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Thread: Service Plays Thursday 2/22/24

  1. #61
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    Kevin Young

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    Alan Cashman

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    J.R. O'Donnell

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    GoodFella

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    BEST BET

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    Sean P
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dapper Dan View Post
    RHINO






    NCAABB (POD) MINNESOTA GOPHERS (ML)


    He's on a helluva POD run!!
    I'm not knocking him, I've played a few games but it seems like the juice has gone up lately on the games he's playing.

  8. #68
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    Your daily capper

    1 unit plays

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    Quote Originally Posted by zipp View Post
    ya but -160 to -180 on the games is alot. His game yesterday was between -160 to -175

    So true!!

    Because laying that type of vig daily like he does requires a crazy good winning percentage on a consistent basis. He would have to hit like 65% just to break even. Not a good proposition over time to lay juice like that but good luck to those following.

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    Ferrigno
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  11. #71
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    Quote Originally Posted by buzzzkillsucks View Post
    Agree 100%. I don't think people realize that you'd have to hit between 62% to 64% to just breakeven on ML favorites of -160 to -180. No one succeeds over the long run doing that.
    he is hitting well over that on POD
    the others are under 50%

    but there are other ways to play them to mitigate the juice
    tomorrow I will go into detail about it
    but line I always say
    fade follow or ignore
    it’s just information
    Last edited by 2trikpony; 02-22-2024 at 07:09 PM.

  12. #72
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2trikpony View Post
    he is hitting well over that on POD
    the others are under 50%

    but there are other ways to play them to mitigate the juice
    tomorrow I will go into detail about it
    but line I always say
    fade follow or ignore
    it’s just information
    If he's doing better, that's great and I hope people are making money. But as stated, at a -180, he'd have to hit 64.3% to breakeven. If he hit 7 out of 10, you're netting +1.60. That's tough to do. I'm just trying to get people to understand the math and what they're doing when they make a habit of taking ML favorites with that type of juice. If he drops off a little, say down to 60%, the bettor is losing 1.2 units on a percentage that typically would be considered good. Get down to 55% (11-9) and now that bettor is getting crushed (-5.2 units).

    I'm just giving out information also.
    Last edited by buzzzkillsucks; 02-22-2024 at 07:29 PM.
    Slimebuckets from across the street should stay there

  13. #73
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    I didn't mean to start any disagreements just wanted to point out the high money lines.

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    Rhino POD Cashes Another
    one 4-0 this week I think that’s 17-7 last 24 I’ll have to check


    I get what you are saying but
    he has been hitting over 70% on the POD for about 3 months now
    I’ll post the exact record tomorrow
    And yes over 60% AGAINST THE SPREAD is tough to do
    Betting ML favorites people do it all the time Some people think betting a ML favorite in basketball or football is different than betting a ML favorite in baseball or NHL or soccer but it’s not and while it is a disagreement on strategy it’s not an argument Each person has their own way of doing it that’s fine
    Plenty of Professional gamblers bet ML favorites
    The people that drive me crazy and so far it’s no one in this discussion, are the ones that say “I’ll never lay more than -130 ,140 whatever
    as if that’s some badge of honor and that makes them some kind of gambling expert when in fact they are paying their book every week
    Maybe those guys need to try a different strategy because the one they have been using their entire lives sure isn’t working

  15. #75
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    Quote Originally Posted by zipp View Post
    ya but -160 to -180 on the games is alot. His game yesterday was between -160 to -175
    Like I said, he's on a HELLUVA RUN and the juice only matters when he loses, right? Well when he WINS damn near 16 to 17 POD's out of every 20 then what's the point? Only that scared money NEVER PAYS OFF! Good luck to you and now I see why this forum is so dated because of the few IDIOTS that run ppl like me off and I'm only trying to help make $$$$

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    I would put Rhino POD up against ANY of the stale cappers that get posted daily? Someone can hold the money? We can go 30 days?? Just lmk?

  17. #77
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    Quote Originally Posted by buzzzkillsucks View Post
    Agree 100%. I don't think people realize that you'd have to hit between 62% to 64% to just breakeven on ML favorites of -160 to -180. No one succeeds over the long run doing that.
    LOLOLOL! Keep thinking like that! Got a big ole drink of HATER-ade bud, huh? Betting your $5 and $10 per game ain't gonna make a difference! Just trying to pass along a consistent capper on his POD ONLY! Tell ya what, FADE his POD then and you will get + juice on those?

  18. #78
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    Hmmm? I believe part of my comment (for those that read it in its entirety) was "If he's doing better, that's great and I hope people are making money".

    Amazing how showing the math on something can be greeted with such animosity. No hating here (I have no idea why presenting objective information is considered bashing), and the comment was related to the long run (pretty much anyone that brought up the same thing referred to that). Some of you people need to relax. You're under no duress to do anything you don't want to and no one is trying to run any one off. Chill.
    Slimebuckets from across the street should stay there

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