Angels are 10-7 in last 17 road games.
    — under 17-6 last 23 road games
    — scored run in first inning: 39-127
    — record in first 5 innings: 54-58-15

    — bullpen game

    — Orioles are 0-19 in last 19 games.
    — Baltimore is 21-45 on road, 17-41 at home.
    — under is 5-1 in last six home games.
    — scored run in first inning: 42-124
    — record in first 5 innings: 38-69-17

    White Sox (73-54) @ Toronto (65-58)
    — Giolito is 1-1, 2.84 in his last three starts.
    — White Sox are 12-13 in his starts.
    — over 11-2 last 13
    — allowed run in first inning: 6-25
    — record in first 5 innings: 13-9-3
    — He is 2-0, 3.86 in three starts vs Toronto.

    — Chicago is 2-4 in last six games.
    — White Sox are 8-10 in last 18 road games.
    — under 10-5-1 last 16 road games.
    — scored run in first inning: 38-127
    — record in first 5 innings: 71-37-19

    — Ray is 1-0, 1.64 in his last five starts.
    — Toronto is 12-12 in his starts.
    — under 5-0
    — allowed run in first inning: 5-24
    — record in first 5 innings: 13-6-5
    — He gave up a run in 6.1 IP, in one start vs Chicago.

    — Toronto is 3-7 in last ten games.
    — Blue Jays are 11-5 in last 16 home games.
    — Under is 5-0 in last five games.
    — scored run in first inning: 35-123
    — record in first 5 innings: 22-12-2 last 36

    Minnesota (54-71) @ Boston (72-55)
    — Ober is 0-1, 3.10 in his last four starts.
    — Twins are 8-6 in his starts.
    — under 3-1-1 last five
    — allowed run in first inning: 2-14
    — record in first 5 innings: 5-7-2
    — He hasn’t pitched against Boston.

    — Minnesota is 6-5 in its last 11 games.
    — Twins are 5-6 in last 11 road games.
    — over 15-8-1 last 24 games
    — scored run in first inning: 44-124
    — record in first 5 innings: 37-63-24

    — Pivetta is 2-2, 4.85 in his last six starts.
    — Red Sox are 15-9 in his starts.
    — under 12-2 last 14
    — allowed run in first inning: 7-24
    — record in first 5 innings: 10-9-5
    — He allowed 4 runs in 5 IP in one start vs Minnesota.

    — Boston is 3-4 in its last seven games.
    — Red Sox are 7-2 in last nine home games.
    — under 6-5 last 11 games
    — scored run in first inning: 42-128
    — record in first 5 innings: 58-51-19

    Texas (43-80) @ Cleveland (60-62)
    — bullpen game

    — Texas lost 29 of last 37 games.
    — Texas is 3-18 in last 21 road games.
    — over 10-5 last 15 games.
    — scored run in first inning: 25-125
    — record in first 5 innings: 40-69-16

    — Plesac is 1-1, 8.02 in his last four starts.
    — Indians are 10-8 in his starts.
    — over 8-1-1 last ten
    — allowed run in first inning: 5-18
    — record in first 5 innings: 6-10-2
    — He is 1-0, 0.69 in two starts vs Texas.

    — Cleveland won three of last four games.
    — Indians are 7-9 in last 16 home games.
    — under 4-3 last seven games
    — scores run in first inning: 38-123
    — record in first 5 innings: 48-57-18

    Kansas City (57-69) @ Houston (74-52)
    — Minor is 0-3, 5.40 in his last four starts.
    — Kansas City is 2-8 in his last ten starts.
    — under 5-0-1 last six
    — allowed run in first inning: 6-25
    — record in first 5 innings: 9-13-3
    — He is 3-4, 4.83 in 14 starts vs Houston.

    — Royals won seven of last nine games.
    — Royals are 7-7 in last 14 road games.
    — under 23-8-3 last 34 games.
    — scores run in first inning: 27-128
    — record in first 5 innings: 46-61-21

    — McCullers is 2-2, 3.13 in his last four starts.
    — Astros are 13-8 in his starts.
    — over 11-9-1
    — allowed run in first inning: 5-21
    — record in first 5 innings: 12-7-2
    — He is 1-0, 2.73 in five starts vs Kansas City.

    — Astros are 4-6 in last ten games.
    — Astros are 12-6 in last 18 home games.
    — over 3-2 last five games
    — scored run in first inning: 45-126
    — record in first 5 innings: 69-40-17

    Interleague games
    Tampa Bay (78-48) @ Philadelphia (62-62)
    — bullpen game

    — Tampa Bay won 18 of last 24 games.
    — Rays are 11-4 in last 15 road games.
    — over 12-3-2 last 17 games.
    — scored run in first inning: 40-126
    — record in first 5 innings: 51-47-28

    — Wheeler is 0-2, 7.11 in his last two starts.
    — Phillies are 14-11 in his starts.
    — under 4-1-1 last six
    — allowed run in first inning: 5-25
    — record in first 5 innings: 9-9-7
    — He is 0-1, 4.50 in two starts vs Tampa Bay.

    — Phillies lost six of last eight games.
    — Phillies are 36-26 at home, 27-36 on road.
    — under 5-2 last seven games.
    — scored run in first inning: 39-124
    — record in first 5 innings: 53-47-25

    Detroit (59-66) @ St Louis (63-61)
    — Skubal is 2-1, 1.08 in his last three starts.
    — Detroit is 10-12 in his starts.
    — under 7-0 last seven
    — allowed run in first inning: 9-22
    — record in first 5 innings: 10-12-2
    — He is 0-1, 10.80 in two starts vs St Louis.

    — Detroit is 4-6 in its last ten games.
    — Detroit is 7-2 in last nine road games.
    — under 16-6-1 last 23 games
    — scored run in first inning: 27-127
    — record in first 5 innings: 18-14-2 last 34

    — Lester is 1-1, 7.08 in four starts for St Louis.
    — Cardinals are 2-2 in his starts.
    — over 3-1
    — allowed run in first inning: 21-4
    — record in first 5 innings: 2-2
    — He is 3-6, 5.40 in 13 starts vs Detroit.

    — Cardinals are 10-6 in last 16 games.
    — St Louis is 5-10 in its last 15 home games.
    — Under is 5-1 in their last six games.
    — scored run in first inning: 43-124
    — record in first 5 innings: 54-50-20

    Wednesday’s umpires
    Colo-Chi— Over is 9-5 in last 14 Gonzalez games.
    Over is 10-6 in Livensparger games.
    Az-Pitt— Road team won last six Diaz games.
    SF-NY— Over is 6-3-1 in last ten Riggs games.
    Wsh-Mia— Home side is 10-2 in last 12 Lentz games.
    Cin-Milw— Under is 3-0-1 in last four Bucknor games.
    LA-SD— Underdogs are 6-5 in last 11 Hickox games.

    KC-Hst— Over is 12-5 in Ceja games.
    LAA-Balt— Over is 9-6 in last 15 Moscoso games.
    Chi-Tor— Over is 8-0-2 in last ten Segal games.
    Minn-Bos— Under is 9-2 in last 11 Ripperger games.
    Tex-Clev— Under is 10-4 in last 14 Eddings games.

    Det-StL— Over is 12-8 in Torres games
    TB-Phil— Under is 7-4 in last 11 Bellino games

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    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    bet-my-ticket
    Koge – Helsingor : Over 2.5 @ 1.75
    VfL Osnabruck – Dortmund II : Over 1.5 @ 1.28
    Total Odds : 2.24

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    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    james-martingale
    Copa Colombia
    La Equidad – Llaneros
    Second Half : Over 1.5 Goals
    Odds : 2.50 / 1 units

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    pickstennis
    WTA – SINGLES: US Open (USA) – Qualification
    Stearns – Dart
    Under 20.5

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    teamronaldinho
    UK : EFL Cup
    Newcastle – Burnley
    Newcastle Over 1.5 @ 2.20

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    Alan Scozzari Sport

    Guaranteed A Wager
    Champions League
    Shakhtar Donetsk (Ukr) 0 +0,5 -120

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    JM SPORTS
    • Game: (921) Texas Rangers at (922) Cleveland Indians
      Date/Time: Aug 25 2021 7:10 PM EDT
      Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
      Play Rating: 4 units
      Play: Cleveland Indians -163 J Latz (LHP), Z Plesac (RHP) Must Start

      4 unit Cleveland Indians (-163) over Texas Rangers (Plesac/Latz) 4 unit up to (-180)
      It's been a strange run with Covid for everyone, and the Rangers are struggling even more then others recently, with multiple players out due to the illness. This has resulted in Latz starting tomorrow in his first career MLB start, this year in the minors, he has had an ERA of 4.98, with 15 games in AA and 2 games in AAA, and in the 2 AAA starts he has posted a 7.00 ERA vs. AAA opponents. The Indians on the other hand are coming off a rough game on Tuesday, but after leading 0 innings they are 9-0 as a HF in the L9, and in the L17 as a F (with the line < -112) off a game where they never lead, they are 16-1! Plus, the Indians have Plesac on the mound, and while he has posted a 4.87 ERA TY, he is 7-4, including a 6-1 run with a 4.54 ERA in 13 starts since May 1st, and the Indians are 5-0 in his L5 starts vs. a RHP. Cleveland has been a difficult team to play at home, in the L5 games as a HF off a L as a HF they are 5-0, they are 11-0 @ H off a L when the line is under -105, and vs a NDIV opponent as a HF vs. RHP they are 9-1. CLE has also won 25 out of the L30 games as a HF, including 18-2 vs. RHP, and 16-0 when the line is between -230 and -120!!
    • Game: (911) Los Angeles Dodgers at (912) San Diego Padres
      Date/Time: Aug 25 2021 10:10 PM EDT
      Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
      Play Rating: 5 units
      Play: Los Angeles Dodgers -135 W Buehler (RHP), B Snell (LHP) Must Start

      5 unit LA Dodgers (-135) over San Diego Padres (Buehler/Snell) –
      Buehler is holding his own at one of the top pitchers in a rotation full off accolades. He’s got a 13-2 record this year, in the last 15 starts he is 10-2 with a 1.74 ERA. He’s faced SD twice this year and has left with a ND each time, but allowing 4 runs in 13 innings, on the road this year Buehler has been impressive, to say the least, he is 5-0 in 10 starts with a 2.07 ERA, and in his 7 starts since the All-Star break he is 4-1 with a 1.50 ERA. LA is 17-8 in his starts this year, including 8-2 in the L10 on the road, 5-1 his L6 starts vs. a LHP, 9-1 in his L10 starts vs. a SP w/ an ERA > 4.00 (in those games they are outscoring opponents 7.64 - 2.82) and they are 11-1 in his L12 vs. an ERA over 3.5. Regardless of the pitching, the Dodgers are 7-1 in their L8 on the road, 13-2 in the L15 overall, and there may be one or more reasons why this team is happy to see Snell on the mound. LAD is 12-3 in their L15 vs. a LHP w/ an ERA over 4 (including 6-1 in the L7 on the road), they are 7-1 in the L8 vs. a SP w/ a WHIP > 1.50 (including 7-0 when the line is < -110), and this isn’t the first time they have seen Snell, but the Dodgers are 7-2 when the line is under -125, on the road vs. a SP who beat them last time out (including 5-1, and 4 in a row vs. a LHP who beat them). Snell has been solid at home, BUT since the All-Star break, Snell hasn’t seem to have the same second half, he is 3-2 but in 7 games his ERA is at 4.50, and the Padres are 2-4 in his L6 as a dog (including 0-4 vs. RHP), and they are 1-5 in the L6 Snell starts vs. a pitcher w/ an ERA under 3 when the line is > -180, not to mention 2-5 in the L7 vs. a divisional opponent when the line is > -180. The Padres have also struggled against good RHP, they are 4-11 vs. a RHP w/ an ERA < 2.5, when the line is between 160 & -180. SD is 2-9 vs. RHP w/ a WHIP < 1 when the line is > -115 (including losing 8 out of the L9). This is also only the 7th time SD has been a HD and they are 2-4, including 1-3 vs. RHP, they are 0-8 in the L8 as a dog vs. RHP.

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    The Prez

    4% - LA Dodgers - Action

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    Ralph Michaels

    5% - Dodgers - 1H Total Under 4.0 (-115) W Buehler (RHP), B Snell (LHP) Must Start

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    Docs

    Shakthar O2.5 -115 (4U)

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    Jason Sharpe

    Tigers +105 (7U)

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    Allen Eastman

    Nationals -110 (4U)
    Brewers RL +115 (3U)

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    Vernon Croy

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    Marquee PicksĀ® For 08/25/21

    4★ L.A. Dodgers (Buehler) -130 over San Diego (Snell)

    3★ Detroit (Skubal) +140 over St. Louis (Lester)

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