11-30-08

[Mr. IWS]

Boston Blackie

UNDER 41.5 Carolina vs Green Bay
Both teams come in giving up big numbers last week and this is traditionally an OVER series. That is why we get good value here.
Defense has been emphasized all week as both teams defenses fell asleep last week.
Cold and Snowy forecast slows down the scoring

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass

NFL

300* Baltimore -7
100* Minn -3
100* Tampa Bay -4.5
50* San Diego
50* Denver
50* Teaser Indi/Clev o37.5
Pitt/NE o33.5

[Mr. IWS]

Jim Feist Turkey Shoot
All 5* plays

New England
Baltimore
Denver
NY Giants

[Mr. IWS]

Stan Sharp

Carolina +3 -110

Triple Dime

[Mr. IWS]

RAS College Hoops

1.5* Long Beach -2
1* Irvine +6.5
1* Montana +2
1* Gonzaga +1.5
1* Fordham +1.5
Reply With Quote

[Mr. IWS]

Lenny Steven:

1. 20* Cinccy
2. 10* buff
3. 10*minny

[Mr. IWS]

Score


400 Miami
300 Denver
300 Minn

[Mr. IWS]

John Ryan


Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Washington Redskins - Ok, Plexico is very unfortunate, but his absence has no bearing at all on the grading of this. After all, it was highly unlikely he would start due to a nagging hamstring injury. More on matchups later. AiS shows an 82% probability that Washington will lose this game by 3 or fewer points and has a 62% probability of winning the game. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has produced a record of 41-14 ATS for 75% since 1997. Play on dogs or pick revenging a same season loss facing an opponent that is a good team sporting a winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season. Giants are just 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) versus. poor punt coverage teams allowing >= 12 yards per return in the second half of the season since 1992. HC Coughlin in a poor role noting he is just 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite in all games he has coached since 1992. Washington has improved a lot since their 16-7 loss to the Giants in the opening week. You may remember too that the Redskins dropped THREE interceptions passed by Manning. Washington has 4 excellent defenders in the secondary and all of them are excellent in man coverage. This will enable to disguise their play scheme until the moment before the snap making it very difficult for Manning to make reads. This time around the Washington running game will dominate the LOS. Portis will be ready for this game and in so doing it will open up easy play action pass opportunities down the field in a variety of patterns. Washington gets it's revenge and stays at least second place for the Wild Card. Take Washington.

[Mr. IWS]

Tim Trushel

20 Cleveland

[Mr. IWS]

Dave Malinsky

4* Oakland -3
4* Baltimore -7
4* Miami-Rams Over 44
4* Washington +4

[Mr. IWS]

Jim Kruger's BB picks for Sunday:

3* Portland/Detroit (NBA) UNDER 187
3* Houston/Denver (NBA) OVER 193

[Mr. IWS]

The real animal




Pick title: 3* NY Jets -8
Pick Date: 11/30/2008
Pick description:
Not sure if you are aware, but betting on Brett Favre the last two years would make you 21-7-1. That’s the combined spread record of the 2007 Packers and the 2008 Jets. Yet another reason for #4 not to hang up the spikes. The gut instinct is to figure the Jets would be flat after handing Tennessee their first loss of the season. But “flat” doesn’t seem to apply in Brett Favre’s world. This guy just seems to inspire his teammates each and every Sunday, regardless of the spot. This is the 3rd trip east for Denver this month. In their only home game in the past four weeks the Broncos allowed Oakland to score touchdowns on three consecutive possessions. If you’ve watched the Raiders this year, you would believe that is seemingly impossible. This is actually the 4th consecutive road game for Denver in the Eastern Time Zone. Plus, would you believe they are in Carolina on December 14th? Unreal. It doesn’t take much for me to bet against the AFC West right now (18-26 ATS for the year). Last Sunday Jay Cutler completed 43 percent against the Raiders. How scary is that? I was actually very impressed with the secondary play by the Jets last week against Kerry Collins, who throws a nice long ball. The Broncos have just four interceptions all year and arguably have to face the hottest QB on the planet. Four straight covers for the Jets by a combined 80 points. Tempted by the total but winds might be an issue at the Meadowlands.

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Balfe


NFL Football
Broncos/Jets Under 47.5
When Denver is on offense they will be going against a good and experienced Jets defense. When the Jets go on offense they will be going against two of the best cover corners in the league. Bly and Bailey have not played too well this season, but they still are two of the best and I would take the both of them any day. Denver does not have much of a running game and it finally is catching up with them as Oakland crushed them last week. Speaking of last week, we had one of the highest point productions in NFL history. Vegas is clearly adding a few points to the totals to get some of these Unders to start cashing in. Weather will also be a factor today. Take the Under.

49ers +6.5 over Bills
Here we have a west coast team flying all the way to the east coast to play a Buffalo team in cold weather, but Vegas keeps this line just under a TD. At first glance you would say that the Bills are used too the cold while the 49ers are not. Trent Edwards is not a cold weather QB while 49ers Shaun Hill grew up in cold conditions playing in Kansas. The Bills started off hot due to weak competition and I do not think they are much better than the 49ers. This line value seems like a good bargain. Take the 49ers.

Bucs -4 over Saints
New Orleans won the earlier meeting at home so its crucial for the Bucs to win this game. The Saints might be Reggie Bush back, but it will be tough to run on the Bucs who play great home defense. The Saints will be without their starting fullback Mike Karney which will hurt the running game and give Brees less time to throw the ball when the blitz is on. Tampa has two great cover corners which should slow down Brees today. Look for the Bucs on offense to stick it too this Saints defense which is really not that good. Take Tampa.

Panthers/Packers Under 42
The Panthers have a huge defensive line and big physical cornerbacks. On offense the Panthers do not seem to be as sharp when they are away from home. Green Bay also has two physical corners and the Panthers might have a hard time scoring in the cold. I think both defenses will really step it up today. Look for a low scoring game. Take the Under.

Rams +9 over Dolphins
First off the Dolphins should not be a 9pt favorite to anybody in this league especially when they just let Matt Cassel of the Patriots throw for 400+ yards on them. The Rams cornerbacks matchup well against the smaller Dolphins receivers and on turf Miami might not be able to catch up with the pace of the game as they are not used to playing on it. St.Louis matches up well on offense and should put up some points. If you are feeling up to it this is a moneyline play which would be about a 3/1 hit. Take the Rams.

Browns +4.5 over Colts
Payton Manning and the Colts have hit their groove, but conditions will be very cold today and Manning is not the same QB when in the cold. The Browns should give the Colts a big strong dosage of Jamaal Lewis to keep the clock moving and keep Manning off the field. The Browns matchup well and have the Physical advantage on both sides of the ball. Derrick Anderson will get the start today and will have a chance to take back the starting roll in Cleveland. This team has the ability to put up a ton of points just like the Colts. Look for a close game. Take the Browns.

Chargers -5 over Falcons
We have all seen how impressive Matt Ryan has been for the Falcons this season, but they are making a long trip to the west coast and are banged up while the Chargers are pretty much healthy. Look for the Chargers to run the ball well against an Atlanta defensive that is hurting right now. The oddsmakers made the Chargers a decent size favorite for a reason. In the AFC West anything is possible and the Chargers are not out of the race yet. Look for San Diego to get a big home win. Take the Chargers.

Vikings -3.5 over Bears
The Vikings have a huge offensive line that should spring Adrian Peterson to a huge day and on defense the Vikings front four is also big and should stop the run making Chicago one dimensional. The Bears won the earlier meeting this year in a 48-41 shootout. I don't expect as many points from Chicago today. Take the Vikings.

College Football
No plays today.

NBA Basketball
Bulls +6 over Sixers

NCAA Basketball
Siena PK over Oklahoma State

[Mr. IWS]

Heisman Trophy Club

10 Washington
10 Carolina
10 St Louis

[Mr. IWS]

vegas-runner | NFL Side Double-Dime Bet
402 CIN 7.5 (-120) Sportsbetting.com vs 401 BAL
Analysis: ** NFL 2* WAGER ** (Buy the 1/2 to +7.5)
Sun, 11/30/08 - 1:00 PMvegas-runner | NFL Money Line Triple-Dime Bet
402 CIN (-130) Bodog vs 401 BAL
Analysis:
*** NFL 3* BEST TEASER BET of the DAY ***




BENGALS +14 & BROWNS +13 (3*)...Teaser

Sun, 11/30/08 - 1:00 PMvegas-runner | NFL Side Triple-Dime Bet
404 CLE 6.0 (-115) Bodog vs 403 IND
Analysis:
*** NFL 3* BEST DOG BET of the DAY *** (UPGRADED)



Bodog is using 6 (-115) on the Browns, while most of the Strip Properties and Locals are still at 5.5...In which case, I highly recommend that you BUY the 1/2 to take it up to +6...VR

Sun, 11/30/08 - 1:00 PMvegas-runner | NFL Side Double-Dime Bet
395 CAR 3.5 (-120) Sportsbetting.com vs 396 GBP
Analysis: ** NFL 2* WAGER ** (Buy the 1/2 to +3.5)
Sun, 11/30/08 - 1:00 PMvegas-runner | NFL Side Double-Dime Bet
391 SFX 7.5 (-120) Sportsbetting.com vs 392 BUF
Analysis: ** NFL 2* WAGER **
Sun, 11/30/08 - 4:05 PMvegas-runner | NFL Side Triple-Dime Bet
406 SDC -4.0 (-120) Sportsbetting.com vs 405 ATL
Analysis:
*** NFL 3* "POD-CAST" GAME of the WEEK *** (Uploaded on Wed Morning)



(Buy the 1/2 to -4)

Sun, 11/30/08 - 1:00 PMvegas-runner | NFL Side Double-Dime Bet
394 TAM -4.0 (-110) Sportsbetting.com vs 393 NOS
Analysis: ** NFL 2* WAGER **
Sun, 11/30/08 - 1:00 PMvegas-runner | NFL Money Line Double-Dime Bet
398 WAS (-130) Bodog vs 397 NYG
Analysis:
** NFL 2* TEASER BET **





REDSKINS +11.5 & BRONCOS +15 (2*)...Teaser