11-29-12

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Thursday

Kentucky +1

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NCAA Basketball Picks

Marquette at Florida

The Golden Eagles look to follow up their 79-46 win over UMBC and build on their 5-2 ATS record in their last 7 games following a SU victory of more than 20 points. Marquette is the pick (+10) according to Dunkel, which has the Gators favored by only 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Marquette (+10). Here are all of today's games.

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 29 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 505-506: Kentucky at Notre Dame (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 76.202; Notre Dame 68.649 Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 7 1/2; 138 Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 1 1/2; 134 Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (+1); Over

Game 507-508: South Alabama at Florida Atlantic (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 52.860; Florida Atlantic 47.141 Dunkel Line: South Alabama by 5 1/2 Vegas Line: South Alabama by 3 Dunkel Pick: South Alabama (-3)

Game 509-510: Troy at AR-Little Rock (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Troy 46.168; AR-Little Rock 58.553 Dunkel Line: AR-Little Rock by 12 1/2 Vegas Line: AR-Little Rock by 10 1/2 Dunkel Pick: AR-Little Rock (-10 1/2)

Game 511-512: Arkansas State at Florida International (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 56.198; Florida International 47.728 Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 8 1/2 Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 4 Dunkel Pick: Arkansas State (-4)

Game 513-514: South Carolina at St. John's (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 53.966; St. John's 62.755 Dunkel Line: St. John's by 9; 132 Vegas Line: St. John's by 8 1/2; 137 Dunkel Pick: St. John's (-8 1/2); Under

Game 515-516: Middle Tennessee State at UL-Lafayette (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 64.845; UL-Lafayette 54.344 Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 10 1/2 Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (-7 1/2)

Game 517-518: Western Kentucky at UL-Monroe (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 58.911; UL-Monroe 47.436 Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 11 1/2 Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 10 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (-10 1/2)

Game 519-520: Marquette at Florida (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Marquette 67.058; Florida 75.780 Dunkel Line: Florida by 8 1/2; 133 Vegas Line: Florida by 10; 137 Dunkel Pick: Marquette (+10); Under

Game 521-522: Seton Hall at LSU (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Seton Hall 61.681; LSU 66.275 Dunkel Line: LSU by 4 1/2; 130 Vegas Line: LSU by 4; 135 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LSU (-4); Under

Game 523-524: TX-San Antonio at Oregon (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: TX-San Antonio 51.002; Oregon 73.330 Dunkel Line: Oregon by 22 1/2 Vegas Line: Oregon by 15 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-15 1/2)

Game 525-526: Long Beach State at Loyola-Marymount (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Long Beach State 58.592; Loyola-Marymount 57.974 Dunkel Line: Long Beach State by 1 Vegas Line: Loyola-Marymount by 2 Dunkel Pick: Long Beach State (+2)

Game 527-528: Manhattan at Fordham (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Manhattan 51.804; Fordham 44.046 Dunkel Line: Manhattan by 8 Vegas Line: Manhattan by 6 Dunkel Pick: Manhattan (-6)

Game 529-530: LaSalle at Rider (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LaSalle 57.838; Rider 52.464 Dunkel Line: LaSalle by 5 1/2 Vegas Line: LaSalle by 2 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LaSalle (-2 1/2)

Game 531-532: Western Illinois at South Dakota (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Western Illinois 57.754; South Dakota 50.906 Dunkel Line: Western Illinois by 7 Vegas Line: Western Illinois by 3 Dunkel Pick: Western Illinois (-3)

Game 533-534: IUPUI at UMKC (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: IUPUI 50.024; UMKC 47.032 Dunkel Line: IUPUI by 3 Vegas Line: UMKC by 1 Dunkel Pick: IUPUI (+1)

Game 535-536: NE-Omaha at North Dakota State (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NE-Omaha 37.313; North Dakota State 60.696 Dunkel Line: North Dakota State by 23 1/2 Vegas Line: North Dakota State by 20 1/2 Dunkel Pick: North Dakota State (-20 1/2)

Game 537-538: Southern Utah at TCU (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Southern Utah 43.602; TCU 56.910 Dunkel Line: TCU by 13 1/2 Vegas Line: TCU by 10 Dunkel Pick: TCU (-10)

Game 539-540: Tennessee-Martin at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee-Martin 42.968; Memphis 65.642 Dunkel Line: Memphis by 22 1/2 Vegas Line: Memphis by 25 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Tennessee-Martin (+25 1/2)

Game 541-542: Pepperdine at Montana State (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pepperdine 50.679; Montana State 50.746 Dunkel Line: Even Vegas Line: Montana State by 2 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Pepperdine (+2 1/2)

Game 761-762: Ohio State at Duke (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 72.263; Duke 80.446 Dunkel Line: Duke by 8; 139 Vegas Line: Duke by 6; 142 Dunkel Pick: Duke (-6); Under

Game 763-764: Wyoming at UC-Santa Barbara (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 57.785; UC-Santa Barbara 55.154 Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 2 1/2 Vegas Line: Pick Dunkel Pick: Wyoming

Game 765-766: Idaho at Washington State (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 54.101; Washington State 64.370 Dunkel Line: Washington State by 10 1/2 Vegas Line: Washington State by 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Washington State (-6 1/2)

Game 767-768: UC Davis at Nevada (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: UC Davis 44.514; Nevada 55.822 Dunkel Line: Nevada by 11 1/2 Vegas Line: Nevada by 12 1/2 Dunkel Pick: UC Davis (+12 1/2)

Game 769-770: UC-Irvine at UNLV (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: UC-Irvine 51.612; UNLV 72.431 Dunkel Line: UNLV by 21 Vegas Line: UNLV by 15 Dunkel Pick: UNLV (-15)

Game 771-772: Seattle at Stanford (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 50.798; Stanford 70.453 Dunkel Line: Stanford by 19 1/2 Vegas Line: Stanford by 20 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+20 1/2)

Game 773-774: Utah State at Santa Clara (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 58.909; Santa Clara 60.277 Dunkel Line: Santa Clara by 1 1/2 Vegas Line: Santa Clara by 7 Dunkel Pick: Utah State (+7)

Game 775-776: St. Louis at Washington (12:00 a.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 63.403; Washington 69.900 Dunkel Line: Washington by 6 1/2 Vegas Line: Washington by 3 Dunkel Pick: Washington (-3)

Game 777-778: CS-Northridge at UCLA (12:00 a.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: CS-Northridge 54.548; UCLA 65.865 Dunkel Line: UCLA by 11 1/2 Vegas Line: UCLA by 14 1/2 Dunkel Pick: CS-Northridge (+14 1/2)

Game 779-780: Morehead State at Marshall (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 50.276; Marshall 64.359 Dunkel Line: Marshall by 14 Vegas Line: Marshall by 11 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Marshall (-11 1/2)

Game 781-782: Duquesne at Appalachian State (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Duquesne 51.294; Appalachian State 49.386 Dunkel Line: Duquesne by 2 Vegas Line: Duquesne by 3 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Appalachian State (+3 1/2)

Game 783-784: Weber State at Dayton (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 51.330; Dayton 66.171 Dunkel Line: Dayton by 15 Vegas Line: Dayton by 13 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Dayton (-13 1/2)

Game 785-786: Elon at Georgia Southern (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Elon 51.094; Georgia Southern 51.432 Dunkel Line: Even Vegas Line: Georgia Southern by 1 Dunkel Pick: Elon (+1)

Game 787-788: Western Carolina at Furman (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 50.700; Furman 52.708 Dunkel Line: Furman by 2 Vegas Line: Furman by 1 Dunkel Pick: Furman (-1)

Game 789-790: Niagara at Iona (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Niagara 49.871; Iona 63.115 Dunkel Line: Iona by 13 1/2 Vegas Line: Iona by 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Iona (-8 1/2)

Game 791-792: Massachusetts at Siena (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 56.775; Siena 51.825 Dunkel Line: Massachusetts by 5 Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 7 Dunkel Pick: Siena (+7)

Game 793-794: North Dakota at South Dakota State (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota 45.789; South Dakota State 65.054 Dunkel Line: South Dakota State by 19 1/2 Vegas Line: South Dakota State by 18 Dunkel Pick: South Dakota State (-18)

Game 795-796: Tennessee Tech at Loyola-Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee Tech 48.846; Loyola-Chicago 51.276 Dunkel Line: Loyola-Chicago by 2 1/2 Vegas Line: Loyola-Chicago by 4 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Tennessee Tech (+4 1/2)

Game 797-798: Montana at BYU (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Montana 58.543; BYU 66.468 Dunkel Line: BYU by 8 Vegas Line: BYU by 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Montana (+9 1/2)

Game 799-800: Northern Arizona at Arizona (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Northern Arizona 42.110; Arizona 68.183 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 26 Vegas Line: Arizona by 25 Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-25)

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Today's NBA Picks

San Antonio at Miami

The Spurs look to build on their 7-1 ATS record in their last 8 road games. San Antonio is the pick (+6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+6 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 29 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 501-502: San Antonio at Miami (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 126.910; Miami 127.015 Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 202 Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 6 1/2; 205 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+6 1/2); Under

Game 503-504: Denver at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Denver 120.146; Golden State 116.628 Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 3 1/2; 205 Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 1 1/2; 198 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Denver (-1 1/2); Over

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CAPPERS ACCESS
Saints
Rutgers
Notre Dame

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NBA TNT doubleheader: Rested Heat host Spurs, Nuggets visit red-hot Warriors

San Antonio Spurs at Miami Heat (-6, 203.5)

The San Antonio Spurs have built up the best road record in the NBA at 9-1. The Miami Heat have yet to lose at home. Something has to give when the Heat host the Spurs on Thursday. San Antonio has won the first five of its six-game road trip and was able to give stars Tim Duncan and Tony Parker plenty of rest in a blowout of the Orlando Magic on Wednesday. Miami has been waiting around since Saturday.

The Heat have won four straight overall and are leading the NBA in scoring at 104.8 points. LeBron James has been fantastic, but Miami has also benefited from the addition of Ray Allen, who has scored 17 points in each of the last two games and is averaging 12.8 off the bench. The Spurs have their own dynamic scoring threat off the bench in Manu Ginobili and are only slightly behind Miami in scoring at 102.6 points.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, TNT

ABOUT THE SPURS (13-3, 10-5-1 ATS): San Antonio did not have any player log more than 32 minutes in Wednesday’s 110-89 victory at Orlando and needed Duncan for only 27. The former MVP has gotten off to his best start in years and is contributing on both ends. He had five blocks to go along with 15 points against the Magic. The Spurs have been able to put up big point totals thanks to Parker’s penetration and a host of 3-point shooters. Ginobili went 6-of-9 from beyond the arc on Wednesday and Danny Green, Gary Neal and Matt Bonner are all capable of getting hot from 3-point range.

ABOUT THE HEAT (10-3, 6-7 ATS): Miami can shoot 3-pointers too, with Allen and Mario Chalmers streaking out on the wings, but is also able to play just about any style thanks to James. The reigning MVP continues to round out his game as both a scorer and a distributor. He scored 30 points and the Heat exploded in the last two minutes to avoid a loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers on Saturday. Dwyane Wade, who has been battling a foot injury, will benefit the most from the four-day break Miami has had between games. Wade has played in the last two games but struggled to 6-of-15 shooting and committed four turnovers against the Cavaliers.

TRENDS:

* Under is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings in Miami.
* Favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
* Under is 19-4 in the last 23 meetings.
* Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Miami F Shane Battier (knee) is doubtful for Thursday after missing practice this week.

2. The Heat have taken two straight in the series, including a 120-98 home win in the lone meeting last season. James scored 33 in that matchup.

3. The Spurs have done the bulk of their damage on the road trip without F Kawhi Leonard (knee) and G-F Stephen Jackson (finger). Both will be out on Thursday.

Denver Nuggets at Golden State Warriors (+1.5, 200)

The Golden State Warriors have surged into contention at the top of the Pacific Division thanks to five wins in seven games and some rapid improvement from their young players. One opponent the Warriors have not been able to solve has been the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets have taken two meetings from Golden State already this season, including a 107-101 overtime setback at ORACLE Arena on Nov. 10.

Denver had its four-game winning streak snapped at Utah on Monday - the beginning of a stretch of eight of nine on the road. The Nuggets had built that winning streak on defense, holding the four opponents to an average of 90.3 points - including a 102-91 win over the Warriors on Friday. Golden State struggled to contain Ty Lawson and Andre Iguodala in that contest but bounced back the following night as rookie Harrison Barnes and second-year swingman Klay Thompson stepped up against Minnesota.

TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, TNT

ABOUT THE NUGGETS (8-7, 10-5 ATS): After a 4-6 start that had Denver struggling to put things together on both ends of the floor during the same game, the Nuggets seemed to gel during the four-game winning streak. They went over 100 points three times during the run while also holding each of the four opponents under the century mark. Denver could not keep that up on Monday, when it suffered a 105-103 loss at Utah. Iguodala drew a pair of technical fouls and was ejected in the third quarter and the Nuggets struggled to contain the Jazz on the interior.

ABOUT THE WARRIORS (8-6, 8-5-1 ATS): Golden State does not have the pieces to exploit Denver’s deficiency on the interior due to Andrew Bogut’s slow recovery from an ankle injury. But the Warriors are becoming one of the stronger perimeter teams with Barnes and Thompson joining Stephen Curry as reliable scoring threats. Barnes struggled through the worst game of his rookie campaign at Denver on Friday, recording a season-low four points on 1-of-5 shooting while struggling with foul trouble against Iguodala and company. Barnes bounced back against the Timberwolves, recording his third double-double with 10 points and 11 rebounds.

TRENDS:

* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings in Golden State.
* Nuggets are 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings.
* Over is 15-5 in the last 20 meetings in Golden State.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Denver has won in four of its last six trips to ORACLE Arena. Danilo Gallinari and Kenneth Faried each recorded a double-double in the Nov. 10 win.

2. Curry was held to six points in the last game against Denver.

3. Gallinari has recorded 20 or more field goal attempts in only two games this season - both against the Warriors. He shot a combined 16-for-42 (38 percent) in those two games.

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JOE WIZ FREE PLAY

Thursday... In College Basketball take UL Monroe +11 over Western Kentucky

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Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAY

Rutgers/ Louisville Under 43.5: Have to go with the Under here, especially with one of the teams being Rutgers. The Scarlet Knights are a team that plays close to the vest. They don't have allot of offense but their defense is strong so they play the field position game. for the year Rutger games have averaged just 36.6 ppg, while their last 3 games have averaged a mere 27 points. The Rutger offense is ranked 102nd in the nation, while their defense is one of the better allowing 314 ypg which is 14th in the nation and they have also allowed just 13.7 ppg, which is 4th. The Cardinal offense has been very good and it is led by Teddy Bridgewater, but this Rutger defense is just too tough to think they will give up much here, especially after struggling vs Pitt last week and especially since this game is so huge. They will bring their defense in this one. The Cardinal defense is no slouch, ranking 26th overall and 14th vs the pass. They have allowed 24.5 ppg, but Rutgers doesn't have the offense to come close to that number. I look for both teams to have trouble moving the ball on these defenses as this one hits the mid 30's at best.

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Paul Leiner

100* Louisville / Rutgers Over 43.5

50* Seton Hall +4

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Gaming Today’s Consensus Picks November 29, 2012 6:43 AM by GT Staff

NFL Football

Atlanta Falcons -3½

NCAA Football

Rutgers -3

NBA Basketball

San Antonio Spurs /Miami Heat Over 205

Denver Nuggets /Golden State Warriors Under 198 1/2

NCAA Basketball

South Alabama -3

Arkansas Little Rock -4

St. Johns -8

Western Kentucky -10

Long Beach State +2

Andy Iskoe @ Gaming Today

THURSDAY

New Orleans +3½ at Atlanta (56): Three weeks ago New Orleans dealt then 8-0 Atlanta its lone loss of the season as 2½-point home underdogs. The Falcons have not been winning by margins, which is why they are not considered a Super Bowl favorite despite the 10-1 record. The Saints are playing with a greater sense of urgency and are clearly capable of pulling an upset. NEW ORLEANS.

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Denny the Dog @ Gaming Today

THURSDAY

Saints +4 at Falcons: I’m looking for the Saints to rebound off their beating by the Niners. The 49ers are the best team in the league right now so the Saints were playing against a tough hand. Atlanta’s record is impressive but victories have been anything but crushing. Falcons beat the struggling Cowboys by only 6 and the QB-less Cardinals by 4 in their last two home games. SAINTS.

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NCAA Football Play of the Day November 29, 2012 6:47 AM by GT Staff

Louisville at Rutgers -3 at 4:30 p.m. PT ESPN 2

A soft schedule will catch up to any team and Louisville has played such a schedule as the teams they beat are a combined 35-65 SU on games that had lines on them and they are coming off a hard OT loss last week.

RUTGERS -3

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Mark Mayer @ Gaming Today

NCAA THURSDAY

Big East title

Louisville +3 at Rutgers: The visiting Cardinals have the superior QB and that will be the difference. LOUISVILLE.

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SPORT GEEK Kevin
2u Saint +3.5