9-2-08

[Mr. IWS]

*** EZWINNERS MLB ***

3 STAR: (905) PITTSBURGH (+$142) over Cincinnati
(Listing Snell and Harang)
(Risking $300 to win $426)
6:10PM Central Time

3 STAR: (918) CLEVELAND (+$106) over Chicago
(Listing Carmona and Danks)
(Risking $300 to win $318)
6:05PM Central Time

[timbob]

MR A

New York Yankees (73-64) at Tampa Bay Rays (84-51)
(R) Mike Mussina (16-7) vs. (R) Matt Garza (11-7)
Tampa Bay has won their last five games, 5-0 at home, but lost seven of the last 10 meetings versus the Yankees. New York has won five of their last six road games.

New York's Mike Mussina (16-7, 3.41 ERA) is 1-0 with a 4.26 ERA in his last three starts. The right-hander is 18-7 with a 3.38 ERA in 31 career starts against the Rays.

Tampa Bay's Matt Garza (11-7, 3.53) is 2-0 with a 1.54 ERA in his last three starts. The right-hander is 1-1 with a 3.29 ERA in two career starts versus the Yankees.

Expect an outstanding pitching duel between these two right-handers. New York?s Mussina is 6-1 with a 3.34 ERA in 10 road starts and Garza is 7-2 with a 2.47 ERA at home this year.
Take the Yankees with their veteran on the mound in a close low scoring battle. Mussina is 2-0 with a 1.46 ERA in two starts versus the Rays this season and the Yankees have won eight of his last 10 starts versusTampa Bay. The total has gone under in ten of the last 11 meetings, 5-0 in the last five at Tropicana Field.

New York Yankees +110
Under 8.5

[Mr. IWS]

Ted Sevransky/ teddy covers

7:05PM ET MLB 3* Action Toronto Blue Jays (-107) vs Minnesota Twins
8:05PM ET MLB 3* Action Houston Astros (+180) vs Chicago Cubs

[timbob]

DAVE M@LINSKY
3* HOUSTON over CHICAGO

On Sunday we were all set to play a 6* Over ticket in the scheduled Carlos Zambrano start against the Phillies, and the best place to start here is in how we were setting that one up ?

?The markets love Carlos Zambrano, and they should, when a pitcher works as well as he has for so many seasons. But the Zambrano being priced in this game is not the one that will actually take the mound. He has worked to an awful 8.34 over his last four starts, with 28 hits, including six home runs, and 14 walks, allowed in just 22.1 innings. And it is not as though it has been tough competition getting to him, with the last two against the Pirates and Reds, two of the weakest lineups in the N.L. these days. The issue is simple ? the radar guns do not lie as his fastballs lack zip. First, from Zambranbo himself -

"I'm trying to throw as hard as I can, and you see the gun ... Everybody goes through these, and I just have to wait for my arm strength and my arm power to come back, so I can do a good job for my team ?I don't feel any pain in my arm at all. If I felt pain, I'd tell them. I don't want to pitch through pain, like I did in Tampa Bay [on June 16]. They knew it, I knew it. I said [at that time] I can't throw like this and I needed a little rest, and everything worked better. It's just a dead arm now."

And from pitching coach Larry Rothschild - "He's pitched a lot of innings in the last six, seven years. You can compare him with a lot of people, but I don't know anyone who has logged the pitches and innings that he has. Hopefully, it's just something he's going through and he rebounds and it becomes a dead issue.?

So does a 48-hour rest mean a change in form? We will have to see before we believe, and that means outstanding value to take a hot Houston team plus the exorbitant price being offered in this one. The Astros are on a 6-0 run right now, and have more than held their own against the top of the division since the All Star break, going 8-4 against these Cubs, the Brewers and the Cardinals. And note that even before those August doldrums set in the Astros got excellent reads of Zambrano in a July 19th win at home, forcing him into a season high of six walks. They are a loose and confident bunch right now, and with Roy Oswalt?s solid Monday outing giving the bullpen a breather, there are plenty of fresh arms to put in play behind Brandon Backe in this one. Backe will bring a chip on his shoulder after having his worst outing of the season, and one of the worst of his career, from this mound a month ago, but he worked into the seventh in beating the Reds and Mets in his last two starts, which has his confidence back

[Mr. IWS]

FairWay Jay

7:05PM ET MLB 3* Action Toronto Blue Jays (-102) vs Minnesota Twins
7:10PM ET MLB 3* Action New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays UNDER 8.5 (-110)
9:40PM ET MLB 4* Best St. Louis Cardinals vs Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 9.0 (-110)

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Akmens

7:05PM ET WNBA 5* Action Seattle Storm vs The Atlanta Dream OVER 153.5 (-110)
7:05PM ET WNBA 5* Action Seattle Storm (-8.5 / -110) vs The Atlanta Dream
7:05PM ET MLB 5* Action Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox OVER 10.5 (-110)

[timbob]

Charlies Sports

tuesday sept 2, 2008.


mlb.philly @ wahington under 7' runs (500*)
mlb.reds-150 (30*)
mlb.mets+130 (20*)
mlb.twins-120 (20*)
mlb. yankees+120 (10*)
mlb. cleveland+115 (10*) free play

[timbob]

Frank Rosenthal

901 BRAVES+140 SB
905 PIRATES+140 SB
910 BREWERS-135 SB
914 DBACKS-115 SB
925 YANKS+110 SB
930 KC-140 SB

[timbob]

Mike Rose
7:05PM ET MLB 2* Action Chicago White Sox (-115) vs Cleveland Indians
7:10PM ET MLB 2* Action New York Yankees (+105) vs Tampa Bay Rays
7:10PM ET MLB 2* Action Pittsburgh Pirates (+150) vs Cincinnati Reds
8:35PM ET MLB 3* Action Colorado Rockies (+155) vs San Francisco Giants
10:10PM ET MLB 3* Action Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5 / +120) vs San Diego Padres

[timbob]

The Millionaires Club Guaranteed Selections
Date: Tuesday, September 02, 2008
$30.00 Guaranteed: We are now 301-159 since joining this site! We win with a different approach to handicapping as we have situations that tell us what the line should be by looking at the teams stats compared to line history! In Baseball our line is STRONGER than the lines makers as we set a TRUE LINE not a public line! Today we have a 92% HIGH ROLLER BASEBALL WINNER that you can get for just $30! 9/2/2008

92% HIGH ROLLER BASEBALL WINNER
Cincinnati w/Harang -154 7:10 EST


These guys are about the hottest out there right now!!!!! I like this play

[timbob]

indiancowboy


Atlanta/Seattle Over 154 (POD)

Frankly, I have no idea why this total is moving down, I thought the Seattle/Conn Total should not be moving down this past weekend but it was and I stayed away from it and it consequently went over. Given that, it just goes to show that you should roll with the research that you feel strong with. I am focusing heavily on football this weekend including getting all the research out by Thursday including the entire football card for the weekend. As per this play, look, Seattle comes off a loss at Connecticut and they are furious. Atlanta has lost 7 straight covers and they continue to struggle and getting beat at home. Atlanta will show effort today and will be an active dog - Seattle also scores plenty of points as well as remember this is similar to the Phoenix game as the Dream are a poor woman's Phoenix Mercury team except they lose ballgames at a higher rate. Atlanta has had no problem allowing teams to score well above 80 points and they consequently love a high paced game and score above 70 points. Having said this, look for a game that hits the mid 160's when all is said and done. The over is 4-0 for the Storm on the road of late and the over is 4-0 for the Dream as of late as well.