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Thread: Tuesday 12/13/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

  1. #21
    Senior Member ConleyPicks's Avatar
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    Steve Janus

    1* Free Sharp Play on Bruins -200


    *All NHL picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models*

  2. #22
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    Black Widow

    1* Free Wiseguy Play on Devils -140


    *All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

  3. #23
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    Kenny Walker

    Free Pick on NHL Hurricanes-135

  4. #24
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    Sean Murphy

    Tuesday NHL Free play. My selection is on Detroit +1.5 goals over Carolina at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday.


    I like the spot for the Red Wings here as they return home off consecutive losses to host a 'fat and happy' Canes squad that is coming off five wins in their last six games. Note that Carolina is just 11-19 when playing on the road after winning five or six of its last seven games over the last three seasons, outscored by an average margin of 0.6 goals in that situation. Detroit has proven to be at the very least a 'tough out' at home this season, going 7-7, averaging 2.9 goals per contest while giving up the identical scoring average. Detroit has played Carolina tough, most recently taking two of three meetings last season, including a 4-3 victory in the Motor City. The Wings are 17-12 in their last 29 home meetings with the Canes. Take Detroit +1.5 goals.

  5. #25
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    Brandon Lee

    Tuesday's NBA Free Pick: Golden State Warriors +4


    I'll take my chances with the Warriors as a 4-point road dog against the Bucks tonight. Golden State comes into this game off an impressive 123-107 win at home over Boston as a 2.5-point dog. The Warriors were out to make a statement in that game against the Celtics and I expect a similar type of effort here against the Bucks. Golden State has covered 7 of their last 9 games and have really taken off since moving Draymond Green to the second unit. Klay Thompson has also looked more and more like his old self of late. Thompson had 34 points in the win over Boston and is averaging 27.5 ppg in the month of December with 19 made 3-pointers in those 4 games.
    Milwaukee will certainly be up for this one, but the Bucks haven't exactly been playing great of late. After shooting just 44% in a 106-105 win at Dallas (should have lost if Mavs could make a free throw), they shot just 37% in a 92-97 loss at Houston. Big key here is the Bucks could be without starting point guard Jrue Holiday, who is questionable with an illness. Not having Holiday would be a massive blow against the loaded backcourt of the Warriors, as he's one of the best perimeter defenders in the game. Either way I like Golden State to win this game outright. Give me the Warriors +4!

  6. #26
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    Timothy Black

    1* Best Bet on Warriors +4 1/2 -110

  7. #27
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    Bobby Conn

    1* Free Play on Oilers -115

  8. #28
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    AAA Sports

    1* FREE PLAY Jazz+2 1/2.


    Both teams have been better than most thought they'd be this season, especially Zion Williamson and the Pelicans. New Orleans has indeed been fantastic, but I think it'll finally suffer a minor letdown here after its most recent 129-124 OT home win over the Suns. This is in fact the opener of two straigtht here in Utah between the clubs. Utah won 122-121 in OT as an 8.5-point underdog over the Pels back on October 23rd, and I believe they have a legitimate shot at duplicating that ouright success here as well; consider Utah on Tuesday!
    AAA Sports

  9. #29
    Senior Member ConleyPicks's Avatar
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    Info Plays

    1* FREE INFO PLAY on Portland State vs Santa Clara over 152 1/2 -110

  10. #30
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    Totals Guru

    Free Total Annihilator On Coyotes vs Sharks under 6 1/2 -105

  11. #31
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    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



    Mountaineer Park - Race #2 - Post: 7:25pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,900 Class Rating: 73

    Rating:

    #1 BOO BE RIGHT (ML=5/2)


    BOO BE RIGHT - This front-runner should profit from this contest's shorter distance. Just look at his recent rating, 73. That one fits in this group. This gelding is in good form, having run a strong race on Nov 29th, finishing second.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #6 HONOR LIFE (ML=8/5), #2 GIANT TRICK (ML=4/1), #5 CHATTERMAN (ML=8/1),

    HONOR LIFE - I find it hard to wager on any entrant in a sprint event at 8/5 when he hasn't shown any competitive efforts in sprints in the last sixty days. GIANT TRICK - Just cannot wager on this runner. Didn't show me anything in the last race or on September 16th. CHATTERMAN - A bit of a lackluster effort when this gelding finished fourth. This gelding recorded a rating in his last clash which probably isn't good enough in today's event.


    STRAIGHT WAGERS: Go with #1 BOO BE RIGHT on top if we're getting at least 1/1 odds
    EXACTA WAGERS: Skip

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Pass
    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass

  12. #32
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    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Parx Racing

    Parx Racing - Race 3
    Daily Double / Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5) / Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta 10 cent Superfecta
    Claiming $7,500 • 1 1/8 Miles • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 75 • Purse: $22,000 • Post: 12:49
    (PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT ONE MILE OR OVER SINCE NOVEMBER 12 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
    Contenders
    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line
    Accept
    Odds

    Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. LARGE is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * LARGE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. MR. BR IGGS: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. ORIGO: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
    2
    LARGE
    3/1
    3/1
    1
    MR. BRIGGS
    4/1
    6/1
    8
    ORIGO
    6/1
    6/1

    P#
    Horse (In Running Style Order)
    Post
    Morn
    Line
    Running Style
    Good
    Class
    Good
    Speed
    Early Figure
    Finish Figure
    Platinum
    Figure
    1
    MR. BRIGGS
    1
    4/1
    Front-runner
    91
    78
    76.0
    53.0
    43.5
    2
    LARGE
    2
    3/1
    Alternator/Front-runner
    80
    73
    77.4
    71.4
    65.4
    8
    ORIGO
    8
    6/1
    Alternator/Front-runner
    76
    57
    68.0
    62.8
    55.3
    5
    D BLACK MAMBA
    5
    6/1
    Stalker
    74
    69
    66.8
    63.6
    52.1
    6
    WILL TAKE CONTROL
    6
    10/1
    Alternator/Stalker
    79
    69
    42.6
    62.6
    54.1
    4
    COMMISSIONER DAVE
    4
    10/1
    Trailer
    76
    65
    33.8
    63.0
    50.0
    9
    MY BROTHER NEIL
    9
    5/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    78
    69
    62.8
    45.8
    34.3
    7
    AMERICAN FORCES
    7
    15/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    82
    70
    44.8
    59.2
    51.7
    3
    LAWLESSNESS
    3
    15/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    81
    70
    44.4
    60.0
    47.0

  13. #33
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    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Zia Park

    Zia Park - Race 4
    $1 Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / 2nd Leg Pick 3/ 3rd Leg Pick 4
    Maiden Claiming $5,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3-5 CR: 52 • Purse: $12,000 • Post: 1:21P
    FOR MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000. NEW MEXICO BRED CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
    Contenders
    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line
    Accept
    Odds

    Race Type: Lone Front-runner. CHA CHING CHARLIE is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * EIGHT MAKAR: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surfac e. CHA CHING CHARLIE: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. RIO HATO: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. WHO'S ON THE RUN: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
    8
    EIGHT MAKAR
    8/1
    9/2
    4
    CHA CHING CHARLIE
    7/2
    6/1
    1
    RIO HATO
    3/1
    7/1
    3
    WHO'S ON THE RUN
    5/2
    9/1

    P#
    Horse (In Running Style Order)
    Post
    Morn
    Line
    Running Style
    Good
    Class
    Good
    Speed
    Early Figure
    Finish Figure
    Platinum
    Figure
    4
    CHA CHING CHARLIE
    4
    7/2
    Alternator/Front-runner
    51
    44
    43.0
    41.4
    30.4
    8
    EIGHT MAKAR
    8
    8/1
    Trailer
    68
    57
    27.0
    39.8
    35.8
    3
    WHO'S ON THE RUN
    3
    5/2
    Trailer
    54
    45
    21.0
    43.8
    37.3
    1
    RIO HATO
    1
    3/1
    Alternator/Trailer
    49
    53
    40.0
    41.6
    35.1
    6
    CLOWN OIL
    6
    10/1
    Alternator/Trailer
    0
    0
    21.2
    42.2
    33.7
    2
    HOLLYWOOD PRINCE
    2
    10/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    0
    0
    76.8
    36.0
    27.0
    5
    LEA COSTA ME
    5
    6/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    55
    39
    33.2
    24.2
    11.2
    7
    FEISTY TOWN
    7
    12/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    51
    34
    27.1
    36.0
    23.5

  14. #34
    Senior Member ConleyPicks's Avatar
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    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mahoning Valley Race Course

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.




    Race 3 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $33700 Class Rating: 52

    FOR ACCREDITED OHIO BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 12 ALLOWED 2 LBS.

    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    # 2 REYS PINA COLADA 8/1
    # 3 TV TIZ GORGEOUS 5/2
    # 6 SEEKING THE MONEY 9/5

    REYS PINA COLADA is the strongest bet in this race and could score at a price in here. Tough to pass on this filly with Rivera in the irons. The average class figure alone makes this entrant a solid contender.

  15. #35
    Senior Member ConleyPicks's Avatar
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    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turf Paradise

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.




    Race 6 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $10400 Class Rating: 77

    FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE JUNE 12, 2022 OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 12 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000

    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    # 1 RED BOTTOM REBEL 7/2
    # 5 CLUBHOUSE SAINT 4/1
    # 10 SHOE GAME 6/1

    I've got to go with RED BOTTOM REBEL. The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Martinez running at this distance are the most favorable in this group of animals. With a solid 78 average Equibase speed fig at the distance, seems well suited for today's contest. Hernandez has a win percentage of 22 over the last 30 days. CLUBHOUSE SAINT - Ran a sharp last race. Has to be given a shot against this field displaying solid figs recently and an average speed fig of 71 under similar conditions. SHOE GAME - Ran a strong last race. Silva has one of the most competitive winning percentages in this group of horses in this race with entries running at this distance and surface.

  16. #36
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    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



    Parx Racing - Race #9 - Post: 3:31pm - Starter Allowance - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $30,000 Class Rating: 100

    Rating:

    #1 JUMP SHOT (ML=8/1)
    #8 YES IT'S ROO (ML=9/2)
    #6 AHSAD (ML=12/1)


    JUMP SHOT - This jockey and handler's horses have been generating a profitable return on investment. YES IT'S ROO - Wolfsont rode this mount for the initial time in the last race and comes right back in this race. I like to wager on this handicapping angle, a thoroughbred coming back off a good outing within the last 30 days. AHSAD - This front running sort is shortening up today. Should aid his chances to win. Look for this one to go all the way at some respectable odds right here. Ran fourth in last race, but not more than 5 from the lead at the finish. The improved speed figs over the last three races is solid. Wyner drops him in this event conditioned properly and ready to go.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #9 FLOAT ON (ML=3/1), #5 NIMBLE BEAST (ML=4/1), #7 PORTAL ONE (ML=8/1),

    FLOAT ON - I don't normally play a morning-line choice that hasn't been to the track in the last three weeks. PORTAL ONE - Today's race is 6 furlongs. Hasn't finished in the money in a short distance race in the last sixty days. Not the best of indicators.


    STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #1 JUMP SHOT to win if we can get at least 3/1 odds
    EXACTA WAGERS: Box [1,6,8]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Box [1,6,8] Total Cost: $6
    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None

  17. #37
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    Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Dover Downs

    P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
    RACE 13
    4 4 GOLDEN ELIXIR 12/1 Stafford, Art Jr - 16 553.85
    5 5 PRIMO VOMO 10/1 Berry, Pat - 11 425.60
    2 2 EXPLOSIVE HALL 8/1 Cole, Mike - 8 414.68
    3 3 JBN 6/1 Kirby, Victor - 12 404.84
    1 1 LOUS LANCELOT 5/2 Morgan, Anthony - 15 392.76
    9 9 FASHION HALL 9/2 Davis, Allan - 13 391.98
    6 6 GRIZZLY BARE 12/1 Davis, Tyler - 3 369.44
    8 8 MATS PALEMA 7/2 Napolitano, Geo. Jr - 19 363.33
    7 7 GOOVILLE 15/1 Callahan, Corey - 15 324.19

  18. #38
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    Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Saratoga Harness

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.



    Race 6 - Post: 1:40 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 84 - Purse:$16000 - FILLIES AND MARES - WINNERS OVER / OPEN HANDICAP W/O - POSTS 1 & 2 OPEN - POSTS 3-6 SARATOGA
    CONSORTIUM CHOICES
    # 5 PROBERT 7/5
    # 4 ALWAYS WATCHING 5/2
    # 2 PAMMY JO 10/1

    The choice for this race is PROBERT. Might be there at a nice price tag. Unquestionably one to keep in your exotics. The number crunching team knows that speed is very important in harness racing. This solid standardbred will unlock our way to a nice trip to the winner's circle. She has very nice class statistics, averaging 85. Should be considered for a bet in this contest. ALWAYS WATCHING - The brain trust knows that speed is very important in harness racing. This standardbred will unlock our way to a nice top prize. A very nice class horse shouldn't be be forgotten. With an average class number of 83 all signs say it's go time. PAMMY JO - Gray is racking up the wins recently. Exemplary win statistic makes this interesting entrant our selection.

  19. #39
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    Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Monticello Raceway

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.



    Race 1 - Post: 12:10 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 70 - Purse:$4600 - NW $405 PS L5 OR PS IN 2022 $7100 PC LS AE: NW 6 PM LT AE:$6000 CLM W/A B PARKER 1 OVER 6
    CONSORTIUM CHOICES
    # 1 MAGNIFICENTCHAPTER 5/2
    # 4 P L PANDORA 3/1
    # 5 WHAT A PITTSTOP 6/1

    MAGNIFICENTCHAPTER will have you running to the cashier's window in this event. Hard to put finger on it, but love him in this contest. This competition could very well be controlled by this gelding. A single look at the avgerage speed rating will verify that. Could dominate this bunch, just look at the speed fig - 67 - from his last effort. P L PANDORA - The 4 hole sports a well above average win percent at Monticello Raceway. Don't count out this entrant, especially with Gilmour as the trainer. In the money figure is terrific. WHAT A PITTSTOP - Has a formidable shot in this one, if he can repeat his back class.

  20. #40
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    Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Yonkers Raceway

    P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
    RACE 9
    3 3 CHANGE STRIDE N 4/1 Bongiorno, Joe - 13 525.04
    4 4 LYONS JOHNNYJNR 7/5 Kakaley, Matt - 19 521.96
    1 1 MACHIAVELLI 5/2 Bartlett, Jason - 26 511.16
    7 7 PLAY THE FIELD 20/1 Boyd, Braxten - 10 498.47
    2 2 DEETZY 7/1 Holland, Brent - 10 484.32
    6 6 KINGSTONS BAD BOY 12/1 Gingras, Yannick - 17 472.70
    5 5 AINTNOBETTOR A 10/1 Siegelman, Austin - 10 471.34

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