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  • KnightWriter
    Senior Member
    • Jul 2015
    • 726

    Home Fav Totals

    Welcome. Long time lurker, first post. Gonna try to win some cash. I have a theory to test.

    I'm going with home favorites over 2-1/2 (sometimes over 3). It will be a chase, starting with NO MORE than 1% of your bankroll. That can sustain 4 or 5 losses in a row, if necessary. Play at your own risk. Please don't be rude. We're here to help each other pound the books.

    I know many of you don't like chasing bets. That's understandable. I've had great success at it. My only big losses came from starting with too much bankroll or getting greedy/emotional. It's a long season, and I plan to be up 75 to 100 units by the end.

    An A bet is one unit. If that looses, ab bet will be one unit plus the A loss. A C bet will either one unit plus A & B losses, or just A & B losses, depending on the odds and situation. A D bet is only A, B, and C losses, unless some amazing situation presents itself. Remember, the idea is to walk away with the sportsbooks' money.

    Having said that, tonight is bet 5 of the preseason. Here is what has happened so far:

    9-24 Boston (A) O2.5 -105 1u +1u
    9-26 Detroit (A) O2.5 -125 1u +2u
    9-27 Carolina (A) O2.5 -145 1u -1.45u
    9-27 Dallas (B)* O3 +100 2.45u -2.45u
    9-28 Boston (C) O2.5. -130 6.5u pending

    Overall -.9u.

    * This was a desperate ploy. Too many beers and great sadness over the Cowboys' loss.

    BOL to all. Let's cash in!
  • KnightWriter
    Senior Member
    • Jul 2015
    • 726

    #2
    Just checked and the Bruins are down 2-0 in the second.

    Comment

    • KnightWriter
      Senior Member
      • Jul 2015
      • 726

      #3
      FYI, also have tonight:

      Texas Rangers (C) -134 4.64u
      Toronto Blue Jays (A) -131 2.62u
      LA Angels (B) -151 3.1u
      Green Bay Packers (C) 4.71u

      Comment

      • KnightWriter
        Senior Member
        • Jul 2015
        • 726

        #4
        I knew I should have gone with Montreal.

        Comment

        • DaKid
          Senior Member
          • Oct 2012
          • 4449

          #5
          Good stuff bud
          IWS NBA tracker champ 2013 66-57 %54
          IWS NBA tracker champ 2018 31-29 %52
          IWS NBA tracker champ 2020 11-9 %55
          *
          IWS Col FB tracker champ 2014 50-33 %60
          IWS Col FB tracker champ 2016 55-45 %55
          IWS Col FB tracker champ 2017 57-57 %50
          IWS Col FB tracker champ 2020 18-9 %57
          *
          IWS NFL contest champ 2015 33-19 %63
          IWS NFL Tracker champ 2017 57-57 %50
          IWS NFL Tracker champ 2019 30-22 %58
          IWS NFL Tracker champ 2020 23-15 %61
          *
          IWS Col BB tracker champ 2016 44-28 %61
          IWS Col BB tracker champ 2017 35-20 %64
          IWS Col BB tracker champ 2018 28-24 %54
          *
          IWS NHL tracker champ 2016 13-11 +2.12u
          IWS NHL tracker champ 2018 39-29 +9.2u

          Comment

          • KnightWriter
            Senior Member
            • Jul 2015
            • 726

            #6
            9-28 Boston (C) O2.5. -130 6.5u

            Overall -7.4u 2-3 40%

            Tomorrow, a D bet!
            Last edited by KnightWriter; 09-28-2015, 09:53 PM.

            Comment

            • KnightWriter
              Senior Member
              • Jul 2015
              • 726

              #7
              Trying my best. The goal is making money. Rough start tonight, but I'm hopeful. Jays cashed and the Packers are, too. Might still be a profitable night if the Rangers can turn it around and the Angels rip it. AL West is nice to watch right now.

              Comment

              • KnightWriter
                Senior Member
                • Jul 2015
                • 726

                #8
                Originally posted by DaKid
                Good stuff bud
                Like your NCAA football percentage. I'll chase 60% and above. I know nothing about hockey. I live in Houston, but I have my best profits on basketball. Can't wait!!!

                Comment

                • KnightWriter
                  Senior Member
                  • Jul 2015
                  • 726

                  #9
                  Guess I'll have to go with the Rangers tomorrow on a dreaded D bet. UGH!!!

                  Comment

                  • KnightWriter
                    Senior Member
                    • Jul 2015
                    • 726

                    #10
                    Who knew Verlander would step up when the Rangers need to keep their lead on Houston.

                    Comment

                    • KnightWriter
                      Senior Member
                      • Jul 2015
                      • 726

                      #11
                      The rest of the night.

                      Texas Rangers (C) -134 4.64u

                      Toronto Blue Jays (A) -131 2.62u
                      LA Angels (B) -151 3.1u
                      Green Bay Packers (C) -5.5 4.71u

                      Comment

                      • Mr. IWS
                        215 Hustler
                        • Sep 2006
                        • 97672

                        #12
                        Good stuff man, and welcome aboard!

                        I do a baseball chase my self that has been really good to me over the last few season.
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                        Comment

                        • KnightWriter
                          Senior Member
                          • Jul 2015
                          • 726

                          #13
                          I did the same and made a fortune, but got greedy and went too late in the season. First week of September, bankrolls back to May levels. Chasing takes INSANE patience.

                          Comment

                          • KnightWriter
                            Senior Member
                            • Jul 2015
                            • 726

                            #14
                            Originally posted by KnightWriter
                            9-28 Boston (C) O2.5. -130 6.5u

                            Overall -7.4u 2-3 40%

                            Tomorrow, a D bet!
                            That -7.4u should be -8.4u.

                            Comment

                            • KnightWriter
                              Senior Member
                              • Jul 2015
                              • 726

                              #15
                              Okay, here goes. If this misses, it will REALLY hurt.

                              9-29 (D) 14.56u

                              BOL to all.

                              Comment

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