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Del Mar Tip Sheet - November 27
November 26, 2022
DEL MAR TIPS - SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 27, 2022 Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 66% of the time at this track. RACE #1 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:30 PM ETPICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 4-5 3 Shocking Grey T Baze PLACE 4-1 7 Candy On Top J J Hernandez SHOW 6-1 2 Magic Game H I Berrios WILD CARD 6-1 8 Smart Monique K Frey ALTERNATE 1 10-1 9 Precious Baby M E Smith ALTERNATE 2 20-1 6 Oat Milk Latte E A Maldonado * EXACTA: 3-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX * TRIFECTA: 2/3/7 BOX, 2/7/8 BOX
RACE #2 $72,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:00 PM ETBEST BET: #2 MYSTIC FLYER PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 5-2 2 Mystic Flyer J J Hernandez PLACE 10-1 1 Amigo G A R A Vazquez SHOW 6-5 4 Geezer T J Pereira WILD CARD 5-2 5 Fun Money M Gutierrez ALTERNATE 1 10-1 3 Hacking It Up J Bravo ALTERNATE 2 10-1 6 Midnight Lightning H I Berrios * EXACTA: 2-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX * TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 1/4/5 BOX
RACE #3 $72,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:30 PM ETPICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 6-1 4 Lovesick Blues R A Vazquez PLACE 15-1 7 Creative Peak K J Desormeaux SHOW 4-1 1 Give Me the Lute J J Hernandez WILD CARD 10-1 5 Mac Daddy Too D A Herrera ALTERNATE 1 7-2 11 Motorious F Prat ALTERNATE 2 8-1 10 Commander Khai M E Smith * EXACTA: 4-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX * TRIFECTA: 1/4/7 BOX, 1/5/7 BOX
RACE #4 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:00 PM ETBEST BET: #4 REGULATION DAZED PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 12-1 4 Regulation Dazed E A Maldonado PLACE 6-1 6 Hondo Crouch D A Herrera SHOW 5-1 9 Montana R Curatolo WILD CARD 6-1 5 Ship and Scam M Gutierrez ALTERNATE 1 7-2 2 Yo Time F Prat ALTERNATE 2 8-1 1 Buck Owens K Frey * EXACTA: 4-6 BOX, 6-9 BOX, 9-5 BOX * TRIFECTA: 4/6/9 BOX, 5/6/9 BOX
RACE #5 $72,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:30 PM ETPICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 8-1 5 Issa Court J R Velazquez PLACE 5-1 6 Lady Clementine U Rispoli SHOW 8-1 4 Big Mama Sue J J Hernandez WILD CARD 4-1 3 Helens Well H I Berrios ALTERNATE 1 3-1 9 Karakatsie J Bravo ALTERNATE 2 5-2 1 Annaghlasa F Prat * EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX * TRIFECTA: 4/5/6 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX
RACE #6 $72,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:00 PM ETPICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 5-2 10 American Lily R A Vazquez PLACE 8-1 4 Mongolian Panther A Cedillo SHOW 5-1 3 Lady T V Espinoza WILD CARD 6-1 8 Violent Runner E A Ellingwood ALTERNATE 1 12-1 2 Shes Got a Way R Curatolo ALTERNATE 2 4-1 9 Peace Peddler E A Maldonado * EXACTA: 10-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX, 3-8 BOX * TRIFECTA: 3/4/10 BOX, 3/4/8 BOX
RACE #7 $40,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:30 PM ETPICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 8-1 7 Durante K Frey PLACE 12-1 4 Brix R A Vazquez SHOW 6-1 8 Daniels Magic U Rispoli WILD CARD 4-1 6 One Fast Bro K J Desormeaux ALTERNATE 1 7-2 1 Time to Party J Bravo ALTERNATE 2 6-1 11 Stotland F Prat * EXACTA: 7-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX * TRIFECTA: 4/7/8 BOX, 4/6/8 BOX
RACE #8 $150,000 STAKES
1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:00 PM ET** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $150,000 NATIBE DIVER STAKES GRADE III PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 5-2 4 Newgrange R Gonzalez PLACE 6-5 5 Defunded E A Maldonado SHOW 4-1 2 Tizamagician F Prat WILD CARD 6-1 1 Azul Coast J R Velazquez ALTERNATE 1 12-1 3 Go Joe Won J Valdivia Jr. ALTERNATE 2 6-1 6 Parnelli V Espinoza * EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX * TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 1/2/5 BOX
COMMENTS: NEWGRANGE came off the bench to run his first triple digit speed number. His resume suggests race two could be better. DEFUNDED ran the highest last race speed figure with a pair of bullet works since. TIZAMAGICIAN has two wins and five seconds in nine Del Mar races but could be an over bet Myracehorse horse. AZUL COAST has two wins and a third in three where the turf meets the surf. RACE #9 $32,000 CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 7:30 PM ETBEST BET: #14 FLINT STROLL PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 3-1 14 Flint Stroll F Prat PLACE 3-1 11 If Id Told You E A Maldonado SHOW 8-1 1 Mo Them Down J J Hernandez WILD CARD 5-2 8 Arrest H I Berrios ALTERNATE 1 5-1 7 Never Seen Before T J Pereira ALTERNATE 2 15-1 5 Canelo A Cedillo * EXACTA: 14-11 BOX, 11-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX * TRIFECTA: 1/11/14 BOX, 1/8/11 BOX
Churchill Downs Tip Sheet - November 27
November 26, 2022
CHURCHILL DOWNS TIPS - SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 27, 2022 Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 69% of the time at this track. RACE #1 $30,000 CLAIMING
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:00 PM ETBEST BET: #4 AFLEET ARLENE PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 3-1 4 Afleet Arlene G Saez PLACE 5-2 6 Romance Novel B J Hernandez Jr. SHOW 7-2 5 Shell Shock T Gaffalione WILD CARD 10-1 7 Sweet Beauty J Rocco Jr. ALTERNATE 1 10-1 2 Mrs. Nushi F Geroux ALTERNATE 2 4-1 8 Sassy Sagey E Morales * EXACTA: 4-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX * TRIFECTA: 4/5/6 BOX, 5/6/7 BOX
RACE #2 $25,000 CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:30 PM ETPICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 3-1 6 Brittle and Yoo T Gaffalione PLACE 7-2 3 World of Wonder L Saez SHOW 5-2 7 Charge Account R Santana Jr. WILD CARD 8-1 5 Dance Rhythms E Morales ALTERNATE 1 8-1 2 Stanley Market L Machado ALTERNATE 2 10-1 4 Magical Peapod M Murrill * EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX * TRIFECTA: 3/6/7 BOX, 3/5/7 BOX
RACE #3 $16,000 CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:59 PM ETPICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 3-1 7 Real News T Gaffalione PLACE 8-1 8 Violent Gigi J D Ramos SHOW 4-1 5 Rock N June Bug E Esquivel WILD CARD 6-1 1 Honorary Degree J Musarro ALTERNATE 1 7-2 2 California Street E Morales ALTERNATE 2 15-1 3 With Verve K J Asmussen * EXACTA: 7-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX * TRIFECTA: 5/7/8 BOX, 1/5/8 BOX
RACE #4 $10,000 CLAIMING
1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:28 PM ETBEST BET: #7 HEY BOSS PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 3-1 7 Hey Boss J McKee PLACE 2-1 9 Yono J Talamo SHOW 10-1 10 Jacks Fire Balls R Diaz WILD CARD 6-1 8 Father Patrick R Bejarano ALTERNATE 1 12-1 1 Vasilevskiy R Miranda ALTERNATE 2 12-1 4 Right of Rush D Cannon * EXACTA: 7-9 BOX, 9-10 BOX, 10-8 BOX * TRIFECTA: 7/9/10 BOX, 8/9/10 BOX
RACE #5 $30,000 CLAIMING
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:58 PM ETPICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 4-1 2 Azzurro J Rocco Jr. PLACE 3-1 5 Golden Luna T Gaffalione SHOW 6-1 6 Chromes Right G Corrales WILD CARD 9-2 1 Big Boss Ben L Saez ALTERNATE 1 7-2 4 Mr. Bouma J Talamo ALTERNATE 2 12-1 7 One More Baby K J Asmussen * EXACTA: 2-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX * TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 1/5/6 BOX
RACE #6 $50,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:27 PM ETPICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 3-1 4 Inspeightoftrainer B J Hernandez Jr. PLACE 8-1 10 OConner Sunset M Murrill SHOW 9-2 2 Hill of Tara L Saez WILD CARD 4-1 11 Joey Freshwater T Gaffalione ALTERNATE 1 8-1 15 Boudin C J Lanerie ALTERNATE 2 5-1 9 No Easy Days M Garcia * EXACTA: 4-10 BOX, 10-2 BOX, 2-11 BOX * TRIFECTA: 2/4/10 BOX, 2/10/11 BOX
RACE #7 $127,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:57 PM ETPICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 5-2 4 Peacock Lass T Gaffalione PLACE 10-1 1 Just Like Magic E Morales SHOW 5-1 3 Bluelightspecial E Esquivel WILD CARD 4-1 8 Black Forest L Saez ALTERNATE 1 20-1 9 Willow Bend L Machado ALTERNATE 2 6-1 2 Boss Lady Bailey R Gutierrez * EXACTA: 4-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-8 BOX * TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 1/3/8 BOX
RACE #8 $72,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:27 PM ETBEST BET: #3 FLOKIS FLIGHT PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 3-1 3 Flokis Flight J Talamo PLACE 7-2 1 Midnight Raid T Gaffalione SHOW 6-1 8 Extravagate B J Hernandez Jr. WILD CARD 5-1 2 Two Birds C J Lanerie ALTERNATE 1 8-1 5 Mahaamel L Saez ALTERNATE 2 10-1 4 Freeze Pop J Rocco Jr. * EXACTA: 3-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX, 8-2 BOX * TRIFECTA: 1/3/8 BOX, 1/2/8 BOX
RACE #9 $127,000 ALLOWANCE
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:57 PM ETPICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 3-1 6 Olga Isabel L Saez PLACE 5-2 8 Scarlet Stripe T Gaffalione SHOW 6-1 4 Code Name Kate F Geroux WILD CARD 20-1 5 Ring Me Darling G Corrales ALTERNATE 1 5-1 9 Gunning C J Lanerie ALTERNATE 2 10-1 13 Shes All Class G Corrales * EXACTA: 6-8 BOX, 8-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX * TRIFECTA: 4/6/8 BOX, 4/5/8 BOX
RACE #10 $134,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:27 PM ETPICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 6-1 12 Big Blue Line J R Leparoux PLACE 8-1 6 Strava B J Hernandez Jr. SHOW 6-1 7 Tartufo R Bejarano WILD CARD 4-1 3 Major General M Murrill ALTERNATE 1 6-1 13 Nepotism F Geroux ALTERNATE 2 5-1 4 Uber Kirk C J Lanerie * EXACTA: 12-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX * TRIFECTA: 6/7/12 BOX, 3/6/7 BOX
RACE #11 $300,000 STAKES
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:56 PM ET** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $300,000 COMMONWEALTH TURF STAKES GRADE III PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 4-1 9 Portfolio Company F Geroux PLACE 5-1 4 Play Action Pass E Morales SHOW 3-1 3 Running Bee T Gaffalione WILD CARD 8-1 1 Stolen Base L Saez ALTERNATE 1 15-1 7 Actuator B J Hernandez Jr. ALTERNATE 2 7-2 6 Ready to Purrform R Santana Jr. * EXACTA: 9-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX * TRIFECTA: 3/4/9 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX
COMMENTS: PORTFOLIO COMPANY increased his speed figure in three straight and could do it again in the second off the sidelines. PLAY ACTION PASS has three wins in five at the distance and just one in eight at any other length. RUNNING BEE went wire to wire with ease in his last with a powerful late punch. STOLEN BASEs races look better than they are on paper. RACE #12 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
7 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:24 PM ETPICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 3-1 4 Victory March B J Hernandez Jr. PLACE 5-1 8 Arrogates Spirit T Gaffalione SHOW 10-1 9 Mamzooj M Murrill WILD CARD 8-1 14 Uncle Berley R Santana Jr. ALTERNATE 1 12-1 2 Triple Option R Bejarano ALTERNATE 2 7-2 3 Mount Craig F Geroux * EXACTA: 4-8 BOX, 8-9 BOX, 9-14 BOX * TRIFECTA: 4/8/9 BOX, 8/9/14 BOX
Aqueduct Tip Sheet - November 27
November 26, 2022
AQUEDUCT TIPS - SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 27, 2022 Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 64% of the time at this track. RACE #1 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:20 PM ETPICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 5-2 5 Vax D Davis PLACE 4-1 7 Bustin Hot J Lezcano SHOW 8-1 3 Spinning Colors K Carmouche WILD CARD 5-1 4 Jsk Bucephalus I Ortiz Jr. ALTERNATE 1 6-1 1 Starry Midnight J Castellano ALTERNATE 2 6-1 8 Marleys Ghost J L Ortiz * EXACTA: 5-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX * TRIFECTA: 3/5/7 BOX, 3/4/7 BOX
RACE #2 $25,000 CLAIMING
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:50 PM ETBEST BET: #7 WICKED LADY PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 3-1 7 Wicked Lady M Franco PLACE 4-1 2 Reigning Chick I Ortiz Jr. SHOW 5-1 3 Im Nervous Now R R Maragh WILD CARD 6-1 1A Holiday Jazz G Huayas ALTERNATE 1 6-1 8 Capital Gal H K Harkie ALTERNATE 2 6-1 4 Run Devil E Cancel * EXACTA: 7-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX * TRIFECTA: 2/3/7 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX
RACE #3 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:18 PM ETPICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 4-5 6 Todays Flavor M Franco PLACE 5-2 3 Refuah J A Gomez SHOW 7-2 4 My Man Matty J Castellano WILD CARD 12-1 7 Clash A. J. R R Maragh ALTERNATE 1 15-1 1 Stonecoldwarrior E Cancel ALTERNATE 2 20-1 5 Support the Cat O Gomez * EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX * TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 3/4/7 BOX
RACE #4 $90,000 ALLOWANCE
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:46 PM ETBEST BET: #6 TIMELESS JOURNEY PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 2-1 6 Timeless Journey D Davis PLACE 9-5 7 To a T J Castellano SHOW 3-1 2 Beachfront Bid I Ortiz Jr. WILD CARD 6-1 1 Rhombique J L Samuel ALTERNATE 1 12-1 4 Run Up the Score J Lezcano ALTERNATE 2 15-1 3 Kerik M Franco * EXACTA: 6-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX * TRIFECTA: 2/6/7 BOX, 1/2/7 BOX
RACE #5 $40,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:16 PM ETBEST BET: #6 BOBBY THE TANK PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 7-5 6 Bobby the Tank J L Ortiz PLACE 8-1 3 Dees Speedstre M Franco SHOW 12-1 7 Who Me K Carmouche WILD CARD 7-2 8 Sounds Spooky I Ortiz Jr. ALTERNATE 1 6-1 1 Camm Duke J A Vargas Jr. ALTERNATE 2 10-1 9 No Regard D Davis * EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX, 7-8 BOX * TRIFECTA: 3/6/7 BOX, 3/7/8 BOX
RACE #6 $120,000 STAKES
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:44 PM ET** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $120,000 TEPIN STAKES PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 5-1 6 Smokie Eyes D Davis PLACE 5-2 9 Alluring Angel J L Ortiz SHOW 7-2 1 Sweetlousgotaces J Rosario WILD CARD 12-1 8 Agua Dulce J Castellano ALTERNATE 1 3-1 14 Shidabhuti Rider TBA ALTERNATE 2 10-1 5 Lifelovenlaughter P Lopez * EXACTA: 6-9 BOX, 9-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX * TRIFECTA: 1/6/9 BOX, 1/8/9 BOX
COMMENTS: SMOKIE EYES tied the highest last race speed figure with better in race numbers from start to finish. ALLURING ANGEL should be rolling at the end and drops from a Grade II. SWEETLOUSGOTACES just missed by a nose in her last with much faster fractions. RACE #7 $150,000 STAKES
1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:14 PM ET** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $150,000 DISCOVERY STAKES PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 5-1 3 Barese M Franco PLACE 7-2 4 Winit K Carmouche SHOW 5-2 7 Saint Tapit I Ortiz Jr. WILD CARD 12-1 6 Eloquist P Lopez ALTERNATE 1 4-1 2 Naval Aviator A Adorno ALTERNATE 2 6-1 5 Affable Monarch J L Ortiz * EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX * TRIFECTA: 3/4/7 BOX, 4/6/7 BOX
COMMENTS: BARESES missed as the favorite in his last. Trainer Michael Maker bounces back at 22 percent the next time out. WINIT won his last with ease and has a bullet work since. SAINT TAPIT ran the highest last race speed figure and has a chance to step it up more in the third off the bench. ELOQUIST is in form winning three of his last four races. RACE #8 $150,000 STAKES
6 FURLONGS ON THE OUTER TURF - POST TIME: 3:43 PM ET** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $150,000 AUTUMN DAYS STAKES PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 5-2 9 Lady Edith J Rosario PLACE 6-1 10 Star Devine J L Ortiz SHOW 10-1 7 Mail Order J Alvarado WILD CARD 4-1 2 Change of Control C J Hernandez ALTERNATE 1 15-1 3 Cant Buy Love P Lopez ALTERNATE 2 6-1 14 Snicket I Ortiz Jr. * EXACTA: 9-10 BOX, 10-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX * TRIFECTA: 7/9/10 BOX, 2/7/10 BOX
COMMENTS: LADY EDITH is a consistent performer that should improve in her second after a layoff. STAR DEVINE will be making a move late with a win and a second in two at the distance. MAIL ORDER is undefeated in two at the distance. CHANGE OF CONTROL drops from a Grade II in his first race since mid September. RACE #9 $30,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:12 PM ETPICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 3-1 4 Willful Desire I Ortiz Jr. PLACE 7-2 9 Bella Michelle K Carmouche SHOW 4-1 5 Tap It Up J L Ortiz WILD CARD 8-1 6 Baby Sox L A Rodriguez Castro ALTERNATE 1 8-1 1 Bank Buster J Castellano ALTERNATE 2 10-1 2 Lady Shylock R R Maragh * EXACTA: 4-9 BOX, 9-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX * TRIFECTA: 4/5/9 BOX, 5/6/9 BOX
Aqueduct Hotlist - November 27
November 26, 2022
Today’s NY Hot List races to watch – Sunday, November 27, 2022 at Aqueduct
By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt
Hot List Key:
A: A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
1st race [NY, Md Sp Wt, 6
Churchill Downs Hotlist - November 27
November 26, 2022
Today’s Churchill Downs Hot List races to watch
Sunday, Nov. 27, 2022
By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
Hot List Key:
A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
2nd race – (6) Brittle and Yoo was claimed out of a third-place finish at Santa Anita by Wong. Finds a field he should be able to handle. (3) World of Wonder should be competitive at this level. (5) Dance Rhythms might respond to a turf-to-dirt. (7) Charge Account could fire off the claim. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-6. Exactas: 3-6 over 5-7 and 5-7 over 3-6.
6th race – (4) Inspeightoftrainer drops into a claimer and that might produce a winning effort. (11) Joey Freshwater had a useful debut and is worth a close look here. (2) Hill of Tara fits in nicely here. (7) Border Spin could be a factor in his debut. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-4-7-11.
8th race – (3) Floki’s Flight (A) romped to a lopsided maiden win and can make it two in a row here. (8) Extravagate might respond to the addition of blinkers. (1) Midnight Raid will be a threat from the rail. (2) Two Birds may fly off with a win here. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-3-8. Doubles: 1-2-3-8 with 1-4-5-6.
9th race – (6) Olga Isabel has sharp early speed and could lead throughout. (5) Ring Me Darling exits a solid win and will be a main factor. (4) Code Name Kate seeks a third straight win and cannot be ignored. (1) Ain’t Broke will benefit from a rail trip. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-5-6.
11th race – (9) Portfolio Company will appreciate the added distance and looks best here. (10) Red Danger returns from a layoff and should be a late threat. (6) Ready to Purrform might perk up in this field. (3) Running Bee took a big step forward last time and should be a key contender here. Betting strategy: 9 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-6-9-10.
No. Letter/Last race Today’s race Comment (3) Floki’s Flight A, 11/9 8 CD Won easily last time out
Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Del Mar - 11/27/22
November 27, 2022
“WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW” – DEL MAR
Sunday, November 27, 2022By Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst
(For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing).
*
DEL MAR SPOTLIGHT RACES:
Sixth Race: Post: 3:00 PT
Top Pick: 3-Lady T (5-1)
Freshened since August and showing the always dangerous route to sprint angle, this daughter of Into Mischief returns to dirt and drops from the Del Mar Oaks-G1 into a first level allowance affair in a move that should produce a significant bit of improvement. The John Shirreffs-trained filly has sprinted well over the local main track in the past and with sufficient help up front should offer a serious late bid. Regular pilot Victor Espinoza stays aboard and knows her well, so at 5-1 on the morning line she is worth a play in the win pool and in the various rolling exotics. Exacta players should consider hooking her up with the unbeaten American Lily, who has won her two starts by a combined 11 lengths but is taking on tougher foes today.
*
Seventh Race – Post: 3:30 PT
Top Pick: 1-Time to Party (7/2)
Was a sharp winner when stretching out for the first time two races back over the Santa Anita lawn and then was an unlucky fifth (beaten just over a length) when encountering traffic trouble in the upper stretch before finishing eagerly in the Let It Ride Stakes last time out. The Kantharos gelding surfaces in a much softer starter’s allowance grass miler today, lands the favorable rail, and retains Joe Bravo while projecting to be on or near the lead throughout. There’s good value to be found at his morning line of 7/2 if you can get it.
*
DEL MAR RECOMMENDED ROLLING EXOTIC STRATEGIES:
(Races 1-5)
1st race: 3-Shocking Grey
2nd race: 4-Geezer; 2-Mystic Flyer
3rd race: 4-Lovesick Blues; 6-Mesut; 5-Mac Daddy Too
4th race: 2-Yo Time; 6-Hondo Crouch; 9-Montana
5th race: 6-Lady Clementine; 4-Big Mama Sue; 1-Annaglhlasa
(Races 6-9)
6th race: 3-Lady T; 10-American Lily
7th race: 1-Time to Party
8th race: 5-Defunded; 6-Parnelli
9th race: 11-If Id Told You; 8-Arrest; 7-Never Seen Before
Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis
November 27, 2022 | By Al Cimaglia
Northfield Park begins the week with a 13-race card. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 starts in race 10 and the sequence will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.
Race 10
1-High On Rocknroll (6/5)-Odds-on winner last week and it looks like this will be an encore at about the same price. Davis Jr should be in control or in the 2-hole and looks a cut above the rest.
Race 11
4-Big Fritz (8/5)-Won his last 2 races by a combined 17 3/4 lengths. This figures to be a sterner test but don't discount another trip to the winner's circle.
7-Type A Personality (3-1)-Fritz has made only 5 career starts and this 3-year-old has raced 26 times this year. Being more seasoned could help and does know how to win (26-14-6-2). It looks like a 2-horse race and both like to get on the engine. The price should be better than the one above but maybe the post edge will be the deciding factor.
Race 12
5-Cycline Banner N (9/2)-Willing to use Merriman in this spot and shoot against the morning line chalk #8 who is coming off a sick scratch. Has won 3 of 6 at Nfld and the last 2 times this pilot steered the night ended in the winner's circle.
7-Better Than Spring (7/2)-Has done well battling straight Open company and gets a post edge on #8 who is a tough foe. Does have the gate speed to get the top even with this post draw and may not look back.
Race 13
1-Tap Tap Tap (6-1)-Caught a great trip starting from the rail with a provisional driver last week. Claimed in last but the same pilot is back between the pipes and best to not discount the chances of tripping out again.
3-Lion Rock N (3-1)-This veteran has won 3 of 6 at Nfld and is in sharp form. Draws well and could get on the point and make every call a winning one.
7-Calvin K (5/2)-Won from this post 2 back and should be put in play with a chance to catch the leaders down the lane. Calvin knows his way to the winner's circle, winning 8 of 43 starts at Nfld.
$1.00 Late Pick 4
1/4,7/5,7/1,3,7
Total Bet=$12
Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks
Fair Grounds - Race #3
Fair Grounds - Race #6
Picks Notes #6 Loneshilohspecial She gets a good draw to prompt the issue from the outside, as she has a little bit of ability to finish in a race where most of them drawn further inside want to flash some pace. #1 Graceleadsushome Her best stuff fits well here, but I worry she'll be under pressure from the inside early on with a few other potential forward players lined up outside of her. #4 Basalt Street Think her best stuff might be on turf right now, but she has the right style to be a factor here from a bit off the pace. Think she's an okay fit here. Race Summary Loneshilohspecial has some pace and a mild ability to press and finish, and that might serve her well while drawn outside of some more committed pace players.
Fair Grounds - Race #7
Picks Notes #4 Cafe Racer The barn does decent work with these types locally, and there doesn't appear to be too much to worry about in here on paper. Wouldn't be a shock at first asking. #1 Rally Board He's another debuter who looks in with a chance at first asking, but she's probably going to get bet by default in this spot and might have to work for it from the fence. Makes sense. #2 Amanwalksintoabar Tactical player showed a bit of speed before fading late in the debut at Delaware, but it wouldn't be a shock to see him move up with that race under his belt and stick around a lot longer here. Race Summary Cafe Racer and Rally Board both go first out in a race that might not be the deepest we're going to see for the local level -- take a good look on the tote and track.
Picks Notes #6 Future Victory Guessing this race won't go on the turf, but he's got a right to be tough if it does. There are a handful of potential pace players drawn out on the AE list to note if they get in, and this guy has shown a little versatility that suggests he can find a spot behind the pace without leaving himself too much to do -- regardless of whether other pace draws in or not. #9 Guntown He really sputtered out over last winter/spring, but he hinted at some talent early on in his career and would look like a pretty serious player on the main track if he goes. He seems to be working forwardly for this, and maybe some time away did him well. Choice for me on the main. #13 C Falls He probably makes a break for it early if he gets in on either surface, and it's not tough to see him sticking around for a piece of this with that sharp speed. Race Summary Future Victory gets the edge if this stays on the grass, and Guntown looks intriguing with some bounce-back potential off the bench here.
Aqueduct Horses in Focus for Sunday, November 27
Posted on November 26, 2022 by David Aragona
RACE 6: LIFELOVENLAUGHTER (#5)
I acknowledge that Alluring Angel (#9) is a contender in this Tepin Stakes, but I don’t think she’s some kind of standout in a race where she’s likely to be the clear favorite. She was compromised by a slow pace last time in the Miss Grillo, but she still didn’t produce much of a kick once she was angled into the clear. She had displayed a nice turn of foot in both starts prior to that, but I’m still not convinced that she isn’t primarily a closing sprinter. I wanted to avoid some others who could take money, such as Sweetlou’sgotaces (#1) and Smokie Eyes (#6). The former did run a fast speed figure last time when just failing to break her maiden, but she strikes me as more of a sprinter and Ray Handal has poor stretch-out numbers. Smokie Eyes ran fine in the Chelsey Flower, but I preferred some others from that race. The Classy One (#3)seemed to hit her best stride too late, but might deserve another chance here given her ample turf pedigree. My top pick is the filly who finished just ahead of that one in the Chelsey Flower. Lifelovenlaughter (#5) ran a bit better than the result might indicate, as she was never on the rail while chasing the pace throughout. I think each of the top two finishers in that stakes have some quality, and this filly was trying to battle back late after getting left behind in mid-stretch. There’s more speed signed on this time, and I would actually prefer to see her sit just off the pace and make a late run. Yet I also think she’s been coming along nicely with each start and may still have another move forward in her for a barn that is often underrated on this circuit. At a bigger price, I would also want to use Thirty Thou Kelvin (#7). She ran a lot better than the result suggests in her lone turf start, as she was setting a fast pace that collapsed. She subsequently broke her maiden on dirt, but I prefer her getting back on grass and she figures to be a generous price.
RACE 8: CHANGE OF CONTROL (#2)
I won’t be surprised when Lady Edith (#9) is once again the clear favorite. The public has really come around on this filly. She got ignored when she first came into Christophe Clement’s barn, going off at big prices in a few stakes attempts early in the summer. However, she outran her odds in those races and just kept improving slightly with each start. She obviously put forth one of her better efforts last time when easily winning the Autumn Days over this course, earning a flashy 98 Beyer. However, that was a weaker field than this one, and she worked out a perfect trip. Now Rosario takes over the reins, which will only further hurt her price, but I actually think her main rival is the more likely winner. Change of Control (#2) finished ahead of Lady Edith when they met in the Smart N Fancy at Saratoga. If you’re willing to throw out that failed synthetic experiment last time, you have to admire this mare’s consistency on turf. She may not always win, but she’s usually involved in the finish, regardless of the level of competition. She has also done some of her best work on the NYRA circuit in the past. She won this race last year, a few months after conquering the Intercontinental at Belmont. More recently, she finished a solid fourth against males in the Jaipur before that excellent Smart N Fancy effort. That form was obviously flattered when Caravel returned to win the BC Turf Sprint at massive odds. She drew a great post position and will be tough to beat if able to rebound with her usual solid performance. The other horse that I want to use is Star Devine (#10). She’s another coming off a recent loss to Caravel. She’s winless so far this season, but has faced some very good rivals along the way and rarely puts in a bad effort. She didn’t have much luck with the post position draw, but she’s versatile enough to work out a trip and was highly impressive winning her debut over this course once upon a time.
RACE 9: BELLA MICHELLE (#9)
I’m not trying to beat Bella Michelle (#9) in the finale. I’m not sure if she’ll go favored since another rival has some obvious angles working in her favor, but I view this Carlos Martin trainee as the most likely winner. She’s just getting significant class relief off her two prior dirt attempts. She raced greenly when not getting the best trip in her career debut at Saratoga. That was a field of some quality, so I won’t hold the large margin of defeat against her. She then showed improvement second time out when traveling well behind runners until the top of the stretch. She was no match for impressive winner Padma, but she stayed on well until the late stages. I’m not overly concerned with the turf loss last time and now she’s just getting back on the right surface against a much softer field. Her main rival does appear to be Willfull Desire (#4), who figures to take money based on the rider upgrade to Irad Ortiz from an inferior jockey. She’s also getting a noteworthy trainer switch from Gary Contessa to Ned Allard, whose two recent runners at NYRA have put forth huge performances, running well above their prior form. If this filly takes a similar step forward she’ll be tough to handle, but I expect that these angles will be reflected in her price. Tap It Up (#5) is perhaps a little more interesting. She’s run better on turf than dirt, but her lone main track start did come at a tougher level over a good, sealed track. It was also her debut for a barn that typically gets runners to improve after a start. She’s worth one more chance on dirt switching to Jose Ortiz.
KRISTPICKS
AQUEDUCT RACETRACK - SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 27, 2022 // POST TIME - 12:20 P.M. EST
- DAILY SELECTIONS FOR NOVEMBER 27 -
RACE 1: 4 - JSK BUCEPHALUS 5-1
3 - SPINNING COLORS 8-1
5 - VAX 5-2
RACE 2: 5 - RIGBY 5-1
8 - CAPITAL GAL 6-1
2 - REIGNING CHICK 4-1
RACE 3: 1 - STONECOLDWARRIOR 15-1
6 - TODAY'S FLAVOR 4-5
4 - MY MAN MATTY 7-2
RACE 4: 1 - RHOMBIQUE 6-1
7 - TO A T 9-5
3 - KERIK 15-1
RACE 5: 4 - METAMORPHOSES 12-1
8 - SOUNDS SPOOKY 7-2
6 - BOBBY THE TANK 7-5
RACE 6: 8 - AQUA DULCE 12-1
9 - ALLURING ANGEL 5-2
6 - SMOKIE EYES 5-1
RACE 7: 6 - ELOQUIST 12-1
7 - SAINT TAPIT 5-2
3 - BARESE 5-1
RACE 8: 10 - STAR DEVINE 6-1 - BEST BET
9 - LADY EDITH 5-2
7 - MAIL ORDER 10-1
RACE 9: 2 - LADY SHYLOCK 10-1 - LONGSHOT
5 - TAP IT UP 4-1
4 - WILLFUL DESIRE 3-1
Jeremy Plonk's Horse Racing picks for 11/27
By Jeremy Plonk (Xpressbet Editor-in-chief)
XpressBet editor-in-chief Jeremy Plonk offers his best bets for Sunday.
Churchill Downs Race No. 3 (1:59 p.m. ET)
#6 Jingle (6-1 ML)
Trainer Mike Lauer has finished the Churchill meeting strong with $12 and $53 winners already this week, both runners coming via Indianapolis like Jingle. This horse has won over the track at Churchill in the past. Win-Place bet.
Churchill Downs Race No. 8 (4:27 p.m. ET)
#5 Mahaamel (8-1 ML)
Top-3 finishes in 7 of 8 starts and this one might get over the hump with a change of scenery to a hot Joe Sharp barn after being claimed at Keeneland. I like the aggressive placement to protect this under-achiever in a tougher starter allowance race. Win-Place bet.
Spartan
1* LAC -3
Adam Trigger
Canisius +6.5
Free play from Mike Wynn
Free Pick: CBB Central Florida +1 over Miami-Fla
Free play from Totals4U
Early Sunday's Free Selection: Denver Broncos/Carolina Panthers under 36
Free play from #1 Sports
Early Sunday's Free Play: Houston Texans +14
Free play from Easy Money Sports
Free Early Sunday Football Selection From Lee
CINCINNATI -1
Free play from Huddle Up Sports
Sunday Free Play
Boston College -7 CBB
Free play from Teyas Sports
FREE PICK 11/27 CBB NEBRASKA -2
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