9-24-08

[Mr. IWS]

Dave Cokin

(923) NYY Yankees
(924) TOR Blue Jays
Take "(924) TOR Blue Jays"
The Yankees are now officially out of the playoff chase and they're facing a pitcher with major incentive tonight. Blue Jays righty Burnett has 18 wins. If he nabs the decision tonight, it's likely he'll get a chance to win #20 on the season's final day. The Yankees worked hard to get Mike Mussina his 19th last night, tonight it's Toronto's turn.

[Mr. IWS]

Jim Feist

(927) CHW White Sox
(928) MIN Twins
Take "(928) MIN Twins"
Big series here for these two teams as the AL Central is on the line. The prize is obvious, the winner goes to the playoffs and the loser is done for the year. White Sox are just 35-43 on the road this year while Minnesota is 49-26 at home. However it ends for the Twins they have to consider 2008 a success. With a big makeover in the offseason and entering as the eighth best team according to the Vegas oddsmakers, they have nothing to really lose here. Mark Buehrle starts for the Sox at 14-11 on the year with a 3.87 era. The 29-year lefty has seen his era rise since the All star break, but he's still had a very good year. The Twins have given him problems this year as he's just 1-2 with a 5.79 era against them. Nick Blackburn will start for the Twins. He's 10-10 with a 4.15 era. A team like the Twins isn't expected to do much and therefore they will play looser in this kind of game, while the Sox are expected to produce. We'll take our shot here today with Minnesota who has nothing to lose.

[Mr. IWS]

ChicagoSportsConnection
CHICAGO WHITE SOX +105 @Minn......8:10 EDT

I know the Sox have a bad history in the Dome, but this game features the Sox' sharpest pitcher at the moment vs the Twins' coolest.
Blackburn's been lit up in his last two starts, while Buerhle's been throwing great in his last 4 or 5.

Last night's starter for the Sox was the spineless Javy Vasquez, who a day earlier stated that it doesn't matter much to him whether he goes to the playoffs because he will be a wealthy man whether his team wins or loses.

And he pitched like it didn't matter as he only lasted 4 innings.

But back to this game...It's a big one for both teams, but veteran Mark Buehrle has come up big in playoff and World Series games and we're looking for him to come up big in this "playoff-type" game

[Mr. IWS]

Players of America

(VERY large play for these guys...)


Today's Selections

CHW vs. MIN
Sport: Major League Baseball
Game: Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins
The Play: Chicago White Sox +120.0
Play Description:
Star Value: 5* (50 Units)
Writeup:
Good day. Well, we know we said we'd be packing things up until the MLB post season, but there is one match up out there that stands out like sore thumb today. All of you users who have expired packages.please enjoy this play for free in return for our poor performance in the final month of the regular season. This is the play to be on, guys. The White Sox remain in Minnesota for an ENORMOUS three game set with AL Central foe, the Twins. Chicago remains in first place of the division, with the Twins tightly on their heels. Minnesota put on a clinic last night at home to pull even closer to the Sox, but today's line is simply outrageous.
The White sox have a subpar reputation inside any dome over the past five years, but throw that stat away for a second so we can look a little deeper into this thing. The White Sox are putting one of their better heavers on the rubber tonight in Mark Buehrle. Mark is a solid 14-11 overall this season, 2-0 in his last three outings. In those last three games, Mark has given up just 19 hits and racked up an ERA of just 2.79. His WHIP in those games stands at 1.12 too. He has been red hot, and it really seems that when this guy gets on the mound this entire Chicago team comes together and gives him some major run support. That'll be the case tonight, also. This is a purely valuable position for the White Sox. They are the better team, home or away when you stack them up to the Twins. They'll prove that tonight at 8:10PM EST.

Minnesota is handing the seams to right hander Nick Blackburn. Nick was a highly touted star about two months ago, but has more than cooled off as of late. It seems hitters have really keyed in on him and he hasn't been able to go more than a few innings without getting the boot lately. Nick has a season ERA of 4.15, compared to Buehrle's 3.85. Blackburn also is 1-2 in his last three appearances, PITCHING JUST 12 INNINGS AND GIVING UP 20 HITS. IN THOSE 12 INNINGS HE HAS AN ERA OF 10.22 AND A WHIP OF 1.95. Re-read that if need be, but it's a proven fact that this guy is struggling and the laughing stock of this organization right now.

On a side note, veteran Alfonso Marquez is the scheduled umpire for today's event. Alfonso is notorious for having a very tight strike zone, and with that comes many, many runs. He has officiated 30 games already this season, two thirds of which have gone over the total. We're sorry to say, but when it comes to offense, hitting and runs, the White Sox clearly hold the advantage over the Twins with an extraordinary potent line up.

There is not getting around the spotlight of this game. It is nothing shy of a big one for both teams. However, as we've said so many times in the past, this is baseball.not boxing. Both teams are relatively healthy and at full staff, so there are no excuses to be made. In all honesty, this is the turning point of this AL Central race. A win here for the White Sox may do all but clinch some post season action. A loss, and well, they are in a dog fight for the remainder of the regular season.

Buehrle went out against this same Minnesota team on June 7th, 2008 and chalked up an 11-2 victory. Blackburn faced this same White Sox team the day before and got roughed up for 10 runs in a 10-6 loss to the Sox. The first game for Blackburn this season against the Sox he was also shelled in a 7-4 loss to Chicago.

We're confident in letting this one fly off the hook for a very, very large play. Chicago is the side to be on in this match up, and plus money on the Sox is a gift from the heavens above. A 5* / 50 unit wager on Buehrle and the White Sox as they steal Game #2 of this series in Minnesota, BIG.

TRENDS OF THE GAME:
-The White Sox are 9-2 in their last 11 Wednesday games
-The White Sox are 9-3 in Buehrle's last 12 starts VS the Twins
-The Twins are 3-8 in their last 11 games following a win

Chicago 8, Minnesota 3

[Mr. IWS]

Ted Sevransky
TITLE: Big Ticket: MLB Game of the Year
REASON FOR PICK: I only release one Big Ticket: MLB Game of the Year and tonight’s contest absolutely deserves that designation, with the betting marketplace way out of sync with the realities of this game and this series. We cashed with Minnesota last night as they routed the White Sox 9-3. It was the Twins 50th home win in 76 games. Remember thanks to the Republican National Convention and other factors, the Twins had played 24 of their previous 30 games on the road. No surprise, then, that the young Twins went just 12-18 during that span. That understandably rough stretch has the betting marketplace lagging here for a team with a truly dominant home field advantage.

The win was typical Twins baseball. Nick Punto laid down a perfect squeeze bunt to score a big run, helping to blow the game open. The red hot Joe Mauer (12 game hitting streak; hitting .500 for the last week) went with the pitch for an opposite field single. The Twins lead the majors with a .311 batting average with runners in scoring position. They stole two bases. They turned two double plays.


Outfielder Michael Cuddyer: “We don’t win by hitting bombs. It’s playing the game right. Getting guys over. Doing the little things right. Nine runs is not uncharacteristic.” Manager Ron Gardenhire said. “Our guys get pretty pumped up playing at home in front of our crowd. We’re playing the White Sox. All those good things – it should be easy for you.” First baseman Justin Morneau: “We scored over 800 runs playing our Twins baseball, bunting and stealing and all that kind of stuff.”


All the momentum here is with Minnesota. All the pressure is on the first place White Sox, trying to protect their 1.5 game lead, but Chicago looked a bit shell-shocked last night. It’s certainly not like Ozzie Guillen’s squad is in good current form. While the Twins were faltering, the White Sox were unable to put the division away; just 10-14 in their last 24 games including a 5-10 road mark during that span. Given the Twins track record at home and the White Sox current form, this game should be priced much closer to -200 than the current number of -115.


The betting marketplace is afraid of Twins starter Nick Blackburn. After all, Blackburn has been shelled in each of his last two outings, at Tampa Bay and at Baltimore. But you’re not going to find many pitchers in baseball with a stronger home/road dichotomy than the Twins young righty. He’s been getting hammered on the road all year, to the tune of a 5.20 ERA and a .318 batting average against. Put Blackburn at home in front of the screaming faithful and we’re talking about a pitcher that has gone 7-3 with a 2.92 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP, All Star caliber numbers. The Twins are 9-3 in his last dozen home starts. Blackburn earned the win, pitching seven innings of quality start baseball in his last outing against these White Sox here at the Metrodome.


And Mark Buehrle seems to be getting a wee bit too much credit from the betting marketplace as well. Buehrle has been shelled in two of his three starts against Minnesota this year, in 7-0 and 13-1 losses. Over the last three years at the Metrodome, Buehrle has allowed 29 hits and 16 runs in just 17 innings of work; hit hard every single time.


The Twins have won six of the seven meetings between these two teams in Minneapolis this season. Closer Joe Nathan has bounced back from his tough stretch (all on the road) earlier this month, notching a pair of saves without allowing a single baserunner over the weekend against Tampa Bay. This is legitimately the single strongest play I’ve seen in MLB all year, worthy of Big Ticket: Game of the Year status. 7* Big Ticket Game of the Year: Take the Twins.

[Mr. IWS]

JB Computer Plays

Kansas City Royals +105
St. Louis Cardinals -130
Los Angeles Dodgers -230

[Mr. IWS]

nsa 20-tampabay-140
10-kc-115
10-cubs+115
10-twins-115
10-under8dodgers
10-anpels+120

[Mr. IWS]

JOHN RYAN

Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies
Prediction: Over

Ai Simulator 3* graded play OVER Philadelphia/Atlanta ? AiS shows an 85% probability that 10 or more runs will be scored in this game. Jo Jo Reyes, starting for Atlanta, has been struggling to say the least. He sports a 7.94 ERA and a 1.853 WHIP over his last 3 starts and has allowed more home runs than recorded strikeouts (5 to 4). Phillies are at home playing in front of juiced up crowd looking to win the NL East. In his last 2 starts, both home and away against the Mets, he allowed 9 ER in just 5.3 IP. After pitching a 2 hitter in his second to last start, Brett Myers was hammered in his last allowing 10 ER in 4 IP at Florida. Myers is in an OVER role for this game noting his team has a 21-9 OVER (+12.0 Units) in home games versus poor baserunning teams averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game since 1997.


New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays
Prediction: Toronto Blue Jays

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Toronto ? Yes, this is correct TWO 3* graded plays today and I am releasing them to you free. Both bullpens are performing well right now, but all too late for playoff consideration. Still, with Burnett on the hill the bullpen will not be needed all that much except for key personnel. Toronto has posted a 1.08 ERA and a0.96 WHIP allowing just 1 home run in 25 IP. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 75-18 making 42 units since 1997. Play on AL home favorites with a money line of -150 or more with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season and after allowing 3 runs or less 3 straight games. Of note is that Burnett can get his 19th win tonight and may still have a start Sunday to get his 20th ? if he is moved up for that goal. He has posted a 1.35 ERA and a 0.900 WHIP, allowed ZERO home runs while recording 19K?s over his last 3 starts spanning 20 IP. He is 6-3 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 2.58 and a WHIP of 1.019. Take Toronto.

[Mr. IWS]

ProCappersNetwork

I won my free premium play yesterday as the Boston Red Sox came through as a small dog and won 5-4. Let's try for two in a row with this selection today:

922 Detroit -1.16 (3 Unit Play) - Bannister vs. Robertson

I had a big day yesterday going 5-1 for a profit of 13.59 units in the MLB and the above play is part of another seven play card today. If you go to procappersnetwork and click on the PCN Pros link and purchase my $20 MLB weekly special I will include every baseball play through Sunday and will also include at no additional charge my College and NFL Football plays as well. Sign up today and give my very affordable service a try, I don't think you will be disappointed with the small purchase.

Best of luck to everyone today and enjoy the games.

Oscarxena Sports

[Mr. IWS]

*** EZWINNERS MLB ***


2 STAR: (917) OAKLAND (+$104) over Texas
(Action)
(Risking $200 to win $208)
1:05PM Central Time


2 STAR: (913) SAN DIEGO (+$135) over LA Dodgers
(Action)
(Risking $200 to win $270)
9:10PM Central Time


2 STAR: (928) MINNESOTA (-$119) over Chicago
(Listing Blackburn only)
(Risking $238 to win $200)
7:10PM Central Time

[Mr. IWS]

MIKE ROSE

3* kc/det o10



3* PIT/MIL OVER 7’ –105
3* CWS/MIN UNDER 9 –110

[Mr. IWS]

balfe

Mlb
Cubs +110 over Mets
Zambrano/Perez

[Mr. IWS]

kelso
high rollers 10 marlins best bets 5 phillies run line

[Mr. IWS]

Marc Lawrence

LA Angels @ Seattle

3* La Angels

[Mr. IWS]

Billy Coleman
4*cubs
4*la Angels
3*whitesox

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAY
PHILADELPHIA RL (-130) over Atlanta
Brett MyersComes in off his roughest outing iin a while after allowing 10 ER to the Marlins in 4 innings of work. Prior to that start Brett was 6-2 with a 1.59 ERA in his previous 9 starts. He is also 7-4 with a 2.77 ERA at home. He was hit hard in his only meeting with the Braves this year, but that was in May when he was horrible. Jo Jo Reyes has been bad on the road his year with a 1-6 mark and a 4.80 ERA, plus he is 0-7 with a 7.28 ERA in his last 11 starts overall and 0-2 with a 5.69 ERA in 2 starts vs the Phils this year. The Braves have been outscored by 4 rpg in his last 11 starts. The Phils have won 10 of their last 12 and they won 7 of those 10 games by 2 runs or more, while the Braves have been outscored by 2 runs or more in 12 of their last 16 losses. The Brave has scored just 3.6 rpg in their last 7 games, while the Phils have scored a healthy 5.4 rpg vs lefty starters on the year. The Phils have the clear pitching advantage in this one, plus they will be motivated to get back last night's loss and move one step closer to the Division crown. Phils roll here.
Houston/ Cincinnati Under 8.5
The Under is 14-3-2 in Reds last 19 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 6-0-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter, while the Under is 14-5 in Astros last 19 games vs. a right-handed starter and 9-4 in their last 13 vs. a team with a losing record, plus the Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Houston and 11-2 in Millers last 13 games behind home plate vs. Houston. Ramon Ramirez has just 3 career starts and he has a 2.84 ERA in those starts. He could have a good outing tonight vs a houston offense that comes in hitting just .229 and scoring just 2.9 rpg in their last 7 games. Randy Wolf has pitched good at home this year with a 3.19 ERA, while he owns a 3.39 in 14 career starts vs the Reds. Cincy Comes in scoring just 4.1 rpg in their las 12 games and they are hitting just .240 and scoring 4 rpg on the road this year. Minute Maid Park is a hitting park, but not tonight as pitching will rule.

2 UNIT PLAYS
LA Angels +123 over SEATTLE
The Angels are 21-7 in their last 28 during game 3 of a series and 8-2 in their last 10 games following a loss, while the Mariners are 10-27 in their last 37 vs. American League West and 2-10 in their last 12 during game 3 of a series. The Angels have really dominated thios series, going 33-13 in the last 46 meetings, including 5-1 in their last 6 played here. I know the Angels have the West all wrapped up, but they don't really want to head into the post season on a losing note. The Angels come in winners in 12 of their last 16 games and would like to get the taste ofg last nights bad loss out of their mouths. Jon Garland does have a high 5.73 ERA on the road, but with a solid 7-3 record. Jon is also 8-3 with a 3.40 ERA in his career vs the M's. Felix Hernandez has been struggling for Seattle of late going 0-3 with a 4.05 ERA in his last 4 starts. He will face a hot Angels offense that is scoring 6.4 rpg in their last 7 games, while the Mariners have put up just 2.8 rpg in their last 13 games. Seattle broke a long losing streak last night, but the celebration will be short lived as they will find themselves with their 13th loss in their last 14 games after this one is over.
I ALSO LIKE
Cleveland +149 over BOSTON: Sox are still partying after securing a playoff berth last night, so it's a perfect spot for the Tribe to steal one. Go with the dog here.

1 UNIT PLAYS
MINNESOTA -125 over ChiSox
Gotta go against the Cheat Sheet on this one. Sorry guys. The Sox rea just 4-14 on artificial Turf this year and they are just 1-7 in teir last 8 meetings in Minnesota, plus they are 0-7 in Buehrles last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Twins are 17-4 in their last 21 home games vs. a left-handed starter and 21-6 in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Minnesota has played very well at home this year, going 50-26 overall, including 9-4 in Nick Blackburn's home starts. Nick has pitched well at home going 7-3 with a 2.92 ERA and he is 7-4 with a 3.45 ERA on artificial surfaces this year. Mark Buehrle has been hot in his last 4 starts, with a 3-0 mark and a 2.13 ERA in his last 4 starts, but he has struggled on the road this year, going 4-8 with a 5.14 ERA. Mark is 21-12 in his career vs the Twins, I see the twins taking this one from a Sox team that should be a bit tired as this is the 9 game of a 10 game road trip. Go Twins.
LA Angels/ Seattle Over 8
The Over is 7-1 in Garlands last 8 starts overall and 7-0 in his last 7 road starts, while the Over is 13-5-1 in Mariners last 19 games following a win and 6-1 in Hernandezs last 7 starts vs. Angels, plus the Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Seattle. Seattle's last 7 games have average 8.8 rpg, while the Angels last 7 games have averaged 11.5 rpg. Jon Garlands road starts have averaged 12.1 rpg, including 15.7 rpg in his last 7 starts away from home, while his night starts have averaged 10.4 rpg this year. The teams have combined for 10.1 rpg in the 8 games played here this season and with both starters struggling with their ERA's of late, I see another game between these two finishing in double digits.

[Mr. IWS]

Wed, 09/24/08 - 10:10 PMvegas-runner | MLB Money Line Double-Dime Bet
930 SEA (-133) SportBet vs 929 ANA
Analysis: ** 2* ML WAGER ** (Hernandez vs Garland)



Wed, 09/24/08 - 8:10 PMvegas-runner | MLB Money Line Single-Dime Bet
928 MIN (-124) SportBet vs 927 CWS



Analysis: * 1* ML WAGER * (Blackburn vs Buerhle)
Wed, 09/24/08 - 7:05 PMvegas-runner | MLB RunLine Double-Dime Bet
902 PHI -1.5 (-130) Sportsbetting.com vs 901 ATL
Analysis: ** 2* RUN-LINE WAGER ** (-1.5 & -130...Myers vs Reyes)



Wed, 09/24/08 - 10:10 PMvegas-runner | MLB RunLine Triple-Dime Bet
914 LOS -1.5 (-118) Sportsbetting.com vs 913 SDP
Analysis:
*** MLB 3* RUN-LINE GAME of the WEEK *** (-1.5 & -118....Kershaw vs Estes