Thursday 10-19-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 352458

    #31
    Trends - LA Dodgers at Chi. Cubs


    W/L TRENDS

    LA Dodgers
    • Dodgers are 8-1 in their last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.
    • Dodgers are 6-1 in their last 7 playoff games.
    • Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
    • Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
    • Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
    • Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
    • Dodgers are 25-8 in their last 33 vs. National League Central.
    • Dodgers are 7-3 in their last 10 Thursday games.
    • Dodgers are 75-34 in their last 109 overall.
    • Dodgers are 75-34 in their last 109 games on grass.
    • Dodgers are 5-17 in their last 22 games following a loss.
    • Dodgers are 2-9 in their last 11 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
    • Dodgers are 2-11 in their last 13 League Championship road games.

    Chi. Cubs
    • Cubs are 19-7 in their last 26 home games.
    • Cubs are 36-14 in their last 51 Thursday games.
    • Cubs are 18-8 in their last 26 games on grass.
    • Cubs are 17-8 in their last 25 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
    • Cubs are 19-9 in their last 28 overall.
    • Cubs are 8-18 in their last 26 vs. National League West.
    • Cubs are 5-12 in their last 17 League Championship games.
    • Cubs are 4-11 in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
    • Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
    • Cubs are 0-4 in their last 4 games following a win.
    OU TRENDS

    LA Dodgers
    • Under is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 overall.
    • Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 League Championship road games.
    • Under is 6-0 in Dodgers last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
    • Under is 6-0-1 in Dodgers last 7 road games.
    • Under is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 on grass.
    • Under is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 playoff road games.
    • Under is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 playoff games.
    • Under is 8-0-1 in Dodgers last 9 vs. National League Central.
    • Under is 6-0 in Dodgers last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
    • Under is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 League Championship games.
    • Under is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
    • Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
    • Over is 21-7-4 in Dodgers last 32 Thursday games.
    • Over is 8-3-1 in Dodgers last 12 games following a loss.

    Chi. Cubs
    • Under is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 overall.
    • Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
    • Under is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 on grass.
    • Under is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 playoff games.
    • Under is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 playoff home games.
    • Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 League Championship home games.
    • Under is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 home games.
    • Under is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 League Championship games.
    • Under is 15-5-1 in Cubs last 21 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
    • Under is 33-14-5 in Cubs last 52 vs. National League West.
    HEAD TO HEAD

    • Dodgers are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
    • Under is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings in Chicago.
    • Under is 34-16-3 in the last 53 meetings.
    • Dodgers are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings in Chicago.

    UMPIRE TRENDS - BILL WELKE


    • Over is 6-0 in Welkes last 6 games behind home plate vs. Chicago.
    • Home team is 10-2 in Welkes last 12 Thursday games behind home plate.
    • Home team is 4-1 in Welkes last 5 games behind home plate.
    • Home team is 4-1 in Welkes last 5 games behind home plate vs. Chicago.
    • Cubs are 6-2 in their last 8 games with Welke behind home plate.
    • Over is 12-4-1 in Welkes last 17 games behind home plate vs. Los Angeles.
    • Over is 39-19-3 in Welkes last 61 games behind home plate.
    • Dodgers are 5-11 in their last 16 games with Welke behind home plate.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 352458

      #32
      Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park

      RACE #8 - BELMONT PARK - 4:46 PM EASTERN POST
      7.0 FURLONGS TURF FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $100,000.00 OPTIONAL CLAIMING $90,000.00 PURSE

      #1 PORTMAGEE
      #3 ALL IN FUN
      #8 RUMBLE DOLL
      #7 DISCREET SENORITA

      #1 PORTMAGEE is the overall speed leader in this field sprinting at today's "specialized distance" of 7.0 furlongs on the turf, and has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in four of her last five outings, including back-to-back "POWER RUN WINS" in her 4th and 5th races back. Jockey Irad Ortiz and Trainer Chris Clement send her to the post ... they've hit the board with 57% of their entries saddled as a team to date. #3 ALL IN FUN takes a class drop (-4), and goes to the post with the skills of Jockey Javier Castellano in her irons ... Castellano has been in her irons on 10 previous occasions, hitting the board in 7 of those rides, winning four times, and is back today for his 11th ride.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 352458

        #33
        Handicapped by The Walker Group at Evangeline Downs

        Always check program numbers.
        Odds shown are morning line odds.

        Race 3 - Claiming - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $5500 Class Rating: 78

        QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.


        RECOMMENDED CHOICES
        The Walker Group Picks

        # 1 DASHIN WITH CHROME 5/1

        # 6 BJS CARTEL CASH 4/1

        # 7 CRAWFISH WAGON 5/1

        DASHIN WITH CHROME is the best wager in this race. Has some encouraging angles which make this horse a bet. Has been consistently running well recently. Has a sharp shot in here if you like back class. BJS CARTEL CASH - Always good to invest in a handler with this kind of solid win percentage - 18 percent - at this distance & surface. Earned a very good Equibase Speed Figure last time out. CRAWFISH WAGON - Has been racing solidly in races of this distance, going 3 for 13 under similar conditions. Looks respectable to be on the front end at the first call.
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 352458

          #34
          F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Finger Lakes

          Finger Lakes - Race 3

          EXACTA * TRIFECTA * SUPERFECTA * PICK 3 (50 Cent Minimum: Races 3-4-5) * DAILY DOUBLE (Races 3-4)


          Claiming $5,000 • 1 Mile 70 yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 79 • Purse: $9,000 • Post: 2:08P
          FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 19 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
          Contenders

          Race Analysis
          P#
          Horse
          Morn
          Line

          Accept
          Odds


          Race Type: Lone Trailer. LAUGH LOVE LIVE is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SCORECARD HARRY: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. LAUGH LOVE LIVE: Horse ha s a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. BORROWED DREAMS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distanc e/surface. GUYANA CAT: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey/Trainer combination win percentage is at least 30.
          4
          SCORECARD HARRY
          5/1

          5/1
          2
          LAUGH LOVE LIVE
          7/2

          6/1
          5
          BORROWED DREAMS
          2/1

          7/1
          1
          GUYANA CAT
          5/2

          7/1
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 352458

            #35
            Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

            Bar

            Golden Gate Fields - Race #7 - Post: 3:50pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,000 Class Rating: 80

            Rating: 3

            #9 CLARA'S DREAM (ML=5/1)
            #2 KNOLL (ML=2/1)
            #4 WARRENS LIL MARGIE (ML=7/2)


            CLARA'S DREAM - This filly has 'tactical' speed, Antongeorgi will use this advantage by laying in perfect position behind the leaders, and getting first run on the leaders. KNOLL - I like that most recent effort on October 9th at Fresno where she finished first. Just see her latest speed rating, 78. That one looks good in this group. WARRENS LIL MARGIE - The ROI when Velasco and Morey team up is fantastic. Another way to judge class is earnings per race. This racer has the highest in the bunch. I think she'll be close at the finish line.

            Vulnerable Contenders: #3 AMERICAN RHIANNON (ML=5/2),

            AMERICAN RHIANNON - This horse likes to be there at the wire, but doesn't usually win. Don't put in the top spot. This animal hasn't had even a single workout after running so well on Sep 29th. Finished second in her most recent effort with a substandard speed figure. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to prove victorious after that in this bunch.



            STRAIGHT WAGERS:
            #9 CLARA'S DREAM to win at post-time odds of 4/1 or better

            EXACTA WAGERS:
            Pass

            TRIFECTA WAGERS:
            Box [2,4,9] Total Cost: $6

            SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
            [2,4,9] with [2,4,9] with [2,3,4,8,9] with [2,3,4,8,9] Total Cost: $36

            SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:
            Skip
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 352458

              #36
              Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park West

              Always check program numbers.
              Odds shown are morning line odds.

              Race 4 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $15000 Class Rating: 80

              FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 19 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250


              RECOMMENDED CHOICES
              The Walker Group Picks

              # 7 EQUITY 3/1

              # 4 HARASAN 5/2

              # 2 SHOT JAK 8/1

              EQUITY looks like the wager in here. The average Equibase class figure alone makes this entrant a solid contender. With a solid 67 average Equibase Speed Fig at the distance, seems well suited for today's contest. This gelding with Batista in the saddle makes him a contender. HARASAN - Shows evidence of the look of a profitable play, averaging a solid 64 Equibase speed fig which is one of the strongest in this group. Trainer has strong win rate (20 percent) at this distance and surface. SHOT JAK - Will most likely compete soundly in the early pace contest which bodes well with this field. Has quite good Equibase speed figs and has to be considered for a wager for this event.
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 352458

                #37
                Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                Bar

                Penn National - Race #8 - Post: 9:10pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,500 Class Rating: 70

                Rating: 4

                #1 NANCY PANTS (ML=5/2)


                NANCY PANTS - Stay with this horse. Coming off the pace, I think she'll be in a wonderful spot to crush them in the stretch. Multiple wins over the surface right here at Penn National. Maybe, another trip to the winner's circle right here.

                Vulnerable Contenders: #3 QUINNETTE (ML=3/1), #6 LUMINOUS CIELO (ML=7/2), #4 MIDNIGHT LADY (ML=4/1),

                QUINNETTE - This entrant will most likely be near the back of the pack as this bunch crosses the finish line. LUMINOUS CIELO - This was a fit horse, but now this one hasn't been doing anything in the morning. Have to be leery of this one. MIDNIGHT LADY - This horse likes to be on the board, but doesn't usually finish first. Keep out of the top spot. When looking at today's class figure, she will have to notch a better speed fig than last time around the track to battle in this dirt route.

                Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - NANCY PANTS - This horse is meeting a much easier field than in the last affair on May 18th. Worth a prime wager today.





                STRAIGHT WAGERS:
                #1 NANCY PANTS is the play if we get odds of 1/1 or better

                EXACTA WAGERS:
                1 with [4,6]

                TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                Pass

                SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
                Pass
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 352458

                  #38
                  F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington Park

                  Remington Park - Race 9

                  Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum)


                  Maiden Claiming $7,500 • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3-5 • CR: 44 • Purse: $9,900 • Post: 10:45
                  FOR MAIDEN, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEAR OLDS. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500. OKLAHOMA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
                  Contenders

                  Race Analysis
                  P#
                  Horse
                  Morn
                  Line

                  Accept
                  Odds


                  Race Type: Lone Stalker. MARTHA SUE is the Lone Stalker of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * RODEO ROSIE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Ratin g. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. COTTONMOUTH BROWN: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a lay off. CHENERY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
                  10
                  RODEO ROSIE
                  3/1

                  9/2
                  4
                  COTTONMOUTH BROWN
                  5/2

                  5/1
                  3
                  CHENERY
                  7/2

                  6/1
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                  Comment

                  • bmd1803
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2017
                    • 1415

                    #39
                    Dodgers at Cubs 10/19/17 - NLCS Game 5 - MLB Picks & Predictions
                    by Eddie


                    Latest Odds : LAD -125 O/U 7.5

                    The Los Angeles Dodgers will look to advance to the World Series when they battle the Chicago Cubs in Game Five of their NLCS on Thursday night from historic Wrigley Field. Last night, Los Angeles suffered their first defeat of the postseason by a 3-2 final score. Cody Bellinger and Justin Turner provided the only offense for the Dodgers by each connecting on sole home runs.

                    Twenty-nine year old southpaw Clayton Kershaw (18-4 2.31 ERA) will take the mound for the Dodgers in this matchup. In Game One, Kershaw allowed five hits and two runs over five frames during a 5-2 Los Angeles victory.


                    The defending World Series Champion Chicago Cubs have the potential to turn this series around, but need to get their bats going in a hurry. In Game Four, Javier Baez went deep twice and Willson Contreras added a solo shot of his own to power the Chicago offense. SP Jake Arrieta struck out nine batters and allowed just one run over six plus innings to earn the victory for the Cubs.

                    Chicago skipper Joe Maddon will turn to lefty Jose Quintana (11-11 4.15 ERA) on Thursday night. Through 11 plus innings this postseason, Quintana has allowed just five hits and two earned runs while striking out 11 batters.


                    Recent Betting Trends:
                    Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
                    Cubs are 10-3 in their last 13 home games.
                    Under is 5-0-1 in Dodgers last 6 road games.
                    Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 home games.
                    Under is 14-3 in the last 17 meetings in Chicago.


                    Free Betting Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -125


                    Los Angeles SS Corey Seager (back) feels considerably better but did not travel with the team to Chicago. Through 162 games, Los Angeles ranked 22nd in batting average and 12th in runs scored. For the season, Chicago ranked 16th in batting average and 4th in runs scored. The Dodgers have been the best team in baseball this season and will get the job done with their ace on the mound. Final Score Prediction, Los Angeles Dodgers win 3-1.



                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 352458

                      #40
                      Jim Feist

                      Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Thursday, October 19, 2017

                      NBA (505) LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS VS (506) LOS ANGELES LAKERS

                      Take: OVER

                      Reason: Your free play for Thursday, October 19, 2017 is in the NBA contest between the LA Clippers and the LA Lakers. The Lakers hope to have their No 2 pick in the NBA draft, Lonzo Ball, ready to play tonight. Ball missed most of the preseason with an ankle injury but has plans to play tonight. The Clippers begin their era without guard Chris Paul. In fact, the Clipper lost three starters, Paul, JJ Redick and Jamal Crawford during the offseason. With the excitement of Ball playing for the Lakers, they may become a betting favorite again this year. Expect this game to go back and forth at a fast pace tonight with all the new faces. I like these clubs to run up the score tonight. Take the OVER.
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 352458

                        #41
                        Arthur Ralph Sports

                        THURS: Toronto Raptors-12
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 352458

                          #42
                          BIG AL

                          Our complimentary selection for Thursday, Oct. 19 is:

                          Blackhawks and Oilers 'under' the total.
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 352458

                            #43
                            STEPHEN NOVER
                            NBA | Oct 19, 2017
                            Clippers vs. Lakers
                            Clippers-5

                            The Clippers have owned this series winning 11 of the past 12 times with an average winning margin of 13.4 points. The Lakers are trying to cut the gap stockpiling young talent. But the Clippers remain at least one level higher than the Lakers even without the departed Chris Paul. The Clippers still have star power with Blake Griffin and DeAndre Jordan. The Clippers' window of challenging the Warriors has closed with Paul's departure, but they still are a solid playoff contender with a chip on their shoulder to prove they can win without Paul. The Clippers take their games against the Lakers very serious. This certainly won't be an exception. The storyline here is the NBA debut of Lonzo Ball, who missed most of the preseason because of a sprained ankle. He'll likely be rusty and hounded by defensive ace Patrick Beverley. The Lakers may improve as the season goes on. But right now they are vulnerable to a veteran, motivated team such as the Clippers. Note, too, that the Lakers do not have a home court advantage as both teams use Staples Center as their home court.
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                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 352458

                              #44
                              Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach Thursday CFB Free Pick

                              UL-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns @ Arkansas State Red Wolves @ 7:30 ET -

                              The Ragin' Cajuns have covered 3 of the last 4 against the Red Wolves and they also are in their preferred role here. UL-Lafayette has fared very well as an underdog and, entering this season, head coach Mark Hudspeth was 13-3 ATS when his team is a dog against an opponent with a winning record. Also have to like the fact that Ragin' Cajuns are 9-1 ATS when they are on the road and coming off of a win and cover. That was a Thursday game last week where UL-Lafayette beat North Texas. The fact it was a Thursday game is also noteworthy because the Ragin' Cajuns are a perfect 8-0 ATS when they are underdogs and coming off of a weekday game. Arkansas State is known for finishing seasons strong and they do have revenge here but this is simply too many points. Even with last week's win and cover vs Coastal Carolina, the Red Wolves are still just 2-6 ATS as a home favorite in a range between 12 and 17 points. Free Pick on UL-LAFAYETTE
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                              Comment

                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 352458

                                #45
                                CAPPERS ACCESS
                                Raiders
                                Clippers
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