I wish I had balls.
I wish I had balls.
2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5u
2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP
I don't think betting the super bowl is a long term winning strategy. I know you guys won, so congrats, but if you told me you were going to bet the super bowl again tomorrow I would still sit it out. It is the most scouted game of the year, I really don't think I know more than everyone else about football. I think the NFL is probably the toughest sport to win consistently.
Basically, you guys got lucky. It still counts, and I am not hating, but it is just a slot machine IMO.
That said, I will take a flyer on a game if you have a feeling, so let me know.
2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5u
The thing that really turned me onto the Seahawks after leaning them already was seeing the public side all on Denver on the biggest game of the year. I like to fade the public on big games...it usually works out.
I disagree that level of scouting doesn't matter. The more scouted the game is, and the more action on the game, the more efficient the betting market is going to be. The lines are sharper. Maybe you figured it out, but you can't tell me you foresaw a blowout like that by the underdog.
2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5u
Its a statistical fact that the line only comes into account in 20% of all NFL games. The rest of the time, just picking the winner of the game wins you your bet. By those standards, it didn't matter how sharp the line( point spread) was on this game. If you can pick who is going to win the game, you'll win 80% of your wagers.
Did I predict a Seattle blowout, no, but I also didn't think the points would matter and that's why I took the ML rather than the points. In all honesty, I expected Seattle to win by 7-10 points.
I also pay zero attention to who the public is on FWIW.
2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP