Friday 12/9/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[ConleyPicks]

John Martin

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Los Angeles Lakers +5


The Los Angeles Lakers have been playing their best basketball of the season of late when everyone has been healthy and on the court. Well, everyone is going to be healthy and on the court tonight against the Philadelphia 76ers. So getting 5 points with the Lakers against a 76ers team that is without Tyrese Maxey, Georges Niang and could be without De'Anthony Melton is too much. James Harden returned from injury last time out and the 76ers were promptly upset by the Rockets as 8-point dogs. It was their third consecutive loss as they also lost by 28 at Cleveland and by 8 at Memphis their two games prior. Philadelphia is 1-7 ATS in its last eight home games against teams that win less than 40% of their road games. Give me the Lakers.

[ConleyPicks]

Jesse Schule

This is a free play on Over Suns/Pelicans.

The Suns have lost three of their last four overall, and they have allowed 120+ points in all three of those losses. They are in New Orleans, and the Pelicans have just moved into first place in the West. Expect both these teams to get up for this game, and we could see a shootout. The Suns have gone over in five of their last six versus the Pelicans, and the over is 16-5 in the last 21 meetings in New Orleans.

GL,

Jesse Schule

[ConleyPicks]

Dave Price

Dave's Friday Free Play:
1* on New Orleans Pelicans ML +105


The Key: I like the price we are getting on the New Orleans Pelicans as home underdogs to the Phoenix Suns tonight. The Pelicans should not be dogs in this matchup considering they are 10-2 SU & 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games overall, including 8-1 SU in their last 9 home games with their lone loss coming to Boston by 8. Well Boston just blasted Phoenix by 27 in Phoenix, and the Suns lost by 19 at Dallas in their previous game. They just aren't playing well right now. The Suns will now be playing in their 4th different city in 6 days. It will only be the 2nd game in 5 days for the Pelicans with no travel involved. Take New Orleans.

[ConleyPicks]

Totals Guru

Free Total Annihilator On Wild vs Oilers under 6 1/2 +100

[ConleyPicks]

Dustin Hawkins

1 Dimer on Wild vs Oilers under 6 1/2 +100

[ConleyPicks]

AAA Sports

1* FREE PLAY Edmonton-120.

Edmonton is off an 8-2 win here over Arizona. It plays with revenge after a 5-3 loss at Minnesota at the start of the of the month. This is the opener of a home and home set, and I think that Edmonton will dig deep and find away to deliver, before heading South of the border; consider the Oilers on Friday night!
AAA Sports

[ConleyPicks]

Cole Faxon

FREE PLAY on Wild/Oilers under 6 1/2 +100

[ConleyPicks]

Mike Williams

1* on Oilers -120

[ConleyPicks]

Stephen Nover

Free Play: Sharks/Ducks OVER 6

This should be a loose game with each team very live to score at least three goals apiece.
The Sharks are 27th defensively. The Ducks have the worst defense in the NHL allowing 4.2 goals.
The Over is 15-5-1 in San Jose's last 21 games. The Sharks have given up 17 goals in their last three games.
The Ducks have permitted 5 goals in five of their last seven games. Anaheim has scored 10 goals in its last three games.
The teams have met twice already this season. There were nine and 11 combined goals scored in those games. This one should follow suit.

[ConleyPicks]

Steve Janus

1* Free Sharp Play on Ducks +110


*All NHL picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models*

[ConleyPicks]

Ricky Tran

Ricky's 1* play on Over Sharks/Ducks Over 6.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the history of these teams is quite significant.Key Trends:
- The over is 15-5-1 in the Sharks last 21 overall.
- The over is 9-4-1 in the Sharks last 14 games playing on 1 days rest.
- The over is 9-3 in the Ducks last 12 games following a win.
Verdict: We should see plenty of scoring in this game.

[ConleyPicks]

Rocky Atkinson

Rocketman Sports FREE NBA play Friday 12-9-22
Milwaukee @ Dallas (10:10 PM EST)
Play On: Milwaukee -1


The Milwaukee Bucks travel to Dallas to take on the Mavs on Friday night. Milwaukee is 18-6 SU overall this year while Dallas comes in with a 13-11 SU overall record on the season. Dallas is 1-6 ATS this year when playing on 2 days rest including 0-6 last 6. Dallas is 2-8 ATS this year in non-conference games. Dallas is 4-10 ATS last 14 games against a team with a winning record. Dallas is 3-8-1 ATS last 12 home games. Dallas is 2-10 ATS last 12 games after a SU win. Milwaukee is 3-0-1 ATS last 4 games against a team with a winning record. Milwaukee is 9-3 ATS last 12 games after a SU win of more than 10 points. We'll recommend a small play on Milwaukee tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

[ConleyPicks]

Rk Sports Services Free Sports Picks
1. NSA(The Legend) NBA – Suns -1.5
2. Gameday Network NBA – Hawks +7
3. Sports Action 365 NBA – Cavaliers -3.5
4. Vegas Line Crushers NBA – Knicks -3
5. VegasSI.com NBA – Pistons +10
6. Sam Casey NHL – Devils -1.5
7. Henry Brown Sports NHL – Wild +110
8. Winning Big Sports NHL – Knights -1.5
9. Lou Panelli NHL – Avalanche +130
10. Platinum Info Club NHL – Kraken +125
11. William E. Stockton CBB – Vanderbilt -14
12. Vincent Pioli CBB – Arkansas St +6
13. Steve “Scoop” Kendall CBB – Gonzaga -16.5
14. SCORE CBB – High Point under 154
15. Tony Campone CBB – Columbia +1.5
16. Chicago Sports Group NBA – Timberwolves +100
17. Hollywood Sportsline NBA – Mavericks +1
18. VIP Action NBA – Lakers +5
19. South Beach Sports NBA – Cavaliers -3.5
20. LV Sports Commission NBA – Raptors -8
21. NY Players Club NHL – Penguins -145
22. Fred Callahan NHL – Wild +110
23. LV Private CEO Club NHL – Knights -1.5
24. Michigan Sports NHL – Devils over 6
25. National Consensus Report NHL – Blackhawks +120

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero

Camarero - Race 1	Exacta / Daily Double 1-2
Allowance • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 77 • Purse: $11,000 • Post: 2:45P
FOR NATIVE FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 24 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 9 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 9 ALLOWED 3 LBS.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * PERICIA: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or tur f) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SUMMER P. R.: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. FLOR PERFUMADA: T oday is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
2	PERICIA	2/1	7/2
3	SUMMER P. R.	5/2	9/2
5	FLOR PERFUMADA	7/2	7/1

---

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	SUMMER P. R.	3	5/2	Front-runner	77	80	89.6	71.0	66.5
2	PERICIA	2	2/1	Front-runner	78	73	88.8	72.5	69.5
6	ISAMAR	6	9/2	Stalker	70	61	73.3	55.1	48.1
1	ESTRELLA DE BELEN	1	5/1	Stalker	63	65	62.4	55.6	46.6
5	FLOR PERFUMADA	5	7/2	Alternator/Stalker	74	74	71.6	67.2	59.7
4	SARA Y	4	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	63	60	66.4	54.0	43.0

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Gulfstream Park - Race #6 - Post: 2:36pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $36,000 Class Rating: 91

Rating:

#9 MANDY GREEN (ML=5/1)
#2 BUILT DIFFERENT (ML=4/1)


MANDY GREEN - Running 1 mile on the grass, you've have to look at horse's turf figures. This horse has the tops in the bunch. I just may give this one a shot. Should improve off last race where she did run off the board, but was within five lengths at the finish line. BUILT DIFFERENT - Owns the highest speed rating on the turf at this distance. Entered a Starter Allowance race at Saratoga in the last race and raced on the soft turf finishing sixth. Has to do better in this event.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 DREAM OF CHANGE (IRE) (ML=5/2), #5 TIZ IMPRESSIVE (ML=3/1), #7 ANDIE ONE (ML=8/1),

DREAM OF CHANGE (IRE) - This racer has been a bummer for the bettors as the favorite time and time again. TIZ IMPRESSIVE - Difficult to keep chasing this kind of 'bridesmaid' horse. ANDIE ONE - She showed not much at all in the last event. Garnered a pedestrian speed fig in the last race in the Powder Break on June 25th. Doubtful to see an improved performance off of that fig.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #9 MANDY GREEN to win if you can get at least 8/5 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:	None

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Tampa Bay Downs

12/09/22, TAM, Race 9, 4.28 ET
12/09/22,TAM,9,5F [Turf] 00:54:00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $27,000 (includes up to $2,000 FOA - Florida Owners Awards). FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. (Preference Will Be Given To Horses Which Have Not Started For Less Than $25,000. The Same Preference Will Be Given To Horses Which Have Started For Less Than $25,000 And Since Then Have Finished 2nd Or 3rd For $25,000 Or More.).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

Rating	P#	Horse Name	M/L	Jockey	Trainer	Best	Occ	Win%	ROI
100.0000	4	Talk Much	7/2	Ferrer J C	Bennett Gerald S.	SF	77	38.96	1.54/$1
099.0478	5	Plaisante (FR)	5/2	Camacho S	Clement Christophe	T	8	62.50	1.53/$1
098.9717	6	Point Well Taken	3/1	Morales P	McGaughey J. Reeve	JE	51	25.49	1.36/$1
098.0025	10	Queen of Light	8/1	Centeno D	O'Connor. II Robert R.		8	62.50	1.53/$1
097.9293	9	She's Rednecker	8/1	Spieth S	Kintz S. Matthew	W	51	25.49	1.36/$1
096.7614	11	Perfectionized	10/1	Suarez A	Sweezey J. Kent		8	62.50	1.53/$1
096.4798	2	Castle Born	20/1	Allen. Jr. R D	Harris Nancy S.		36	22.22	1.67/$1
096.1465	13	Lita	8/1	Suarez A	Klesaris Steve		51	25.49	1.36/$1
095.0923	3	Lively Remark	30/1	Suarez A	Nunn Douglas		25	28.00	2.08/$1
094.7334	12	Julianna's Ruby	20/1	Mena R E	Cordero-Lopez Alexis		8	62.50	1.53/$1
093.8073	1	Irish Kitten	20/1	Green A	McGoey Monica	C	25	28.00	2.08/$1
093.7242	7	Songteller	15/1	Castanon J L	Duffy Sean		51	25.49	1.36/$1
093.1637	8	Baby Luck	8/1	Arroyo A S	Ochoa Gerard	L	51	25.49	1.36/$1
092.7033	14	Redzilla(b-)	30/1	Marin S	Paragallo Jennifer		36	22.22	1.67/$1

Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 35.48, ROI 1.71/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.9522
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Best Speed

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Aqueduct - Race #4 - Post: 1:46pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $32,000 Class Rating: 83

Rating:

#1 SEAN THE HAMMER (ML=8/1)
#2 SUPER QUALITY (ML=7/2)
#5 GENESIS ONE (ML=10/1)


SEAN THE HAMMER - I believe the addition of blinks today will help this horse focus his attention on racing. SUPER QUALITY - This gelding is in top form right now. Finished fourth last time out and comes back rapidly. Horse has improved at least two speed rating points in last 2 races. I look for that trend to continue in today's race. GENESIS ONE - Good return on investment for this jock and trainer tandem. Have to make this colt a strong challenger; he comes off a nice effort on November 10th. This one has increased his speed ratings from a fig of 19 to 60 to 70 right in a row.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 JOHN'S PROTEGE (ML=8/5), #6 NORTH POLE (ML=2/1),

JOHN'S PROTEGE - I usually try to beat these types of morning-line favorites off the extended layoff. Has lost as the favorite in back to back races. A repeat is probably in store. NORTH POLE - This horse has been letting down the bettors as the favorite time and time again. The speed figure last time out doesn't fit very well in this affair when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's affair. Mark this horse as a likely underlay.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Play #1 SEAN THE HAMMER to win if you can get odds of 7/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,2,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [1,2,5] Total Cost: $6

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

---

Race 8 - Optional Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $29700 Class Rating: 80

FOR ACCREDITED WEST VIRGINIA-BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, WAIVER CLAIMING OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $15,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 9 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 9 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 MANAROLA 8/1
# 4 COACH RUBE 6/1
# 6 SECRET CASTLE 7/2

MANAROLA has a competitive shot to take this race especially at a such a nice price. She must be given consideration given the solid speed numbers. Garnered a reliable speed figure in the last race. Can run another good one in this race. A solid 88 avg class rating may give this mare a distinct class edge against this field. COACH RUBE - Has formidable Equibase Class Figures relative to this group of horses - worth a look. SECRET CASTLE - Has to be given a shot versus this group of horses displaying solid figures lately and an average speed fig of 70 under similar conditions. Has a very solid record at the distance and surface, which makes me back this mare.

---

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Laurel Park

Laurel Park - Race 9	EXACTA, TRIFECTA &10 cent SUPERFECTA / $1.00 SUPER HIGH 5
Maiden Claiming $45,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 67 • Purse: $44,000 • Post: 4:21P
(PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $45,000, IF FOR $36,000, ALLOWED 4 LBS. MD-BRED AND/OR MD-SIRED HORSES MAY WAIVE CLAIMING PRICE IN THIS RACE.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Stalker. CIRCLING THE DRAIN is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * CIRCLING THE DRAIN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Maiden finished second in its last race and finished three lengths or more ahead of the third place horse.
1	CIRCLING THE DRAIN	4/5	6/5

---

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
7	ALVY	7	6/1	Front-runner	0	0	41.7	50.2	43.7
1	CIRCLING THE DRAIN	1	4/5	Stalker	75	81	76.8	76.8	74.3
5	HOME SCHOOL	5	6/1	Alternator/Stalker	61	55	57.5	45.2	36.2
3	ARROGANT RIDER	3	6/1	Trailer	0	0	32.2	50.2	43.7
6	ELFUEGOMASBRILANTE	6	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	46.6	46.6	39.6
4	VAX A NATION	4	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	41.7	41.7	34.2

Unknown Running Style: GAMING SOUL (5/1) [Jockey: Perez Xavier - Trainer: Gonzalez Claudio A].

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turfway Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

---

Race 4 - Optional Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $74000 Class Rating: 82

FOR FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $50,000. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF $18,600 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $50,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 12 FIRING BULLETS 3/1
# 14 PROVE MY LOVE 4/1
# 7 MOON MAGIC CHRISSY 10/1

I favor FIRING BULLETS here. Change in Lasix (now going off Lasix) may be the secret to a turnaround. Facing a much softer field of horses than last time out. Ran a solid last race. PROVE MY LOVE - Should come out strong - I have liked the way this filly has moved quickly to the front end recently. MOON MAGIC CHRISSY - Have to take a chance on this filly with the reliable earnings per start in dirt sprint races.