PICKS2PLAY
NBA: Miami Heat +16
PICKS2PLAY
NBA: Miami Heat +16
The New Orleans Group
Monday 11/6
NHL
Wild -110
Capitals regulation -130
Rob Veno (Sportsmemo)
*20 Blue Chip OVER 43.5 Lions/Packers
Worlds Worst Picker
Hawks +8
Docs Consensus
added
NBA 5* Brooklyn pk
NHL 5* Minn-110
Micah Roberts NBA (15-10-1 ; 6-3-1 L10)
Boston -7.5
Mario Rojas
Best pick:
(#473) Lions vs Packers (Detroit ML -130) *2000
Secondaries picks
(#501) Celtics vs Hawks (Boston -7.5) *1000
(#053) Wild vs Bruins (Boston +100) *1000
VegasKillers
11/6/2017
Game: Nets/Suns
Pick: Suns -1 (-110)
Recommended
Unit Play (Risk)
11 Units
Dr. Bob
Game Analysis view matchup stats
Lean – Under 43 – GREEN BAY (+2.5) vs Detroit
Brett Hundley did not play well in his first NFL start, gaining just 3.0 yards per pass play against New Orleans. My quarterback model projects Hundley to be about 10 points per game worse than Aaron Rodgers, which obviously drastically limits Green Bay’s play calling in the passing game. The Packers were able to find success on the ground (7.5 yards per rush) against the Saints 30th ranked rush defense but I don’t expect that to continue this week against a Lions defense holding opponents to 3.6 yards per rush (5th).
Detroit’s offense gained 7.0 yards per play last week but I think much of that was situation-based. The Lions had an extra week to prepare for a Steelers defense coming off two massive games against Kansas City and divisional rival Cincinnati. Detroit is still gaining less than 5 yppl on the season and I expect them to continue to play poorly on offense moving forward.
Green Bay’s defense has been unlucky to give up a touchdown on 74% of their opponents’ redzone trips thus far and I expect them to improve going forward given that no team since 2010 has surrendered a rate that high and the Packers’ defense is actually a bit better than average after adjusting for opposing offenses faced. I’ll pass on the side but our metrics like the Under.
Root!
Millionaire - GB
Executive 200% Packers +2-
Great breakdown NYK you almost convinced me to switch sides as I like a Lions team in a must win division game with a short number, who has had some tough breaks gone against them to play hard and win this one going away. I get that greenbay is off a bye and so the sharps are on the pack, but judging by yesterday's results the sharps didn't do so well and haven't done so the last couple of weeks. I generally side with the house and go against public money on prime time games but this being a division must win game for detroit play a packers team without their best player makes it a small play on the lions for me.
north coast Marquee UNDER the Total Lions/Packers
Tony cross
***
october tc team vip nfl set 17
detroit -1 over gb
matthew stafford must start
tier 2 of 4
my profit = 1/2% on tier 1 play
OC Dooley
2 Units Nets / Suns Under 234.5
Teddy Covers 20* NFL GOY:
Packers