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Keeneland Select Pick of the Day | December 26, 2022
Dec. 23, 2022
Race 11 at Santa Anita | Monday December 26 | Post Time 7 PM Eastern
American Oaks – Grade 1 | Purse $300,000 | One Mile and One-Quarter on Turf | Fillies, Three Years Old
Top contenders:
Skims (7) was bred in England but has run only in North America, nine times to be exact. The two most recent races are the most relevant as they were huge efforts when second (beaten a head) in the Dueling Grounds Oaks in September and when first in the Grade 2 Sands Point Stakes in mid-October. She’s the ONLY filly in the field to have won a Grade 2 race this year. The Dueling Grounds Oaks was run at one mile and five-sixteenths to that’s another plus as the mile and one-quarter trip will be no issue. Jockey John Velazquez was up for the first time in the Sands Point and comes to the west coast to ride the filly again. As a daughter of incomparable race horse and sire Frankel, Skims looks very tough in this situation.
That being said, Sparkle Blue (2) is another to strongly consider as a contender as she’s done little wrong in her last three races, all stakes. She finished second in the Virginia Oaks in September then won the Grade 3 Valley View Stakes at Keeneland at the end of October. Joel Rosario was aboard for the first time in that race and rides her back. Although she’s never raced farther than nine furlongs, I have little doubt Sparkle Blue can get this longer trip as she’s out of the mare Silk n’ Sapphire, who produced Shared Account, a multiple stakes winner on grass of over $1.6 million including the Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf in 2010.
Pizza Bianca (8) may go favored in this deep field by virtue of being one of only two horses who raced at the grade 1 stakes level in their most recent starts, the other being Mise En Scene (6). Pizza Bianca was third in the Grade 1 Matriarch Stakes at the beginning of the month but that effort may be better than it looks on paper because although she was beaten five and one-quarter lengths, winner Regal Glory drew off by more than five lengths while Pizza Bianca rallied strongly from sixth to miss second by a nose in the photo. She won the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf back in 2021 at Del Mar and is winless in her last three races, including when fourth behind Skims in the Sands Point, but she was returning from four months off that day and was the nine to five favorite and perhaps now that she has two races under her belt, the last one her first start in southern California, she may be approaching top form good enough to compete here once again.
There are no real knocks on another quarter of runners here – Rhea Moon (1), Bellstreet Bridie (5), Mise En Scene (6) and Salimah (9), with three of the four having won stakes races in their most recent starts. With it likely there will be some value among them, I will include them in second on some exacta tickets below.
Win bets:
Win bets can absolutely be made on Skims (7) and on Sparkle Blue (2) at 3 to 1 or higher odds.
Exactas:
Box Sparkle Blue (2), Skims (7) and Pizza Bianca (8).
Sparkle Blue (2), Skims (7) and Pizza Bianca (8) over Rhea Moon (1), Sparkle Blue (2), Bellstreet Bridie (5), Mise En Scene (6), Skims (7), Pizza Bianca (8) and Salimah (9)
Santa Anita Tip Sheet - December 26
Dec. 25, 2022
Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 67% of the time at this track
RACE #1 $200,000 STAKES
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:00 PM ETPICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 3-1 7 Sumter M E Smith PLACE 2-1 1 Balnikhov T Gaffalione SHOW 5-1 6 Handy Dandy J Rosario WILD CARD 8-1 4 Time to Party J Bravo ALTERNATE 1 5-2 3 Im A Gambler F Prat ALTERNATE 2 10-1 2 One More Bid R A Vazquez * EXACTA: 7-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX * TRIFECTA: 1/6/7 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX RACE #2 $67,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:33 PM ETBEST BET: #2 PURIFIED PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 2-1 2 Purified J R Velazquez PLACE 7-2 3 Bletchley Park J J Hernandez SHOW 3-1 6 Palagio V Espinoza WILD CARD 5-2 1 Princip F Prat ALTERNATE 1 6-1 5 Migration M E Smith ALTERNATE 2 15-1 4 Mastermind E A Maldonado * EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX * TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX RACE #3 $200,000 STAKES
1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:03 PM ET** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $200,000 SAN GABRIEL STAKES GRADE II PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 2-1 2 Masteroffoxhounds M E Smith PLACE 5-2 6 Prince Abama F Prat SHOW 10-1 1 Rip City E A Maldonado WILD CARD 3-1 3 Dicey Mo Chara J J Hernandez ALTERNATE 1 6-1 5 Bob and Jackie J Valdivia Jr. ALTERNATE 2 10-1 7 Flashiest J Rosario * EXACTA: 2-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX * TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX COMMENTS: MASTEROFFOXHOUNDS is a neck from winning two in a row and never missed the money is six at Santa Anita. PRINCE ABAMA has three seconds and a third at the Worlds Most Beautiful Track. RIP CITY is a horse for the course too with four wins and three seconds in nine tries. DICEY MO CHARA should improve in his second start off the break. RACE #4 $67,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:32 PM ETPICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 3-1 7 Worcester J J Hernandez PLACE 2-1 3 Faustin R A Vazquez SHOW 5-2 5 Yellow Brick F Prat WILD CARD 8-1 1 Jam Session K Kimura ALTERNATE 1 6-1 4 Sonoran J R Velazquez ALTERNATE 2 12-1 2 Vegas Burner K Frey * EXACTA: 7-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX * TRIFECTA: 3/5/7 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX RACE #5 $67,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:02 PM ETPICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 5-2 5 Dandy Man Shines U Rispoli PLACE 3-1 2 Hawker J Rosario SHOW 30-1 12 Zio Jo J J Hernandez WILD CARD 4-1 4 Maltese Falcon F Prat ALTERNATE 1 8-1 10 Smart Code K Frey ALTERNATE 2 8-1 8 Low Expectations M Gutierrez * EXACTA: 5-2 BOX, 2-12 BOX, 12-4 BOX * TRIFECTA: 2/5/12 BOX, 2/4/12 BOX RACE #6 $200,000 STAKES
1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:32 PM ET** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $200,000 SAN ANTONIO STAKES GRADE II PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 7-5 6 Country Grammer L Dettori PLACE 6-1 1 Hopkins J J Hernandez SHOW 7-2 5 Heywoods Beach R A Vazquez WILD CARD 4-1 3 Breakfast Ride J Rosario ALTERNATE 1 5-1 2 Stilleto Boy M E Smith ALTERNATE 2 6-1 4 Hudson Ridge F Prat * EXACTA: 6-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX * TRIFECTA: 1/5/6 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX COMMENTS: COUNTRY GRAMMER is consistently a very high performer for trainer Bob Baffert. HOPKINS could be very dangerous if he runs back to his debut. HEYWOODS BEACH improved his speed numbers in three straight races. BREAKFAST RIDE won three of his last four races RACE #7 $72,000 ALLOWANCE
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DOWNHILL TURF - POST TIME: 5:05 PM ETBEST BET: #1 FLAME MCGOON PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 5-1 1 Flame McGoon R Curatolo PLACE 7-2 8 Big Beauty F Prat SHOW 6-1 11 True Patriot J J Hernandez WILD CARD 5-1 9 La Deuxieme Etoile L Dettori ALTERNATE 1 12-1 4 Big Shamrock E A Maldonado ALTERNATE 2 8-1 2 Smiling Molly R A Vazquez * EXACTA: 1-8 BOX, 8-11 BOX, 11-9 BOX * TRIFECTA: 1/8/11 BOX, 8/9/11 BOX RACE #8 $300,000 STAKES
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:35 PM ET** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $300,000 LA BREA STAKES GRADE I PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 5-2 4 Midnight Memories R A Vazquez PLACE 5-1 6 Fun to Dream J J Hernandez SHOW 4-1 3 Ganadora J R Velazquez WILD CARD 7-2 1 Under the Stars F Prat ALTERNATE 1 6-1 5 Aint Easy J Rosario ALTERNATE 2 8-1 2 Hot Peppers T Gaffalione * EXACTA: 4-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX * TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX COMMENTS: MIDNIGHT MEMORIES win four of five races and has some nice workouts getting ready. FUN TO DREAM as won four of five with some strong works since her last. GANADORA won three of four and has two bullet works and could make it a Baffert trifecta. UNDER THE STARS is another Baffert horse and maybe he goes one through four for the superfecta. RACE #9 $72,000 ALLOWANCE
1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:08 PM ETBEST BET: #3 BALLET DANCING PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 4-1 3 Ballet Dancing L Dettori PLACE 8-1 10 Leisurewear J J Hernandez SHOW 6-1 7 Myfavoritedaughter J Bravo WILD CARD 5-1 12 Karakatsie J Rosario ALTERNATE 1 6-1 13 Maeve of Connaught U Rispoli ALTERNATE 2 12-1 2 Precious Baby M E Smith * EXACTA: 3-10 BOX, 10-7 BOX, 7-12 BOX * TRIFECTA: 3/7/10 BOX, 7/10/12 BOX RACE #10 $300,000 STAKES
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:39 PM ET** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $300,000 MALIBU STAKES GRADE I PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 6-5 6 Taiba M E Smith PLACE 20-1 9 Straight No Chaser E A Maldonado SHOW 3-1 1 Forbidden Kingdom J J Hernandez WILD CARD 8-1 3 Apprehend R A Vazquez ALTERNATE 1 12-1 7 Perfect Flight R Santana Jr. ALTERNATE 2 6-1 2 Messier J R Velazquez * EXACTA: 6-9 BOX, 9-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX * TRIFECTA: 1/6/9 BOX, 1/3/9 BOX COMMENTS: TAIBA hit triple digit speed figures in five of six races and looks like the class here. STRAIGHT NO CHASER could ne a live longshot coming off a wire to wire win. FORBIDDEN KINGDOM missed as the favorite in her last. Trainer Richard Mandella rebounds at 27 percent. APPREHENDED is undefeated in a pair at Santa Anita. RACE #11 $300,000 STAKES
1 1/4 MILES ON THE DOWNHILL TURF - POST TIME: 7:11 PM ET** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $300,000 AMERICAN OAKS GRADE I PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 8-1 1 Rhea Moon J J Hernandez PLACE 15-1 11 School Dance R A Vazquez SHOW 7-2 9 Salimah F Prat WILD CARD 8-1 2 Sparkle Blue J Rosario ALTERNATE 1 4-1 5 Bellstreet Bridie M E Smith * EXACTA: 1-11 BOX, 11-9 BOX, 9-2 BOX * TRIFECTA: 1/9/11 BOX, 2/9/11 BOX COMMENTS: RHEA MOON has three wins with three seconds and third in seven on grass. SCHOOL DANCE won three in a row and is not that from winning six of the last seven. SALIMAH won thee out of four starts and ships in from New Your for trainer Chad Brown. SPARKLE BLUE consistently runs hard at the end and should not be too far from the pace here.
Fair Grounds Tip Sheet - December 26
Dec. 25, 2022
Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 64% of the time at this track.
RACE #1 $60,000 ALLOWANCE
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:00 PM ETBEST BET: #8 BASALT STREET PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 3-1 8 Basalt Street J Loveberry PLACE 9-2 5 Shesabeautydancer F Geroux SHOW 9-2 4 Graceleadsushome J Graham WILD CARD 4-1 3 Maestria M Murrill ALTERNATE 1 10-1 9 Candys Pride A Castillo ALTERNATE 2 6-1 7 Funkylittleshack M Pedroza Jr. * EXACTA: 8-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX * TRIFECTA: 4/5/8 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX RACE #2 $60,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:30 PM ETBEST BET: #8 ALLNIGHT MOONLIGHT PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 7-2 8 Allnight Moonlight J Loveberry PLACE 6-1 11 F T W Slam J Graham SHOW 9-2 1A Anders Smile M Pedroza Jr. WILD CARD 8-1 9 El Deal Me Aces R Gutierrez ALTERNATE 1 8-1 5 Le Monstre Rapide D Cohen ALTERNATE 2 10-1 3 Custom Cadillac B Culp * EXACTA: 8-11 BOX, 11-1 BOX, 1-9 BOX * TRIFECTA: 1/8/11 BOX, 1/9/11 BOX RACE #3 $100,000 STAKES
1 MILE 70 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:00 PM ET** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 JOSEPH SPANKY BROUSSARD STAKES PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 7-5 5 Charlies Penny J Loveberry PLACE 4-1 3 Powder River F Geroux SHOW 5-2 1 Moon Swag L Saez WILD CARD 6-1 4 Lil Kings Princess R Gutierrez ALTERNATE 1 8-1 2 Bow Bow Girl J Graham * EXACTA: 5-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX * TRIFECTA: 1/3/5 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX COMMENTS: CHARLIES PENNY ran the top last race speed figure and has some decent works since. POWDER RIVER finished in the trifecta nine races in a row. MOON SWAG ran a little better fractions in her last and could improve in third race after a 13 months in the barn. Take your picks between BOW BOW GIRL or LIL KINGS PRINCESS. RACE #4 $100,000 STAKES
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:30 PM ET** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 SUGAR BOWL STAKES PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 7-2 6 Late September L Saez PLACE 8-5 3 Corona Bolt F Geroux SHOW 5-2 1 Distorted Pro M Pedroza Jr. WILD CARD 10-1 4 Machine Gun Man J Graham ALTERNATE 1 9-2 5 Toddchero J Loveberry ALTERNATE 2 8-1 2 Alto Road C J Hernandez * EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX * TRIFECTA: 1/3/6 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX COMMENTS: LATE SEPTEMBER win his last by more than 2 lengths with best last race speed number. CORONA BOLT won his debut with ease and gets first Lasix here. DISTORTED PRO ran better race internal numbers from beginning to end in his last effort. MACHINE GUN MAN hit the board in five of five on a fast track and six of seven overall. RACE #5 $60,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:00 PM ETPICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 3-1 3 Woodythebidspotter F Geroux PLACE 8-1 4 Rate Confirmation E Morales SHOW 9-2 10 Gametime Gladiator R Gutierrez WILD CARD 20-1 6 Gem Collection A Beschizza ALTERNATE 1 4-1 9 Silver Heist C J Lanerie ALTERNATE 2 8-1 8 Sense You Asked C J Hernandez * EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-10 BOX, 10-6 BOX * TRIFECTA: 3/4/10 BOX, 4/6/10 BOX RACE #6 $100,000 STAKES
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:30 PM ET** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 BLUSKING STAKES PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 8-1 3 Wave of Goodness M Murrill PLACE 6-1 1 Island Hideaway A Beschizza SHOW 7-2 7 Lake Lucerne B J Hernandez Jr. WILD CARD 8-1 2 Mo Clares J Loveberry ALTERNATE 1 3-1 6 A Mo Reay F Geroux ALTERNATE 2 7-2 4 Carpe Vinum R Gutierrez * EXACTA: 3-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX * TRIFECTA: 1/3/7 BOX, 1/2/7 BOX COMMENTS: WAVE OF GOODNESS can have some brilliant LP and has decent works since. ISLAND HIDEAWAY has a bullet work and goes right to the track. LAKE LUCERNE could be near peak form in her third start after a layoff. MO CLARES has plenty of early speed and will be involved from go to photo. RACE #7 $60,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:00 PM ETBEST BET: #6 MORE THAN FIVE PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 8-1 6 More Than Five R Gutierrez PLACE 9-2 8 Mobster L Saez SHOW 7-2 1 Spielman M Murrill WILD CARD 4-1 13 Single Ruler J Riquelme ALTERNATE 1 8-1 5 Amanwalksintoabar C J Hernandez ALTERNATE 2 12-1 10 Z Zs Prince M Pedroza Jr. * EXACTA: 6-8 BOX, 8-1 BOX, 1-13 BOX * TRIFECTA: 1/6/8 BOX, 1/8/13 BOX RACE #8 $100,000 STAKES
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:30 PM ET** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 LETELLIER MEMORIAL STAKES PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 5-2 2 Dazzling Blue F Geroux PLACE 7-2 4 Promise of Hope C J Lanerie SHOW 8-1 6 Miss Shipman J P Vargas WILD CARD 4-1 8 Twice as Sweet B J Hernandez Jr. ALTERNATE 1 6-1 3 Neutralize C J Hernandez ALTERNATE 2 10-1 1 Condensation L Machado * EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-8 BOX * TRIFECTA: 2/4/6 BOX, 4/6/8 BOX COMMENTS: DAZZLING BLUE went wire to wire in the debut and gets first Lasix. PROMISE OF HOPE won her first trip at FG with her career best effort. MISS SHIPMAN put together a complete race in her last and has two maintenance works since. TWICE AS SWEET won her last with the top speed figure and could go even higher with first Lasix. RACE #9 $100,000 STAKES
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:00 PM ET** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 RICHARD SCHERER STAKES PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 9-2 3 Tulane Tryst B J Hernandez Jr. PLACE 6-1 6 Surveillance J Graham SHOW 7-2 1 Bango E Morales WILD CARD 5-2 2 Miles Ahead M Garcia ALTERNATE 1 6-1 4 Heart Rhythm R Gutierrez ALTERNATE 2 3-1 7 Manny Wah C J Lanerie * EXACTA: 3-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX * TRIFECTA: 1/3/6 BOX, 1/2/6 BOX COMMENTS: TULANE TRYST has three wins and three seconds in six at the distance. SURVEILLANCE is undefeated in three at the Fair Grounds. BANGO rides the high win rate rail ands on a two race winning streak. MILES AHEAD won eight of 12 at the distance including the highest last race speed figure. RACE #10 $100,000 STAKES
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:30 PM ET** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 BUDDY DILIBERTO STAKES PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 6-1 9 Gentle Soul R Gutierrez PLACE 4-1 6 Spooky Channel J Graham SHOW 3-1 5 Captivating Moon J Loveberry WILD CARD 12-1 3 Big Agenda L Saez ALTERNATE 1 7-2 10 Runnin Ray M Garcia ALTERNATE 2 5-1 8 Spanish Kingdom B J Hernandez Jr. * EXACTA: 9-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX * TRIFECTA: 5/6/9 BOX, 3/5/6 BOX COMMENTS: GENTLE SOULD Is the top pick if he scratches into the race. SPOOKY CHANNEL has been off for more than a year but has a lot of back class. CAPTIVATING MOON has three seconds in four at the distance. BIG AGENDA ran faster fractions in his last despite going a little longer. RACE #11 $100,000 STAKES
1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:00 PM ET** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 GUN RUNNER STAKES PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 7-2 7 Andthewinneris C J Lanerie PLACE 7-2 3 Determinedly L Saez SHOW 8-1 6 Raise Cain L Machado WILD CARD 3-1 2 Jaces Road F Geroux ALTERNATE 1 7-2 1 Hayes Strike B J Hernandez Jr. ALTERNATE 2 10-1 4 Old Alliance C J Hernandez * EXACTA: 7-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX * TRIFECTA: 3/6/7 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX COMMENTS: ANDTHEWINNERIS makes his first start since the Grade I Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf. DETERMINDELY won his last by more than 7 lengths and continues to get stronger in the stretch. RAISE CAIN comes back to the track after a short rest and some good workouts. JACES ROAD blew a tire as the favorite in a Grade III last out. He will try to get back on track with a drop in class. RACE #12 $100,000 STAKES
1 MILE 70 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:30 PM ET** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 UNRAPABLE STAKES PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 4-1 6 The Alys Look F Geroux PLACE 12-1 10 Miss Shipman J P Vargas SHOW 10-1 9 Hayunevano M Pedroza Jr. WILD CARD 3-1 1 Pretty Mischievous B J Hernandez Jr. ALTERNATE 1 6-1 7 All About Me C J Hernandez ALTERNATE 2 7-2 4 Vahva L Saez * EXACTA: 6-10 BOX, 10-9 BOX, 9-1 BOX * TRIFECTA: 6/9/10 BOX, 1/9/10 BOX COMMENTS: THE ALYS LOOK won her last by 7 lengths with much faster times. MISS SHIPMAN won her last with a career best performance in the first try at Fair Grounds. HAYUNEVANO went wire to wire in career start number two and will look to continue improving today. PRETTY MISCHIEVOUS won her first two before trying her luck in a Grade II. The drop in class should help. RACE #13 $100,000 STAKES
1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:00 PM ET** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 TENAIOUS STAKES PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY WIN 9-2 3 Intrepid Heart A Beschizza PLACE 6-1 13 Mr. Wireless D L Parker SHOW 20-1 11 Gentle Soul D Cohen WILD CARD 7-2 5 Forza Di Oro F Geroux ALTERNATE 1 6-1 9 Happy American J Graham ALTERNATE 2 8-1 6 Captivating Moon J Loveberry * EXACTA: 3-13 BOX, 13-11 BOX, 11-5 BOX * TRIFECTA: 3/11/13 BOX, 5/11/13 BOX COMMENTS: INTREPID HEART is coming off of his career best performance and the resume says the second off the sidelines could be better yet. MR WIRELESS has three wins and a second on four at the distance. GENTLE SOUL won thee in a row and is an all or nothing horse with four wins in eight starts with nothing else. FORZA DI ORO makes his fist start for trainer Brad Cox which is a 23 percent winning angle.
Gulfstream Park Hotlist - December 26
Dec. 25, 2022
By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
Hot List Key:
A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
1st race – (1) Penumbras Maker (B) closed fast for second last time and seems primed for a win here. (11) Tiger Tap was hurt by a wide trip in his debut and might fare better in this spot. (8) Mademoisellejackie adds blinkers and could be more of a force today. (3) Sun Bee fits in with this group. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-8-11.
3rd race – (3) Starship Nugget gets the nod off the claim by Figueroa and the switch to Irad. (1) No Decaf should show a lot of energy from the rail in this field. (8) Awesome Apeal comes off a 10-1 win and cannot be ignored. (4) Look Up to Heaven should make her presence felt. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3. Exactas: 1-3 over 4-8 and 4-8 over 1-3.
5th race – (5) Spirit And Glory lost a lot of ground last time and should work out a better trip today. (10) Personal Best seems ready for a sharp effort in her stakes debut. (3) Omixochitl was second in a stakes on Tapeta and should make a smooth transition back to turf. (2) Frosted Oats has been training sharply for this spot. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-5-10.
7th race – (2) Economic Hangover was a rallying second and should take a step forward with a switch to Jose Ortiz. (6) Lay the Groundwork broke her maiden on the course and should be the main rival. (4) Demogorgon tuned up for this with a rallying effort in a sprint. (7) Charmed Way might work out a good trip from the outside. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-6. Exactas: 2-6 over 4-7 and 4-7 over 2-6. Doubles: 2-4-6-7 with 2-4-6-8.
8th race – (8) Steady On had a rough trip in his stakes debut and can make amends here. (6) Axthelm was a good third in a Keeneland stakes and should not be overlooked. (2) Grand Sonata usually brings home a check and belongs in the exotics. (4) Dakota Gold could shine on his best effort. Betting strategy: 8 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-4-6-8.
No. Letter/Last race Today’s race Comment (1) Penumbras Maker B, 12/11 1 GP Was a strong second last time
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero
Camarero - Race 1 Maiden Claiming $4,000 • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 36 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 2:45P FOR NATIVE MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 121 LBS. 2# A CLASF.$4,000 Y DEBTS ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.
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Race Type: Lone Front-runner. PREDILECTO is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * PREDILECTO: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ha s the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. MR. KIKE H.: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. PREDILECTO MR. KIKE H.
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FigurePREDILECTO Front-runner MR. KIKE H. Stalker ADIVINADORA Alternator/Stalker INFINITY BUBBLE Alternator/Non-contender SHEYTHAIS Alternator/Non-contender CHAT DE TRES Alternator/Non-contender
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Golden Gate Fields
Golden Gate Fields - Race 1 SO $8,000 • 1 Mile • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 78 • Purse: $15,500 • Post: 11:15 FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $4,000 OR LESS IN 2021 - 2022 OR CLAIMING PRICE $8,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE OCTOBER 1 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000 (MAIDEN, CLAIMING AND STARTER RACES FOR $3,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).
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Odds
Race Type: Lone Front-runner. BENSON is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * CLASS CODE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. MISS EVER READY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. MISS FLAWLESS (FR ): Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. BENSON: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. REMEMBER SUE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. CLASS CODE MISS EVER READY MISS FLAWLESS (FR) BENSON REMEMBER SUE
Line
Class
Speed
FigureBENSON Front-runner REMEMBER SUE Stalker CLASS CODE Alternator/Stalker MISS FLAWLESS (FR) Alternator/Stalker MISS EVER READY Trailer FOCUS FIRST Alternator/Non-contender
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Santa Anita
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 9 - Allowance - 9.0f on the Turf. Purse: $72000 Class Rating: 95
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER AT A MILE OR OVER ALLOWED 2 LBS. (NON-STARTERS FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $25,000 OR LESS IN THEIR LAST 3 STARTS
RECOMMENDED CHOICES 
# 10 LEISUREWEAR (IRE) 8/1
# 4 BARRISTER'S RIDE 15/1
# 9 GLENALL (IRE) 8/1
I think LEISUREWEAR (IRE) is a very strong selection especially at a long price. This filly gets a boost with Hernandez in the saddle. Ought to compete soundly in the early speed contest which bodes well with this group of horses in this race. Earned a reliable speed rating in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this affair. BARRISTER'S RIDE - Could beat this group given the 93 Equibase speed fig recorded in her last outing. GLENALL (IRE) - Ought to go to the front end and may never look back. Could best this field based on the speed figure - 94 - of her last effort.
Laurel - Race #10 - Post: 3:54pm - Stakes - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $100,000 Class Rating: 109 Robert T. Manfuso S.
Rating:
#6 CORDMAKER (ML=6/1)
#1 OURNATIONONPARADE (ML=5/2)
#7 AMERICAN D'ORO (ML=12/1)
#5 ARMANDO R (ML=6/1)
#3 RIDIN WITH BIDEN (ML=3/1)
CORDMAKER - Jenkins brings him right back. I suggest you stick with this strong gelding. This horse brings in a lot of money per race around the track. I believe he will add to the lifetime total today. OURNATIONONPARADE - I'll forgive that last race on November 26th when he failed backers as the public choice. That race was pretty good for the Richard W. Small and this gelding's speed figure was solid. Ness brings him right back. I propose you stay with this live gelding. Look at this pattern of improvement. 95/105/110 are the last three Equibase speed figures. AMERICAN D'ORO - This rider/handler duo has been producing a very lucrative ROI, right at +149. ARMANDO R - Nice return on investment for this jock and handler twosome. Have to make this gelding a strong challenger; he comes off a nice outing on Nov 26th. This horse isn't the M/L favorite, but finished ahead of today's M/L favorite in his last race (Nov 26th at Laurel). This gelding is clearly on the improve with speed ratings of 80, 104, 111 last three out. The most recent figure of 111 is the top last race fig in the group. RIDIN WITH BIDEN - The jockey/trainer pair of Lopez and Reid has a strong return on investment together. Reid moves this one here to Laurel from Parx Racing. Looking at the horse's PPs, he has shown the ability to win on different ovals.
Vulnerable Contenders: #8 PLOT THE DOTS (ML=8/1),
PLOT THE DOTS - I foretell a letdown for this animal in this affair.
STRAIGHT WAGERS: #6 CORDMAKER to win at post-time odds of 4/1 or better EXACTA WAGERS: 6 with [1,3,5,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:6 with [1,3,5,7] with [1,3,5,7] Total Cost: $12 SUPERFECTA WAGERS: 6 with [1,3,5,7] with [1,3,5,7] with [1,3,5,7] Total Cost: $24
SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:[1,6,7] with [1,3,5,6,7] with [1,3,5,6,7] with [1,3,5,6,7] with [1,3,5,6,7] Total Cost: $72
Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Fair Grounds
PURCHASE
12/26/22, FG, Race 7, 3.00 CT
12/26/22,FG,7,1 1/16M [Dirt] 1:42:00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $60,000 (includes up to $4,000 Other Sources) (plus up to $4,000 ALBSS-Accredited LA Bred Slot Supplement). FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 120 lbs. (Preference To Horses That Have Not Started For Less Than $50,000 In Their Last 3 Starts).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.49, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI 100.0000 8 Mobster 9/2 Saez L Casse Mark E. JFEC 70 15.71 1.36/$1 097.3521 5 Amanwalksintoabar(b+) 8/1 Hernandez C J Stidham Michael T 70 15.71 1.36/$1 097.3408 3 Banishing 5/1 Hernandez. Jr. B J Walsh Brendan P. 70 15.71 1.36/$1 096.7628 6 More Than Five 8/1 Gutierrez R Calhoun W. Bret 70 15.71 1.36/$1 096.4846 1 Spielman 7/2 Murrill M Desormeaux J. Keith 44 31.82 1.61/$1 096.1981 9 Dream Force(b+) 15/1 Beschizza A Casse Mark E. 70 15.71 1.36/$1 096.0417 13 Single Ruler 4/1 Riquelme J Desormeaux J. Keith 70 15.71 1.36/$1 095.3167 4 Notion 12/1 Graham J Sharp Joe L 70 15.71 1.36/$1 095.1262 10 Z Z's Prince 12/1 Pedroza. Jr. M Zeringue. Jr. Whitney 70 15.71 1.36/$1 094.4185 12 Pyrenees 5/1 Lanerie C J DeVaux Cherie 70 15.71 1.36/$1 092.3835 11 Liberty's Hauler 15/1 Riquelme J Stall. Jr. Albert M. W 70 15.71 1.36/$1 091.8624 2 Bayou Chrome 30/1 Morales E Leonard Kirby 3 33.33 10.60/$1 089.9616 7 Don't Let Go(b+) 20/1 Parker D L Lovell Michelle 70 15.71 1.36/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.6479
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Jockey Turf YTD_Curr*2.5 (M)
*Scratches may change this condition
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turf Paradise
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 3 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $10400 Class Rating: 86
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE DECEMBER 26, 2021 OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JUNE 26. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000
RECOMMENDED CHOICES # 5 EXHILARATOR 20/1
# 2 FAMOUS ROCK STAR 3/1
# 11 PASSED BY PAUL 5/1
I've got to go with EXHILARATOR and the potential return justifies the precarious nature of the long odds. Bettors should take a good look at this one as this gelding has one of the best win percentages at this distance in this field. FAMOUS ROCK STAR - Might best this group here, showing competitive figs of late. Will more than likely be one of the front-runners of the group going into the midpoint of the affair. PASSED BY PAUL - Overall the speed figures of this equine look quite good in this competition. Has been racing in the most competitive company of the group lately.
Golden Hour Wagers - Race #4 - Post: 4:26pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,500 Class Rating: 63
Rating:
#6 TRUE COMFORT (ML=6/1)
#7 TWO TWELVE (ML=7/2)
#12 DIZZY DAZMURA (ML=8/1)
TRUE COMFORT - I like that latest effort on Dec 4th at Golden Gate Fields where she finished second. Lone speed horses can be tough to run down. Here's a lone front running sort facing sluggish sorts today. I usually like playing sprinters who are 3-4 races into a comeback. This filly's last fig earned on December 4th is in the top spot in last race speed figs. TWO TWELVE - Faced tougher last time around the track at Golden Gate Fields. Based on Equibase class ratings, this is a weaker field, so I will put this animal on my list of strong contenders. This animal is in the top spot in earnings per race. She looks good in today's race. DIZZY DAZMURA - This filly is in nice form. Finished third on November 25th.
Vulnerable Contenders: #11 NATALIA (ML=9/2), #3 STANFORD MISS (ML=8/1), #4 JAN'S MIGHTY RIVER (ML=8/1),
NATALIA - This horse just hasn't looked fit recently. Doubtful that the speed figure she garnered on Nov 25th will hold up in this race. STANFORD MISS - M/L odds of 8/1 make this animal a pass by my examination. JAN'S MIGHTY RIVER - Doesn't seem to have enough good qualities to bear out the price.
STRAIGHT WAGERS: Play #6 TRUE COMFORT to win if you can get odds of 7/2 or more
Handicapper Sonny LaFouchi(aka The LEGEND)!
Free Winners for Monday, December 26th 2022 from THE LEGEND!
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PARX RACING
RACE #9
TIME: 3:31 PM EST
PICK: BET #10 Flashing Diamond 7/2 odds to win @ Bovada
Handicapper Sonny LaFouchi(aka The LEGEND)!
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Rockets @ Bulls
TIME: 8:00 PM EST
PICK: Bet UNDER 229 @ BOVADA
Mike Wynn
[FONT=arial black][COLOR=#ff0000]Free Pick: NBA Utah -5
Jim Feist
Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Monday, December 26, 2022
NBA
Take: . 514. Portland Trailblazers -5 (7:10 PT / 10:10 ET)
Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR MONDAY[COLOR=#008000][COLOR=#000000]: LA CLIPPERS/DETROIT OVER the total of 223
Totals4U
Monday Free Selection: Houston Rockets/Chicago Bulls under 227 1/2
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509. Jazz -5.5 (5:10 PT / 8:10 ET)
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Monday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Miami Heat - 4
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