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Thread: Wednesday 11/16/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

  1. #41
    Senior Member ConleyPicks's Avatar
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    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



    Churchill Downs - Race #8 - Post: 4:33pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $120,000 Class Rating: 74

    Rating:

    #8 FLYIN BESSIE (ML=7/2)
    #4 COLLECTED GLORY (ML=6/1)


    FLYIN BESSIE - Stalking speed. My partners and I like this one. This filly is tops in earnings per race. Take a long look at this one in the saddling ring. The 72 last race speed fig looks mighty good in the TrackMaster PPs. COLLECTED GLORY - Filly had the second fastest workout of the day prepping for this.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #9 DAZZLING BLUE (ML=5/2), #2 MOMENT TO SHINE (ML=9/2), #3 AUNT MISCHIEF (ML=8/1),

    DAZZLING BLUE - Doesn't seem to be in a strong spot this time. MOMENT TO SHINE - Doesn't appear to be in a convenient circumstance this time around. AUNT MISCHIEF - The seventh place finish in the last race was not that great. When checking today's class figure, she will have to notch a better speed rating than last out to compete in this dirt sprint. The extended layoff will probably be the downfall for this runner.


    STRAIGHT WAGERS: Have to go with #8 FLYIN BESSIE on the win end if we get at least 7/5 odds
    EXACTA WAGERS: Box [4,8]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    None
    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass

  2. #42
    Senior Member ConleyPicks's Avatar
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    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town

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    Race 5 - Maiden Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $21200 Class Rating: 49

    FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000, FOR EACH $2,500 TO $10,000 2 LBS.

    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    # 8 COWGIRL SHINE 8/5
    # 3 SUPER WICKED 4/1
    # 2 GOLDEN SALLY 6/1

    COWGIRL SHINE is my choice. Her earnings per start in dirt sprint contests alone makes you take a look at her. Recent numbers for the jockey - 19 win percent - make this filly stand out in this field. Keep this filly in your exotics as Latchman has given backers some double digit gains. SUPER WICKED - Should compete soundly in the early speed battle which bodes well with this group. This group is much softer than the last one she was up against. GOLDEN SALLY - The extreme drop in class can only help out this horse this time around.

  3. #43
    Senior Member ConleyPicks's Avatar
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    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mahoning Valley Race Course

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    Race 4 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $19500 Class Rating: 42

    FOR REGISTERED OHIO BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, FIVE, AND SIX YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.

    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    # 2 MACHEN REIGNS 8/5
    # 3 AUGMENTING ASSETS 3/1
    # 4 BIKINI SO TEENY 6/1

    I have to consider MACHEN REIGNS here. Has formidable front speed and will almost certainly fare soundly against this field. Must be considered given the class of races run as of late. This group is much less demanding than the last one she ran against. AUGMENTING ASSETS - Has to be considered a solid contender on earnings per start at the distance/surface alone. This horse has to be in good condition coming back to race so soon. BIKINI SO TEENY - Lately Rivera has provided players with a competitive winning percentage with horses racing in dirt sprint races. Has been running admirably lately and should be up on the lead early on.

  4. #44
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    Parx Racing - Race #9 - Post: 4:01pm - Optional Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $43,000 Class Rating: 89

    Rating:

    #2 FOR THE DREAMERS (ML=8/1)
    #1 A DANGEROUS GUY (ML=4/1)


    FOR THE DREAMERS - Coletti has an 'uncoupled' entry here. Best to watch out for the longer priced half. This equine is tops in (EPS) earnings per start. He looks nice in today's clash. A DANGEROUS GUY - I'm optimistic this colt will run well today. Last workout was 2nd fastest of the day, which tells me he's sharp right now. Taking a trip down in the class scale; has the ability to make his presence felt.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #3 SPIKEZONE (ML=8/5), #5 MR SANDMAN (ML=5/1), #4 IRISH EXIT (ML=6/1),

    SPIKEZONE - This morning-line choice ran on October 20th and hasn't had a morning drill after that. MR SANDMAN - No good results for this mount in a sprint race over the last two months tells me that this colt is in a tough spot IRISH EXIT - Most of the time I need a sprinter to have some recent success in short distance contests in order to wager on him. Never really did much at all last out on Oct 25th. Hard to wager on in today's event. Registered a run-of-the-mill speed fig last time out in a $50,000 Optional Claiming race on Oct 25th. Not probable to see an improved performance off of that rating.


    STRAIGHT WAGERS: Play #2 FOR THE DREAMERS to win if you can get odds of 5/2 or more
    EXACTA WAGERS: Box [1,2]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Pass
    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass

  5. #45
    Senior Member ConleyPicks's Avatar
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    Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Dayton Raceway

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    Race 2 - Post: 4:22 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 75 - Purse:$5000 - FILLIES & MARES N/W $1500 IN LAST 4 STARTS
    CONSORTIUM CHOICES
    # 4 STONEBRIDGE HONEY 5/2
    # 8 AMBITIOUS LILLIAN 12/1
    # 2 NICE TRIP 9/2

    STONEBRIDGE HONEY quite possibly looks like the harness racer to beat today. This fine animal looks strong. Check out the 74 avg TrackMaster SR. Certainly should be given a look based on the really strong TrackMaster Speed Rating recorded in the most recent outing. Starters win from this hole at Dayton Raceway with better than average regularity, suggesting this terrific wager. AMBITIOUS LILLIAN - This race horse looks strong. Check out the 73 avg speed figure. You have to lean toward a horse that likes to win, very attractive win figure. NICE TRIP - It's a bit chancy to consider solely based on class, but this mare has among the most respectable class markings of the bunch.

  6. #46
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    Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Monticello Raceway

    P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
    RACE 7
    4 4 ADMIRAL 9/2 Taggart, Jim Jr - 17 461.03
    6 6 FOCUS POWER 7/2 Aldrich, Bruce Jr - 15 455.47
    5 5 BIG MONEY MIKE 3/1 Sowers, Mcgwire - 15 440.68
    3 3 SAMMY B HAPPY 4/1 Devaux, Jim - 15 437.30
    8 8 TOATSMYGOATS 5/2 Merton, Michael - 18 423.45
    1 1 IMIDEAL HANOVER 8/1 Dibenedetto, Kyle - 9 423.35
    7 7 ROCK ON LINE 12/1 De Simone, John Jr - 7 408.63
    2 2 TAX SEEKER 6/1 Parker, Brandon - 15 404.29

  7. #47
    Senior Member ConleyPicks's Avatar
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    Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at The Meadows

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    Odds shown are morning line odds.



    Race 8 - Post: 3:05 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 68 - Purse:$10900 - CD 2-6YO NW 2 EXT PM RACES OR $13,500 LIFE
    CONSORTIUM CHOICES
    # 2 BATTLESHOE HART 8/5
    # 5 DANCETHEWAYUARE 7/2
    # 3 SANDOR SEELSTER 4/1

    Look no further than BATTLESHOE HART as the play for this race. Could be considered in this contest if only for the good TrackMaster Speed Rating recorded in the last competition. This race horse and Indof have some sort of connection going. In the money statistic for this duo is high. Some trainers just fit better with certain race horses. That seems to be the case in this race with Simpson. A very good wager. DANCETHEWAYUARE - Many bettors know speed is is such an important factor. This fine animal has credentials with a 69 avg statistic. A really strong class horse should not be be glossed over. With an avg class rating of 70 all signs say it's go time. SANDOR SEELSTER - Have to make Wrenn the wager here if only for the last thirty days win figure. Big probability for the trip to the winner's circle. Handicappers at The Meadows will notice this interesting entrant's pace markings are among the best in the field.

  8. #48
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    Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Yonkers Raceway

    P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
    RACE 9
    5 5 RISKY MILLION 8/1 Dube, Daniel - 10 496.15
    6 6 AWESOMENESS 9/2 Holland, Brent - 9 489.96
    3 3 SECRECY 5/2 Boyd, Braxten - 9 480.50
    1 1 MY MIND IS MADEUP 5/1 Miller, Marcus - 9 480.44
    2 2 KENRICK N 3/1 Siegelman, Austin - 10 467.48
    4 4 ODDS ON DELRAY 7/2 Bartlett, Jason - 26 464.25
    8 8 MARTY MONKHOUSER A 20/1 Stratton, Jordan - 17 453.41
    7 7 SWAGASAURUSREX 20/1 Marohn, Jim Jr - 8 434.86

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