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Thread: BYE WEEK TRENDS

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    Senior Member Chico1856's Avatar
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    BYE WEEK TRENDS

    Week 5: Sunday, October 5th


    Play: OVER - Indianapolis at Houston
    Reason...Prior to last year's 29-7 win at Jacksonville, Indianapolis had gone OVER in eight straight post-bye week games. The Colts are scoring 33.7 PPG on their own in that span.


    Play: ARIZONA SU & ATS vs. Buffalo
    Reason...The Bills are on the longest pre-bye week losing streak, dropping nine straight games, while going 2-6-1 ATS.


    Play: KANSAS CITY ATS at Carolina
    Reason...Since 2001, the Chiefs have proven a good bet both before and after the bye week, going 10-4 ATS combined (5-2 ATS each) in those scenarios.


    Play: TENNESSEE ATS at Baltimore
    Reason...Since '02, in games surrounding the bye week, Jeff Fisher's Titans are a combined 9-2-1 ATS.

    Week 6: Sunday, October 12th


    Play: ATLANTA SU & ATS vs. Chicago
    Reason...The Falcons have been a solid play prior to the open date, going 5-3 SU & 7-1 ATS in L8.


    Play: DALLAS ATS at Arizona
    Reason...The Cardinals have lost seven of their L9 games ATS prior to the bye week.


    Play: OVER – Dallas at Arizona
    Reason...Arizona is 5-1-1 OVER in its L7 games heading into the bye week.


    Play: SAN FRANCISCO SU & ATS vs. Philadelphia
    Reason...Since Andy Reid took over in 2000, the Eagles are just 2-7 SU & 1-7-1 ATS in pre-bye week games.


    Play: UNDER – Cincinnati at NY Jets
    Reason...The Jets are on an incredible run of 11-1 UNDER in the L12 coming out of the bye. Defensively, the Jets are allowing just 12.7 PPG in these 12 contests, and half the opponents were held to less than 10 points.


    Play: NY JETS ATS vs. Cincinnati
    Reason...The Jets have won their L6 post-open date games ATS.

    Week 7: Sunday, October 19th


    Play: BUFFALO ATS vs. San Diego
    Reason...Including three straight wins, the Bills are 4-3 SU & 5-1-1 ATS in post-bye week games since '01.


    Play: UNDER – San Diego at Buffalo
    Reason...The UNDER is also 6-1 in the L7 Bills’ post bye-week games.


    Play: MINNESOTA ATS at Chicago
    Reason...The Bears have struggled with motivation in the game before the bye week, going 1-8 SU & ATS in the last nine years.


    Play: OVER - Minnesota at Chicago
    Reason...Totals have been the wager of choice for savvy bettors in pre- & post bye week Minnesota games. Since '98, the OVER is 17-5 in those contests.


    Play: HOUSTON ATS vs. Detroit
    Reason...The Texans own a winning mark of 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in pre-open date games since returning to the NFL in 2002, far better than their overall record.
    “It is only when you see a mosquito land on your testicles that you realize that there is always a way to solve problems without using violence.”

  2. #2
    Regular user timbob's Avatar
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    Re: BYE WEEK TRENDS

    Thanks Richard for the info. Already liked Zona over the Bills, now I like it more!

  3. #3
    215 Hustler Mr. IWS's Avatar
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    Re: BYE WEEK TRENDS

    Good stuff my man!
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  4. #4
    Senior Member Chico1856's Avatar
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    Re: BYE WEEK TRENDS

    Week 8: Sunday, October 26th

    * Play: UNDER – Seattle at San Francisco
    Reason...Since '00, the UNDER is 7-2 in the game prior to the San Francisco open date.

    * Play: UNDER - Arizona at Carolina
    Reason...The Cardinals have been a huge UNDER team coming out of the bye week, failing to surpass the posted total in 11 of the L13 games. Arizona itself has averaged just 13.2 PPG in that spot.

    * Play: CAROLINA ATS vs. Arizona
    Reason...The Panthers are on a 6-2 ATS run in pre-open date games.

    * Play: OVER – San Diego at New Orleans
    Reason...Two significant patterns have formed in pre-bye week Chargers games: The OVER is 10-3 in the L13, and…

    * Play: SAN DIEGO ATS at New Orleans
    Reason...the other significant trend finds San Diego 10-4 ATS in the L14 pre-bye week games.

    * Play: PHILADELPHIA SU & ATS vs. Atlanta
    Reason...As bad as Philadelphia has been going into the bye week, the Eagles have been phenomenal coming out of it, going 9-0 SU & 7-2 ATS, allowing just 8.8 PPG.

    * Play: UNDER - Atlanta at Philadelphia
    Reason...The Falcons have a significant post-bye week trend that has formed in the L10 games: 8-0-2 UNDER the total. If that’s not enough, Philadelphia has gone UNDER the total in its L9 post-open date games, dating back to 2000.

    Week 9: Sunday, November 2nd

    * Play: OVER & JACKSONVILLE ATS at Cincinnati
    Reason...Cincinnati’s opponent in the post-bye week game is on a 6-1 SU & ATS run and the OVER shares the same record in the L7.

    * Play: DENVER ATS vs. Miami
    Reason...The Broncos have been consistently strong coming out of the open date, going 15-3 SU & 14-3-1 ATS since '92.

    * Play: CLEVELAND ATS vs. Baltimore
    Reason...The Ravens have lost five of their last six, both SU & ATS before the open date after winning their previous five.

    * Play: UNDER - Baltimore at Cleveland
    Reason...The UNDER is on a run 5-1 in Baltimore’s L6 pre-bye week games.

    * Play: TAMPA BAY ATS at Kansas City
    Reason...Since arriving in Tampa in 2002, John Gruden’s Buccaneers team has not lost a pre-bye week game, going 6-0 SU & ATS.

    * Play: DALLAS ATS at NY Giants
    Reason...The Cowboys own the league’s best straight up mark overall in pre-week games at 14-4 and are second with a 13-5 ATS mark. In the last 10 years, they are 9-1 ATS.

    * Play: OVER – Houston at Minnesota
    Reason...Totals have been the wager of choice for savvy bettors in pre- & post bye week Minnesota games. Since '98, the OVER is 17-5 in those contests.

    Week 10: Monday, November 10th

    * Play: OVER – St. Louis at San Francisco
    Reason...In San Francisco’s L9 games coming out of the bye week, the OVER is a perfect 9-0.
    “It is only when you see a mosquito land on your testicles that you realize that there is always a way to solve problems without using violence.”

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