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Thread: Sunday 12/11/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

  1. #61
    Senior Member ConleyPicks's Avatar
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    Jeff Alexander

    1* NFL - Panthers/Seahawks Free Pick on Seahawks -3.5


    Sunday's Free NFL Pick is on the Seattle Seahawks as a 3.5-point home favorite against the Panthers. I think the fact that the Panthers are coming off a bye and Seattle has all these questions at running back with guys hurt, has Carolina getting a little too much respect in this spot. Seattle is no easy place to play. I still think the Seahawks will be able to run the football in this game. Simply put, we are only laying 3.5 at home with Geno Smith against Sam Darnold. I also think this Carolina defense might be a bit overrated. Only two offenses they have faced with a real pulse this year are the 49ers and Bengals. They gave up 37 at home to SF and 42 on the road to Cincinnati. Bet the Seahawks -3.5!

  2. #62
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    Kenny Walker

    Free Pick on Kings-130 NHL

  3. #63
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    Ray Monohan

    "Razor" Ray's Free courtesy play for Sunday.
    Rutgers comes into this matchup on Sunday as 7.5pt favorites vs. Seton Hall. The over/under is set at 131.5 (opened at 130)
    Scarlet Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.
    Play on Rutgers -7.5.
    Good Luck, Razor Ray.
    Sunday 5* FREE CBB Play

  4. #64
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    Steve Janus

    1* Free Sharp Play on Hofstra +2 -110


    *All CBB picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models*

  5. #65
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    Totals Guru

    Free Total Annihilator On Flyers vs Coyotes under 6 -105

  6. #66
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    Black Widow

    1* Free Wiseguy Play on Flyers/Coyotes under 6 -105


    *All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

  7. #67
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    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero

    Camarero - Race 2
    Pick 3 (5-7) / Exacta / Trifecta / Quinella / Superfecta / Daily Double 5-6
    Maiden Claiming $14,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 CR: 60 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 3:10P
    FOR NATIVE MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 116 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $14,000.
    Contenders
    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line
    Accept
    Odds

    Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * CENTRALINO: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. EL BRAVO: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. ECLESIASTES: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
    9
    CENTRALINO
    2/1
    7/2
    11
    EL BRAVO
    3/1
    4/1
    7
    ECLESIASTES
    7/2
    7/1

    P#
    Horse (In Running Style Order)
    Post
    Morn
    Line
    Running Style
    Good
    Class
    Good
    Speed
    Early Figure
    Finish Figure
    Platinum
    Figure
    9
    CENTRALINO
    9
    2/1
    Front-runner
    58
    54
    86.9
    46.2
    43.2
    11
    EL BRAVO
    11
    3/1
    Front-runner
    58
    53
    84.2
    47.0
    44.0
    12
    JEY GUELIN
    12
    9/2
    Front-runner
    0
    0
    75.8
    18.0
    6.0
    7
    ECLESIASTES
    7
    7/2
    Alternator/Front-runner
    52
    46
    86.4
    37.3
    29.3
    3
    RAZI
    3
    10/1
    Trailer
    0
    0
    14.2
    32.2
    25.2
    1
    CIRIBILLO
    1
    20/1
    Alternator/Trailer
    0
    0
    20.7
    25.9
    14.4
    8
    CONTROVERSIAL
    8
    15/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    0
    0
    80.6
    14.2
    0.2
    10
    LINDO VICTORIANO
    10
    20/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    0
    0
    0.0
    13.3
    1.3
    Unknown Running Style: D' ARION (10/1) [Jockey: Rodriguez Joshua - Trainer: Lisboa Jason], GALATEO CENTRO (10/1) [Jockey: Rivera Carlos - Trainer: Betancourt Eric A], SRTA. ELI (4/1) [Jockey: Navarro Joshua - Trainer: Morales Ramon], EL MAJESTUOSO (1

  8. #68
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    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Hawthorne

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.




    Race 8 - Claiming - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $11000 Class Rating: 78

    FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES IN 2021 - 2022 OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2022. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE NOVEMBER 11 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000

    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    # 8 GOOD MONGOLIA 7/2
    # 5 RENTAL POOL 9/5
    # 3 IMAGINE GOLD 8/1

    GOOD MONGOLIA looks to be a strong contender. Has been racing solidly and has among the most favorable speed in the race for today's distance. She has been racing admirably recently while recording strong speed figs. Looks solid to be up on the front end at the first call. RENTAL POOL - She has been racing very well lately while recording very strong Equibase Speed Figures. Trainer boasts solid win figures at this distance and surface. IMAGINE GOLD - With a solid 61 average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's race.

  9. #69
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    Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Turfway Park


    12/11/22, TP, Race 6, 3.15 ET
    12/11/22,TP,6,6F [All Weather] 1:08:00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $70,000 (includes up to $35,000 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. (Preference To Horses That Have Not Started For Less Than $30,000).
    . . . .
    Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
    After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
    Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
    100.0000 9 Charleston Strong 5/2 Corrales G Maker Michael J. JTL 98 31.63 1.68/$1
    098.3855 8 Bourbon Heist 9/5 Cheminaud V Wilkes Ian R. SEC 98 31.63 1.68/$1
    096.9576 5 Iceatude 4/1 Curtsinger J Pierce Lacy 98 31.63 1.68/$1
    096.3397 10 Park Place 12/1 Landeros C McCarthy Michael W. 98 31.63 1.68/$1
    095.7574 6 Code Violation 12/1 Rocco. Jr. J Pitts Helen 98 31.63 1.68/$1
    095.6857 2 Mo Money Mo Betta 30/1 Rodriguez W A Rivera Justin W 98 31.63 1.68/$1
    095.6552 4 Fabricator 15/1 Ayala I Lucas Ted W. 98 31.63 1.68/$1
    093.8894 7 Workinfromhome 30/1 Miller C Guerrero Sal 98 31.63 1.68/$1
    088.2695 3 Son of Thunder 10/1 Franklin M Toye Kara Lin F 98 31.63 1.68/$1
    088.2658 1 Ten Extra 10/1 Gilligan J Romans Dale L. 283 20.14 1.22/$1
    Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 0.00, ROI 0.00/$1
    Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.6145
    [Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
    [All Dirt] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f
    *Scratches may change this condition

  10. #70
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    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



    Turfway Park - Race #5 - Post: 2:45pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $70,000 Class Rating: 76

    Rating:

    #1 VALIANT PRAISE (ML=7/2)
    #9 NOM DE PLUME (ML=6/1)


    VALIANT PRAISE - Just see her most recent speed fig, 64. That one looks good in this field. This filly is in fine form, having run a nice race on November 16th, finishing third. Another way to determine class is earnings per start (EPS). This horse has the topmost in the group. I think she'll be close at the end. NOM DE PLUME - With no PP lines, one of the variables I look at are trainer stats, and Lobo has a +85 pct ROI clip with 1st timers.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #12 HOCKADAY GIRL (ML=3/1), #7 ICY STARE (ML=9/2), #10 MISS J D (ML=8/1),

    HOCKADAY GIRL - Would have to get much more than the morning line odds of 3/1 to bet on this horse. ICY STARE - No good fortune for this vulnerable equine in a sprint contest over the last couple of months tells me that this filly is in a difficult spot MISS J D - Showed very little in the last affair. Really don't see any hint of any betterment today. Should have at least finished in the money in the last couple of months in a short distance race to be any kind of value at short odds in a sprint.


    STRAIGHT WAGERS: #1 VALIANT PRAISE is the play if we get odds of 9/5 or better
    EXACTA WAGERS: Box [1,9]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    None
    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass

  11. #71
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    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



    Golden Gate Fields - Race #1 - Post: 11:20am - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,400 Class Rating: 71

    Rating:

    #4 FRISCO KID (ML=4/1)


    FRISCO KID - He must like the track here. Shipped in to finish first on Nov 13th and he looks tough once again. I like to bet on this handicapping theory, a horse coming back off a sharp outing within the last month or so.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #8 HOLYJAZZ (ML=8/5), #1 INDIANERA (ML=2/1), #6 TOM'S MOON (ML=8/1),

    HOLYJAZZ - Don't think this runner is worth 8/5 in this event. INDIANERA - This mount gave a less than rousing performance last time finishing fifth. Don't see any chance of any change in today's event. TOM'S MOON - Morning line odds of 8/1 make this racer a pass by my standards.


    STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #4 FRISCO KID to win if you can get at least 1/1 odds
    EXACTA WAGERS: None

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    None
    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None

    SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:
    Pass

  12. #72
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    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

    Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 1
    $1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $1 Place Pick All Starts Here/ $1 Superfecta (.10 cent minimum wager $1 Early Double / $1 Pick Four
    Claiming $5,000 • 4 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 80 • Purse: $13,000 • Post: 5:30P
    FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 11 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
    Contenders
    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line
    Accept
    Odds

    Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * ASIAN RAIN: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. TWO BILLS: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. Horse has the highes t TrackMaster Power Rating. MALAKAI MOXIE: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. RESTLESS RAMBLER: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or ro ute)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position.
    5
    ASIAN RAIN
    3/1
    9/2
    6
    TWO BILLS
    3/1
    6/1
    2
    MALAKAI MOXIE
    2/1
    7/1
    4
    RESTLESS RAMBLER
    5/1
    9/1

    P#
    Horse (In Running Style Order)
    Post
    Morn
    Line
    Running Style
    Good
    Class
    Good
    Speed
    Early Figure
    Finish Figure
    Platinum
    Figure
    6
    TWO BILLS
    6
    3/1
    Front-runner
    89
    85
    89.3
    66.6
    61.1
    4
    RESTLESS RAMBLER
    4
    5/1
    Front-runner
    81
    70
    73.0
    65.9
    56.9
    1
    SHE THINKS IM CUTE
    1
    15/1
    Front-runner
    63
    57
    66.0
    49.8
    38.3
    2
    MALAKAI MOXIE
    2
    2/1
    Alternator/Front-runner
    78
    79
    66.0
    71.2
    66.7
    5
    ASIAN RAIN
    5
    3/1
    Stalker
    83
    75
    76.5
    74.0
    69.0
    3
    TROMADOR
    3
    4/1
    Trailer
    73
    67
    26.4
    68.6
    63.1

  13. #73
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    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Woodbine

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.




    Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $126800 Class Rating: 88

    FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 121 LBS.

    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    # 3 WAR IN CHARGE 3/1
    # 5 SAMMY STONE 4/1
    # 14 MIDNIGHT MOONSHINE 10/1

    WAR IN CHARGE is my choice. Put up a strong speed figure in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this affair. I think having Hernandez ride this gelding is a smart choice. Is hard not to consider based on Speed Figures which have been very good - 80 avg - of late. SAMMY STONE - Earnings per start in dirt route races is sound for this horse. He has recorded very good figs under today's conditions and should fare well versus this field. MIDNIGHT MOONSHINE - Have to assume this entrant will do well following the quick major improvement. Demonstrates the look of a profitable play, averaging a solid 79 speed figure which is one of the top in this field.




  14. #74
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    Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Cal-Expo

    P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
    RACE 9
    5 5 DELIGHTFULLY WILD 9/5 Lackey, James - 15 484.98
    1 1 HELEN'S GIRL 6/1 Sobey, Nathan - 19 478.06
    6 6 AERIAL VIEW 7/2 Svendsen, Lemoyne - 14 436.08
    2 2 SALARY 4/1 Thiessen, Daryl - 8 420.20
    3 3 BROOKLYN MOONSHINE 9/2 Plano, Luke - 18 412.82
    4 4 JESSIES GIRL 12/1 Grundy, Ryan - 9 405.07

  15. #75
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    Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Rideau Carleton

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.



    Race 4 - Post: 7:30 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 74 - Purse:$7200 - N/W $35000. LIFETIME
    CONSORTIUM CHOICES
    # 5 SPORTY DEAL 8/5
    # 3 SIR LUCKNOW 4/1
    # 4 BUCK N BETTOR 2/1

    Hey, listen up! SPORTY DEAL is the educated bet if you like to win. The consortium saw this horse's name on a t-shirt. Call it our coffee house play, worth a small bet. Could be the most respectable in the race here, showing competitive statistics of late. Avg speed is a solid 81. Surely the class of the group of horses with an average rating of 73. A nice selection. SIR LUCKNOW - Worth thinking about here on the basis of the numbers in the TrackMaster Speed Rating department alone. Should be given a look based on the nice TrackMaster Speed Rating achieved in the most recent contest. BUCK N BETTOR - This gelding has been competing versus some of the most competitive company in this group of horses in recent times. Many analyzers will recognize the amazing TrackMaster SR in the last contest. Stacks up against any horse in this field of starters.

  16. #76
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    Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Harrah's Philadelphia

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.



    Race 8 - Post: 3:00 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 87 - Purse:$9900 - NW $7,150 IN LAST 5 STARTS STARTERS IN A CLASS HIGHER THAN NW10500 OR A WINNER THIS CLASS OR HIGHER IN LAST START INELIGIBLE PA PREFERENCE VESPA N: FIRST TIME LASIX
    CONSORTIUM CHOICES
    # 4 IMAGINARY LINE 5/2
    # 8 LITERL LAD HANOVER 9/1
    # 1 SOUTHWIND SANDOR 7/2

    IMAGINARY LINE is the clear stand out bet in the eyes of the wagering panel. Has great TrackMaster speed figs and surely has to be thought of for a wager in this event. The 90 avg class stat may give this gelding a distinct advantage in the grouping. Bongiorno has been tough as nails the last 30 days, winning at a nice 20 percent. LITERL LAD HANOVER - Cannot put a finger on it, but like this gelding for a wager. SOUTHWIND SANDOR - Certainly did like this gelding's last race. Ran a strong 83 TrackMaster speed fig. Major contender.

  17. #77
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    Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Cumberland Raceway

    P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
    RACE 9
    6 6 DOC'S HOOLIGAN 5/2 Switzer, Kevin Jr - 18 464.01
    3 3 JET AVIATION 5/1 Graffam, Nicholas - 15 451.70
    5 5 BRIAR'S DESIRE 7/2 Ranger, Bruce - 23 416.44
    2 2 I'LL CALL U LATER 3/1 Case, Walter Jr - 18 415.59
    4 4 NOWHINING BLUECHIP 4/1 Hall, Aaron - 15 398.30
    1 1 ARSENAL 9/2 Ingraham, David - 7 373.38

  18. #78
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    Rk Sports Services Free Sports Picks
    1. NSA(The Legend) NFL – Buccaneers +3.5
    2. Gameday Network NFL – Dolphins -3
    3. Sports Action 365 NFL – Ravens +1
    4. Vegas Line Crushers NFL – Vikings under 51.5
    5. VegasSI.com NFL – Cowboys -17
    6. Sam Casey NFL – Buccaneers over 37
    7. Henry Brown Sports NFL – Chiefs -9.5
    8. Winning Big Sports NFL – Eagles -7.5
    9. Lou Panelli NFL – Bills -10
    10. Platinum Info Club NFL – Vikings under 51.5
    11. William E. Stockton NFL – Cowboys over 44
    12. Vincent Pioli NFL – Panthers +3.5
    13. Steve “Scoop” Kendall NFL – Bengals -5
    14. SCORE NFL – Bills -10
    15. Tony Campone NFL – Vikings +2
    16. Chicago Sports Group NFL – Eagles -7.5
    17. Hollywood Sportsline NFL – Dolphins under 54.5
    18. VIP Action NFL – Chiefs over 44
    19. South Beach Sports NFL – Panthers +3.5
    20. LV Sports Commission NFL – Ravens +1
    21. NY Players Club NFL – Bengals -5
    22. Fred Callahan NFL – Vikings +2
    23. LV Private CEO Club NFL – Cowboys over 44
    24. Michigan Sports NFL – Buccaneers +3.5
    25. National Consensus Report NFL – Chiefs -9.5

  19. #79
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    1. Top Rank Sports Picks NFL Buffalo -10 TW: 4-2 (+180)
    2. The Sports Consensus CBB Virginia Tech -2.5 TW: 3-3 (-30)
    3. Elite Sports Picks NFL Carolina +4 TW: 3-1 (+190)
    4. Insider Sports Report NFL Jacksonville +3 TW: 3-3 (-30)
    5. National Sports Service NFL San Francisco -3.5 TW: 2-2 (-20)
    6. Profit On Sports NFL Denver +8.5 TW: 2-3-1 (-130)
    7. Doc's Picks CBB Oregon St. +14.5 TW: 2-3 (-130)
    8.Primetime Sports Picks NFL Detroit -2 TW: 3-1 (+190)
    9. Mikey Balhan Sports NFL Pittsburgh -2 TW: 2-1 (+90)

    TW-This Weeks Record

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