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Thread: Monday 11/14/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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    Monday 11/14/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc


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    Scone races betting preview, top tips & quaddie picks | 14/11/22
    November 13, 2022 8:59 am.
    Nathan Keven

    What Scone Races
    Where Scone Race Club – 434 Bunnan Rd, Scone NSW 2337
    When Monday, November 14, 2022
    First Race 1:15pm AEDT

    Visit Ladbrokes

    We kick off our punting week with an enormous nine-race card at Scone on Monday afternoon. The track is currently listed in the Good 4 range for race-day and with only minimum rain forecast across the region, that should be a spot-on prediction heading into the first race scheduled for 1:15pm AEDT.

    The rail is out +3m between the 800m to winning post and true the remainder. Let’s start the week with some winners on what looks a massive card to dissect.
    Best Bet at Scone: Paradise Island

    We head to the middle of the card for race five on the program to find our best of the afternoon in the form of Kris Lees-trained mare Paradise Island. She looks a cracking bet on Monday with two terrific efforts so far this preparation, she approaches this 900m sprinting contest third-up and ready to win after running into some formidable opposition last start at Port Macquarie on October 7. She went down by just over a length to progressive galloper Jacenza on that occasion and was by no means disgraced, she was simply outmatched, but this BM66 contest looks much more suitable for this daughter of Holler. She should get to the one-by-one from the perfect draw of barrier three and when the sprint goes on, Dylan Gibbons will have Paradise Island steaming home down the middle of the track to score at a great price with online Bookmakers.
    Best Bet

    Race 5 – #7 Paradise Island (3)

    4yo Mare | T: Kris Lees | J: Dylan Gibbons (58.5kg)

    $5 with Bet365
    Next Best Bet at Scone: Willinga Karisma

    We’re going back to the well with the Kris Lees-trained filly Willinga Karisma. We tipped her last start at Kempsey on November 4, and she was okay only defeated 0.7 lengths, but was a very short favourite on that occasion. She looks a dower type and the increasing step up in trip here to the 1400m looks to suit this filly by Tivaci. Last start she just seemed to take a long time to wind up, however, with the much bigger track at Scone and a more suitable wide barrier drawn eleven, we think this is the right recipe to see the best of Willinga Karisma. Dylan Gibbons can press forward and lob somewhere midfield with cover before showing off what we know on her best day is an electric turn-of-foot. It’s only career start number four come Monday afternoon, but even then, she looks overdue to break her maiden status.
    Next Best

    Race 3 – #14 Willinga Karisma (11)

    3yo Filly | T: Kris Lees | J: Dylan Gibbons (55.5kg)

    $4 with Palmerbet
    Best Value Bet: Supra Marnium

    We look to the second leg of the Quaddie to find our best each-way play of the afternoon with the seven-year-old gelding Supra Marnium. It’s unbelievable to us this guy is still at maiden at his age, and we think he gets his best career opportunity to get a win on the board in this 1600m contest. His form-lines read exceptionally well with his last start the real eyecatcher in the form guide with an outstanding effort beaten by NJC Spring Stakes placegetter Kazalark at Hawkesbury on October 25. He was at the rear of the field and presented late to only go down 2.9 lengths to what now is a top line form reference for Maiden/Class 1 company. From a much more positive barrier two, expect Blake Spriggs to jump and find a more prominent spot than last start, then once the race goes on this lightly raced veteran can close late to finally get his maiden victory on the board.
    Best Value

    Race 7 – #11 Supra Marnium (2)

    7yo Gelding | T: Matthew Smith | J: Blake Spriggs (56.5kg)

    $11 with Ladbrokes
    Monday quaddie tips for Scone
    Scone quadrella selections

    Monday, November 14, 2022

    6-7-8-10
    6-11-13
    1-2-5-10
    1-2-4-8-10

    Investment: $240 for 100%

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    Today’s Horse Racing Tips – 14th November 2022

    by Racing and Sports

    Racing and Sports highlight our standout plays at Australian TAB meetings for November 14.

    BAIRNSDALE: RACE 9 @ 5:00

    OBSESSIVE NATURE (8) raced below par at his last appearance 11 weeks ago when eighth over 1212m at Sale. He is back a grade and looks a strong winning hope in a depleted field. HIGH RISK (5) has won his only start on this track and will appreciate the two kilo claim. He is best on a wet track and should be thereabouts. MAKE AN EFFORT (13) is fitter for two runs back since a spell and save his best for this track. He has changed stables since last racing and is worth including in all combinations.
    SELECTIONS: Obsessive Nature to win.

    SCONE: RACE 5 @ 3:40

    PARADISE ISLAND (7) is an above average mare who's returned in good order with two solid minor placings. At her peak now and Dylan Gibbons back aboard. No excuses today. CANTRELL (2) showed potential over the 1400m/1600m trips last time in and has placed first-up. Likely to get back from the gate and finish hard late. I'M ON BREAK (3) also returns from a lengthy spell and has some first-up form. Looked forward enough for this when 2nd in a recent trial at Muswellbrook on October 30. UPSIDE (8) resumes here and has good stats this track and trip. No trial form but will be in this for a long way.
    SELECTIONS: Paradise Island to win

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    Robin Goodfellow's racing tips: Best bets for Monday, November 14

    By Sam Turner For The Daily Mail

    Sportsmail's racing expert Robin Goodfellow delivers his tips for Monday's meetings at Plumpton, Exeter, Leicester and Wolverhampton.

    Plumpton

    ROBIN GOODFELLOW

    12.40 Dom Of Mary

    1.10 Grozni

    1.40 Wajaaha

    2.10 Le Coeur Net

    2.40 Ike Sport (nb)

    3.10 Blade Runner

    3.40 Beaufort West

    GIMCRACK

    12.40 Brief Times

    1.10 Heaven Smart

    1.40 City Derby

    2.10 Darebin

    2.40 Baddesley

    3.10 Blade Runner

    3.40 The Tin Miner



    Exeter

    ROBIN GOODFELLOW

    1.00 The Composeur

    1.30 McFabulous

    2.00 Timeforatune

    2.30 Representing Bob

    3.00 Masters Legacy

    3.30 Lutinebella

    4.05 Big Fish

    GIMCRACK

    1.00 San Agustin

    1.30 Camprond (nb)

    2.00 Far Sight

    2.30 Johnny B

    3.00 Mr Glass

    3.30 Lady Gwen

    4.05 Broomfields Cave



    Leicester

    ROBIN GOODFELLOW

    1.20 Let’s Go Amigo

    1.50 Sir Jack West

    2.20 Never No Trouble

    2.50 Lechro

    3.20 Order Of St John

    3.50 Just The Man

    GIMCRACK

    1.20 Tara Line

    1.50 Tiny Tantrum

    2.20 Cabayo Lady

    2.50 Lechro

    3.20 Lusaka

    3.50 Just The Man



    Wolverhampton

    ROBIN GOODFELLOW

    5.00 Cavern Club

    5.30 Victoria Falls

    6.00 Mitrosonfire (nap)

    6.30 Super Julius

    7.00 Ellie Piper

    7.30 Exquisitely

    8.00 Tabaretta

    8.30 King Charles

    GIMCRACK

    5.00 Harry’s Hero

    5.30 Regatta Queen

    6.00 Street Kid

    6.30 Coast (nap)

    7.00 Basholo

    7.30 Tephi

    8.00 Sol Cayo

    8.30 Longclaw

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    The Hare Wins - Randy Hare
    THE HARE WINS
    MONDAY, NOVEMBER 14, 2022

    Race 1 $25,000 Maiden Claiming 1 Mile
    # 3 – Tater Actually passed horses in first try @ this distance
    # 5 – Clinton Quarintino Had slow start & wide trip in his debut gets new rider here too
    # 4 – Dominant Okie Tired after being near the front in last start
    # 2 – Magna Tap Tries this distance again & Cabrera stays on
    $1 Exacta Box: 3-5-4 Cost: $6.00 2 out of 3 horses must finish 1 st and 2 nd in any order.
    $.50 Pick 5: 3-5-4-2-1 / 9-8-7 / 7-4 / 5-2 / 1-5 Cost: $60.00 Pick the winners of races 1-5.

    Race 2 $5,000 Claiming 6 Furlongs
    # 9 – Heroic Song Big class drop
    # 8 – Past Visions Sharp workouts for first start since June & gets class drop
    # 7 – Mr Hands On 2nd @ this level in last start
    # 2 – Exciting 3rd in last 3 starts all @ this level
    $1 Exacta Box: 9-8-7 Cost: $6.00 2 out of 3 horses must finish 1 st and 2 nd in any order.
    $.50 Premier Pick 4: 9-8-7 / 7-4 / 5-2-1-7 / 1-5 Cost: $24.00 Pick the winners of races 2-5.

    Race 3 $25,000 Claiming 6 Furlongs
    # 7 – Austin City Girl Really nice workouts for first start since May
    # 4 – Blow Sum Smoke Back to claiming company @ distance she likes
    # 6 – Dance Her On Home Making first start since March & never ran worse than 3rd
    # 5 – Getonouttahere Back to main track where she won @LS in July
    $1 Exacta Box: 7-4-6 Cost: $6.00 2 out of 3 horses must finish 1 st and 2 nd in any order.
    $.50 Kick Off Pick 3: 7-4 / 5-2-1-7 / 1-5 Cost: $8.00 Pick the winners of races 3, 4, 5.

    Race 4 $10,000 Claiming 1 Mile
    # 5 – Hit One Out Drops in class & has win @ distance
    # 2 – George’s Vision 2nd in first try around 2 turns & could improve
    # 1 – Just Becauseway Like that he drops back to more competitive level here
    # 7 – Oklahoma Heat 5 of 7 in the $$ @ this distance
    $1 Exacta Box: 5-2-1 Cost: $6.00 2 out of 3 horses must finish 1 st and 2 nd in any order.
    $.50 Pick 3: 5-2-1-7 / 1-5 / 11-7 Cost: $8.00 Pick the winners of races 4, 5, 6.

    Race 5 $10,000 Claiming 6-1/2 Furlongs
    # 1 – Ultra Special 2nd @ this level in last start
    # 5 – Canonize Back to distance he likes
    # 3 – Charing Cross 2nd & 3 rd in last 2 starts here
    # 8 – Bear Den Improves with extra distance
    $1 Exacta Box: 1-5-3 Cost: $6.00 2 out of 3 horses must finish 1 st and 2 nd in any order.
    $.50 Pick 3: 1-5 / 11-7 / 2-3-8 Cost: $6.00 Pick the winners of races 5, 6, 7.

    Race 6 $5,000 Claiming 1 Mile
    # 11 – Don’t Tell Noobody BIG class drop after finishing 3 rd in Ok. Classic’s Cup
    # 7 – Sweet Medicine Moves from turf to dirt & drops in class
    # 8 – D Town Baby 6 of 8 in the $$ this year
    # 9 – Totally Tiger Good workout since finishing 3rd in last start
    $1 Exacta Box: 11-7-8 Cost: $6.00 2 out of 3 horses must finish 1 st and 2nd in any order.
    $.50 Pick 3: 11-7 / 2-3-8 / 1-8 Cost: $6.00 Pick the winners of races 6, 7, 8.
    $.50 Primetime Pick 4: 11-7-8 / 2-3-8 / 1-8 / 1-5 Cost: $18.00 Pick the winners of races 6-9.

    Race 7 Maiden 1 Mile
    # 2 – Legally Lucky Didn’t like the turf much last time
    # 3 – Fast and Feminine Back to her best distance
    # 8 - Cailin Diana Stretches out in 2nd try on main track & using Lasix for 2nd time
    # 6 - Blameitonmidnight Has run well on turf & dirt back on dirt here
    $1 Exacta Box: 2-3-8 Cost: $6.00 2 out of 3 horses must finish 1 st and 2 nd in any order.
    $.50 Last Chance Pick 3: 2-3-8 / 1-8 / 1-5 Cost: $6.00 Pick the winners of races 7, 8, 9.

    Race 8 Allowance 1 Mile
    # 1 – Alvaaro Runs well on turf or dirt and seems like any distance
    # 8 – Moon Mischief Bullet workout on 11-5 here, speedy guy has run well on turf or dirt
    # 3 – Lab Rat Comes off nice win on the turf but has won on dirt too
    # 6 – R Doc 3rd @ this level in last 2 starts both @ this level
    $1 Exacta Box: 1-8-3 Cost: $6.00 2 out of 3 horses must finish 1 st and 2 nd in any order.

    Race 9 Allowance 5 Furlongs
    # 1 – Albizu Claimed from last start for $50,000 @SA & 3 of 4 in the $$ this year
    # 5 – Lake Radio Never out of the $$ in 5 starts @PRM
    # 9 – Time Machine Winner of last 2 starts 1 on turf 1 on dirt
    # 6 – Lookin for Loki Has yet to win on the dirt but he’s been fast on the turf
    $1 Exacta Box: 1-5-9 Cost: $6.00 2 out of 3 horses must finish 1 st and 2 nd in any order.

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    Top Shot - Jerry Shottenkirk
    TOP SHOT
    Remington Park Selections
    Monday, November 14

    1 st Race
    2 MAGNA TAP
    1 DENS DEVILLE
    4 DOMINANT OKIE
    5 CLINTON QUARINTINO

    2 nd Race
    9 HEROIC SONG
    3 ONWARD
    7 MR HANDS ON
    2 EXCITING

    3 rd Race
    4 BLOW SUM SMOKE
    6 DANCE HER ON HOME
    5 GETONOUTTAHERE
    1 CLAY’S OPAL LADY

    4 th Race
    5 HIT ONE OUT
    3 GREAT REALIZATION
    2 GEORGE’S VISION
    6 GAMMA RAY

    5 th Race
    1 ULTRA SPECIAL
    3 CHARING CROSS
    2 TRISTANS JOURNEY
    5 CANONIZE

    6 th Race
    11 DONT TELL NOBODY
    3 MORHAWK
    1 HE’S PRETTY LUCKY
    9 TOTALLY TIGER

    7 th Race
    7 GHOST BAYOU
    2 LEGALLY LUCKY
    5 SILVER CURRENCY
    8 CAILIN DIANA

    8 th Race
    1 ALVAARO
    4 RVINDICATED
    6 R DOC
    5 GINSBURNED

    9 th Race
    1 ALBIZU
    3 STAYED IN FOR HALF
    5 LAKE RADIO
    9 TIME MACHINE

    TODAY’S BEST BET
    HEROIC SONG (2 nd)

    PICK FIVE
    (Races 1-5)
    2-1 with 9 with 4-6-5-1 with 5-3-2-6 with 1-3 ($32)

    PREMIER PICK FOUR
    (Races 2-5)
    9-3 with 4-6-5-1 with 5-3-2-6 with 1-3 ($32)

    PRIMETIME PICK FOUR
    (Races 6-9)
    11-3-1 with 7-2-5-8 with 1-4 with 1-3-5 ($36)

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    Dale’s Picks by Track Announcer Dale Day
    REMINGTON PARK

    Race 1
    1 Dens Deville
    4 Dominant Okie
    5 Clinton Quarintino
    3 Tater

    Race 2
    8 Past Visions
    4 Spectactical
    2 Exciting
    7 Mr Hands

    Race 3
    4 Blow Sum Smoke
    7 Austin City Girl
    2 Sweet Tea Red
    6 Dance Her On Home

    Race 4
    5 Hit One Out
    7 Oklahoma Heat
    3 Great Realization
    2 George’s Vision

    Race 5
    1 Ultra Special
    5 Canonize
    2 Tristans Journey
    3 Charing Cross

    Race 6
    9 Totally Tiger
    7 Sweet Medicine
    11 Don’t Tell Noobody
    8 D Town Baby

    Race 7
    2 Legally Lucky
    6 Blameitonmidnight
    7 Ghost Bayou
    3 Fast And Feminine

    Race 8
    1 Alvaaro
    4 Rvindicated
    6 R Doc
    8 Moon Mischief

    Race 9
    9 Time Machine
    5 Lake Radio
    1 Albizu
    6 Lookin For Loki

    PREMIER PICK 4
    RACES 2-5

    PRIMETIME PICK 4
    RACES 6-9

    DALE DAY-LY DOUBLE
    RACES 1 & 2

    KICKOFF PICK 3
    RACES 3, 4 & 5
    PICK 5
    RACES 1-5

    MONDAY, NOVEMBER 14, 2022
    Suggested .50-Cent Pick 5 Wager
    1,4 with 4,8 with 4,7 with 5,7 with 1,5
    Cost = $16

    Suggested .50-cent Premier Pick 4 Wager
    2,4,8 with 2,4,7 with 2,3,5,7 with 1,5
    Cost = $36

    Suggested .50-cent Primetime Pick 4 Wager
    7,8,9,10,11 with 2,6 with 1,4,

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    REMINGTON PARK
    RICH'S PITCHES BY RICHARD LINIHAN

    RACE 1
    #4 Dominant Okie
    #3 Tater
    #1 Dens Deville
    #2 Magna Tap

    RACE 2
    #9 Heroic Song
    #2 Exciting
    #7 Mr Hands On
    #8 Past Visions

    RACE 3
    #4 Blow Sum Smoke
    #3 Danzig Up a Storm
    #2 Sweet Tea Red
    #5 Getonouttahere

    RACE 4
    #5 Hit One Out
    #3 Great Realization
    #2 George’s Vision
    #1 Just Becauseway

    RACE 5
    #1 Ultra Special
    #5 Canonize
    #3 Charing Cross
    #2 Tristans Journey

    RACE 6
    #11 Dont Tell Noobody
    #10 Big Power Red
    #3 Morhawk
    #5 Flexati

    RACE 7
    #2 Legally Lucky
    #3 Fast and Feminine
    #8 Cailin Diana
    #1 Brina

    RACE 8
    #1 Alvaaro
    #6 R Doc
    #2 Out Run’m
    #5 Ginsburned

    RACE 9
    #1 Albizu
    #5 Lake Radio
    #8 Muni Muni Slew
    #6 Lookin for Loki

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    Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

    Remington Park - Race #1
    Picks Notes
    #4 Dominant Okie They've all got really dull form in this one, but this dropper might be the controlling pace in here after showing brief speed and fading in the route debut. Wouldn't be shocked to see him find the front and get brave in a bad bunch.
    #1 Dens Deville The two-turn debut didn't go great last time out, but his two-back try going short is by far the biggest flash of talent anyone in this group has shown, so maybe he's good enough here if he bounces back a bit.
    #2 Magna Tap He was never involved in the debut run, but he has some room to do better here while dropping in for a tag with that first route race under his belt. Wouldn't need much to share.
    Race Summary Dominant Okie is probably fast enough to find the front with this group, and maybe he'll stick around a lot better here with this kind of competition chasing him on the backstretch.

    Remington Park - Race #7
    Picks Notes
    #2 Legally Lucky She has to turn some tables from previous races, but she's probably better back on the main track here, and she should be in a pretty good spot into the far turn.
    #6 Blameitonmidnight I would want a fair price in here while waiting to see how her two-turn dirt form stacks up here, but she's another who should be able to find a good spot close to the pace, and her best stuff seems competitive.
    #4 Bodefide She turned in an improved effort while still not presenting any threat in the dirt debut, but she might like the more leisurely early tempo going long here. Not out of the question.
    Race Summary Legally Lucky had a sort of tricky trip while trying the turf for the first time, and something like her two-back try at this same trip would probably make her tough.

    Remington Park - Race #9
    Picks Notes
    #1 Albizu He looks like a good fit here while drawing inside with some ability to settle and finish, as there are a few solid pace players drawn further out who might set things up for him late. Think his California baseline is tough here.
    #5 Lake Radio He should be able to find a good spot close to the pace, but he has enough of a rating gear to think he'll settle just behind that early battle and try to land a first-jump type of trip turning for home.
    #8 Muni Muni Slew He's a little cheap right now compared to some of these, but he has been popular at the claim box and steps up off a flat effort by his standards. Pressing pace may move and hang around for a share.
    Race Summary Albizu is probably tough here if he gets any pace to chase, and that help may come from a few forward players drawn further outside. The California form looks like a great fit here, and I'll lean heavily here in the finale.

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    Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

    Parx - Race #1
    Picks Notes
    #4 NOTHINS FREE (9-5) Met good ones in latest, can maximize her speed today, eat the chalk.
    #1 PENANCE (6-1) Awakened on muddy track last out, plagued by wide trips, draws rail.
    #3 STORMBEAM (4-1) Rallied for second the last time under these conditions in August.
    Race Summary NOTHINS FREE set a pressured pace for a half mile before odds-on favorite Free To Fly (21-55, $424k) and others passed by at Monmouth. She will take some catching in this spot, so bet to win and place and play 4-1 and 4-3 exactas.

    Parx - Race #2
    Picks Notes
    #5 HELLO ROSIE SAY (6-1) Disappointed in latest but can’t be discounted at an inflated price.
    #4 TOWSON (6-1) Stopped as the favorite in repeat try, should be forwardly placed a long way.
    #7 CANOOCHEE (3-1) Continues to pile up the checks at Parx, just joined $200k Club.
    Race Summary HELLO ROSIE SAY, off the re-claim by the barn that last won with her, finished in the money in 12 of 22 starts out of town, gets ample pace flow to rally into and could awaken off a dull try last out. Play a 4-5-7 exacta box.

    Parx - Race #6
    Picks Notes
    #7 FUNNY HONEY (3-1) Arrives from New York for debut for high-percentage trainer-jockey duo.
    #1 VEGAS WILD CAT (4-1) Stepped it up for most recent gate work, gets Paco for first start.
    #6 PASSIONATE DREAM (5-1) Gets break from MSW company, goes from Pletcher to Lake.
    Race Summary FUNNY HONEY ships in for the connections of trainer Linda Rice and jockey Kendrick Carmouche, who have 10 wins from their last 44 starters with a positive return on investment. Her sire, Practical Joke, ranks fifth in North America with 22 debut-winning 2-year-old this year. Bet to win and place.

  11. #11
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    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Will Rogers Downs

    Will Rogers Downs - Race 10
    $2 Exacta / (.50) Trifecta / (.10) Superfecta / $2 Daily Double (.50) Pick 3 (Races 10-11-12)
    Allowance • 350 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 CR: 82 • Purse: $17,600 • Post: 3:45P
    QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR TWO YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. (MULTIPLE WINNERS PREFERRED).
    Contenders
    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line
    Accept
    Odds

    Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * DAVILA: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. SWEET CANDY LIPS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaste r Power Rating. CHUNKI MONKEY: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. HTR TEQUILLA SPECIAL: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. WATER OR CORONA: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation.
    6
    DAVILA
    5/2
    5/1
    1
    SWEET CANDY LIPS
    6/1
    6/1
    10
    CHUNKI MONKEY
    8/1
    8/1
    3
    HTR TEQUILLA SPECIAL
    4/1
    8/1
    2
    WATER OR CORONA
    5/1
    9/1

    P#
    Horse (In Running Style Order)
    Post
    Morn
    Line
    Running Style
    Good
    Class
    Good
    Speed
    Early Figure
    Finish Figure
    Platinum
    Figure
    1
    SWEET CANDY LIPS
    1
    6/1
    Average
    88
    81
    4.8
    0.0
    0.0
    2
    WATER OR CORONA
    2
    5/1
    Average
    92
    71
    5.6
    0.0
    0.0
    3
    HTR TEQUILLA SPECIAL
    3
    4/1
    Fast
    77
    75
    1.8
    0.0
    0.0
    4
    FLYEN DOUBLE
    4
    20/1
    Slow
    69
    61
    6.7
    0.0
    0.0
    5
    BV BABY ITS YOU
    5
    8/1
    Average
    66
    69
    3.6
    0.0
    0.0
    6
    DAVILA
    6
    5/2
    Fast
    79
    83
    3.3
    0.0
    0.0
    7
    PAINTED IN SCARLETTE
    7
    20/1
    Slow
    64
    60
    6.3
    0.0
    0.0
    8
    HEZA ONE FAST EAGLE
    8
    10/1
    Average
    64
    71
    4.8
    0.0
    0.0
    9
    PEVS CHEROKEE KID
    9
    12/1
    Fast
    79
    70
    2.9
    0.0
    0.0
    10
    CHUNKI MONKEY
    10
    8/1
    Fast
    80
    80
    3.5
    0.0
    0.0

  12. #12
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    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Zia Park



    Zia Park - Race 5
    $1 Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / 4th Leg Pick 4 / 3rd Leg Pick 3 1st Leg .50 Pick 5
    Maiden Claiming $8,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 CR: 50 • Purse: $12,000 • Post: 1:48P
    FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000. NEW MEXICO BRED CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
    Contenders
    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line
    Accept
    Odds

    Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. LET THERE BE PEACE is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * LET THERE BE PEACE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Hors e ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
    3
    LET THERE BE PEACE
    6/5
    2/1

    P#
    Horse (In Running Style Order)
    Post
    Morn
    Line
    Running Style
    Good
    Class
    Good
    Speed
    Early Figure
    Finish Figure
    Platinum
    Figure
    3
    LET THERE BE PEACE
    3
    6/5
    Front-runner
    59
    51
    62.3
    39.6
    35.6
    7
    ZACH WHO
    7
    6/1
    Front-runner
    0
    0
    55.2
    21.4
    13.9
    1
    WEST TEXAS COWBOY
    1
    12/1
    Alternator/Front-runner
    0
    0
    46.6
    21.6
    14.1
    8
    I AM GRODD
    8
    7/2
    Stalker
    49
    37
    37.9
    35.1
    29.6
    4
    BOOM BOOM DADDY
    4
    3/1
    Trailer
    49
    37
    36.0
    35.1
    28.6
    2
    EL OCHO
    2
    20/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    0
    0
    42.8
    15.9
    4.4
    6
    INDIANOFGOLD
    6
    30/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    0
    0
    20.2
    10.6
    0.0
    Unknown Running Style: DON HOLLYWOOD (20/1) [Jockey: Ceballos Oscar - Trainer: Gonzalez Sal].


  13. #13
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    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turf Paradise

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.




    Race 8 - Optional Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $21400 Class Rating: 83

    FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $15,000 NON-WINNERS OF THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE OCTOBER 14 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000. ARIZONA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.

    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    # 3 CINNTE WINNTE (IRE) 9/2
    # 5 STREET SHADOW 8/1
    # 8 PLUMA 6/1

    CINNTE WINNTE (IRE) is the most respectable bet in this race. Overall the speed figures of this horse look solid in this contest. Very strong selection to take this race going in a turf route. STREET SHADOW - Ought to be given a chance - I like the numbers from the last contest. Is worth looking at and may be a wager - strong speed figures (76 average) at today's distance and surface as of late. PLUMA - Wagerers should probably take a good look at this one as this filly has one of the best win percentages at this distance in this group. Should come out sharp - I have liked the way this filly has moved promptly to the front end recently.

  14. #14
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    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



    Parx Racing - Race #3 - Post: 1:19pm - SO - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $28,000 Class Rating: 60

    Rating:

    #4 EDWARD MADDEN (ML=4/1)
    #7 FREDDYNESS (ML=3/1)
    #3 DON'T BLAME FREDDY (ML=9/2)


    EDWARD MADDEN - Taking a trip down the ladder based on class; has the class ability to make his presence felt. This gelding's last fig is good enough to win here, I'll bet on him back again this time. Another way to determine class is earnings per start. This horse has the topmost in the field. I think he'll be close at the finish. FREDDYNESS - Lone speed horses can be tough to run down. Here's a lone front-runner facing sluggish sorts today. The improved speed figs over the last three races is great. Ness drops him in this contest ready to go. DON'T BLAME FREDDY - I undeniably see good luck for this thoroughbred right here.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #5 COUNTRY CHARLIE (ML=5/1), #6 SOUTHERN LAD (ML=6/1), #1 SHOULDHAVEBEENGONE (ML=6/1),

    COUNTRY CHARLIE - Would have to advance off that sixth place finish last time out to make an impact here. SOUTHERN LAD - The speed fig in the last race doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's race. Mark this thoroughbred as a vulnerable competitor. SHOULDHAVEBEENGONE - A sustainer like this one needs an early speed duel to set things up and he isn't likely to get one this time around.



    STRAIGHT WAGERS: #4 EDWARD MADDEN to win at post-time odds of 7/2 or better
    EXACTA WAGERS: None

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Box [3,4,7] Total Cost: $6
    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None

  15. #15
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    Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #1 - Post: 12:45pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,100 Class Rating: 83

    Rating:

    #3 LADY VALENTINA (ML=7/2)
    #1 IMMACULATE HEART (ML=5/1)
    #5 LUCKY ROAD (ML=10/1)


    LADY VALENTINA - Likes to go to the front and the fact that today is a shorter distance should help. This jockey and conditioner's animals have been generating a beneficial return on investment. Have to make this mare a solid contender; she comes off a sharp effort on Nov 1st. IMMACULATE HEART - Likes to go to the front end and the fact that today is a shorter distance should help. This jock/trainer duo has been producing a very favorable ROI, right at +83. I always like to see a campaigner getting Lasix for the first time. Atala adds it on this one today. LUCKY ROAD - Rider hops back up on board after getting to know the thoroughbred by riding in the last race. That's always a positive sign. This mare likes to be near the lead. Today's contest is a shorter distance and should enhance her likelihood of winning. I think that a sprinter coming off a layoff will usually run her best in the 3rd or 4th start back.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #6 PUBLICIST (ML=2/1), #4 BROOKLYNS SURPRISE (ML=5/2), #2 CAFE MISCHIEF (ML=6/1),

    PUBLICIST - This racer's record tells you not to bet on her as the public's top choice. BROOKLYNS SURPRISE - This mare hasn't had any recent favorable outcomes in short distance contests. Difficult to wager on her in this event. I can't play this confirmed non-winner. Gets the task fulfilled occasionally. CAFE MISCHIEF - Doubtful that the speed rating she garnered on October 23rd will hold up in this event.

    GUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - LADY VALENTINA - Racing pattern would suggest this horse is fit for today's race. I'd expect a good performance.





    STRAIGHT WAGERS: Go with #3 LADY VALENTINA on top if we're getting at least 7/2 odds
    EXACTA WAGERS: Box [1,3,5]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Box [1,3,5] Total Cost: $6
    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass

  16. #16
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    Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Laurel Park



    11/14/22, LRL, Race 2, 12.43 ET
    11/14/22,LRL,2,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 CLAIMING. Purse $23,000. (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 124 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Claiming Price $10,000, if for $8,000, allowed 4 lbs.
    . . . .
    Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
    After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
    Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
    100.0000 1 Crimson Rocket 3/1 Karamanos H Magee Kieron JTF 845 29.47 0.84/$1
    098.9715 7 Superstitieux 5/2 Toledo J Zerpa Gilberto EW 98 31.63 1.35/$1
    097.6959 2 Panna Mine 7/2 Butterfly B L Clagett Christine F. SC 98 31.63 1.35/$1
    096.8796 6 Valiant Gabe 8/1 Mendoza J Nazario Pedro 98 31.63 1.35/$1
    096.5913 9 Siberian 6/1 Marquez C Lawrence. II James L. 98 31.63 1.35/$1
    095.8070 5 Johnny Swish 20/1 Whitacre G Serey. Jr. Mario L 98 31.63 1.35/$1
    095.6520 8 Eleazar 10/1 Rodriguez W A Frock Charles L. 98 31.63 1.35/$1
    094.9444 3 Never Silenced 15/1 Cruz A Sanchez-Salomon Rodolf 98 31.63 1.35/$1
    094.5863 4 Dr Rags 20/1 Humphrey W Barr Donald H. 98 31.63 1.35/$1
    Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.84, ROI 1.02/$1
    Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.0285
    [Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
    [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats

  17. #17
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    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.




    Race 4 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $12600 Class Rating: 82

    FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 14 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000

    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    # 7 NIGHT ESCORT 5/2
    # 5 FAR AWAY LOOK 4/1
    # 2 SMOOTH TALES 8/1

    My pick for this race is NIGHT ESCORT. Must be given a shot here on the basis of the figs in the speed department alone. Risk takers ought to take a good look at this one as this gelding has one of the best win percentages at this distance in this group. Could best this field based on the Equibase Speed Figure - 68 - of his last outing. FAR AWAY LOOK - Well above average win rate at this distance/surface. With a solid ROI of +48 this trainer has shown respectable results with entries running at this distance and surface. SMOOTH TALES - Overall, has one of the top earnings per start in dirt sprint contests in this group.

  18. #18
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    Handicapper Sonny LaFouchi(aka The LEGEND)!

    Free Winners for Monday, November 14th 2022 from THE LEGEND!
    FREE HORSE PICKS
    MOUNTAINEER PARK
    RACE #8
    TIME: 9:30 PM EST
    PICK: BET #5 Union Brother 7/2 odds to win @ Bovada

  19. #19
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    Info Plays

    Commanders vs Eagles under 43

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    Mike Wynn

    Free Pick: NBA Toronto -5 over Detroit

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