2012 Parlay

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  • poopoo333
    MMA *********
    • Jan 2010
    • 18302

    #91
    Originally posted by MMA_scientist
    I haven't looked at the Fuel card yet... they probably won't offer props on it. I don't think they did for the last Fuel card did they?
    It's the first fuel card. So no.

    Comment

    • poopoo333
      MMA *********
      • Jan 2010
      • 18302

      #92
      Not Ellenberger by sub????

      Comment

      • Vandelay
        Senior Member
        • Nov 2010
        • 1934

        #93
        Ive found a rolling parlay option on 5d. Started with 500 and just putting heavy faves or things I dont see happening in it. Not really restricting it to a sport. But im adding not ellenberger and herman by sub to it. need 15 total plays to finish it. these two will be the third and fourth plays.

        Not sure if scientist does this or just puts the whole parlay acct into each bet. I kinda like this one tho. Could also prevent me from making stupid bets.
        Last edited by Vandelay; 02-13-2012, 12:22 AM.

        Comment

        • Ludo
          Senior Member
          • Jan 2010
          • 4931

          #94
          Originally posted by poopoo333
          Not Ellenberger by sub????
          Solid play. Diego has great submission defense and overall grappling. It took Marcelo Garcia like 11 minutes to lock something up, Diego kept working from top position and surviving until then. To put it in perspective Marcelo absolutely clowned Andrei Arlovski(former youth sambo champion and took 2nd place in the world championships and the sambo world cup), and subbed him multiple times in a similar amount of time.)
          2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
          Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
          Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
          Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

          2012: +20.311u

          Comment

          • poopoo333
            MMA *********
            • Jan 2010
            • 18302

            #95
            Diego has never been subbed in a fight, and Ellenberger has only subbed cans, and hasn't had a sub since 2005.

            Comment

            • MMA_scientist
              Senior Member
              • Nov 2009
              • 9857

              #96
              Yeah, that is good. I just dropped $1779 on it @ -1897 to win $93.77. I do have some nerves about it, not sure why. Diego has very good defense. As mentioned, he grappled with Marcelo for a long time, even before he had any actual bjj training. Since then, he went and trained with Saulo got to brown belt I believe, and then went back to Jackson's. I don't recall him ever being in a catch in MMA, despite being in there with BJ, Diaz, Karo, Kampmann, Thiago... he should be good to go.

              I am not going to do the Herman/Struve one. The line is worse and it seems more likely to happen IMO.
              2012: +19.33
              2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

              Comment

              • poopoo333
                MMA *********
                • Jan 2010
                • 18302

                #97
                $490.27 to win $25.84 on Not Jake Ellenberger by sub

                Comment

                • poopoo333
                  MMA *********
                  • Jan 2010
                  • 18302

                  #98
                  Looking ahead to UFC 144, not Tim Boetsch, Yushin Okami, Rampage, Ryan Bader by sub look like fair additions. I would probably pick the Bader one out of all of them

                  Comment

                  • trotterz
                    Senior Member
                    • Jan 2011
                    • 450

                    #99
                    Originally posted by poopoo333
                    Looking ahead to UFC 144, not Tim Boetsch, Yushin Okami, Rampage, Ryan Bader by sub look like fair additions. I would probably pick the Bader one out of all of them
                    lol I was also looking ahead this morning for further opportunities for not by sub parlay and I fell on those exact 3 too for that event, okami, rampage and boetsch.
                    Really confident in all of those
                    I also really like Not Alves by sub in the event following UFC 144, and maybe not philippou by sub also

                    Comment

                    • poopoo333
                      MMA *********
                      • Jan 2010
                      • 18302

                      I like Not Alves by sub as well. Then UFC 145..not Rashad by sub but that will be like -1,000,000.

                      Comment

                      • MMA_scientist
                        Senior Member
                        • Nov 2009
                        • 9857

                        I like those for a magic parlay, probably won't do any for the 2012 prop parlay. Maybe, not Boetch for the 2012 parlay. I don't know, not Bader might be worth a play too.
                        2012: +19.33
                        2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

                        Comment

                        • MMA_scientist
                          Senior Member
                          • Nov 2009
                          • 9857

                          Originally posted by poopoo333
                          $490.27 to win $25.84 on Not Jake Ellenberger by sub
                          it is -4500 now. Seeing this more and more... have to nab these early.
                          2012: +19.33
                          2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

                          Comment

                          • MMA_scientist
                            Senior Member
                            • Nov 2009
                            • 9857

                            Poopoo, add this to post # 1:

                            "$1779 to win 93.77 on Not Ellenberger to sub Sanchez

                            Running total: $1872 ($1500 beginning bankroll)"


                            Thanks. 2012 parlay rolls on.
                            2012: +19.33
                            2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

                            Comment

                            • poopoo333
                              MMA *********
                              • Jan 2010
                              • 18302

                              all updated

                              Comment

                              • poopoo333
                                MMA *********
                                • Jan 2010
                                • 18302

                                Will probably do a parlay for next event...not boetsch and bader by sub. Also might add not mark hunt by sub as well...but HW fights are fucking weird

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