Page 3 of 3 FirstFirst ... 23
Results 41 to 49 of 49

Thread: Monday 11/21/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

  1. #41
    Senior Member ConleyPicks's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2020
    Location
    Fergus Ontario
    Posts
    11,882
    Rep Power
    22
    Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Yonkers Raceway

    P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
    RACE 8
    3 3 NANDOLO N 3/1 Bartlett, Jason - 27 572.84
    5 5 BUDDY HILL 5/1 Kakaley, Matt - 18 561.69
    1 1 SEMI TOUGH 4/1 Brennan, George - 15 554.91
    4 4 COVERED BRIDGE 5/1 Stratton, Jordan - 17 549.25
    2 2 OAKWOODNITOWNIT IR 5/1 Gingras, Yannick - 17 542.45
    7 7 LEONIDAS A 9/2 Siegelman, Austin - 10 540.86
    6 6 ODDS ON CAPITALISM 8/1 Buter, Tyler - 10 498.04

  2. #42
    Senior Member ConleyPicks's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2020
    Location
    Fergus Ontario
    Posts
    11,882
    Rep Power
    22
    Steve Serby
    Arizona Cardinals

  3. #43
    Senior Member ConleyPicks's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2020
    Location
    Fergus Ontario
    Posts
    11,882
    Rep Power
    22
    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Horseshoe Indianapolis
    Horseshoe Indianapolis - Race 2
    Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / 50 Cent Trifecta / Superfecta 10 Cent Superfecta / 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4)
    Claiming $5,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 84 • Purse: $12,500 • Post: 3:01P
    FOR REGISTERED INDIANA BREDS THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 21 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $4,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES).
    Contenders
    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line
    Accept
    Odds

    Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * DANANG: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. MR MANNIN G: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. TUFFER THAN TUFF: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. TOPPING: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. TOUCHOFCH ILIPEPPER: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days.
    8
    DANANG
    6/1
    9/2
    2
    MR MANNING
    4/1
    6/1
    5
    TUFFER THAN TUFF
    2/1
    8/1
    7
    TOPPING
    8/1
    9/1
    3
    TOUCHOFCHILIPEPPER
    12/1
    10/1

    P#
    Horse (In Running Style Order)
    Post
    Morn
    Line
    Running Style
    Good
    Class
    Good
    Speed
    Early Figure
    Finish Figure
    Platinum
    Figure
    3
    TOUCHOFCHILIPEPPER
    3
    12/1
    Front-runner
    82
    82
    85.0
    65.6
    53.6
    2
    MR MANNING
    2
    4/1
    Front-runner
    88
    82
    83.2
    72.2
    67.7
    4
    SACRED SKY
    4
    6/1
    Front-runner
    82
    80
    81.4
    65.0
    56.5
    7
    TOPPING
    7
    8/1
    Front-runner
    83
    81
    73.6
    72.6
    62.6
    5
    TUFFER THAN TUFF
    5
    2/1
    Front-runner
    87
    81
    69.2
    73.8
    65.8
    1
    METALLIC MAN
    1
    5/1
    Alternator/Front-runner
    71
    74
    58.2
    59.4
    46.4
    8
    DANANG
    8
    6/1
    Trailer
    89
    68
    47.0
    79.2
    75.7
    6
    BLUEMOON JUSTICE
    6
    10/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    80
    63
    51.6
    65.4
    54.9

  4. #44
    Senior Member ConleyPicks's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2020
    Location
    Fergus Ontario
    Posts
    11,882
    Rep Power
    22
    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turf Paradise

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.




    Race 6 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $9900 Class Rating: 73

    FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,500.

    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    # 3 WAY TO FIRE 6/1
    # 6 SQUARE FOOTAGE 3/1
    # 4 SWEET LADY LANA 5/1

    WAY TO FIRE has a decent shot to take this race. Is difficult not to look at based on Equibase Speed Figs which have been very strong - 66 avg - of late. Could best this field based on the speed fig - 56 - of her last race. With a sound 63 average speed figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's race. SQUARE FOOTAGE - With Lopez uptop her, this filly will almost certainly be able to break out early for this event. Trainers don't bring horses back this soon without any reason. SWEET LADY LANA - Should be given consideration in this event if only for the very strong speed fig earned in the last contest. Handler boasts strong win numbers at this distance and surface.

  5. #45
    Senior Member ConleyPicks's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2020
    Location
    Fergus Ontario
    Posts
    11,882
    Rep Power
    22
    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



    Zia Park - Race #4 - Post: 1:21pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,250 Class Rating: 76

    Rating:

    #1 SUPERBLEA (ML=8/1)
    #2 PEGGY B FAST (ML=2/1)
    #6 DANSMETOTHENDOFLOV (ML=9/2)
    #3 SATURNCLOUD (ML=10/1)


    SUPERBLEA - I really like that most recent outing on November 8th at Zia Park where she ran second. This rider/handler duo has been producing a very favorable ROI, right at +227. In the last race, ran the last quarter in less than 25 ticks. What that tells me is she can close well, and should be right there at the finish line this time. PEGGY B FAST - I like this mare. Has the highest earnings per start (EPS) in here. She must like the track here. Shipped in to finish first on Oct 10th and she looks tough once again. This thoroughbred has increased her speed ratings from a fig of 34 to 69 to 73 in succession. DANSMETOTHENDOFLOV - This horse's last race was out at Remington Park in a race with a class figure of 87. Dropping a significant amount in class figure today puts her in a solid position in this race. SATURNCLOUD - Taking a big drop in class figure points from her October 23rd race at Los Alamitos (Quarter Hor. Based on that info, I will give this thoroughbred the edge. Last two Equibase speed figures (77, 77) were solid. Anything close to that right here in this race and this one may win easily. You'll be generating profits right and left by turning your cash onto this rider/handler combination. I just may give this one a good shot. Should improve off last race where she did run out of the money, but was within five lengths at the finish.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #5 SHAME ON BEA (ML=8/5),

    SHAME ON BEA - Can't bet on this racer in today's sprint of 5 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't even finished in the money in a short distance race recently. I normally try to beat this kind of chalk. Long layoff and no drop in level of competition.

    GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - SUPERBLEA - Steady improvement in her speed ratings, 76 last race and 71 two races back. This steed is going to be tough against these thoroughbreds.




    STRAIGHT WAGERS: Put your money on #1 SUPERBLEA on the nose if you can get odds of 9/2 or more
    EXACTA WAGERS: Box [1,6] Box [1,3]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Skip
    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None

  6. #46
    Senior Member ConleyPicks's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2020
    Location
    Fergus Ontario
    Posts
    11,882
    Rep Power
    22
    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



    Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #4 - Post: 2:06pm - Allowance - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $25,900 Class Rating: 73

    Rating:

    #6 SCARRAZANO (ML=7/2)
    #5 CANDY ISLAND (ML=6/1)
    #4 CONTESSINA (ML=6/1)


    SCARRAZANO - I sense a ding-dong battle developing here. If that happens, this filly will be in perfect stalking position to run down the leaders. Oliveros and Inirio have had terrific success together over the last year. This filly is in fine condition, having run a nice race on November 2nd, finishing second. The improved Equibase speed figures over the last three races is great. Inirio drops her in this affair ready to win. This filly's last speed figure notched on November 2nd is utmost in last race speed figures. CANDY ISLAND - This fine animal should be thundering down the lane. CONTESSINA - Filly finished first her last race here on Nov 7th as a shipper. I think she looks like a winner once again. This pony coming off a strong try in the last 30 days is a win candidate in my book. This horse wins a lot of money per race around the track. Tops in this clash.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #7 FORTUNE BOUND (ML=5/2), #1 YEARS AGO (ML=4/1), #3 MO NIGHEAN DONN (ML=9/2),

    FORTUNE BOUND - 5/2 odds isn't enough for this thoroughbred when examining the most recent efforts. YEARS AGO - When looking at today's class figure, she will have to earn a better speed figure than last time out to vie in this dirt route. MO NIGHEAN DONN - Doesn't appear to be worth 9/2 today. Pass on her this time.


    STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #6 SCARRAZANO to win if you can get at least 3/1 odds
    EXACTA WAGERS: Box [4,5,6]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Box [4,5,6] Total Cost: $6
    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass



  7. #47
    Senior Member ConleyPicks's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2020
    Location
    Fergus Ontario
    Posts
    11,882
    Rep Power
    22
    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.




    Race 1 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $12600 Class Rating: 71

    FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    # 3 BEACH BOY AL 4/5
    # 1A COUSIN GREG 5/2
    # 1 TRISAETUM 5/2

    BEACH BOY AL is tough to overlook as the bet in here. Has to be carefully examined against this group of animals displaying quite good figs as of late and an average Equibase Speed Figure of 70 under similar conditions. As of late Worrie has been hot which may give the edge to this gelding. Has solid early speed and will almost certainly fare solidly against this field. COUSIN GREG - Risk takers using horses with this rider and trainer combo have done admirably lately. Looks competitive against this group of animals and will most likely be one of the front-runners. TRISAETUM - He has been running soundly and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the most competitive in this field. Could beat this field given the 62 speed figure earned in his last outing.

  8. #48
    Senior Member ConleyPicks's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2020
    Location
    Fergus Ontario
    Posts
    11,882
    Rep Power
    22
    NFL Trends SF/ARZ

    SF ATS Trends
    49ers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC West.


    49ers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

    49ers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 vs. NFC.

    49ers are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 Monday games.


    49ers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss.


    49ers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 11.


    49ers are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.


    49ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

    ARZ ATS Trends
    Cardinals are 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.


    Cardinals are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.


    Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.


    Cardinals are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 Monday games.


    Cardinals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.


    Cardinals are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 11.


    Cardinals are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC West.

    SF O/U Trends
    Under is 4-0 in 49ers last 4 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.


    Under is 7-1 in 49ers last 8 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.


    Under is 6-1 in 49ers last 7 games following a straight up win.


    Under is 10-2 in 49ers last 12 games on grass.


    Under is 7-2 in 49ers last 9 vs. NFC.


    Under is 13-4 in 49ers last 17 games overall.


    Under is 6-2 in 49ers last 8 games following a ATS loss.


    Under is 5-2 in 49ers last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.


    Under is 5-2 in 49ers last 7 games in November.

    ARZ O/U Trends
    Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games overall.


    Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 vs. NFC.


    Under is 9-1 in Cardinals last 10 Monday games.


    Over is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 games in November.


    Over is 5-2 in Cardinals last 7 games following a straight up win.


    Over is 5-2 in Cardinals last 7 games in Week 11.







    Head-To-Head Trends
    49ers are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings.


    Road team is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.


    Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Arizona.


    Underdog is 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

  9. #49
    Senior Member ConleyPicks's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2020
    Location
    Fergus Ontario
    Posts
    11,882
    Rep Power
    22
    FIFA World Cup Tips

    Senegal v Netherlands
    Tip: Draw 1-1
    O/U 2.5 Tip: Under
    Senegal has went Under 2.5 L4 games
    Netherlands has went 4-0-1 in L5 games
    Senegal has went 2-2-1 in L5 games

    USA v Wales
    Tip: Draw 1-1
    O/U 2.5 Tip: Under
    USA has went Under 2.5 L4 games
    Wales has went 0-4-1 in L5 games
    USA has went 1-1-3 in L5 games

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •