Monday 10-16-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[New York Knight]

Nevada Sharpshooter

Your free winner for Monday: Take TAMPA BAY (NHL) over Detroit

[New York Knight]

Razor Sharp

YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR MONDAY: Take TAMPA BAY/DETROIT UNDER the total

[New York Knight]

Huddle Up Sports

Free Play:

Houston/NY Yankees over 8.5

[New York Knight]

Golden Dragon Sports

Free Pick
Houston/NY Yankees under 8'

[New York Knight]

Platinum Plays

Free Pick: NHL Tampa Bay/Detroit Over 5½ Goals

[New York Knight]

Mike Wynn

Free Play: NHL Tampa Bay -125 Over Detroit

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Claiming - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $9000 Class Rating: 66

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 16, 2016. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 5 FIRESTAR 1/1

# 1 TRAPPER JANE 12/1

# 2 LARA 5/1

I've got to go with FIRESTAR. She has posted strong figures under today's conditions and will almost certainly fare well versus this group of horses in this race. With one of the best jocks in terms of profits at the window, don't count this filly out. Has to be considered for this race if only for the very strong speed fig earned in the last contest. TRAPPER JANE - Will most likely come out sharp - I have liked the way this filly has moved promptly to the lead recently. With a competitive 60 Equibase Speed Figure last time out, will clearly be a factor in this race. LARA - Win percentage under similar conditions may be the key for this mare. She has been running solidly and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the most competitive in this group.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Laurel

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - SA - 5.5f on the Turf. Purse: $25000 Class Rating: 94

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $7,500 OR LESS IN 2016 - 2017. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE AUGUST 16 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 4 BILLY THE BULL 3/1

# 8 PUTURSEATBELTON 4/1

# 10 BLUEGRASS BALL 5/1

I favor BILLY THE BULL here. Earnings per start in turf sprint races is strong for this racer. Eppler has this gelding moving well and is a very strong selection based on the competitive speed figs recorded in sprint races recently. He must be given consideration given the respectable speed figures. PUTURSEATBELTON - Must be given consideration - I like the figs from the last race. BLUEGRASS BALL - Could beat this group of animals given the 95 speed rating posted in his last outing. He has been racing admirably recently while recording strong speed figures.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Portland Meadows

Portland Meadows - Race 9

Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta


Claiming $2,500 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 79 • Purse: $5,500 • Post: 3:44P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 16, 2017 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Trailer. MR. TENACIOUS is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MR. TENACIOUS: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. SEMPER GUMBY: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. CAPTAIN SHADDOCK: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). JUSTA GUSTA: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. YOSSI: Horse's average w inning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
3
MR. TENACIOUS
7/2

9/2
7
SEMPER GUMBY
4/1

6/1
2
CAPTAIN SHADDOCK
3/1

8/1
8
JUSTA GUSTA
8/1

9/1
5
YOSSI
6/1

10/1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Parx Racing - Race #2 - Post: 1:22pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $22,000 Class Rating: 74

Rating: 4

#7 VEBLEN GOOD (ML=4/1)


VEBLEN GOOD - This filly is in superb physical condition right now. Finished third last time out and comes back promptly. Is ranked at the top in earnings per race. A dominant try in this field can augment the lifetime earnings.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 ANY GIVEN TRACE (ML=2/1), #2 ALSTERONE (ML=5/2), #4 PAPER MOON (ML=6/1),

ANY GIVEN TRACE - If you keep playing these sort of 'bridesmaid' types, you're going to be let down most of the time. ALSTERONE - I cannot play this frequent non-winner. Gets the assignment completed infrequently. PAPER MOON - Didn't finish in the money on September 9th at Parx Racing. Followed it up with another lackluster performance. This filly recorded a speed fig in her last clash which likely isn't good enough today.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #7 VEBLEN GOOD to win. Have to have odds of at least 1/1 or better though

EXACTA WAGERS:
Pass

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Thistledown

Thistledown - Race 8

$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta


Claiming $4,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 87 • Purse: $10,100 • Post: 5:10P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE APRIL 16. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 16 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE AUGUST 16 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000 (OHIO REGISTERED FOALS PREFERRED).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Stalker. HE'S ETAIN is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * BOSS MAN BOB: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. HE'S ETAIN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. TURN BACK TIME: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
8
BOSS MAN BOB
9/2

4/1
4
HE'S ETAIN
7/2

6/1
5
TURN BACK TIME
10/1

6/1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Turf Paradise - Race #2 - Post: 1:25pm - Maiden Optional Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,500 Class Rating: 65

Rating: 4

#5 HONORABLE SONG (ML=6/1)
#3 CONFED (ML=9/2)


HONORABLE SONG - This filly likes to be near the lead. Today's event is a shorter trip and should aid her winning probability. She keeps getting closer at the finish with each and every start. As the only front runner in the race, I expect this filly to be long gone. I am keen on that latest contest on Sep 24th at Emerald Downs where she ran second. CONFED - Metz has this filly entered in the ideal contest.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 FOGGIA (ML=2/1), #6 BELLASTIME (ML=4/1), #4 KARYS SECRET (ML=5/1),

FOGGIA - This filly in all probability won't be right there at the finish line. BELLASTIME - Difficult to bet on any racer in a sprint affair at 4/1 when she hasn't shown any successful efforts in sprints in the last couple months. KARYS SECRET - Today's race is 5 furlongs. Hasn't finished in the money in a sprint event in the last 60 days. Not the best of signs. 5/1 odds isn't enough for this horse when examining the most recent efforts. Not likely that the speed figure she earned on Aug 16th will be enough in this event.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - HONORABLE SONG - Steady improvement in her speed ratings, 46 last race and 44 two races back. This mount is going to be tough against these horses.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #5 HONORABLE SONG on the nose if you can get odds of 3/1 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,5]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Valuline at Zia Park

Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Zia Park, Race 6 (Monday October 16, 2017)

VOCALLY
(For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)

ZIA-6 4.5f DIRT Eight Horses
"A" CLM 5,000 F/M 3YUP $9,500
P# ex t s ML WP TVL

4 VOCALLY 6/5 45% 6/5 Strong Favorite icon
5 INFLATOR 10/1 14% 6/1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CAPPERS ACCESS
Astros
Titans

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Monday, October 16, 2017

MLB (909) HOUSTON ASTROS VS (910) NEW YORK YANKEES

Under

Reason: Your free play for Monday, October 16, 2017 is in the MLB Playoff game between the Houston Astros and New York Yankees. This series has been a low scoring series owned by the pitching. Charlie Morton makes his second start of the postseason for the Astros. Morton had a no decision in his start at Boston, going seven innings and allowing two runs. He's oppose CC Sabathia, who had two starts vs the Indians. Sabathia went 4.1 and 5.1 innings, allowing a total of four runs over 9.2 innings. Yankees haven't scored but two runs against the Astros. Aaron Judge, the Yankees slugger has had trouble hitting the ball, going just 2-for-20 with 12 strikeouts. Don't see much changing here on Monday as both teams will struggle to score runs. Play the UNDER.