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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks
Fair Grounds - Race #1
Picks Notes
#7 Anslie's Gumdrop Her form last season was hit or miss, but I think there might be some hints that she's just a good fit here. Her three dull runs came 1- against maiden special company, 2- going long, and 3-when she was last seen before an eight month break in her worktab. Guessing she's going to be handful here.
#6 Isn't It Time She proved a pretty good fit at this level last time out when dipping in to try similar in her 12th career start, and while she's not full of good excuses at this point, she still seems like an obvious threat.
#2 Beanie She chased and faded in the comeback run, but she has a right to do better this time around after getting that first race in nine months under her belt. Forward player.
Race Summary Anslie's Gumdrop went to the sidelines after a flat try, but her two-back run in February here with similar could make her tough. Worktab is brief but intriguing enough.
Fair Grounds - Race #6
Picks Notes
#3 Olivia G She finished up nicely in the debut run for a barn that can do some pretty good work with these types, and her mom was a pretty nice Louisiana-bred runner. Tough with any move forward today.
#11 Michelles Lil Star She was no match in the debut run, but she caught a really tough winner who was back to just miss in stakes company on Champions Day and will face stakes foes again here in a couple days. Company line fits, but I worry she's going to catch another filly from the West barn that leaves her second best again.
#1 Rosie Sprit She might be better down the road going a bit longer or even trying turf, but I wouldn't be shocked to see her run an ok race at first asking at a nice price. Get a look at her on the track.
Race Summary Michelles Lil Star caught impressive debut winner Norah G in her debut run, and she may unfortunately find another tough filly from that barn today in Olivia G. I'll leave heavily on the top choice here. Thinking we might also see a competitive race from #10 Mia Antonia
Fair Grounds - Race #7
Picks Notes
#3 Twirling Roses Think he lands a pretty perfect trip in here while spying the speed, and he has been a pretty reliable runner in his recent starts. Think he can hold that form again here to get past these.
#6 Underhill's Tab He's back off the Keeneland April layoff, and he owns a stakes placing at this trip over the local footing. Think he'll fire fresh here in a competitive race.
#4 Pro Oxidant He has shown some decent finishing ability through three starts and would certainly benefit if an early battle developed today. Think his early career baseline makes him tough with these, but he's probably going to get bet and hasn't really threatened a winner in his last two. Tough call.
Race Summary Several options in this spot -- #1 Charlie's Creed has some appeal in here, too, but I think maybe he's vulnerable late after hustling from the inside early. Twirling Roses might be the right one to settle and finish from close range after the inside pair battle early.
Frank Carulli's Daily Picks
Laurel Park - Race #1
Picks Notes
#9 BEST WORST IDEA (7-2) Best to key in all gimmick wagers and hope she’s ready for return.
#1 FIVE STAR FRAN (4-1) Disputed pace to stretch two back, ran into trouble as fave in follow-up.
#5 DUNDER BOSS (3-1) Third at one mile, burned money in all three starts.
Race Summary BEST WORST IDEA appears an all-or-nothing type in her first start since his MSW debut in June. She stalked 4-to-5 winner Tappin Josie (2-6, $91k) – who won a $25,000 optional claiming race at Laurel two weeks ago – but couldn’t gain in the stretch. Play a 9-ALL exacta.
Laurel Park - Race #2
Picks Notes
#4 BACKATYA (8-5) Kept good company, looking to put finishing touches on $100,000 season.
#8 BOWIE TWO STEP (9-2) Pressed solid pace while 4-wide, romped in prior start, offers some value.
#4 ADDY’S LADDY T N T (1 Rallied for pair of upset victories in his last three starts.
Race Summary BACKATYA, a five-race winner taking on non-winners-of-three rivals, has maintained steady form in what could become a six-figure sophomore season. He ran second to Rominski (3-9, $93k), who romped in a $16,000 claimer here earlier this month.
Laurel Park - Race #5
Picks Notes
#3 BORN FOR VICTORY (6-1) Did well to hold second in first start as gelding, can be excused for latest.
#6 STRONGER THAN DEX (6-1) Gets class relief, barn works wonders with 3-year-olds.
#2 WINSTON’S GOLD (7-2) Rallied for minor awards in last pair, gets pace to run at.
Race Summary BORN FOR VICTORY showed good speed in his first start as a gelding and held second at 7F after the favorite passed by. He unseated the jockey and ran off briefly in the post parade last out and failed to threaten on the class rise. Bet to win and place and play a 2-3-6 exacta box.
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Turf Paradise
PURCHASE
Turf Paradise - Race 1
$1 Exacta / $1 Quinella / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Double (Races 1-2) / $.50 Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 1-2-3-4)
Allowance • 350 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 99 • Purse: $9,300 • Post: 12:25
QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES ALLOWED 2 LBS.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * FASTRAK REQUIRED: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase S peed Rating. THATS WHATS UP: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SOUL SISTER: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). HE BETT ER FLY: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
3
FASTRAK REQUIRED
3/1
9/2
1
THATS WHATS UP
5/1
7/1
9
SOUL SISTER
8/1
7/1
6
HE BETTER FLY
8/1
8/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
1
THATS WHATS UP
1
5/1
Fast
88
86
2.8
0.0
0.0
2
YN MIRA LINDA
2
10/1
Average
85
80
4.2
0.0
0.0
3
FASTRAK REQUIRED
3
3/1
Fast
95
91
2.4
0.0
0.0
4
SWINGIN MR CARTEL
4
12/1
Average
82
79
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
IRON BUDDERFLY
5
12/1
Average
92
79
5.6
0.0
0.0
6
HE BETTER FLY
6
8/1
Fast
92
81
2.0
0.0
0.0
7
SEND IT AGAIN
7
4/1
Average
86
83
4.5
0.0
0.0
8
WRECKIN BALL
8
6/1
Average
90
79
4.9
0.0
0.0
9
SOUL SISTER
9
8/1
Fast
88
88
3.5
0.0
0.0
10
VVR LETTHE ARROWSFLY
10
20/1
Average
78
76
5.1
0.0
0.0
11
BJS SWEET AS HONEY
11
15/1
Average
83
74
5.1
0.0
0.0
Unknown Running Style: EVEE (15/1) [Jockey: Valenzuela Raul A - Trainer: Fales Matthew M].
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta DownsPURCHASE
Delta Downs - Race 7 Allowance • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 85 • Purse: $42,000 • Post: 7:43P FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 29 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 29 ALLOWED 6 LBS. (MAIDEN AND CLAIMING RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES) (CONDITION ELIGIBILITY PREFERRED).
Horse
Line
Odds
Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. FIESTY FIST is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * FIESTY FIST: Horse is highest ranked on Good Speed and Good Class. Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. AZTAR: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. IRON IN THE FIRE: Tod ay is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. FIESTY FIST AZTAR IRON IN THE FIRE
Line
Class
Speed
FigureFIESTY FIST Front-runner AZTAR Front-runner IRON IN THE FIRE Front-runner CAMEO DANCER Alternator/Stalker WICKED ROSE Trailer DONNIE BOY Alternator/Non-contender MONARCH'S MISCHIEF Alternator/Non-contender
Gulfstream Park - Race #9 - Post: 4:14pm - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $22,000 Class Rating: 81
Rating:
#2 ROSA STAR (ML=6/1)
#9 SWEET ACTRESS (ML=10/1)
#3 HOT BODE (ML=4/1)
ROSA STAR - Don't often see a beneficial return on investment like +30. This jock/trainer twosome has done well together over the last twelve months. Lets try to beat the chalks with this mare. Just missed last out, but ran a respectable race. SWEET ACTRESS - I expect this horse to astonish some folks this time around. HOT BODE - This filly is in excellent physical condition right now. Ended up fifth last out and comes back soon. This horse looks like an overlay today at morning line odds of 4/1. Finished fifth in last race at Gulfstream Park but was close at the wire.
Vulnerable Contenders: #4 CALIFORNIA GIGI (ML=9/2), #5 KARENVILLE (ML=5/1), #1 PERFECT KIMBERLY S (ML=6/1),
CALIFORNIA GIGI - This filly raced very well on December 4th finishing first, but hasn't even visited the track since then. Not really a good sign. KARENVILLE - This horse likes to be in the money, but doesn't usually win. Keep out of the top spot. PERFECT KIMBERLY S - You figure that this animal is going to win today just because she's always close. Just doesn't finish on top often.
STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #2 ROSA STAR to win if we can get at least 5/2 odds EXACTA WAGERS: 2 with [3,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:Box [2,3,9] Total Cost: $6 SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [2,3,9] with [2,3,9] with [2,3,4,9,11] with [2,3,4,9,11] Total Cost: $36
SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:[2,3,9] with [2,3,9] with [2,3,4,9] with [2,3,4,9,10,11] with [2,3,4,9,10,11] Total Cost: $72
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turfway Park
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 3 - Maiden Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $25000 Class Rating: 58
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000, FOR EACH $2,500 TO $10,000 1 LB.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES 
# 11 CHROME DESSERT 5/1
# 2 ELLIE DELI 3/1
# 6 CEE MINUS 6/1
CHROME DESSERT is the top bet in this race. This bunch is much softer than the last one she faced. This animal has to be wagered on at the expected big odds. There is a quite good chance that this entry's late pace will improve now going off Lasix. ELLIE DELI - Will most likely be one of the leaders of the pack going into the midpoint of the affair. Garnered a strong Equibase Speed Figure in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this contest.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Aqueduct
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 7 - Allowance - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $75000 Class Rating: 94
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN CLAIMING OR STARTER ALLOWED 2 LBS.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES # 8 OCEAN'S RESERVE 15/1
# 11 JOEY LOOSE LIPS 12/1
# 4 AGILITY 7/2
I've got to go with OCEAN'S RESERVE and could score at a price in here. Has to be given a shot against this group displaying competitive figures recently and an average speed figure of 91 under similar conditions. JOEY LOOSE LIPS - With Gomez aboard him, this gelding will most likely be able to break out sharply in this competition. Has been running strongly in races of this distance, going 2 for 5 under similar conditions. AGILITY - Could beat this field given the 98 speed rating posted in his last outing. Looks very good for the conditions of this race today, showing solid figures in dirt sprint races lately.
Laurel - Race #7 - Post: 3:21pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $35,000 Class Rating: 86
Rating:
#8 FEDERAL OFFENSE (ML=5/1)
#2 THE LAST SCIP (ML=12/1)
FEDERAL OFFENSE - I have to like this gelding's winning probability at the shorter distance. THE LAST SCIP - Have to give this gelding a chance. Ran a strong race in the last race within the last month. You always have to be on the prowl for bankroll building rider/trainer teams; we have one right here.
Vulnerable Contenders: #10 PHARAOH'S TRIUMPH (ML=5/2), #1 HELLMAN (ML=7/2), #5 AUSPICIOUS LAD (ML=6/1),
PHARAOH'S TRIUMPH - This morning-line favorite may be out of shape without any recent workouts. This gelding hasn't been showing me anything positive in the last two races. HELLMAN - Difficult to keep stabbing at this kind of 'bridesmaid' horse. AUSPICIOUS LAD - If you keep selecting these sort of 'bridesmaid' types, you're going to be let down most every time.
STRAIGHT WAGERS: #8 FEDERAL OFFENSE is going to be the play if we are getting 9/5 or better EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:None SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None
SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:Pass
Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park
PURCHASE
12/29/22, GP, Race 4, 1.40 ET
12/29/22,GP,4,6F [Dirt] 1:08:01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $21,000 (includes up to $2,000 FTHA-FOA). FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Claiming Price $12,500.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 28.00, ROI 0.52/$1
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI 100.0000 4 Papa Katz 7/2 Lopez P Tharrenos William JFWC 81 37.04 1.66/$1 097.9839 6 Cajun Red 4/1 Ortiz J L D'Angelo Jose Francisc T 81 37.04 1.66/$1 096.4832 7 Jrue Breeze 7/5 Torres J A Spatz Ronald B. 81 37.04 1.66/$1 095.9065 1 Trappe the Wind 9/2 Leon S Arias Juan D. E 81 37.04 1.66/$1 094.7080 5 Extraction Will 15/1 Morelos J E Pinchin Jose 81 37.04 1.66/$1 094.0114 3 Corporate Affair 8/1 Sutherland C Lutchman Padarath SL 81 37.04 1.66/$1 091.2797 2 More Than Gray 20/1 Arroyo M Rodriguez Angel M. 81 37.04 1.66/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.0161
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f
Today’s Free Turf Paradise Winning Horse Picks
horse racing handicapper Reggie Garrett
Free Turf Paradise Racing Picks for Thursday, December 29th, 2022:
Post Time: 12:25 MT
Race 1: 7 Send It Again
Race 2: 2 Capital Expense
The following 6 races are part of today’s Turf Paradise Grand Canyon Pick 6
Race 3: 1 Lady Commissioner
Race 4: 7 Bridleuptothebar
Race 5: 4 Gold Coast Girl
Race 6: 1 Attorney Louis
Race 7: 7 Square Footage
Race 8: 9 Coastal Waters
1. NSA(The Legend) NBA – Celtics -6.5
2. Gameday Network NBA – Thunder +1
3. Sports Action 365 NBA – Knicks -5
4. Vegas Line Crushers NBA – Mavericks -10
5. VegasSI NBA – Raptors +3
6. Sam Casey NBA – Cavaliers over 223.5
7. Henry Brown Sports NBA – Thunder +1
8. Winning Big Sports NBA – Raptors +3
9. Lou Panelli NBA – Spurs +5
10. Platinum Info Club NBA – Celtics -6.5
11. William E. Stockton CBB – Northwestern over 128
12. Vincent Pioli CBB – Elon +11.5
13. Steve “Scoop” Kendall CBB – Providence +3
14. SCORE CBB – Old Dominion over 124
15. Tony Campone CBB – Hofstra +1
16. Chicago Sports Group CBB – Central Michigan over 145.5
17. Hollywood Sportsline CBB – Nebraska +4.5
18. VIP Action CBB – Wofford -6
19. South Beach Sports CBB – Troy +3
20. LV Sports Commission CBB – Texas-Arlington +7
21. NY Players Club NBA – Mavericks -10
22. Fred Callahan NBA – Pacers +5
23. LV Private CEO Club NBA – Thunder +1
24. Michigan Sports CBB – CS Bakersfield over 123
25. National Consensus Report CBB – Troy +3
Dustin Hawkins
Dec 29 '22, 7:00 PM in 13m
NCAA-B | Appalachian State vs Marshall
Play on: [B]Marshall -8
Totals Guru
Dec 29 '22, 7:07 PM in 20m
NHL | Rangers vs Lightning
Play on: OVER 6 -105
Free Total Annihilator On Rangers vs Lightning over 6 -105
Will Rogers
Dec 29 '22, 7:07 PM in 20m
NHL | Red Wings vs Sabres
Play on: [B]OVER 6
Bobby Conn
Dec 29 '22, 7:07 PM in 20m
NHL | Red Wings vs Sabres
Play on: Sabres -155 at Mirage
1* Free Play on Sabres -155
Sean Murphy
Dec 29 '22, 7:10 PM in 23m
NBA | Cavs vs Pacers
Play on: Cavs -5 -110 at SC Consensus
Thursday NBA Free play. My selection is on Cleveland minus the points over Indiana at 7:10 pm et on Thursday.
This is a true 'get right' spot for the Cavaliers as they look to rebound from consecutive home losses against the Raptors and Nets. The Pacers are in a fairly obvious letdown spot as they come off a double-digit win over the Hawks that saw them score 129 points. Here, I look for the Cavs to lock down defensively off consecutive poor showings in that department. Cleveland's 6-9 road record doesn't tell the whole story as it has actually outscored opponents by 2.0 points per game on average away from home this season. Take Cleveland.
Black Widow
Dec 29 '22, 7:30 PM in 43m
NCAA-B | Abilene Christian vs Stephen F Austin
Play on: Stephen F Austin -4 -110 at William Hill
1* Free Wiseguy Play on Stephen F Austin -4 -110
Jack Jones
Dec 29 '22, 7:40 PM in 53m
NBA | Grizzlies vs Raptors
Play on: [B]Grizzlies -2
John Martin
Dec 29 '22, 7:40 PM in 53m
NBA | Grizzlies vs Raptors
Play on: [B]UNDER 225
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