Wednesday 10-18-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[bmd1803]

Astros at Yankees 10/18/17 - ALCS Game 5 - MLB Picks & Predictions
by Eddie

Latest Odds : HOU -120 Total 8

With the best-of-seven game American League Champions Series tied at two games apiece, the Houston Astros and New York Yankees will play Game Five on Wednesday evening from the Bronx. Last night, Houston could not hold on to a late four-run lead before falling by a 6-4 final score. SP Lance McCullers Jr. allowed just two hits and one run over six frames for the Astros, before closer Ken Giles blew the save.

Twenty-nine year old southpaw Dallas Keuchel (14-5 2.90 ERA) will take the mound for the Astros in this matchup. In the series opener, Keuchel allowed just four hits and struck out ten batters over seven scoreless frames.


After fading down the stretch of the regular season, New York OF Aaron Judge is coming up huge in the postseason. In Game Four, Judge homered in the seventh inning and then doubled as part of a four-run eighth inning rally for the Yankees. Closer Aroldis Chapman struck out two batters in a perfect ninth inning to notch the save.

New York skipper Joe Girardi will turn to right-hander Masahiro Tanaka (13-12 4.74 ERA) in Game Five. Through 13 innings this postseason, Tanaka has allowed just seven hits and two runs while striking out ten batters.


Recent Betting Trends:
Astros are 11-2 in Keuchels last 13 road starts.
Yankees are 39-16 in Tanakas last 55 home starts.
Over is 5-2-1 in Keuchels last 8 road starts.
Under is 7-2-1 in Tanakas last 10 home starts.
Yankees are 0-5 in Tanakas last 5 starts vs Astros.


Free Betting Pick: Houston Astros -120


Both teams come into this series in good health and with no major injuries to report. Through 162 games, Houston ranked 1st in batting average and 1st in runs scored. For the season, New York ranked 7th in batting average and 2nd in runs scored. Take Houston to bounce back with a win on Wednesday and move one game away from reaching the World Series. Final Score Prediction, Houston Astros win 6-2.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When:7:30 PM ET, Wednesday, October 18, 2017
Where:TD Garden, Boston, Massachusetts

Preview: Bucks at Celtics

Gracenote
Oct 18, 2017

The Boston Celtics suffered a season-opening defeat, but the more devastating loss occurred when offseason signee Gordon Hayward sustained what likely was a season-ending injury. The All-Star forward fractured his left tibia and dislocated his ankle in Tuesday's setback against Cleveland, and the Celtics begins the task of moving on when they host the Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday.

Hayward was injured just over five minutes into the 102-99 loss when he went up for a lob and landed awkwardly after colliding with Cavaliers forward LeBron James. "Hopefully, we'll get a full recovery," Boston coach Brad Stevens told reporters. "It's a tough deal. I really feel for him." The Bucks have reached the playoffs in two of coach Jason Kidd's first three seasons and the roster, led by All-Star forward Giannis Antetokounmpo, is nearly identical to last campaign's 42-win squad. "We are familiar, but the big thing is, we can't wait," Kidd told reporters. "It's a group that's been together, (but) we just can't rely on one person. Everybody has to be able to be in tune with what they're doing."

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, FSN Wisconsin (Milwaukee), NBCSN Boston

ABOUT THE BUCKS (2016-17: 42-40): The 22-year-old Antetokounmpo has achieved bona fide star status after averaging 22.9 points, 8.8 rebounds, 5.4 assists, 1.9 blocked shots and 1.6 steals last season and figures only to get better. Shooting guard Khris Middleton is healthy after being limited to 29 games last season due to a hamstring injury and mixes well with backcourt mate Malcolm Brogdon, who was the NBA Rookie of the Year in 2016-17. Milwaukee won't have forward Jabari Parker until sometime around the All-Star break as he recovers from his second ACL tear in his left knee since entering the NBA in 2014.

ABOUT THE CELTICS (0-1): The loss of Hayward will mean a bigger role for first-round pick Jayson Tatum, and the rookie forward recorded 14 points and 10 rebounds in 37 minutes against Cleveland. Second-year forward Jaylen Brown already is being counted on to supply more offense and was up to the task, scoring a team-high 25 points in the season opener. Point guard Kyrie Irving contributed 22 points and 10 assists in his return to Cleveland, but his Boston debut ended in disappointing fashion as he missed a tying 3-point attempt at the buzzer.

BUZZER BEATERS

1. The Celtics went 2-1 against the Bucks last season and have won six of the last eight meetings.

2. Boston was just 8-of-32 from 3-point range in the loss to the Cavaliers.

3. Milwaukee didn't sign Parker to a contract extension prior to Monday's deadline, so the No. 2 pick of the 2014 NBA draft will be a restricted free agent following the season.

PREDICTION: Celtics 104, Bucks 99

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Milwaukee at Boston

ATS TRENDS

Milwaukee

Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Wednesday games. Bucks are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win. Bucks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss. Bucks are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Bucks are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

Boston

Celtics are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win. Celtics are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Celtics are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games overall. Celtics are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 vs. Eastern Conference. Celtics are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Wednesday games. Celtics are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. NBA Central. Celtics are 44-21-1 ATS in their last 66 games playing on 0 days rest.

OU TRENDS

Milwaukee

Under is 6-0 in Bucks last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 games following a ATS loss. Under is 9-2-1 in Bucks last 12 vs. NBA Atlantic. Under is 8-2-1 in Bucks last 11 overall. Under is 4-1-1 in Bucks last 6 Wednesday games. Under is 7-2-1 in Bucks last 10 vs. Eastern Conference. Under is 11-4 in Bucks last 15 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 18-7-1 in Bucks last 26 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 5-2-1 in Bucks last 8 road games.

Boston

Over is 3-0-1 in Celtics last 4 Wednesday games. Over is 9-1-1 in Celtics last 11 home games. Over is 5-1 in Celtics last 6 games following a straight up loss. Under is 4-1 in Celtics last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Over is 8-3-2 in Celtics last 13 games playing on 0 days rest.

HEAD TO HEAD

Over is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings in Boston. Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings. Bucks are 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Boston. Road team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Underdog is 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park

RACE #2 - BELMONT PARK - 1:28 PM EASTERN POST
6½ FURLONGS DIRT FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $25,000.00 CLAIMING $47,000.00 PURSE

#2 DOINWHATSHELIKES
#4 BURN CONTROL
#6 BON HEIR
#3 DA WILDCAT GIRL

#2 DOINWHATSHELIKES has produced a quartet of "POWER RUNS" in her last five outings, hitting the board in three, including a "POLWER RIN WIN" facing much better company (+7) in her last start. #4 BURN CONTROL drops in class (-14), has decent early speed abilities to compliment for this sprint, has has turned in "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" facing substantially better company in each of her last five starts.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Belmont Park - Race #9 - Post: 5:19pm - Maiden Special - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $60,000 Class Rating: 83

Rating: 3

#15 CARRERA CAT (ML=5/1)
#11 PURELY LUCKY (ML=5/2)
#5 TIZENGAGINGLYSMART (ML=5/1)
#7 BIG EXPENSE (ML=8/1)


CARRERA CAT - This campaigner coming off a strong effort in the last 30 days is a win candidate in my humble opinion. Comparing how the horses in this field have fared under similar conditions, I see this one has the highest speed fig for the dist-surf. Had a dominant closing move last time around the track, running the last quarter in less than 25 seconds. A similar race today, and it's straight to the winner's circle. PURELY LUCKY - I really like that recent race on September 22nd at Belmont Park where she ran second. Cox has a very strong win pct in turf routes. This filly should be in great shape. This rider/handler duo has been producing a very profitable ROI, right at +26. Running 1 1/16 miles on the turf, you've have to look at horse's turf figures. This horse has the tops in the bunch. TIZENGAGINGLYSMART - I expect a lot from this horse. Her speed ratings under similar conditions are tops in this group. Had a powerful closing move last out, running the last quarter in less than 25 seconds. A similar performance today, and it's straight to the winner's circle. BIG EXPENSE - The jock and trainer combination have a profitable return on investment when they combine forces.

Vulnerable Contenders: #13 POUND NOTE (ML=5/1), #8 FIVEINTHEMORNING (ML=6/1), #14 SCATBACK (ML=8/1),

POUND NOTE - She's most likely going to get cooked on the front end. This runner ran a most unsatisfactory fig in the last race. She shouldn't improve and will likely suffer defeat in today's event running that fig. FIVEINTHEMORNING - The sixth place finish in the last race was not the greatest. Run-of-the-mill fig last time around the track at Belmont Park at 6 furlongs. Don't feel this mount will improve too much in today's event. SCATBACK - This pony didn't go to the front end and didn't close any ground down the lane last time she ran.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - TIZENGAGINGLYSMART - My historical data shows that fillies often show signs of improvement 2nd time on Lasix. That's the case for this one, so I think she should run well above average today.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #15 CARRERA CAT to win if you can get odds of 9/2 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Pass

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [5,11,15] Total Cost: $6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Allowance - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $37000 Class Rating: 78

FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR TRIAL OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JULY 18, 2017 ALLOWED 3 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 8 OH DEAR LORD 3/2

# 2 WILDCAT SPRINGS 12/1

# 1 SOUTHERN GOLD 3/1

I favor OH DEAR LORD here. Overall the speed figures of this horse look decent in this race. Broberg makes a blinkers change (going on today), looking for better results. Hernandez's ROI over the last month automatically makes this horse a strong contender. WILDCAT SPRINGS - Overall the Equibase Speed Figs of this animal look formidable in this contest. Is a definite contender - given the 79 speed figure from her most recent race.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delaware Park

Delaware Park - Race 5

Daily Double (Races 5-6) / Exacta / Trifecta (50-cent min.) Superfecta (10-cent min.) / Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7, 50-cent min.) Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8, 50-cent min.)


Claiming $5,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 79 • Purse: $12,000 • Post: 3:15P
(PLUS UP TO 50% OTHER SOURCES) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED AT DELAWARE PARK IN 2017 AND WHICH HAVE NOT FINISHED FIRST, SECOND OR THIRD IN THEIR LAST 3 STARTS. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 18, 2017 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE MARCH 18, 2017 ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000, FOR EACH $500 TO $4,000 3 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Front-runner. I AM SUPERIOR TOO is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * JUSTGIMMEAKISS: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" desi gnation. I AM SUPERIOR TOO: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. JERSEY RICH: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
3
JUSTGIMMEAKISS
4/1

7/2
5
I AM SUPERIOR TOO
8/1

7/2
7
JERSEY RICH
5/2

9/1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Evangeline Downs

Evangeline Downs - Race 9

Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta


Maiden Claiming $10,000 • 400 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 66 • Purse: $5,000 • Post: 8:58P
QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * YAWLS DANNY: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SHEZ FAST DASH: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
3
YAWLS DANNY
5/1

2/1
7
SHEZ FAST DASH
3/1

3/1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $11922 Class Rating: 81

FOR ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA-BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE EASTER SUNDAY 2017 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 8 SLEW SLEW WHO 9/2

# 3 PURE CHROME 4/1

# 7 S C REDSLEGACY 30/1

I back SLEW SLEW WHO here. He has been running soundly and the Equibase Speed Figs are among the best in this group. The average class rating alone makes this one a key contender. PURE CHROME - Has a sharp shot here if you like back class. Craddock has one of the best winning percentages in this group with entries running at this distance and surface. S C REDSLEGACY - Jockey's recent return on investment figs make this gelding a good bet.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Woodbine - Race #1 - Post: 6:45pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,600 Class Rating: 71

Rating: 4

#5 RING OF HEAT (ML=9/5)


RING OF HEAT - Ran last time around the track against a better group of horses at Woodbine. The move to a lower level should suit him well. Gelding has shown some speed. This shorter distance should be better for him. Jockey hops up aboard after getting to know the thoroughbred by riding last time out. That's always a helpful angle. Have to forget about that last race on the turf. This gelding should do better hitting the main track right here.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 PIERRE MINCE (ML=2/1), #7 HOLTZ (ML=5/1), #2 SCARLET FORESTER (ML=6/1),

PIERRE MINCE - Hard to put your cash on this early speedball. Too much zip in the event. HOLTZ - Don't believe this entrant will do much running in today's event. That last speed figure was run-of-the-mill when compared with today's class figure. SCARLET FORESTER - Woodbine is not cozy quarters to this pony. You always believe this horse has a shot to win, but he just misses regularly.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - RING OF HEAT - This gelding has the top speed figure last race with a very good 77. He is the top bet here.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#5 RING OF HEAT is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Skip

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BIG AL

Our complimentary selection for Wednesday, Oct. 18 is:

Minnesota T-Wolves + over San Antonio Spurs.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TOMMY BRUNSON

Wednesday comp play is the Dallas Mavericks as the home favorite over the Atlanta Hawks.

Neither team looks like they will be making much noise this season, but at least the Mavericks core is similar to last season's team. Atlanta on the other hand is going through a total rebuild, as Dennis Schroder and Kent Bazemore are really the only mainstays back from last year's team that saw significant minutes.

The time is right for Dallas to end a 7-game series losing streak, that is for sure.

Atlanta is also on a 6-1 against the spread role during their 7-game recent series domination. Look for that to change tonight.

Dallas gets the new season off on the right foot as they pick up the win and the cover.

1* DALLAS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Wednesday, October 18, 2017

(721) PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS VS (722) PHOENIX SUNS

Take: OVER

Reason: Your free play for Wednesday, October 18, 2017 is in the NBA contest between the Portland Trailblazers and the Phoenix Suns. Portland had a very good preseason, going 5-1 and scoring a league high 115.2 ppg. The Blazers will be without guard C.J. McCollum (Suspension) here on Wednesday as he serves his one-game suspension. The Blazers are led by Damian Lillard, who averaged 25 points per game each of the last two years. Portland has stated they intend to start the season fast after recent years where they got off to terrible starts. The Suns finished the preseason with a 2-3 record an averaged 107 points and allowed 110. Both of these clubs scored big in the preseason and I don't see that changing as they each start the regular season. Play the OVER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SCOTT SPREITZER

Pelicans+2½

I'm recommending a play on the New Orleans Pelicans plus the points on Wednesday. We like the inside/outside potential for the Pelicans this season. DeMarcus Cousins joined Anthony Davis inside during last season, but the two will now have had time to develop chemistry with each other and the rest of the squad. New Orleans won't have Rajon Rondo (hernia) to start the season, but we have no problem with Jrue Holiday running the show in his absence. Memphis isn't the same team we have grown used to over the last several seasons. Mike Conley and Marc Gasol are still around, but HC David Fizdale will look to open up the offense a little more than recent editions and I do believe it'll take a couple regular season games before things come together. The Grizzlies whipped the Pelicans in the final game of the preseason, but I expect different results now that it counts. The underdog has been the way to go in this series of late and we'll look for the dog to cash again. We're recommending a play on the Pelicans plus the points on Wednesday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CAPPERS CLUB
NBA | Oct 18, 2017
Wolves vs. Spurs
Wolves +1.5

This play just missed out on our premium card. The Wolves and the Spurs kick off their season on Wednesday night, and with the Wolves as underdogs they have value.
The Wolves added Jimmy Butler this off season to along with Wiggins and Karl Anthony-Towns and most are expecting big things out of them this year.
I expect they will be fired up to prove a point early in the season, and on national television there is no better way to do it.
The Spurs will be shorthanded this game without Tony Parker and Kawhi Leonard. I think they will really miss Leonard's defense in this game and it will cause struggles for the Spurs.
I think the Wolves will win this game.

Some trends to note. Road team is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings.