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Thread: Service Plays Thursday 8/26/21

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    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Tokyo Brandon

    304617) Hanwha Eagles at (304618) Kiwoom Heroes
    Game: (304617) Hanwha Eagles at (304618) Kiwoom Heroes
    Date/Time: Aug 26 2021 5:30 AM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
    Play Rating: 3%
    Play: 1H Kiwoom Heroes Total Over 2.5 (+100)

    Hanwha SP Jang Si Hwan is terrible. He walks more than he Ks and he has allowed 13 runs in his last 3 starts. Kwoom averages 2.7 runs per 1st 5 and against a stiff like this there is no reason to think they can not eclipse that. Take Kiwoom Over 2.5 1st 5.

    Doosan Bears at NC Dinos
    Game: Doosan Bears at NC Dinos
    Date/Time: Aug 26 2021 2:00 AM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
    Play Rating: 1%
    Play: 1st 5 innings Draw

    Looking at the matchup between these two teams every possible category is a stalemate. SPs are about equal, allow only 2 runs per start vs the other, both lineups powerful and both in good form. It is certainly worth a 1% play to bet the draw after 5 innings. Take it for +535, I see it at +520 in other books. Anything over 500 is worth a 1% shot.

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    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Tokyo Brandon

    (304617) Hanwha Eagles at (304618) Kiwoom Heroes
    Game: (304617) Hanwha Eagles at (304618) Kiwoom Heroes
    Date/Time: Aug 26 2021 5:30 AM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
    Play Rating: 1%
    Play: 1H Hanwha Eagles Total Over 1.5 (+100)

    I generally do not like betting my money on garbage (and Hanwha is garbage) but they average 2.1 runs every 1st 5 and Kim Dong Hyeok walks more than he Ks. His ERA is an illusion because he was a reliver. Hanwha should be able to get 2 in the 1st five make a 1% play on it.

    (304611) Samsung Lions at (304612) LG Twins
    Game: (304611) Samsung Lions at (304612) LG Twins
    Date/Time: Aug 26 2021 5:30 AM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
    Play Rating: 3%
    Play: 1H Samsung Lions -148

    Buchannan has allowed 1 run in 6 innings each of his starts vs LG. He has a 113/33 K/BB rate and is pitching very well. LG SP Im has a 12/9 K/BB rate and Samsung has the better lineup. Better SP and better lineup means 1st 5 money line. If Samsung can get 1 in the 1st 5 it should at least tie.

    304173) Yokohama Baystars at (304174) Hanshin Tigers
    Game: (304173) Yokohama Baystars at (304174) Hanshin Tigers
    Date/Time: Aug 26 2021 5:00 AM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
    Play Rating: 4%
    Play: Yokohama Baystars Total Over 2.5 (+100)

    Pinnacle by far has the best lines for Japanese baseball and they are offering the Yokohama team total at +100 2.5. My numbers have this at 3.7 so a lot of value. I like Joe Gunkel but he has a 3.50 ERA vs the BayStars and never goes past 5 innings. The Hanshin bullpen is garbage I think 2.5 is way too low. Take the Over 2.5.

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    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    teamronaldinho

    Europa Conference League
    Shamrock Rovers – Flora
    Shamrock Over 1.5 @ 1.80

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    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    over3goals
    EUROPE: Europa League
    Antwerp – Omonia
    Over 3 @ 2.30

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    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    james-martingale
    Chile Primera Division
    S. Wanderers – U. Espanola
    Second Half : Over 1.5 Goals
    Odds : 2.00 / 2 units

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    pickstennis
    WTA – SINGLES: Cleveland (USA)
    Kasatkina – Linette
    Under 21.5

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    MLB

    NL games
    Cincinnati (69-59) @ Milwaukee (78-49)
    — Gray is 3-0, 3.25 in his last five starts.
    — Reds are 10-9 in his starts.
    — over 9-9-1
    — allowed run in first inning: 4-19
    — record in first 5 innings: 6-10-3
    — He is 0-1, 5.27 in three starts vs Milwaukee this year.

    — Cincinnati is 22-16 in its last 38 games.
    — Reds are 4-7 in last 11 road games.
    — over 6-2 last eight road games
    — scored run in first inning: 39-127
    — record in first 5 innings: 62-49-17

    — Anderson is 0-2, 6.59 in his last three starts.
    — Milwaukee is 9-10 in his starts.
    — under 7-1-1 last nine
    — allowed run in first inning: 5-19
    — record in first 5 innings: 8-8-3
    — He is 0-1, 4.20 in three starts vs Cincinnati this year.

    — Brewers are 25-10 in last 35 games.
    — Milwaukee is 7-5 in last 12 home games.
    — under 8-5 last 13 home games.
    — scored run in first inning: 43-127
    — record in first 5 innings: 67-39-21

    Arizona (43-85) @ Philadelphia (63-63)
    — Gallen is 0-2, 4.25 in his last five starts.
    — Arizona is 3-13 in his starts.
    — over 9-4 last 13
    — allowed run in first inning: 5-16
    — record in first 5 innings: 7-9
    — He hasn’t pitched against Pittsburgh

    — Arizona is 8-5 in last 13 games.
    — Arizona is 5-13 in its last 18 road games.
    — under 9-5-2 last 16 games
    — scored run in first inning: 17-128
    — record in first 5 innings: 50-67-11

    — Eflin is 2-1, 3.74 in his last four starts.
    — His last start was July 16
    — Phillies are 7-10 in his starts.
    — over 10-7
    — allowed run in first inning: 6-17
    — record in first 5 innings: 5-7-5
    — He is 0-2, 3.38 in 4 games (3 starts) vs Arizona.

    — Phillies lost seven of last nine games.
    — Phillies are 36-27 at home, 27-36 on road.
    — under 6-2 last eight games.
    — scored run in first inning: 39-125
    — record in first 5 innings: 53-47-26

    St Louis (64-61) @ Pittsburgh (46-81)
    — Mikolas is 0-1, 3.00 in two starts.
    — Cardinals are 1-1 in his starts.
    — under 2-0
    — allowed run in first inning: 1-2
    — record in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
    — He is 4-4, 2.85 in 12 starts vs Pittsburgh.

    — Cardinals are 11-6 in last 17 games.
    — St Louis is 6-0 in its last six road games.
    — Under is 6-1 in their last seven games.
    — scored run in first inning: 44-125
    — record in first 5 innings: 55-50-20

    — Keller is 1-4, 5.73 in his last five starts.
    — Pirates are 6-11 in his starts.
    — over 6-1 last seven
    — allowed run in first inning: 8-17
    — record in first 5 innings: 5-9-3
    — He is 2-0, 0.56 in three starts vs St Louis.

    — Pirates are 10-29 in last 39 games.
    — Pittsburgh is 3-7 in last ten home games.
    — under 8-2-1 last 11 games
    — scored run in first inning: 30-126
    — record in first 5 innings: 39-73-14

    San Francisco (82-44) @ Mets (61-65)
    — Wood is 1-1, 6.07 in his last five starts.
    — Giants are 15-7 in his starts.
    — over 11-10-1
    — allowed run in first inning: 5-22
    — record in first 5 innings: 12-6-4
    — He is 1-3, 3.65 in ten starts vs New York.

    — Giants are 24-12 since All-Star break.
    — Giants are 11-3 in last 14 road games.
    — Under is 9-3 in last 12 games.
    — scored run in first inning: 37-126
    — record in first 5 innings: 67-43-16

    — Carrasco is 0-2, 8.82 in five starts.
    — Mets are 2-3 in his starts.
    — over 3-1-1
    — allowed run in first inning: 4-5
    — record in first 5 innings: 1-4
    — He is 0-2, 3.15 in three starts vs San Francisco.

    — Mets are 26-41 in their last 67 games.
    — Mets are 7-12 in last 19 home games.
    — under 8-2 last ten games.
    — scored run in first inning: 29-127
    — record in first 5 innings: 50-64-13

    Washington (54-71) @ Miami (52-75)
    — Corbin is 1-3, 6.00 in his last four starts.
    — Washington is 2-8 in his last ten starts.
    — over 6-2 last eight
    — allowed run in first inning: 10-24
    — record in first 5 innings: 9-12-3
    — He is 1-1, 3.46 in two starts vs Miami this year.

    — Washington is 12-28 in its last 40 games.
    — Nationals are 3-9 in last 12 road games.
    — over 16-6 last 22 games
    — scored run in first inning: 40-127
    — record in first 5 innings: 51-54-22

    — Hernandez is 0-1, 4.67 in four starts.
    — Washington is 2-2 in his starts.
    — over 2-2
    — allowed run in first inning: 1-4
    — record in first 5 innings: 1-1-2
    — He is 1-2, 7.18 in 9 games (4 starts) vs Washington.

    — Marlins lost eight of last nine games.
    — Miami is 7-5 in last 12 home games.
    — over 13-10 last 23 games
    — scored run in first inning: 30-127
    — record in first 5 innings: 45-60-22

    Los Angeles (80-47) @ San Diego (68-60)
    — Scherzer is 3-0, 2.11 in four starts for LA.
    — Dodgers are 4-0 in his starts.
    — over 2-2
    — allowed run in first inning: 4-0
    — record in first 5 innings: 1-4
    — He is 4-2, 3.06 in 13 starts vs San Diego.

    — Dodgers are 21-7 in last 28 games.
    — Dodgers are 9-1 in last ten road games.
    — under 6-2-1 last nine games
    — scored run in first inning: 42-126
    — record in first 5 innings: 68-39-19

    — Darvish is 0-4, 6.31 in his last five starts.
    — Padres are 15-8 in his starts.
    — over 12-3-1 last 16
    — allowed run in first inning: 5-23
    — record in first 5 innings: 7-7-9
    — He is 2-1, 1.35 in three starts vs Los Angeles this year.

    — Padres lost 11 of last 13 games.
    — San Diego is 5-5 in last ten home games.
    — over 14-10-2 last 26 games
    — scored run in first inning: 38-128
    — record in first 5 innings: 51-59-18

    AL games
    Angels (63-65) @ Baltimore (39-86)
    — Barria is 0-2, 9.00 in his last three starts.
    — Angels are 2-3 in his starts.
    — under 3-2
    — allowed run in first inning: 3-5
    — record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
    — He gave up 2 runs in 6 IP in one start vs Baltimore.

    — Angels lost four of last five games.
    — Angels are 10-8 in last 18 road games.
    — under 17-7 last 24 road games
    — scored run in first inning: 39-128
    — record in first 5 innings: 55-58-15

    — Akin is 0-4, 10.80 in his last four starts.
    — Orioles are 1-10 in his starts.
    — over 6-5
    — allowed run in first inning: 3-11
    — record in first 5 innings: 0-9-2
    — He gave up 4 runs in 3 IP @ Anaheim July 2nd.

    — Orioles are 1-19 in last 20 games.
    — Baltimore is 21-45 on road, 18-41 at home.
    — under is 5-2 in last seven home games.
    — scored run in first inning: 43-125
    — record in first 5 innings: 38-70-17

    White Sox (73-55) @ Toronto (66-58)
    — Rodon is 3-2, 3.12 in his last five starts.
    — White Sox are 12-7 in his starts.
    — under 12-3-1 last 16
    — allowed run in first inning: 4-19
    — record in first 5 innings: 8-6-5
    — He is 0-0, 2.45 in three starts vs Toronto.

    — Chicago is 2-5 in last seven games.
    — White Sox are 8-11 in last 19 road games.
    — under 11-5-1 last 17 road games.
    — scored run in first inning: 38-128
    — record in first 5 innings: 71-37-20

    — Ryu is 3-1, 3.94 in his last five starts.
    — Toronto is 9-2 in his last 11 starts.
    — over 11-4-1 last 16
    — allowed run in first inning: 7-24
    — record in first 5 innings: 15-8-1
    — He gave up 3 runs in 6 IP in one start vs Chicago.

    — Toronto is 4-7 in last 11 games.
    — Blue Jays are 12-5 in last 17 home games.
    — Under is 6-0 in last six games.
    — scored run in first inning: 35-124
    — record in first 5 innings: 22-12-3 last 37

    Minnesota (55-71) @ Boston (72-56)
    — Gant is 0-4, 10.13 in his last four starts.
    — Twins are 0-1 in his starts.
    — over 1-0
    — allowed run in first inning: 4-14
    — record in first 5 innings: 0-1
    — He gave up 2 runs in 4.2 IP, in a relief stint vs Boston.

    — Minnesota is 7-5 in its last 12 games.
    — Twins are 6-6 in last 12 road games.
    — over 16-8-1 last 25 games
    — scored run in first inning: 44-125
    — record in first 5 innings: 38-63-24

    — Sale is 2-0, 1.80 in his first two ’21 starts.
    — Red Sox are 2-0 in his starts.
    — under 1-1
    — allowed run in first inning: 0-2
    — record in first 5 innings: 2-0
    — He is 10-6, 3.93 in 28 games (20 starts) vs Minnesota.

    — Boston is 3-5 in its last eight games.
    — Red Sox are 7-3 in last ten home games.
    — over 4-0 last four games
    — scored run in first inning: 42-128
    — record in first 5 innings: 58-52-18

    Texas (44-82) @ Cleveland (62-62)
    — bullpen game

    — Texas is 8-30 in last 38 games.
    — Texas is 3-19 in last 22 road games.
    — over 10-5-1 last 16 games.
    — scored run in first inning: 25-126
    — record in first 5 innings: 40-70-16

    — bullpen game

    — Cleveland won four of last five games.
    — Indians are 8-9 in last 17 home games.
    — over 6-4-2 last 12 games
    — scores run in first inning: 38-124
    — record in first 5 innings: 49-57-18

    Kansas City (56-70) @ Seattle (69-58)
    — Keller is 1-3, 6.10 in his last four starts.
    — Kansas City is 2-11 in his last 13 starts.
    — under 6-1-1 last eight
    — allowed run in first inning: 11-25
    — record in first 5 innings: 8-14-3
    — He is 0-2, 5.27 in 3 games (2 starts) vs Seattle.

    — Royals won seven of last ten games.
    — Royals are 7-8 in last 15 road games.
    — under 23-9-3 last 35 games.
    — scores run in first inning: 27-129
    — record in first 5 innings: 46-62-21

    — Kikuchi is 1-1, 6.23 in his last four starts.
    — Mariners are 12-11 in his starts.
    — over 12-11
    — allowed run in first inning: 6-23
    — record in first 5 innings: 11-9-3
    — He is 0-1, 7.36 in two starts vs Kansas City.

    — Seattle is 10-3 in its last 13 games.
    — Seattle is 6-6 in last 12 home games.
    — over 4-2 last six games
    — scored run in first inning: 38-127
    — record in first 5 innings: 56-57-14

    Bronx (74-52) @ Oakland (70-57)
    — Taillon is 4-0, 2.88 in his last seven starts.
    — New York is 10-1 in his last 11 starts.
    — over 8-2 last ten
    — allowed run in first inning: 6-24
    — record in first 5 innings: 11-7-6
    — He allowed 2 runs in 4.2 IP in one start vs Oakland.

    — New York is 32-10 in last 42 games.
    — New York is 14-1 in last 15 road games.
    — over 19-11-1 last 31 games
    — scored run in first inning: 29-126
    — record in first 5 innings: 53-43-30

    — Kaprielian is 2-0, 3.31 in his last three starts.
    — A’s are 10-6 in his starts.
    — over 3-1 last four
    — allowed run in first inning: 4-16
    — record in first 5 innings: 8-5-3
    — He gave up 3 runs in 5.2 IP in one start vs New York.

    — A’s lost four in row, nine of last 12 games.
    — Oakland is 7-5 in last 12 home games.
    — Under is 5-1-1 in their last seven games.
    — scored run in first inning: 37-127
    — record in first 5 innings: 54-51-22

  9. #9
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Kevin Dolan

    5% Riga PK -147 5%

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    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Martin Green

    Here are the 2021 Champions League qualifier picks from Martin Green (posted Wednesday):

    UEFA EUROPA LEAGUE QUALIFIER

    Rangers vs. Alashkert (Thursday, 11 a.m. ET)

    Both teams to score (-118)
    Alashkert +1.5 (-187)

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    Alan Scozzari Sport

    B Wager
    Europa League
    Galatasaray (Tur) -0,5 -1 -120

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    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Total 4 U

    Totals 4 You MLB Baseball Report for Thursday, August 26th

    2021 NL Central Daytime Dominator Total of the Year!!!!!
    Cincinnati/Milwaukee over 8 1/2


    MLB Baseball Bonus Winners

    Washington/Miami over 7 1/2
    Chicago White Sox/Toronto under 8 1/2
    Texas/Cleveland over 9 1/2
    Kansas City/Seattle over 8 1/2

  13. #13
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Dave Essler

    3* AL GOM

    Kc rl

  14. #14
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    HigherPowerSports

    Baltimore Orioles +1.5 -140(5U)
    Baltimore ML +105(3U)

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    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Kyle Akins

    CHI. WHITE SOX @ TORONTO | 08/26 | 3:07 PM EDT
    CHI. WHITE SOX +101
    ANALYSIS: In a matchup of solid starters, Carlos Rodon has set himself apart. Rodon has struck out 13.1 batters per nine innings this season, while Toronto’s Hyun Jin Ryu has struck out just 7.1 batters per nine innings. Rodon worked five shutout innings in his last start against the Cubs and they were electric as he struck out 11 with just two hits allowed. The White Sox are 6-0 since July 24, 2018, when Rodon starts as a road underdog after he had more strikeouts than hits allowed, but allowed at least two hits in his last start.

    +798 15-6 IN LAST 21 MLB ML PICKS
    +166 3-1 IN LAST 4 CHW ML PICKS
    10:48 AM

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    Pickswise Sports

    MLB Best Bets
    White Sox -105
    Cardinals -159

  17. #17
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    Tony George

    2 Units - #951 / #952 Cincinnati / Milwaukee (Over 9) *2:10 EST

    7 Units - #957 San Fran (-115) vs NY Mets *7 EST

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    Allen Eastman

    Giants -115 (4U)
    White Sox +110 (3U)

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    Jason Sharpe

    Nationals +105 (3U)

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    Vernon Croy

    Blue Jays O8.5 (5U)

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