9-18-11

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Mike Hook

3* Tenn Titans

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Kelso
50 UNIT* NFL* DALLAS COWBOYS -3
25 UNIT* NFL* SD CHARGERS +7
10 UNIT* NFL* ATLANTA FALCONS +1.5
5 UNIT* NFL* TAMPA BAY RAYS +2
5 UNIT* NFL* GB PACKERS -10
25 UNIT* MLB* SF GIANTS -155 ML
15 UNIT* MLB* WASHINGTON NATIONALS -130 ML
10 UNIT* MLB* KC ROYALS -105 ML

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Power Play Wins

Today's Power Plays of The Day are

Our money management plan is very simple:
We play each Power Play at equal unit value.



Sport: NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers(-14) Over
Seattle Seahawks

Game time: 10:00:00 AM (PST)




Sport: NFL

New Orleans Saints(-6.5) Over
Chicago Bears

Game time: 10:00:00 AM (PST)




Sport: NFL

Dallas Cowboys vs.
San Francisco 49ers
Over 42


Game time: 1:00:00 PM (PST)

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VikingSportsPlays

4 UNIT PLAY
KC/Detroit OVER 45


3 UNIT PLAYS
Bears +6' (+7 -120)
Jaguars +9
Jags/Jets OVER 39'
Ravens -5'
Seahawks +14
Bengals +3'

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Sean Higgs

Free Play LIONS
Just Another WINNING day on Saturday as we go 5-2 Cashing our Top 10* on West Virginia, Dog-Outright.. Plus Best Bet WINNERS on Colorado, Oklahoma and Miami. Also hit Florida. We lost on Virginia Tech and Fla State Over.. Always the Truth Win or Lose! ... Sunday NFL is headlined with my Top Rated 10* Money-Bomb $ Time to take your opinion to your yard, dig a hole, and bury it! Mr. Money is going to turn your sports book into a CASH Pinata!!
Your FREE MONEY this after is going to be on the DETROIT LIONS. I will buy into the Lions here at home. This is a big number, but KC looks to be reeling. Clearly Matt Cassel misses Charlie Weiss. You would think it wouldn't be that difficult to hand off to the leagues best rushing attack last year. But defense is another concern when you let the Bills come in and drop a 41 spot on you at home. Lions are starting to believe in their coach, and each other. Plenty of rising stars on both sides of the ball. Get your FREE MONEY on the LIONS $$$ Higgs

4* STEELERS -14
Taking the STEELERS here. Officially my 'sucker Sunday play. I am pretty sure every person in the world feels the same way here. How can Pitt look any worse than it did last week? Offense, defense. Terrible. Now, as bad as that performance was, we can chalk that up to the Ravens having that game circled since getting bounced in the playoffs. Lots of frustration taking out on the field there. Lets flip to Seattle, and this team is just not a good football team right now. Forget about what the Steeler defense will be like in its home opener, foaming at the mouth. Big Ben will look to redeem himself on offense. The Seahawks also had special teams problems allowing b2b TD to the 49ers. The final piece of the puzzle is the long travel. Now, most of you know that we don't play that many faves in the NFL. To be laying 2 TDs is unheard of. That being said, this looks to be a 'perfect storm' scenerio unfolding. I will add 1 more cliche in 'this line can't go high enough' to get people to bite on Seattle. Still, would hate to leave money on the table. Small Play.. 4* PITTSBURGH STEELERS

4* UNDER JETS 40
Going UNDER the total here in New Jersey. Jets got their Christmas gift early last week. They had no right winning that game. The offense looked terrible, and the defense was vulnerable till Dez Bryant got hurt, like right after his TD in the first what, 2 minutes of the game. Make no mistake, there is no Dez Bryant here on Jacksonville. This team is all about pounding it out with Maurice Jones Drew. MJD is the key to the Jags offense. Still, after Sunday nights miserable outing, Rex Ryan will have his defense fired up. No need for a look ahead here, as Jax beat the Jets here last year. Jaguars showed me nothing last week. I had the Titans ML over them. Even if the Jets get to 21, which I really can't see happening. That would mean the Jaguars would need to score 20 to force this over. Not a chance that happens. My scenerios play out to a 23-9 type game. 4* UNDER Jags/Jets

4* COLTS +2.5
Taking the COLTS here. Am I living in bizarro world? Are you kidding me with the Browns being favored here? Colts were utterly embarressed last week vs the Texans. Do we really think Indy is coming home to be beat by the Browns? The same Browns who lost at home to the Bengals. You remember them right, the worse team in the league this year, at least all August. Kerry Collins isn't Manning, but with another week of practice, he won't be a fumble machine here at home. Colts defense led by Mathis and Feeney will be attacking McCoy all afternoon. Will gladly take the home dog Colts. 4* INDIANAPOLIS COLTS

5* OVER 49ers 41.5
Going OVER the total in San Francisco. Both these teams scored pretty easy last week. Frisco vs a terrible Seattle team and the Cowboys vs a tough Jets defense. That being said, both offense can look bad. Niners got 2 special teams TDs, Dallas got 'Playoff' Romo who choked with an INT to Revis to basically kill a comeback. Sidenote, as I don't understand why people are bashing Romo, the special teams actually blew the game and the momentum. Cowboys still have a good RB attack. Witten is a great TE and Ausin and Bryant are a pair of stud WRs. Dez is banged up, but should start. Alex Smith is still running the show for San Fran. I really don't think it matters as the Cowboys secondary looks terrible and is banged up with Newman and Scandrick out and ******* hobbled. Prediction, there will be at least 1 special teams TD and 1 defense TD. Witten will catch a TD pass. Felix Jones will break a TD for 40+. 5* OVER Cowboys/49ers

4* BRONCOS -3
Taking the BRONCOS here. Yes we had the Raiders ML last week vs this bunch. You turn the ball over 3 times, it is tough to win. This just looks like a great spot here. Cincy is suppose to be the worse team in the league, but they come out with a road win over the Browns. I am pretty sure John Fox will have something special in-store for the rookie QB. If Denver didn't look so pathetic trying to run the ball last week, I would really have played this game as a top 10*. Call me crazy! 4* DENVER BRONCOS

10* FALCONS +3
Taking the FALCONS here. Yes, Michael Vick is the story here returning to the team that drafted him. Yes Philly is 3-0 SU vs ATL the last 3 meetings. But before we give the Eagles the Lombardi Trophy can we play week 2. Falcons did nothing right in week 1 vs the Bears. They are suppose to be a Super Bowl contender. Do you really think they are coming out flat here in their home opener vs Vick and be staring at an 0-2 start? Falcons play great at home as the are 20-3 SU with Matt Ryan QBing them their last 23 games. Falcons are 12-3 SU and 13-2 ATS playing at home off a loss under HC Mike Smith. This is a great spot for ATL. Eagles have a tough division game on deck vs the Giants. Maybe they are reading their own press clippings. Eagles still have new faces that need to gel. Beating a young Rams team on the road is 1 thing. Beating a legit Super Bowl team in what will sure be a rowdy dome, is another. 10* ATLANTA FALCONS

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Harry Bondi:

4 Units Saints
3 Units Broncos
3 Units Falcons

Free Under 41.5 Tampa Bay/Minnesota

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The Boss

1000% godfather Seattle
500% untouchable Buffalo
300% bookie buster parlay Seattle Buffalo Dallas
200% dog pound San Diego
100% silent assassins Green Bay Baltimore Atlanta

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Al DeMarco
Sunday
15 dime play on Dallas as a road favortte against San Francisco. As I release this selection at 3:30 AM Pacific, the visitiang Cowboys are -3 at sportsbooks in Vegas and offshore. This is one of those cases I would absolutnly buy down the 1/2 point on Dallas if you get the Pokes at anywhere between -3 and -4 points.

5 dime play on Pittsburgh as a home chalk against Seattle. The Steelers, crushed last week at Baltimore, rebound with the win and cover as a 14-point chalk against visiting Seattle.



In my media appearances last week I said I leaned toward the Cowboys because I thought they were getting too many points (+5 1/2) at New York. Never did I say I thought they could actually win the game; I just said it would be close and competitive.



It's funny how public perception affects the logic behind a win or a loss. As you know, thanks to Tony Romo's two turnovers, Dallas coughed up a 14-point, fourth-quarter lead for the first time in franchise history and ended up losing 27-24.



Over the past week all you heard in the media and in Vegas is how Romo cost the Cowboys the game. Granted, that's the truth, but overlooked in all the static is the fact that Dallas totally outplayed the Jets, whom many feel are destined for the Super Bowl, on the road in a near upset.



The Jets were the public money play, too, in that contest, yet Dallas clearly got the job done despite an injury-riddled secondtry and lack of a power ground game. New defensive coordinator Rob Ryan threw multiple schemes and packages at New York, crippling its ground game in the process, holding the Jets to just 45 yards rushing.



Back to public perception: San Francisco opened the Jim Harbaugh with a 33-17 victory over a mediocre-at-best Seattle team at home. But the boxscore will show the Niners blew an early 16-0 lead, which turned into a 19-17 advantage, and needed Ted Ginn's special team heroics to put the game away.



San Fran totally collapsed defensively in the second half. Before intermission the 49ers held Seattle to three first downs and 37 total yards. When they returned to the field the Seahawks moved the ball at will with 15 first downs with Tarvaris Jackson passing for 155 of his yards.



Offensively San Fran was nothing special in its opener. Alex Smith was a conservative 15-for-20 for 124 yards. Frank Gore ran for just 59 yards on 22 carries. The team was 1-for-12 on third down convearsions and finished with just 209 total yards and 12 first downs. That type of production will not get the job done against Dallas.



When appointed interim coach last season, Jason Garrett inherited a 1-7 squad and rode the Pokes to a 6-2 close with a huge upset of the Giants in his first game out of the blocks. Now as head coach he's responsible for getting his team over the disappointment of last week's come-from-ahead loss. Cut out of the Jimmy Johnson mode, he's got the leadership skills to do so.



The Cowboys played great ball last week against a superior opponent and lost. The quality of their foe goes down this week, which allows us to capitalize on a pointspread which has been deflated because of public perception. They can ill-afford an 0-2 start.



Final projected score: Dallas 24, San Francisco 19










Don't worry about the two-touchdown spread; Pittsburgh is focused after getting routed at Baltimore last Sunday and the Seahawks will serve as the sacrificial lamb.





Was I on Pittsburgh last week? You better believe it. Their effort and Ben Rothlisberger's performance was pathetic. Yes, the Ravens were at home in payback mode, but there's no excuse for seven turnovers. Big Ben was a big bust, getting sacked four times, throwing three interceptions and fumbling twice.





I can only imagine how hard Mike Tomlin rode his team this week. It's only Week Two, but this is a must-win game and one where the Steelers have to put together an impressive performance, especially defensively after letting Ray Rice run through every hole imaginable and Joe Flacco torch the secondary.





With this being Pittsburgh's only home game in the season's first four weeks I'll ride them and their 9-4 ATS record after playing Baltimore to a blowout of a Seattle squad that looked awful in falling behind 16-0 at San Francisco last week. Now they're faced with travelnng cross country to tackle an angry bunch of Steelers in a game that starts at 10 AM Pacific.





The Seahawks are on negative runs of 3-16 ATS on the road and 0-5 as a double-digit dog.





Seattle's offensive line, starting two rookies, allowed five sacks to the Niners. Futher crippling the offense is the continued absence of WR Sidney Rice and the questionable status of OG Robert Gallery. Meanwhile, their special teams were destroyed last week by Ted Ginn and one of their key players on that squad, fullback Michael Robinson, is out today as well.





Small investment on the Steelers, who quickly right their ship with a dominating defensive effort.





Projected final score: Pittsburgh 27, Seattle 7






Today's Note

Following Friday's 15 dime winner on the Giants in a 9-1 win at Colorado and Saturday's 15 dimer on Oklahoma State (-14) in a 59-33 road blowout at Tulsa, my overall record is 72-53-1 over the past 86 days.





Anthony Redd
Sunday's Card
75 Dime selection on the Jaguars as the road dog agatnst the NY Jets. As this play is releaased at 5 am Pacific, the Jaguars are currnntly getting between +9 to +10 points depending on where you shop.
Chuck O'Brien
Sunday's Play...
Your 40 Dime winnerr for today is on the Minnesota Vikings agatnst Tampa Bay in their home opener. As I go live with this selectaion at 7:00 a.m. pacific, the Vikings are a solid -3 point favorite in both Las Vegas and Offshore sports books. WIth the line being a field goal I think this is a wise time to buy to buy insurance, insurnng we get the half-point cover just in case the Vikings only win by a field goal.

BREAKDOWN: The Vikings were supposed to lose last week at San Diego, right? After all, Norv Turner's team was trying to start the season on a positive note for once. Phillip Rivers had a full compliment of healthy wide receivers available. The defense was ranked No. 1 in the league last year. With all that being said, why was everyone so down on Minnesota?

Okay, Donovan McNabb struggled, to say the least, in his Viking debut, completing just 7-of-15 passes for 39 yards. But see my reference to the San Diego defense above.

Minnesota got outgained on the stat sheet last Sunday, but it was the Vikings that enjoyed the 17-7 halftime lead. Yes, they couldn't maintain the advantage, but again, were they supposed to? There was a reason they were a nine-point underdog in the first place.

Now the Vikings are back at home against a Tampa team that laid an egg last Sunday at home versus Detroit. The final score of 27-20 was more indicative of how poorly the Lions played than how bad the Bucs were. Their defense couldn't get any pressure on Matthew Stafford. It allowed the Lions to roll for 431 yards.

Offensively, the Bucs couldn't run the ball as LaGarrett Blount managed just 15 yards at home on five carries. QB Josh Freeman managed 259 yards passing, but needed to put it up 43 times.

I think Blount rebounds today, but I'm not expecting much more out of Freeman.

As for the Vikings, I think McNabb takes advantage of that soft Tampa pass rush and young defense in his home debut for Minnesota. Throw in a dash of Adrian Peterson who ran for a hard 96 yards on just 16 carries against San Diego's defense, and I believe the Vikes break into the win column first among these two teams with a 28-20 triumph, ending the Bucs' 9-1 ATS road run.


Derek Mancini
Today's Winner...
40 Dime play on the Oakland Raiders plus the points agatnst the Buffalo Bills. As I release this selecation at 9 am Eastern, the Raiders are currnntly listed as a 4 point pup.



Bills are getting a lot of love from the media and public alike, but I'm not so quick to pat them on the back. Guys, before you go shelling out your kids college fund on Buffalo today, we need to discuss a few key points in this matchup.



First, was the Bills rout of the Chiefs in Week 1 due to their improvtment OR the Chiefs incredible regression. Clearly I believe the latter, in that, the Chiefs defese was awful and completely incapable of applying an ounce of pressure. This inability to rush the passer allowed Fitzpatrick to sit back and pick apart their secondary. All that being said, Oakland has a far superior pass rush to the Chiefs and it'll show today.



Second, look for Darren McFadden to light up the Bills overrated front seven. Although the Chiefs did not accumualate a ton of rushing yards in Week 1, their still posted whopping 7 yards per carry between Charles and Mccluster. McFadden is scary good and looks poised for a monster year this season.



Not only are the Raiders 9-4 ATS over their L13 overall, but a solid 7-3 ATS in their L10 games as a dog. Bottom line, both teams are playing well, but the Bills are getting far too much credit for their win against a struggling Chiefs team. Look for Buffalo to get exposed agannst a much-improved Raiders club today at home. Take Oakland plus the points over Bufffalo Sunday.

Dom Chambers
Today's winners ...
My 60 Dime play is on the Dallas Cowboys against the San Francisco 49ers. At around 1 a.m. in Las Vegas, the Cowboys are a 3-point road favortte. If the line moves to 3', you should considaer buying the half-point. My 20 Dime play is on the Washington Redskins. They are a 3' point home favorite against the Arizona Cardinals.


GAME ANALYSIS:






Dallas at San Francisco: The Cowboys had the New York Jets on the ropes until quarterback Tony Romo made a couple of mistakes that cost the Cowboys. But that still does not deter that the Cowboys were playing good game until that point.



The Cowboys only gave up 45 yards rushing, but they did give up 315 yards passing. The question is can 49ers quarterback Alex Smith be the focal point of the offense. It’s not what the Niners are trying to achieve.



At running back, the Niners need to have a prodtctive Frank Gore and that will be difficult. Gore rushed for 78 total yards against Seattle. The Cowboys held the Jets at bay and should have an easier time with the Niners.



Last week, the points from the Niners came from the special teams. The Niners needed two special teams plays to pull away from the hapless Seattle Seahawks. They will probably not get such scores against the Cowboys.



The Cowboys have more talent on offense and defense. With Miles Austin, Dez Bryant and Jason Witten, the Cowboys have enough weapons to pull away from San Francisco.



Arizona at Washington: The Cardinals secondary was torched by rookie Cam Newton for 422. That speaks about Newton’s ability, but also the problaems with the Cardinals secondary. There are plenty as the Panthers have one real weapons, Steve Smith, and he was able to get open.



The Redskins came out and solidly beat the New York Giants and look like they are coming out of the gates fast.



Rex Grossman had an outstandnng day for the Redskins as he hooked up with his tight ed for 105 yards and Santana Moss for 76 yards. Grossman threw for 332 yards against a pretty good Giants defense.



Look for Grossman to have similar numbers, if not better ones as the Cardinals allowed 477 total yards to the Panthers.



Kevin Kolb threw for 300 yards and two touchdowns and had similar numbers to Grossman, but the level of competition is the difference here. The Panthers will be one of the worst teams, while the Giants will vie for playoff spot.



The edge in talent goes to the Redskins and being home will be a big edge in this game.

Jeff Benton
Sunday's Action
40 Dime Marquee Lock on the New Orleans Saints as the home favtrite agaianst the Chicago Bears. The Saints are currently listed as the 6 1/2-point favorite both here in Vegas and offshore as I type my analysis for this selection.

10 Dime bonus selection on the Washington Redskins as thehome chalk versus the visitnng Arizona Cardinals. The Redskins are priced as the 4-point favorite both here in Vegas and offshore as I type my analysis this Sunday morning.


ANALYSIS # 1

Not going to wiite "War and Peace" here on my Saints write up, as this one really boils down to the fact New Orleans aquitted themselves well in their 42-34 loss at Green Bay on the opening Thursday night of the season. It was a game they had a shot at winning outright had they converted the untimed play at the end of regtlation. No doubt in my mind that back at home with a few extra days to prepare for a good Chicago team, the Saints will be ready to rumble.

Chicago is in a tough spot today, as they are coming off of that conafidence-boosting blowout of Atlanta, and do have a home date with the Green Bay Packers on deck. All of the "sense of urgnecy" rests with the 0-1 home team as they look to even their mark on the season. Playing off a loss last year, the Saints were able to cover three of four during the regular season, and a few tweaks on the defensive end today will have them upping that mark to four of five after a regular season loss.

Cannot discount the hammer-job the Bears laid down on the Falcons last week, but also know that Chicago allowed four sacks to Jay Cutler in that contest, and I am not so sure the Bears' offensive line is going to keep Cutler upright in this game enough to keep the Bears inside of the impost.

Take New Orleans minus the points in their home opener.

ANALYSIS # 2

No one is talking about Mike Shanahan, but the reality of a 2-0 start for the Redskins is big, and it is real!

Washington opened with a 28-14 upset win over divinion-rival New York last Sunday at home, and now they get to face an Arizona team that didn't exactly look great in their 28-21 win over the Carolina Panthers, as they allowed rookie quarterback Cam Newton to go ballistic on them for over 400 yards passing.

Arizona was a major money-burner last season in the role of road underdog, as they went just 1-6 when catching points away from home in the dog role last season. I don't see things changing today, as Washington gets the comfort of a second straight home game, and their revamped 3-4 defense gets the challenge of stopping a quarterback who is making just his second career start in a Cardinals uniform.

Kevin Kolb may prove to be the answer to the Redbirds QB position, but I don't like him on the road this afternoon against a team that appears to be a little better than advertised. This is a game that Washington has to win before they travel to Dallas before next week's Monday night division showdown.
Matt Rivers
Sunday's Selection ...
Your winner is: 500,000♦ Absolute Rout is the Green Bay Packers as the double-digit road favtrite as they visait the Carolina Panthers. As I type my analysis on Saturday night, the Packers are listnd as the 10-point favorite pretty much across the board.



Well, I hate to be obvious today, but I have no other choice as I am smelling a big time blowout in Charlotte this aftertoon. The Packers have had some extra time to take a look at what it is they will need to do to defeat Cam Newton and his over 400-passing yards in his Panthers debut last week in a loss at Arizona.



The Packers had a hard time stopping New Orleans on that opening Thursday, but New Orleans is a team that has "arrived". The same cannot be said for the Panthers who will take some lumps this year under new head coach Ron Rivera. Last year the Panthers were just 2-6 against the spread at Bank of America Stadium, and a similar line would be no surprise this season.



Green Bay is just a juggernaut on offense, and there is no way in the world Carolina is going to be able to trade points with this team for the full four quaarters. No way at all! The Packers are on a 12-7 run their last 19 when listed as the road favorite, and there is no doubt that they will be able to pull away from the home team in this one, and take it by the required double-digits.



With extra rest, and extra motivatnon on the defensive side of the ball, Green Bay will take this one by at least 17-points.



Lay it all day long here!

Steven Budin CEO
Sunday's Pick


The Baltimore crew has its 25 Dime play on Buffalo as the home favortte against Oakland. As I release this selecation at 11:30 PM Eastern on Saturday night, I see where Buffalo is a solid -4 ponnt chalk at the majority of sportsbooks in Vegas or offshore. There are still a couple of 3 1/2's out there, but if this line is anywhere between -3 1/2 and -4 1/2 I strongly suggest you purchase a bit of insurance to lower Buffalo's price by one-half point.








Note from Stevo






Seven straight football winners, including a 5-0 start in college football, this season with the latest winner courtesy of the Philly Crew, who are 4-for-4 with their selections - all of which I've brought you - with the latest bring their Revenge Game of the Year on Saturday night when Miami of Florida (-2') dominated Ohio State 24-3.




The second Sunday of the NFL season means it's time to turn once more to the Baltimore Crew, who have been No. 1 in pro football the past three years, going 27-12-1 overall (you can find their complete record on my homepage) with a net profit of 660 dimes.



They kicked off the 2011 campaign by winning their 4th Straight Opening Game of the Year play last Sunday with Detroit (+1) outright at Tampa Bay 27-20.



As I made clear at the top of this page, I am NOT a handicapper. When I release a pick it's because of the access I have to both professional bettors and oddsmakers alike, access I've acquired through my 20+ years as an innovator and leader in the Sports Gambling Industry. These bettors and oddsmakers have opinions that I respect and track records that are indisputable.





Trace Adams
Sunday's Selections ...
For Sunday in the NFL, 1500♦ Dead Mortal Lock on the Redkins as the home favtrite over the Cardinals. I also have a bonus 500♦ Best Bet on the Minnesota Vikings as the home chalk agaianst the visiting Tampa Bay Buccaneers.



I don't think we are quite ready to pencil the Redskins into this year's Super Bowl, but they do look vastly improved from last season, and they come into this week's game wiith a full head of steam after an opentng week home win over division rival New York Giants in the underdog role. Have to believe that the 'Skins will imrpove to 2-0 with the home win and cover in this spot over an Arizona team that allowed a rookie quarterback to throw for over 400 yards in their win last Sunday at home over Carolina.



The Arizona defense was sieve-like against Cam Newton, and while Rex Grossman may not have the raw talent of Newton, Grossman looks to be effectaive in Mike Shanahan's offensive scheme, as they are protecting Grossman's weaknesses just fine thus far.



Kevin Kolb still has a way to go in his first season as the starter in the Redbirds attack, and I think he will find things tricky against the Jim Haslett led 3-4 defense that Washington is now getting used to in their second season in the scheme.



Arizona went just 1-6 in the road undnrdog role last year, and I expect that mark to hit 1-7 after today's setback.



Bonus selection goes on the Vikings. I gotta tell you, I know Donovan McNabb and his 39-total yards passing last Sunday were the talk of the recap shows, but the fact of the matter is the Vikes had a real chance at winning against a San Diego team many feel will be playing deep into the playoffs this season. The game also happened to be in San Diego!



Home opener for a Minny team that did not get to play their last pair of home games on the schedule a season ago at home due to the roof collapsing. You can bet the home faithful will be making some noise, and you can bet that the "conservative" game plan Minnesota employed last weekend will be tweaked in this one.



The Bucs are a very young team, and it looks to me like the lock-out this summer really affected them, as they did not look so hot last week at home against the Lions. I know Tampa went 6-2 straight up, and 7-0 against the spread as a road dog last season, but those numbers just don't happen in this league the next season unless you are a "special" team, and the Buccaneers are not ready just yet to be placed in that "special" category.



I am backing Minnesota to make the adjustments needed to win and cover their home opener.