I watch all the time as people load up on a "sure thing" in the NFL and then go down in smoke. In week 1 everyone loaded up on the Colts -10.5, NE -10, TB -3 , Giants +3.5 , Texans -4 and the Chiefs -3. Those bets went 1-5

So far in week two NE -11 was loaded up on and crashed hard to start the week off 0-1

Two other teams that are getting hit hard are the Saints -3 and Ravens -6.5 . I'm going to try and track this (until I get lazy) , but for now, I'd stay far away from those two games