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Thread: Wednesday 12/14/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

  1. #41
    Senior Member ConleyPicks's Avatar
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    Mike Williams

    1* on Western Kentucky -7 -110

  2. #42
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    Ricky Tran

    Ricky's 1* play on CAL-150.
    Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the history of these teams is quite significant.
    Key Trends:
    - The Flames are 35-17 in their last 52 home games.
    - The Flames are 4-0 in their last 4 versus. Western Conference.
    - The Canucks are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.
    Verdict: The value is on the home favorite.

  3. #43
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    Rk Sports Services Free Sports Picks
    1. NSA(The Legend) NBA – Knicks +4
    2. Gameday Network NBA – Pistons +2.5
    3. Sports Action 365 NBA – Warriors -1.5
    4. Vegas Line Crushers NBA – Cavaliers +2
    5. VegasSI.com NBA – Timberwolves +7
    6. Sam Casey CBB – UC Davis +15
    7. Henry Brown Sports CBB – Mississippi -6
    8. Winning Big Sports CBB – Appalachian St +12.5
    9. Lou Panelli CBB – Georgia Southern over 128
    10. Platinum Info Club CBB – Ohio +13.5
    11. William E. Stockton NHL – Canucks +155
    12. Vincent Pioli NHL – Wild -1.5
    13. Steve “Scoop” Kendall NHL – Canadiens under 6
    14. SCORE NHL – Red Wings over 6
    15. Tony Campone NHL – Canadiens +170
    16. Chicago Sports Group NBA – Thunder +2.5
    17. Hollywood Sportsline NBA – Wizards +9.5
    18. VIP Action NBA – Kings under 232
    19. South Beach Sports NBA – Warriors under 238.5
    20. LV Sports Commission NBA – Cavaliers over 217
    21. NY Players Club CBB – Stephen F Austin +5
    22. Fred Callahan CBB – UCLA +1
    23. LV Private CEO Club CBB – Va Commonwealth -10
    24. Michigan Sports CBB – UC San Diego +15
    25. National Consensus Report CBB – Mississippi over 130

  4. #44
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    1.Elite Sports Picks NBA Minnesota +6.5
    2. Primetime Sports Picks NBA Miami -2.5
    3. National Sports Service CBB UCF +6
    4. The Sports Consensus CBB Appalachian St. +12.5
    5. Insider Sports Report CBB Stephen F Austin +5
    6. Mikey Balhan Sports CBB DePaul +3
    7. Top Rank Sports Picks CBB SE Missouri St +3.5
    8. Profit On Sports CBB Georgia Southern -5
    9. Doc's Picks NBA Spurs +7.5

  5. #45
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    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



    Charles Town - Race #2 - Post: 7:30pm - SO - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $23,000 Class Rating: 91

    Rating:

    #4 AARON'S TAP (ML=8/1)
    #7 NOT A TRICK (ML=15/1)
    #2 GOLDEN APPEAL (ML=9/2)


    AARON'S TAP - State bred races are generally easier than 'open' company, and this gelding's move into the 'state bred' class today should make him tough in here. This horse absolutely loves this oval. All his trips to the winner's circle have been here at Charles Town. I am keen on that last contest on November 17th at Charles Town where he finished third. This horse collects a lot of dough per race. In the top spot in this affair. This horse is in great demand coming off two claims in his last two starts. Don't overlook this gelding in your wagering today. NOT A TRICK - Ho and Dunham perform well when they join forces. It's hard to beat a +138 return on investment for a rider and trainer. Lets try to beat the favorites with this gelding. Just missed last out, but ran a pretty good race. GOLDEN APPEAL - Gelding's last race was against tougher open company. He's in with easier 'state breds' today. This animal has increased his speed ratings from a fig of 67 to 83 to 89 right in a row.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #3 AUBURN MILL (ML=7/5), #6 MARTIN MAN (ML=5/1), #5 TAPPIN FOR GLORY (ML=6/1),

    AUBURN MILL - You should normally wager against morning-line favorites that haven't raced or show no activity in the morning over the last 3 weeks. MARTIN MAN - Doubtful for this horse to make an impact with no recent success in a sprint event. TAPPIN FOR GLORY - Didn't hit the board on October 22nd at Delaware Park. Followed it up with another less than stellar try.


    STRAIGHT WAGERS: #4 AARON'S TAP to win at post-time odds of 7/2 or better
    EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,4,7]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Box [2,4,7] Total Cost: $6
    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass

  6. #46
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    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.




    Race 1 - SO - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $35000 Class Rating: 95

    FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $20,000 OR LESS SINCE DECEMBER 14, 2020 OR CLAIMING PRICE $32,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 14 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $32,000 (IF DEEMED

    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    # 2 MIDNIGHT BELLA 9/2
    # 1 DAKOTA DANCER 12/1
    # 5 CLASSIC LADY 2/1

    I think MIDNIGHT BELLA is a competitive choice. Should best this group of horses in this race here, showing respectable figs of late. Has been racing strongly in races of this distance, going 2 out of 9 under similar conditions. Ran a very strong last race. DAKOTA DANCER - Appears to be the type to be helped on Lasix here. Has decent front speed and will most likely fare admirably against this group of horses in this race. CLASSIC LADY - Appears to be the type to be helped with second time Lasix here. Clement has one of the best winning percentages in this group with entries running at this distance and surface.




  7. #47
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    Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Tampa Bay Downs


    12/14/22, TAM, Race 7, 3.25 ET
    12/14/22,TAM,7,1M [Turf] 1:33:01 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $24,500 (includes up to $1,500 FOA - Florida Owners Awards). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $25,000 OR LESS IN 2021 - 2022. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since November 14 Allowed 2 lbs. (Races Where Entered For $20,000Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (Condition Eligibility). (If deemed inadvisable by management to run this race over the turf course, it will be run on the main track at One Mile and Forty Yards.).
    . . . .
    Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
    After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
    Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
    100.0000 3 Its a Wrap 10/1 Lozada C Arnett Jon G. SFC 201 21.39 1.33/$1
    097.8168 8 Prairie 3/1 Camacho S Sillaman Richard P. L 201 21.39 1.33/$1
    097.3763 1 Harrow 6/1 Morales P Hamm Timothy E. J 201 21.39 1.33/$1
    096.9988 6 Smithwick's Spice 6/1 Gallardo A A Nunn Douglas E 201 21.39 1.33/$1
    096.8473 10 Sandy Lane Kitten 5/1 Quinonez A Cruz Jesus 201 23.88 1.18/$1
    096.3544 5 Dream Liner (BRZ) 9/2 Centeno D Wilson Tony 201 21.39 1.33/$1
    096.0088 9 J Beresford Tipton 6/1 Suarez A Delacour Arnaud T 201 21.39 1.33/$1
    095.4670 7 Tapsasional 12/1 Castanon J L O'Connell Kathleen 201 21.39 1.33/$1
    093.1070 4 Ohana Empire 20/1 Gonzalez J L Pimental John I. W 201 21.39 1.33/$1
    091.6039 2 Treasure Run 30/1 Marin S Rarick Lynn 201 21.39 1.33/$1
    Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 35.48, ROI 1.71/$1
    Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.1832
    [Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
    Workouts Dirt Last 6 (M)

  8. #48
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    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



    Gulfstream Park - Race #7 - Post: 3:05pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $70,000 Class Rating: 81

    Rating:

    #1 RITA MARGA (ML=4/1)
    #2 HOT FOOT SUSIE (ML=9/2)


    RITA MARGA - Coming off a fifth place finish at Gulfstream Park, some may skip this horse. I'm not. She just missed hitting the show spot, and has pretty decent morning odds today. The improved speed figs over the last three races is solid. Danner drops her in this event conditioned to win. HOT FOOT SUSIE - This horse wins a lot of cash per race around the track. Tops in this event. Lasix can take some getting used to, especially for a filly. They usually hit stride the 2nd time using it, like we have with this horse.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #6 LIANA B (ML=3/1), #3 SHE'S AWESOME (ML=7/2), #7 MYSTICAL JOURNEY (ML=5/1),

    LIANA B - Can't play this runner in today's sprint of 6 furlongs. Hasn't even hit the board in a short distance affair recently. SHE'S AWESOME - Just don't believe she is worth it at the expected odds. MYSTICAL JOURNEY - This entrant hasn't been close at the finish recently. Doubtful that the rating she registered on June 16th will hold up in this contest.


    STRAIGHT WAGERS: Go with #1 RITA MARGA on top if we're getting at least 3/2 odds
    EXACTA WAGERS: Box [1,2]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    None
    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None

    SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
    None

  9. #49
    Senior Member ConleyPicks's Avatar
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    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Evangeline Downs

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.




    Race 4 - Allowance - 330y on the Dirt. Purse: $14000 Class Rating: 91

    QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR TWO YEAR OLDS. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.

    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    # 4 FAVORITE WINNER 9/5
    # 8 TH MAI TAI TOM 15/1
    # 6 PRETTY PILOTO 7/2

    I've got to go with FAVORITE WINNER. Overall the Speed Figures of this animal look very good in this contest. Should compete strongly in the early pace clash which bodes well with this group of animals. Have to look at solely on class, with some of the strongest class numbers of this group. TH MAI TAI TOM - He has been running quite well and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the strongest in this field. PRETTY PILOTO - Is a solid choice - given the 85 speed figure from her most recent race. Overall the Equibase Speed Figs of this racer look very good in this contest.

  10. #50
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    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Penn National

    Penn National - Race 4
    W-P-S / Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / Daily Double $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) / $1.00 Pick 5 (Races 4-8)
    Optional Claiming $25,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 89 • Purse: $28,900 • Post: 7:22P
    (PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR PENNSYLVANIA BRED OR CLAIMING PRICE $25,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 14 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 14 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $25,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).
    Contenders
    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line
    Accept
    Odds

    Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. TODO SOLA is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * TODO SOLA: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. TAPIT'S GIRL: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. MOONSAFE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race withi n the last 30 days. BETTY'S SMILE: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
    5
    TODO SOLA
    7/2
    7/2
    2
    TAPIT'S GIRL
    8/1
    6/1
    8
    MOONSAFE
    9/2
    9/1
    3
    BETTY'S SMILE
    10/1
    10/1

    P#
    Horse (In Running Style Order)
    Post
    Morn
    Line
    Running Style
    Good
    Class
    Good
    Speed
    Early Figure
    Finish Figure
    Platinum
    Figure
    5
    TODO SOLA
    5
    7/2
    Front-runner
    84
    88
    95.0
    79.6
    71.1
    9
    PROPOSITION
    9
    8/1
    Front-runner
    86
    73
    89.6
    57.6
    48.6
    3
    BETTY'S SMILE
    3
    10/1
    Front-runner
    79
    75
    78.0
    73.8
    58.8
    4
    HONORABLE LILLY
    4
    15/1
    Front-runner
    79
    71
    72.4
    54.0
    37.5
    2
    TAPIT'S GIRL
    2
    8/1
    Alternator/Front-runner
    82
    81
    64.6
    77.6
    67.6
    7
    SIX O'CLOCK SARAH
    7
    2/1
    Stalker
    84
    79
    92.6
    77.2
    69.7
    8
    MOONSAFE
    8
    9/2
    Stalker
    93
    85
    72.0
    79.6
    72.6
    1
    BRAMBLE BUSH
    1
    10/1
    Alternator/Stalker
    88
    75
    72.0
    75.8
    65.3
    6
    TIMELY TRADITION
    6
    12/1
    Trailer
    93
    83
    72.2
    75.8
    70.8

  11. #51
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    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Turfway Park

    Turfway Park - Race 4
    Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / Double 50 cent Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6)
    Maiden Special • 1 1/16 Miles • All-Weather • Age 2 CR: 76 • Purse: $70,000 • Post: 7:25P
    FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 119 LBS. (PREFERENCE TO HORSES THAT HAVE NOT STARTED FOR LESS THAN $30,000).
    Contenders
    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line
    Accept
    Odds

    Race Type: Lone Front-runner. WEEHAWKEN is the Lone Front-runner of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * BOLTORO: Horse has a 4F workout since its last race, and th e workout time is faster than its own half-mile time in its last race. GONNA CUT IT: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. PERFECT ROSE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Eq uibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. TIME TO RACE: Maiden finished second in its last race and finished three lengths or more ahead of the third place horse.
    1
    BOLTORO
    3/1
    7/2
    5
    GONNA CUT IT
    7/2
    7/1
    4
    PERFECT ROSE
    30/1
    9/1
    2
    TIME TO RACE
    15/1
    10/1

    P#
    Horse (In Running Style Order)
    Post
    Morn
    Line
    Running Style
    Good
    Class
    Good
    Speed
    Early Figure
    Finish Figure
    Platinum
    Figure
    10
    WEEHAWKEN
    10
    7/2
    Alternator/Front-runner
    74
    54
    31.3
    51.2
    39.7
    1
    BOLTORO
    1
    3/1
    Alternator/Stalker
    79
    74
    66.3
    71.1
    66.1
    9
    CATSKILL HUMOR
    9
    5/2
    Trailer
    0
    0
    66.4
    66.4
    62.4
    2
    TIME TO RACE
    2
    15/1
    Trailer
    73
    63
    59.7
    59.7
    51.2
    8
    NAUTICAL MILE
    8
    10/1
    Trailer
    0
    0
    49.3
    49.3
    35.8
    7
    ARRANMORE
    7
    20/1
    Trailer
    0
    0
    49.3
    44.6
    27.6
    5
    GONNA CUT IT
    5
    7/2
    Alternator/Trailer
    74
    65
    77.7
    61.6
    55.1
    6
    CHICA CHULA
    6
    15/1
    Alternator/Trailer
    70
    59
    71.4
    66.9
    53.9
    4
    PERFECT ROSE
    4
    30/1
    Alternator/Trailer
    75
    68
    51.3
    55.3
    40.8
    3
    OPTIMIZME
    3
    20/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    0
    0
    54.0
    54.0
    39.5

  12. #52
    Senior Member ConleyPicks's Avatar
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    Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Dayton Raceway

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.



    Race 14 - Post: 8:46 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 66 - Purse:$12000 - HOLLYWOOD MINI SERIES FILLIES & MARES N/W 1 PM RACE OR $10,000 LIFETIME
    CONSORTIUM CHOICES
    # 4 HOTSHOT BETSY 2/1
    # 10 HOPE IM AN ICON 3/1
    # 6 CRUISIN FLOWER 8/1

    Look no further than HOTSHOT BETSY as the bet in here. Could provide us a win based on respectable recent TrackMaster Speed Ratings - earning an average of 72. It's tricky to consider based only on class, but this filly has among the best class figures of the grouping. Earned a 64 TrackMaster speed fig last out. A duplicate showing here should get the win this time. HOPE IM AN ICON - Could beat this group, just look at the speed figure - 63 - from her last outing. CRUISIN FLOWER - Has been running solidly lately and her style of running should result in a sharp performance.

  13. #53
    Senior Member ConleyPicks's Avatar
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    Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at The Meadows

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.



    Race 8 - Post: 3:05 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 72 - Purse:$11800 - CD 2-6YO F& M WINNERS OF 2 BUT NOT MORE THAN 4 EXT PM RACES OR $30,000 LIFE
    CONSORTIUM CHOICES
    # 5 CATHY HANOVER 3/1
    # 3 TWO FRISKIE TO PET 5/2
    # 6 LIL CHAR 7/2

    Really keen on the chance of CATHY HANOVER taking down the winner's share for this one. Has one of the strongest win statistics in the grouping and may be able to add to those figures right here. The wagering panel will always toss in a standardbred from the 5 post here at The Meadows, definite exotic possibilities. TWO FRISKIE TO PET - Certainly should be given a look based on the really strong speed fig recorded in the last contest. This interesting entrant and Simpson have an excellent working relationship. In the money percent for this match is high. LIL CHAR - Have to make Merriman the wager here if only for the last thirty days win percent. Big chance for the ultimate prize. We can't pass on this filly given one of the best driver/trainer figures around.

  14. #54
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    Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Flamboro Downs

    P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
    RACE 9
    5 5 POINTOMYGRANSON 2/1 Kelly, Colin - 15 505.16
    3 3 LORD ANTHONY 4/1 Coulter, Scott - 16 500.88
    4 4 CAPITANO ITALIANO 3/1 Macdonald, Brett A - 16 492.25
    1 1 P L JACKSON 5/2 Cullen, Travis A - 26 485.42
    2 2 J J POWERBALL 6/1 Sorrie, Austin - 16 467.02
    7 7 PRESTIGE SEELSTER 10/1 Borth, Tyler J - 12 443.41
    6 6 ATTHEBEACH HANOVER 8/1 Fillion, Samuel - 9 420.34

  15. #55
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    Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Monticello Raceway

    P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
    RACE 8
    2 2 BLATANTLY BEST 4/1 Taggart, Jim Jr - 18 468.43
    7 7 THISJETSABOOKIN 5/2 Stratton, Cory - 15 438.32
    4 4 IT'S RIGGED 6/1 Devaux, Jim - 15 438.26
    5 5 BIG MONEY MIKE 3/1 Sowers, Mcgwire - 15 429.30
    1 1 BUELLER 8/1 Parker, Brandon - 15 423.40
    6 6 BURNING MIDNIGHT 7/2 Chindano, Joseph Jr - 17 410.63
    3 3 HARD WORKIN' MAN 9/2 Dibenedetto, Kyle - 8 400.77
    8 8 NIHILATED TRUTH 12/1 Harp, Rick - 5 370.52

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