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Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know for Santa Anita - 1/2/22
January 2, 2023
“What You Need to Know” - Santa Anita
by Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, and Workout Commentary identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play
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RACE 1: Post: 12:00 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 6-Amy C; 3-Lady Edith
Backups/savers: none
Forecast: Trainer Phil D’Amato saddles the two major players in this year’s edition of the Las Cienegas Stakes-G3 for older fillies and mares. A two-time winner over this course and distance, Amy C is clearly the one to beat after an authoritative score in the listed Senator Ken Maddy Stakes during the fall meeting, one that produced a career top speed figure. Worth pointing out is that her allowance win last summer under these conditions was impressive as well. She has been successful off a layoff in the past and her recent drills indicate that she is fit and ready, so if you can get close to her morning line of 5/2 you’ll be getting solid wagering value. Stable mate Lady Edith arrives from New York, where she displayed excellent grass sprinting form when conditioned by Christophe Clement. She has an ideal stalking style for the Hillside Course and has trained sharply since joining the D’Amato barn. Furthermore, she’s every bit as fast on numbers as the favorite and employs a similar second flight style, so if she adapts to this unique layout the veteran daughter of Street Boss will be a strong threat in the final furlong.
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RACE 2: Post: 12:30 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 5-Nyvan; 9-Point and Shoot
Backups/savers: none
Forecast: Morning line favorite (5/2) Nyvan stretches out for the first time after three okay turf sprints and can be the controlling speed if her connections want her to be. Bred for distance (Nyquist out of a Candy Ride mare), the Doug O’Neill-trained filly may not be one to totally trust (she was a beaten favorite in her first two starts) but if she can clear without being sent hard she’s a good candidate to wire the field over a turf course that so far in this young season has favored the speed. Point and Shoot, restless in the gate and off slowly, picked it up with some energy in the final quarter to wind up a non-threatening but reasonable fourth at 53-1 in her debut in November at Del Mar in a similar state-bred affair and has every right to produce a forward move with that experience under her belt. The number wasn’t bad, so in a lackluster affair she may be worth a gamble at her morning line of 8-1. We’ll include both in our rolling exotics.
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RACE 3: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 1-Filfty Fast
Backups/savers: none
Forecast: Judging by her workout times, debuting Filthy Fast apparently has plenty of speed but was nice and relaxed in a solo main track drill December that on video was visually quite pleasing, so we’re expecting this daughter of Kobe’s Back to be extremely live and well-meant in this maiden optional claimer for sophomore fillies. Listed as the 2-1 morning line favorite and deservedly so based on what we can gather, the Luis Mendez-trained filly should be capable of dominating this modest group from gate to wire, assuming she leaves cleanly from her rail draw. In a race begging to be won by a newcomer, we’ll make her a win play and rolling exotic single.
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RACE 4: Post: 1:30 PT Grade: X
Main ticket (in order of preference): 1-Who’s Candy
Backups/Savers: none
Forecast: We’re somewhat surprised that after finishing second in his last pair, two races back in a $50,000 optional claimer and then most recently in a first-level allowance state-bred sprint (with a purse of $74,000), Who’s Candy is being dropped and dangled like claim bait in this $32,000 seller (purse of $37,000), so we’re not entirely convinced that what we’ve seen from him is what we’ll get today. With a huge edge in the speed figure department, the Danzing Candy gelding should dominate if he has (at least) one good left, but at a no value, short price, so this might be a race to be left alone.
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RACE 5: Post: 1:59 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 7-Miss Commander
Backups/savers: none
Forecast: Miss Commander was beaten seven lengths when second in her debut at Los Alamitos in a similar maiden $50,000 sprint last month but she was six clear of the rest, so it wasn’t a bad effort at all for the John Sadler-trained filly. The barn is extremely strong with the second-time starter angle (25% with a substantially positive ROI) so we’re expecting the daughter of Square Eddie to step forward today and handle this below average band of maiden claiming state-bed sophomores. Two nice breezes at Los Al where she’s based should tick her over nicely. At 3-1 on the morning line, she’s a win play and rolling exotic single at anywhere near that price.
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RACE 6: Post: 2:29 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 1-Lucky for You
Backups/savers: none
Forecast: A half-sister to three stakes performers and closely related to Hollywood Derby-G1 winner Mo Town, Lucky for You finally makes it to the post as a 4-year-old and shows a series of excellent team works that should lead to a winning performance in this extended turf sprint for older fillies and mares. The Bob Baffert barn hits at a remarkable 29% with debut runners and this daughter of Uncle Mo should enhance the stats based on what we’ve seen on video compared to the others in the field with prior experience. She’s listed at 4-1 on the morning line but likely will go lower as a recommended win play and rolling exotic single.
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RACE 7: Post: 3:00 PT Grade: C+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 7-Italiano; 2-Established
Backups/savers: 1-Nice Guy Clay; 6-Next Revolt
Forecast: Here’s a challenging $20,000 extended main track sprint for older horses that requires considerable coverage in rolling exotic play. Italiano is a first-off-the-claim play for trainer Jeff Mullins (good stats with this angle) so we’re expecting a snap back performance after two substandard outings by this veteran son of Twirling Candy. The two-time winner over the Santa Anita main track, is reunited with “win rider” Juan Hernandez and projects to settle in mid-pack outside and then have clear sailing and every chance to produce a successful late kick. Established is capable of winning at this level when he’s feeling good, but after being a voided claim in his last start and a beaten favorite in his last pair, he may be a hard one to trust. A decent recent work tab leading up to his first outing since early October and the presence of Flavian Prat in the saddle are positive signs, so it’s possible the Tim Yakteen-trained gelding will fire a good shot fresh. Nice Guy Clayrepresents dangerous inside speed and could stick around awhile with the weight break he enjoys under a capable bug boy, while Next Revolt moves up a notch following a clever Del Mar win from a cozy outside post while enjoying a trip that may have flattered but has numbers that fit and projects to enjoy a good second flight, stalking journey.
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RACE 8: Post: 3:30 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 4-Motorius
Backups/savers: none
Forecast: Motorious is a prototype late-running turf sprinter fresh from a clever win over five furlongs at Del Mar in late November that produced a career top speed figure facing first-level allowance foes. The Phil D’Amato-trained import moves up a notch today, but this group should be within his capabilities, and a recent bullet training track drill (5f, :59 flat, fastest of 18) gives strong indication that another forward move is likely. With Flavian Prat riding him back and at 5/2 on the morning line, the Irish-bred gelding is a win play and rolling exotic single.
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RACE 9: Post: 4:00 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 4-Harlocap; 6-Navy Man
Backups/savers: none
Forecast: The two best prospects in this maiden 3-year-old field are trained by – surprise! – Bob Baffert, who should expect good things down the road from both Harlocap and Navy Man, both of whom displayed ability in recent sprints and have the pedigree to improve a ton with distance and experience. Harlocap finished eagerly behind runaway winner Spun Intended in a fast, highly-rated Del Mar dash in mid-November in a race in which sixth place finisher Johannes came back to win by nine lengths sprinting on turf on Saturday. The son of Justify seems certain to produce a significant forward move with that tightener under his belt and strong workouts since, so with Johnny V. riding him back and along with the addition of Lasix this $400,000 Timonium purchase looks ready to graduate. Stable mate Navy Man is the one he’ll have to worry about. The son of Bolt d’Oro shows the classic two-sprints-and-a-stretch out pattern with two strong speed figures on his resume, so if he takes the next leap as expected (in his first start with Lasix) he be within range throughout and be ready to pounce when the button gets pushed. We’ll give Harlocap – priced at 7/2 on the morning line – the slight edge on top but both are “must uses” in rolling exotic play.
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RACE 10: Post: 4:30 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 1-Tio Magico
Backups/savers: none
Forecast: Tio Magico turned in a remarkable effort when second in a similar middle distance turf event for entry-level allowance older horses at Del Mar last time out. Forced to race wide every step of the way without cover and getting fanned out badly at the head of the lane when commencing his rally, the Uncle Mo gelding found another gear in the final furlong and finished with purpose but simply had too much to overcome and felt short in the closing stages. Today, from his coveted rail post position, the Phil D’Amato-trained gelding is guaranteed a ground-saving trip, so anything close to his most recent performance should be more than good enough to get him back in the winner’s circle. We’ll take his 6-1 morning line price right now, though we suspect he’ll leave at a shorter number. With a reasonable degree of confidence, we’ll make him a win play and rolling exotic single.
Al Cimaglia: Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis-$25,000 Guaranteed Pool
January 2, 2023 | By Al Cimaglia
Cal Expo has been dealing with rainy weather, after cancellations on Friday and Sunday 2023 racing will begin with a 10-race program tonight. The 0.20 Pick 4 rolls in Race 7. The sequence has $25,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout, and it will be my focus.
Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.
Race 7
1-West Coach Beach (12-1)-Drops out of Opens and did beat this kind the previous start on a sloppy track. Got a suck-around trip that night and the same type of journey could happen this time.
6-He Grins Again (4-1)-Hasn't been able to close in the last 2 but they were on an off-track. That shouldn't come as a surprise, hasn't won on a wet surface in 34 tries. Can offer a fair price, Plano returns and will look for better.
8-Captain Terminator (4-1)-Rallied up 1st over and it looked like a picture was about to happen but fell short to a well-meant winner. Drops and looks like a major player with a good steer.
Race 8
2-Casa Miasa (2-1)-Closed nicely to win in the slop and should be a threat for a repeat with this post draw. Usually gets bet and that will probably be the case again.
3-Wonder Of Love (5/2)-Comes off a brave effort on a sloppy track from the 9 hole. Doesn't win very often but fits and could be better in the 3rd local start.
7-Brooklyn Wind Up (5-1)-Nothing went right in the last trip from the word "go". Short field should help and could be overlooked. Will look for a sharp steer from Thiessen and to be in striking range at the top of the lane.
Race 9
3-Johnnys Gal June (6/5)-The Johnson barn has been cold but this mare should relish the company. Drops to a spot to shine and could connect for the 1st CalX win of the meet.
4-I will Do it (6-1)-This will be 3rd start on Lasix and showed improvement in last versus similar. Should be forwardly placed again and can win right back at a square price.
Race 10
3-Lucky Lil Lady (8/5)-A fast track would help and should have her way with this crew if fully acclimated to Cali coming from the Midwest. Speedy filly faces older but will look for a big try in the 2nd CalX start.
5-Jessies Girl (12-1)-This will be the 4th race here and was off a month before its local debut. The next 3 tries were on an off-track and her record there is 0-10. Has one-mile experience and showed improvement in last. Willing to take a swing for a price in this spot.
0.20 Pick 4
1,6,8/2,3,7/3,4/3,5
Total Bet=$7.20
Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks
Mahoning Valley - Race #3
Picks Notes
#3 Graywing Think he's the main danger to the obvious chalk in here, as he has caught a couple tough winners in a row and has been a good fit with the locals. Versatile runner has a claim on this.
#1 Empire's Fire No doubt he's the one to beat, as he is perfect here from three starts outside of stakes company with win combined win margins of nearly 30 lengths. Wouldn't be any surprise at all to see him put these away into the lane.
#4 Upgrade Al His best stuff keeps him in the mix for a piece, and he's probably the most committed early player, but he is totally unreliable in the lane and figures to have a hard time holding off at least the top pair.
Race Summary Graywing might be a decent enough price to give a look in here after coming out of a couple tough races in recent starts. Tons of respect for Empire's Fire, but he's going to be another very short price.
Mahoning Valley - Race #4
Picks Notes
#4 Unescorted She has been moving in the right direction throughout her four-race career, and she has the right style to sit a perfect spying trip behind a couple more obvious forward players.
#2 Long Black Veil She'll make her local debut with some Mountaineer running lines that seem likely enough to fit here, but I worry that she's going to have some company early on and hasn't shown she can contend with that yet.
#7 Lotta Moscato She gets the best of the draw for the pace players, as she'll be able to hassle Long Black Veil in the early going from the outside, but it's also easy to see a scenario in which she pays the price for doing that.
Race Summary Unescorted gets a strong lean in here with a couple of pace players likely to tee things up for her from just a few lengths off the pace, and she has been slowly improving like she may still have some upside.
Mahoning Valley - Race #9
Picks Notes
#7 Justinspeightofit Think he's going to be a handful to close out the card here, as he proved a good fit at the local level last time out and has a perfect running style for a race where there are a lot of runners who aren't going to be passing horses late. Really hope they let him spy and finish here -- think he'll get past these late.
#11 Sunny Beast He has been landing underneath shares with similar in a handful of recent starts, and he might be able to find a decent trip from the outside here while spying some quicker players early.
#2 Smudge the Cat He's inside pace rising to try winners for the first time after that easy graduation win in start number 15. He's going to meet some other forward players, but I also think most of those will briefly chase and give way without influencing the race, giving him at least some chance to try to shake these off around the turn.
Race Summary Justinspeightofit is one of the few in here who can show some tactical pace and still pace horses, and I think he's a really strong option to close the card in a race without much other compelling form to this eye.
Frank Carulli's Daily Picks
Santa Anita - Race #2
Picks Notes
#5 NYVAN (5-2) Takes some catching in first grass route attempt, met short-priced winners in last pair.
#2 SPEAKING SPANGLISH (6-1) Bet in turf debut, showed pulse with alert start next out, gets Lasix.
#6 GOLDEN TEMPER (3-1) Stretches out, adds blinkers and Lasix, dam was proven allowance router.
Race Summary NYVAN stretches out in distance off three in-the-money finishes, the last two against even-money and 2-1 winners. Speed has been dominant on the Santa Anita turf lately, so hoping she can go the distance against California breds. Bet to win and place.
Santa Anita - Race #3
Picks Notes
#5 LIBERAL LADY (5-2) Debuts for red-hot barn in a suspect field, gets the call with Prat on board.
#3 HALF NELSON (5-1) Has two solid main-track sprints at Santa Anita to summon, adds Lasix.
#1 FILTHY FAST (2-1) Appears well-prepped for debut, should show speed from the rail.
Race Summary LIBERAL LADY debuts off a series of steady 5F workouts. Her dam was unraced, but she gets Prat to ride and trainer Leonard Powell’s barn is firing on all cylinders early in the meet. Bet to win and place and play 5-1 and 5-3 exactas.
Santa Anita - Race #9
Picks Notes
#4 HARLOCAP (7-2) Troubled second in strong field, today’s Best Bet in his second go-round.
#2 ROLL ON BIG JOE (12-1) Set pace, repelled a challenge on turn, couldn’t fend off 1-to-5 winner.
#1 MR. FISK (3-1) Tracked pressured pace, ran second to stablemate at this distance at Del Mar.
Race Summary Harlocap took money in his first start for Baffert and got up to finish second after a slow start against a promising, odds-on winner. Johannes, who finished three lengths behind Harlocap, came back Saturday with a 9-length MSW victory in his fourth start at Santa Anita. Bet to win and place.
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Golden Gate Fields
PURCHASE
Golden Gate Fields - Race 3 Starter Allowance $50,000 • 1 Mile • All-Weather • Age 3 • CR: 67 • Purse: $22,000 • Post: 1:45P FOR THREE YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE OCTOBER 1 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. (ONE WIN FOR $25,000 OR LESS WILL NOT BE CONSIDERED WHEN DETERMINING ELIGIBILITY).
Horse
Line
Odds
Race Type: Lone Front-runner. MOTHER'S PRAYER is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MOTHER'S PRAYER: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. O B'S: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. CALI CONQUEST: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Powe r Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. MOTHER'S PRAYER O B'S CALI CONQUEST
Line
Class
Speed
FigureMOTHER'S PRAYER Front-runner CHILLY WILLY Stalker CALI CONQUEST Alternator/Stalker HOT JOURNEY Trailer O B'S Trailer MONEY MUNCHER Alternator/Trailer
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero
PURCHASE
Camarero - Race 7
Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double 7-8
Claiming $4,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 83 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 5:30P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 121 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 17 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 2 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 2 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Lone Trailer. LA TRES JOLIE is the Lone Trailer of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * LUCKY WESTERN LADY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. BERBERSLILBRIEBRIE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. INFINITY SKY: Horse ranks in the top three in av erage Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. LA PERFECT STORM: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
9
LUCKY WESTERN LADY
2/1
4/1
3
BERBERSLILBRIEBRIE
5/1
6/1
7
INFINITY SKY
5/2
7/1
6
LA PERFECT STORM
9/2
10/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
7
INFINITY SKY
7
5/2
Front-runner
86
71
88.0
71.4
64.4
3
BERBERSLILBRIEBRIE
3
5/1
Front-runner
87
82
74.6
63.0
55.0
8
BOMBASTIC
8
3/1
Stalker
79
84
75.8
54.6
47.6
9
LUCKY WESTERN LADY
9
2/1
Stalker
91
75
58.6
75.2
71.7
6
LA PERFECT STORM
6
9/2
Alternator/Stalker
85
69
61.6
69.4
58.9
4
LA TRES JOLIE
4
7/2
Alternator/Trailer
86
69
59.6
65.8
54.8
5
I'LLMAKEYOUSMILE
5
6/1
Alternator/Non-contender
92
71
69.0
69.0
60.5
2
PITUFINA
2
6/1
Alternator/Non-contender
75
63
64.6
58.0
43.5
1
MILA
1
12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
72
64
61.4
46.2
28.2
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Golden Hour Wagers
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $23000 Class Rating: 100
GG - R8 - FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE OCTOBER 1 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000, IF FOR $18,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES 
# 9 UNION DANCE 7/2
# 2 SHOT OF A LIFETIME 9/2
# 7 HOLY GHOST 12/1
UNION DANCE looks decent to best this field. Looks strong to be up on the lead at the first call. With a nice class fig average of 99, has one of the best class advantages in this group. Has to be considered versus this group displaying very good numbers lately and an average Equibase speed fig of 92 under similar conditions. SHOT OF A LIFETIME - He has been running solidly and the speed figs are among the most respectable in this group. Has been moving quite well and has among the most competitive speed in the race for today's distance. HOLY GHOST - This horse has some longshot angles going for him. Boasts formidable speed figures on average overall when matched with the rest of this group.
Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #8 - Post: 4:02pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,900 Class Rating: 83
Rating:
#5 QIAN B C (ML=4/1)
#6 UHAVETOBEKITTENME (ML=10/1)
QIAN B C - Is ranked highest in earnings per race. A dominant try right here can add to the lifetime total. UHAVETOBEKITTENME - I like to wager on this angle, a thoroughbred coming back off a solid outing within the last 30 days. I think that a sprinter coming off a layoff will usually run his best in the 3rd or 4th start back.
Vulnerable Contenders: #9 HIDING THE BRICK (ML=3/1), #2 JOCULARITY (ML=9/2), #1 REINSURE (ML=5/1),
HIDING THE BRICK - I foresee a disappointing effort for this horse in this race. JOCULARITY - The speed figures continue to drop, 76/69/61. Not a good sign. Hard to take this questionable contender at this price after the result (fourth) in the last event. REINSURE - Difficult to put any money on this gelding on the top end. Likes to finish in the money though.
STRAIGHT WAGERS: #5 QIAN B C is the play if we get odds of 8/5 or better EXACTA WAGERS: Box [5,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:Pass SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip
Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Santa Anita Park
PURCHASE
01/02/23, SA, Race 5, 2.00 PT
01/02/23,SA,5,6F [Dirt] 1:07:00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $39,000. FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. Weight, 122 lbs. Claiming Price $50,000, For Each $2,500 To $45,000 1 lb.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 50.00, ROI 1.43/$1
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI 100.0000 5 Sweet Hello 4/1 Dettori L Papaprodromou George JL 77 45.45 1.34/$1 096.5928 8 Time Together 5/1 Prat F Powell Leonard SF 77 45.45 1.34/$1 095.1466 7 Miss Commander 3/1 Vazquez R A Sadler John W. E 77 45.45 1.34/$1 092.9723 2 Shes Just Fluffy 6/1 Alsagoor A Wong Jonathan 77 45.45 1.34/$1 092.1966 11 Song of Shadows 12/1 Herrera D A Yakteen Tim 80 43.75 1.29/$1 092.1081 3 Magic Capital 20/1 Pereira T J Palma Hector O. W 77 45.45 1.34/$1 091.4942 4 Miss Kaline(b+) 8/1 Frey K Bell. II Thomas Ray C 151 41.06 1.20/$1 091.3481 1 Jacqueline Cochran 12/1 Van Dyke D Miyadi Steven T 93 43.01 1.22/$1 091.1096 12 One Mo Eddie 8/1 Gutierrez M Callaghan Simon 80 43.75 1.29/$1 090.7996 6 Short Journey 15/1 Rojas Fernandez E K Palma Hector O. 77 45.45 1.34/$1 090.5540 10 Lucky Vegas 20/1 Franco G Papaprodromou George 151 41.06 1.20/$1 090.4174 9 Tootufftoswallow 20/1 Bravo J Wallace. II Jerry 77 45.45 1.34/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -3.4072
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f -with-
[Dirt MdnMClm] Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance 6f Or 6 1/2f
*Scratches may change this condition
Turf Paradise - Race #8 - Post: 3:52pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $12,000 Class Rating: 68
Rating:
#4 MISS GHISLAINE (ML=7/2)
#6 PANCAKES AND BEER (ML=5/1)
MISS GHISLAINE - I expect a lot from this race horse. Her speed figures under similar conditions are tops in this field. I look for this horse to sit chilly off the pace and make a solid move on the turn, cruising straight on to the finish line. Last two speed figures (69, 77) were solid. Anything close to that right here and this one may hit the finish line first. PANCAKES AND BEER - Equibase speed figures on the turf point to this horse as a legit contender. Has the best in the field for this dist-surf. A big drop in class rating points from her Apr 28th race at Turf Paradise. Based on that data, I will give this thoroughbred the edge.
Vulnerable Contenders: #12 WALK SOFTLY (ML=3/1), #3 ROSEBUD RYDE (ML=6/1), #10 MANDONA (ML=8/1),
WALK SOFTLY - Showed very little in the last affair. Really don't expect any betterment today. This filly registered a speed rating in her last event which likely isn't good enough in today's race. ROSEBUD RYDE - This vulnerable equine didn't do much last time finishing fourth. Don't see any chance of any improvement in today's event. MANDONA - This questionable contender ran a mediocre speed rating last out. She shouldn't improve and will likely lose in today's event running that fig.
GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - MISS GHISLAINE - I like making a bet on big class droppers like this one. Much easier field this time out.
STRAIGHT WAGERS: #4 MISS GHISLAINE is the play if we get odds of 7/5 or better EXACTA WAGERS: Box [4,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:4 with 6 with [1,8,11] Total Cost: $3 SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 9 - SO - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $28000 Class Rating: 86
FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR $16,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $25,000 AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT ONE MILE OR OVER SINCE DECEMBER 2 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES # 4 MARATHONER 8/1
# 3 BOKERMIN 5/1
# 7 YO NESSROUNDONKERN 2/1
MARATHONER appears to be the bet in here and is a very good value wager given the line. Has been running strongly in races of this distance, going 1 for 5 under similar conditions. Had one of the best Equibase speed figs of this field in his last contest. Looks quite good for the conditions of this race today, showing solid figures in dirt sprint races as of late. BOKERMIN - Could best this group here, showing competitive figures of late. Haddock and Linder are a potent pair for dividends. YO NESSROUNDONKERN - He has posted quite good figs under today's conditions and should fare well against this group of horses. This horse is ranked high in this group in earnings per start at the distance/surface.
Handicapper Sonny LaFouchi(aka The LEGEND)! Free Winners for Monday, January 2nd 2023 from THE LEGEND!
FREE HORSE PICKS
GOLDEN GATE FIELDS
RACE #8
TIME: 7:15 PM EST
PICK: BET #9 Union Dance 7/2 odds to win @ Bovada
1. NSA(The Legend) NBA – Lakers +1
2. Gameday Network NBA – Suns over 218
3. Sports Action 365 NBA – Cavaliers -4
4. Vegas Line Crushers NBA – Mavericks -7.5
5. VegasSI NBA – Clippers over 219
6. Sam Casey CBB – Oklahoma St -3
7. Henry Brown Sports CBB – Canisius -3
8. Winning Big Sports CBB – Bucknell over 137
9. Lou Panelli CBB – Kennesaw St -5.5
10. Platinum Info Club CBB – Army +1
11. William E. Stockton CBB – Stetson -3
12. Vincent Pioli CBB – Fla Gulf Coast -9
13. Steve “Scoop” Kendall CBB – Florida A&M +2
14. SCORE CBB – Lafayette -1
15. Tony Campone CBB – LeHigh +11
16. Chicago Sports Group NBA – Spurs +12.5
17. Hollywood Sportsline NBA – Hornets under 242.5
18. VIP Action NBA – Suns +1.5
19. South Beach Sports NBA – Bulls +4
20. LV Sports Commission CBB – Jacksonville -5.5
21. NY Players Club CBB – Alcorn St -3.5
22. Fred Callahan CBB – Bucknell -1
23. LV Private CEO Club CBB – Oklahoma St -3
24. Michigan Sports CBB – Wright St over 137
25. National Consensus Report CBB – Brown +1
Sal Michaels
Jan 02 '23, 7:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | Pennsylvania vs Brown
Play on: [B]Brown +1
Kenny Walker
Jan 02 '23, 7:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | West Virginia vs Oklahoma State
Play on: [B]Oklahoma State -2
Joseph D'Amico
Jan 02 '23, 7:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | Rutgers vs Purdue
Play on: Rutgers +9 -110 at circa
Guys as you all know the “King of Monday Night Football” has not dropped a Monday Night Football premium released since early-October. I even started this past week off with a big winner for all of you with the Chargers on MNF. This week continue to dominate MNF as the Bills travel to Paycor Stadium to face the Bengals. Follow the “KING OF MNF” and together we will be treated like royalty.
Well sports fans, as we come to the close of another BOWL season, once again Joe D’Amico has made you money. As a matter fact, I got everyone paid the other day with another 10% release, my last 10% release of 2022 as they finished 19-4 for the year. Today I have my final Bowl game winner for you this Bowl season in the COTTON BOWL between the TULANE GREEN WAVE and the USC TROJANS. Finish up the season with me a BIG WINNER. I have it posted for just $15.
Monday’s FREE WINNER: Rutgers Scarlet Knights.
Game 843.
4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.
For my FREE PLAY today, we’re going to go to the Mackey Arena in a matchup between the Rutgers Scarlet Knights and the top-ranked Purdue Boilermakers. This is all too familiar territory for both of these teams, folks. If you recall, December 2021, a season ago, Purdue was ranked No. 1 for the first time when they traveled to Rutgers and as a 13.5-point underdog, the Scarlet Knights bested the Boilermakers, 70-68. Now normally I would tell you Purdue would be in a big revenge mode here this season. But these two teams met after that, at the end of February and the Boilermakers, although pushed on the line, took down the Scarlet Knights 84-72. Coming into this match up there is no questioning the fact that Purdue is worthy of their 13-0 record. However, guys I think we can all agree that they’re getting a tad bit overvalued by the odds makers. This is a team that has not covered a game since the end of November, failing to cover seven straight contests. For six of those seven contests, they were double-digit favorites. But I think they’re being overvalued here again today. Rutgers enters this matchup winning and covering three in a row since suffering back-to-back straight up losses to Ohio State and Seton Hall, games in which they lost by just one and two-points. There’s no doubt that the Boilermakers are a solid team but the Scarlet Knights rank fifth nationally, allowing a mere 54.5-points per game. Not only that, but they rank third at defending the three and fourth overall in field goal percentage allowed. Granted, Purdue will probably win the battle of the boards here, but laying this much wood against a very tough and frustrating defense like Rutgers possesses, I feel is way too many points. By the way, the Boilermakers have failed to cover the last five games at home. Take the points with the Scarlet Knights. Thank you.
John Martin
Jan 02 '23, 7:10 PM in 3h
NBA | Pelicans vs 76ers
Play on: [B]76ers -3
Dave Price
Jan 02 '23, 7:10 PM in 3h
NBA | Lakers vs Hornets
Play on: Lakers +1 -110 at Caesars
Dave's Monday Free Play:
1* on Los Angeles Lakers +1
The Key: The Los Angeles Lakers are closing strong on this 5-game road trip with a 19-point win at Orlando and a 9-point win at Atlanta despite being underdogs in both games. Now they cap off the trip as underdogs at Charlotte when they should be favored. The Hornets are just 3-12 SU in their last 15 games overall and shouldn't be favored. They will be playing their 5th game in 8 days tonight while it will only be the 4th game in 8 days for the Lakers. The Hornets are missing second-leading scorer Kelly Oubre Jr. and his 20.2 PPG right now. The Lakers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games against a team with a losing record. The Lakers are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 trips to Charlotte. Take Los Angeles.
Jack Jones
Jan 02 '23, 7:10 PM in 3h
NBA | Raptors vs Pacers
Play on: UNDER 233 -110
Jack's Free Pick Monday: Raptors/Pacers UNDER 233
The Toronto Raptors and their opponents have combined for 225 or fewer points in five of their last six games overall. They won't run with the Pacers and will try to slow it down as they rank 24th in pace this season. The Pacers are coming off three consecutive overs which has inflated this total. They had previously combined for 230 or fewer points in five consecutive games.
The recent head-to-head history really favors the UNDER. The Raptors and Pacers have combined for 222, 222, 211, 191 and 218 points in their last five meetings. They haven't even come close to topping this 233-point total, and I think there's value with the UNDER tonight as a result. The UNDER is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings in Indiana. Bet the UNDER in this game Monday.
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