2-1-15

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TOP TEN CAPPERS

SUPER BOWL PROP BET PICKS:

Marshawn Lynch – Longest Rush from Scrimmage
PICK: OVER 18.5 yds (-115)

Will Al Michaels refer to the spread, total, odds on who wins game or props during the game?
PICK: YES (-120)

Russell Wilson – Total Rushing Yards
PICK: Over 42.5 yards (-115)

Rob Gronkowski – Longest Reception
PICK: Over 22.5 yards (-125)

Rob Ninkovich – Total Sacks
PICK: Over 1/2 (-125)

Steven Hauschka (SEA) Total Points:
PICK: Over 7.5 (-135)

Player to score the first Seahawks TD in the game?
PICK: Russell Wilson 6/1 odds

Brandon LaFell – Longest Reception
PICK: Over 17.5 yards (-125)

Russell Wilson – Longest Rush from Scrimmage
PICK: Over 15.5 yards

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Money Makers
7 Unit Over NE/SEA

Action Jackson
10 GOT Month
Patriots

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The Duke Sports
Best Bet - Seattle pick em - 4 units

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MARCO D'ANGELO

2* seattle

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Frank Patron

20,000 Unit Super Bowl Move


Seattle Seahawks -1

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Dives Handicapping

Pats +1

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NFL -Ed Virgobbi (2Halves2Win) - MEMBER PLAYS, Super Bowl 49:

(2*) GAME: NEW ENGLAND @ SEATTLE: Seahawks +1 -

(1*) 1ST HALF: NEW ENGLAND @ SEATTLE: u24 -

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Trophy Club
7 Units Seattle PK

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SPORTS BANK
under Patriots / Seattle

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RKapper

1st half Patriots ML and over 47 1/2

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The War Report(not root)

Seattle pk
Under 47.5

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Prediction Machine props:

Seattle Quarterback


Player Stat Line Proj. Pick Calc

Russell Wilson Pass Yds 219.5 197.5 UNDER (56.0%)
Russell Wilson Comp. 17.5 18.2 OVER (52.5%)
Russell Wilson Att. 27.5 30.1 OVER (56.4%)
Russell Wilson TDs Thrown 1.5 1.3 UNDER (56.9%)
Russell Wilson TDs Thrown 0 (+250) 1.3 0, (27.6%)
Russell Wilson TDs Thrown 1 (+150) 1.3 1, (29.3%)
Russell Wilson TDs Thrown 2 (+260) 1.3 2, (24.2%)
Russell Wilson TDs Thrown 3 (+500) 1.3 3, (10.1%)
Russell Wilson TDs Thrown 4+ (+1200) 1.3 4+, (8.8%)
Russell Wilson INT 0.5 0.8 OVER (51.1%)
Russell Wilson Rushes 7.5 6.5 UNDER (53.8%)
Russell Wilson Rush Yards 40.5 47.1 OVER (61.4%)
Russell Wilson Rushing TD Yes (+220)/No (-280) 0.4 YES, 35.7%

New England Quarterback


Player Stat Line Proj. Pick

Tom Brady Pass Yds 260.5 235.1 UNDER (59.1%)
Tom Brady Comp. 23.5 24.3 OVER (53.1%)
Tom Brady Att. 35.5 38.7 OVER (55.4%)
Tom Brady TDs Thrown 2.5 (+160/-200) 1.4 UNDER (74.2%)
Tom Brady TDs Thrown 0 (+350) 1.4 0, (23.1%)
Tom Brady TDs Thrown 1 (+220) 1.9 1, (30.2%)
Tom Brady TDs Thrown 2 (+250) 1.4 2, (19.9%)
Tom Brady TDs Thrown 3 (+300) 1.4 3, (17.2%)
Tom Brady TDs Thrown 4+ (+700) 1.4 4+, (9.6%)
Tom Brady INT 0.5 (-160/+130) 0.9 OVER (58.6%

Seattle Running Backs


Player Stat Line Proj. Pick

Marshawn Lynch Rush Yds 92.5 100.7 OVER (54.6%)
Marshawn Lynch Rushes 20.5 21.2 OVER (51.8%)
Marshawn Lynch Rec Yds 19.5 22.1 OVER (53.4%)
Marshawn Lynch Recs 2.5 2.9 OVER (53.8%)
Marshawn Lynch TDs 0.5 (-200/+160) 1.1 OVER (65.4%)
Robert Turbin Rush Yds 15.5 20.5 OVER (61.5%)

New England Running Backs


Player Stat Line Proj. Pick

LeGarrette Blount Rush Yds 62.5 58.7 UNDER (53.0%)
LeGarrette Blount Rushes 14.5 16.4 OVER (57.5%)
LeGarrette Blount Rec Yds 4.5 3.2 UNDER (62.3%)
LeGarrette Blount TDs 0.5 (+110/-140) 0.6 OVER (51.7%)
Shane Vereen Rush Yds 15.5 12.7 UNDER (61.3%)
Shane Vereen Rushes 3.5 3.5 UNDER (50.2%)
Shane Vereen Rec Yds 29.5 24.7 UNDER (56.7%)


Seattle Receivers/Tight Ends


Player Stat Line Proj. Pick

Jermaine Kearse Rec Yds 39.5 48.8 OVER (59.8%)
Jermaine Kearse Recs 2.5 4.0 OVER (55.9%)
Jermaine Kearse TDs 0.5 (+225/-280) 0.3 UNDER (75.1%)
Doug Baldwin Rec Yds 54.5 54.8 OVER (50.9%)
Doug Baldwin Recs 4.5 4.9 OVER (53.7%)
Doug Baldwin TDs 0.5 (+180/-220) 0.4 OVER (34.3%)
Luke Willson Rec Yds 27.5 43.4 OVER (61.4%)
Luke Willson Recs 2.5 3.6 OVER (54.4%)
Luke Willson TDs 0.5 (+300/-400) 0.3 UNDER (80.1%)

New England Receivers/Tight Ends

Player Stat Line Proj. Pick

Julian Edelman Recs 6 6.7 OVER (49.6%)
Julian Edelman TDs 0.5 (+125/-155) 0.2 UNDER (70.6%)
Brandon LaFell Rec Yds 52.5 48.5 UNDER (52.9%)
Brandon LaFell Recs 4 4.2 OVER (44.1%)
Brandon LaFell TDs 0.5 (+160/-200) 0.3 UNDER (69.6%)
Rob Gronkowski Rec Yds 72.5 70.7 UNDER (51.1%)
Rob Gronkowski Recs 5.5 (-150/+120) 5.7 UNDER (48.6%)
Rob Gronkowski TDs 0.5 (-170/+140) 0.6 UNDER (53.0%)

Kickers


Player Stat Line Proj. Pick

Steven Hauschka Points 7.5 8.5 OVER (57.4%)
Stephen Gostkowski Points 8.5 7.0 UNDER (63.9%)

MVP Odds


Player

Team

MVP Chance

Tom Brady NE 25.1%
Marshawn Lynch SEA 23.0%
Russell Wilson SEA 20.1%
Rob Gronkowski NE 10.2%
LeGarrette Blount NE 2.8%
Doug Baldwin SEA 2.5%
Kam Chancellor SEA 2.4%
Julian Edelman NE 2.4%
Richard Sherman SEA 1.9%
Earl Thomas SEA 1.9%
Darrelle Revis NE 1.5%
Jamie Collins NE 1.4%
Jermaine Kearse SEA 1.1%
Field 0.9%
Bobby Wagner SEA 0.8%
K.J. Wright SEA 0.7%
Brandon LaFell NE 0.4%
Devin McCourty NE 0.3%
Steven Hauschka SEA 0.2%
Stephen Gostkowski NE 0.1%
Luke Willson SEA 0.1%
Byron Maxwell SEA 0.1%
Shane Vereen NE 0.1%
Dont'a Hightower NE 0.1%
Malcolm Smith SEA 0.1%

Misc. Game Props


Type Line Proj. Pick/Calc

Longest FGM (Yds) 44.5 41.2 UNDER (62.3%)
Longest TD (Yds) 44.5 Yds 39.9 Yds UNDER (55.8%)
Shortest TD 1.5 Yds 1.2 Yds UNDER (57.9%)
Safety No (-900) 90.8% NO 90.8%
OT YES (+800) 13.9% YES 13.9%
Total Sacks UNDER 4.5 51.3% UNDER 51.3%

Average Points by Quarter


Team

1st Qtr

2nd Qtr

3rd Qtr

4th Qtr/OT

Seattle 4.9 6.2 5.3 7.1
New England 4.4 6.1 5.1 4.8

Entertainment Props (lines provided by Bovada.lv)


Type

Line

Proj.

Pick/Calc

National Anthem 2:01 2:18 OVER (56.5%)
Coin Flip Even 50.0% (25,001 Tails) Tails (50.0%)
First Coach Mentioned Belichick/Carroll Belichick 60% Belichick (60%)
Hoodie Sleeves Cut/Intact (-150/+110) Cut 70% CUT (70%)
Gisele on TV Over/Under 1.5 OVER 55% OVER (55.0%)
Carroll Last Pats Coach Mentioned Yes/No (+110/-150) Yes (54.4%) OVER (54.4%)
Katy Perry Hair Black/Brown (2/1) 50.1% Brown/Black (50.1%)
Katy Perry First Song Roar (3/2)* 45% Roar (45.0%)
Wilson Pass Yds or Gas Price Gas Price +15.5 54.5% Gas Prices (54.5%)

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Action Jackson

10 GOT Month — NE Patriots

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Charlotte Sports

1 Unit 1H Under 23.5
3 Units Under 47.5
1 Unit Seattle – pick em

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Brian Hay

10* Seahawks

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JAO SPORTS

OVER 47 Seahawks/Pats 660/600

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PHILLYGODFATHER

Seattle pk
natl amthem over 121 seconds

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Chris James Sports

10* Seahawks Pk
5* Under 47.5

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Youngstown Connection
Date: Sunday February 1, 2015
Super Bowl

#102 Seattle +1 630PM Eastern

Line from Intertops
Line as of 310AM Eastern 2/1/15

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Big, influential money on the Seattle Seahawks showed up Saturday in Las Vegas, causing sportsbooks to adjust the Super Bowl point spread heading into game day.

The MGM, Caesars, Westgate, Golden Nugget, South Point, Station's and CG Technology sportsbooks moved the line from New England minus-1 to pick 'em Saturday, as money poured in on the Seahawks. Most books reported still having more money on the Patriots, but the gap was narrowing.

"We're taking more bets on the Patriots, but the more substantial money has been on the Seahawks," Jason Simbal, vice president of risk for CG Technology, said Saturday. "What we've been seeing lately is for every two-, three-, four- or five-hundred dollar bet that comes in on New England, we'll then take a five-figure bet on Seattle."

The MGM, which took a seven-figure wager on the Patriots last week, was one of the last Vegas books to move the line to pick 'em Saturday.

MGM vice president of race and sports Jay Rood said the seven-figure transaction was handled in advance with the funds being transferred to the casino cage. He would not elaborate on the identity of the bettor, who spared no expense.

"They laid the proper vig," Rood said.

That was the lone seven-figure wager reported by the books as of Saturday night, but Rood said his shop has already taken "a lot" of six-figure wagers, the majority of them on the Patriots. More big bets will undoubtedly show up Sunday.

CG Technology, which is known to cater to some of the biggest players in Vegas, including professional sports bettor Billy Walters and boxing champion Floyd Mayweather Jr., also was expecting large wagers to arrive today.

"We're not going to comment on individual customers," Simbal said, "but we're still waiting to see what other high rollers want to do."

The Wynn and Stratosphere sportsbooks still had the Patriots favored as of Saturday night. Wynn sportsbook director John Avello said two times more money had been bet on the Seahawks than the Patriots at his shop. He took multiple six-figure bets on Seattle on Saturday. But the Wynn was an outlier.

The vast majority of books were rooting against the Patriots heading into Sunday.

"I believe most Nevada bookmakers will be Seattle fans on Sunday," Station's sportsbook director Art Manteris said. "I almost certainly will be."

Before Saturday's line movement, the Super Bowl point spread had held steady at New England minus-1 for two weeks. Most books opened the line at Seattle minus-2.5 on championship Sunday, but the number quickly moved in favor of the Patriots.

Sportsbook operator William Hill was one of the only shops to keep the point spread at pick 'em for the past two weeks. William Hill reported Saturday night that 62 percent of the money wagered at its shops was on the Patriots. There has never been a Super Bowl with a consensus closing line of pick 'em.

The San Francisco 49ers were favored by one point over the Cincinnati Bengals in Super Bowl XVI in 1982. The Miami Dolphins were 1-point favorites over the Washington Redskins in Super Bowl VII in 1973.

"If anything, I'd say it moves to Seattle [minus] one," Westgate head football oddsmaker Ed Salmons said.

Prominent offshore sportsbook Bookmaker.eu made the Seahawks 1-point favorites on Saturday.

The Super Bowl over/under total also has been on the move. After opening as high as 49.5, the total was down to 47.5 at most sportsbooks.