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Info Plays
1* FREE INFO PLAY on Drake-3.5
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Mike Lundin
Mike's Cowboys/Commanders NFL Free Pick
The Dallas Cowboys have been unstoppable at home, but they are only 3-5 straight up on the road.
The Cowboys need a win (or an Eagles loss) to win the division while Washington is eliminated from playoff contention, but make no mistake; the Commanders would not mind crashing the party for their division rival.
The Commanders will be looking to avenge a 45-10 blowout loss to the Cowboys in Dallas back in November, and I think they can keep it within two touchdowns this time.
2* FREE PICK ON THE COMMANDERS+13
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Kenny Walker
Free Pick on Bears+3
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ProSportsPicks
PSP's Data Driven NFL Free Pick: Giants+5
At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind.
Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.
Our models suggest that the value is on the New York Giants when they host Philadelphia on Sunday. The Eagles have played down to their competition lately and they're winless on the road since Nov. 20.
Supporting trends: Eagles are 1-9-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
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Sean Murphy
Sunday NFL Free play. My selection is on Las Vegas plus the points (+3) +100 over Denver at 4:25 pm et on Sunday.
While the Raiders have nothing to play for in theory, they're still playing for rookie head coach Antonio Pierce, looking to sew up a full-time job for their preferred choice. They can also book-end their season with wins over the Broncos after staging a minor upset way back in Week 1 in Denver. The Broncos picked up a 16-9 victory over the Chargers in their home finale last Sunday. I question how much motivation they'll have on this trip to Las Vegas to wrap up the regular season. There will be plenty of changes to come in the offseason and QB Jarrett Stidham is in a sense auditioning for his next job, whether it be in Denver or elsewhere. Note that the Broncos are a miserable 22-40 ATS in their last 62 games following a home win over a division opponent. The Raiders on the other hand are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last four contests following a road loss by three points or less. Take Las Vegas.
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John Martin
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Eagles/Giants OVER 42
The New York Giants are giving up 24.8 points per game this season. They just lost a 25-33 shootout against the Eagles two weeks ago and 25-26 to the Rams last week. This total of 42 is too low when you consider how poorly the Eagles are playing defensively as well. The Eagles have given up at least 25 points in five of their last six games overall. They are giving up 31.5 points per game in those six games. They just gave up 35 points and 449 yards to the Cardinals at home last week. Tyrod Taylor is the best option for the Giants at QB and he has proven it the last two weeks. The weather doesn't look too bad with a 50% chance of rain and only 10 MPH winds forecast as of Friday. Give me the OVER.
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Jack Jones
Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Buffalo Bills -2.5
The Miami Dolphins were blitzed by the Baltimore Ravens 56-19 last week while allowing 491 total yards. For some reason they still had their best pass rusher in Bradley Chubb still in the game deep into the 4th quarter of the blowout. Chubb was lost for the season with a knee injury. Now the Dolphins are without their top two pass rushers as they were already without LB Jaelan Phillips.
The injuries are really starting to pile up for the Dolphins now. They lost starting CB Xavien Howard to injury against the Ravens as well. They were already without WR Jaylen Waddle and RB Raheem Mostert, who have yet to practice this week. Tyreke Hill is playing through injury and dealing with distractions with a house fire this week. QB Tua Tagovailoa will play through a shoulder injury suffered against the Ravens. Four of five offensive linemen are listed as questionable as well, and they already lost C Connor Williams to a torn ACL. What a mess this team is right now.
Meanwhile, the Buffalo Bills are getting healthier at the end of the season, especially defensively. They will have all hands on deck defensively with the exception of LB Milano, CB White and DT Phillips, who they have been without for quite some time. But DT Jones, S Hyde, S Poyer and LB Miller have all missed time recently and all are back healthy now. The Bills are proving what they can do when healthy defensively, holding their last four opponents to 17.5 points per game and 277 yards per game.
The Bills are also remarkably healthy on offense. They are scoring 28 points per game in their last six games. The Bills put up 48 points on the Dolphins in their first meeting this season. They have now scored 38 points per game in their last three meetings with the Dolphins. They have also put up an average of 445 yards per game in their last four meetings with Miami. Josh Allen simply owns the Dolphins, and he will have his way again considering how short-handed their defense is right now. Bet the Bills Sunday night.
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Going to stop doing the records for these free plays as I will be starting up school this week so I will probably fall behind on the tracking so better to stop it now.
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Teams Avenging a Week 1 loss today
41-6 ATS since 1989
24-1 in last 25
Active on Broncos +3 and Bears +3
The Team missed playoffs last season
The Team is away
The Team is the Underdog
The Team Lost to the opponent in Week 1
The Game is Week 9 or Later
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