Sunday 11-19-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct

RACE #3 - AQUEDUCT - 1:18 PM EASTERN POST
New York Stallion Series Stakes
Thunder Rumble Division
7.0 FURLONGS DIRT THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $125,000.00 PURSE

#6 GOLD FOR THE KING
#2 SUDDEN SURPRISE
#5 LOKI'S VENGEANCE
#3 CLOUD CONTROL

The New York Stallion Series was created by the New York Thoroughbred Breeders, Inc. The Thunder Rumble is named for the colt who in 1992 became the first New York-bred to win the Travers. He was described as a "sensation at Saratoga" for his wins in the Jim Dandy, Travers, and Saratoga Cup Handicap. Here in the 11th running of "The Rumble," #6 GOLD FOR THE KING has produced a quartet of "POWER RUNS" in his last five outings, hitting the board in a pair, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in his 5th race back. #2 SUDDEN SURPRISE, a 5-1 shot, has won 5 of 8 sprinting at, or about, 7.0 furlongs on the dirt, including back-to-back-to-back, "POWER RUN WINS" in his 2nd through his 4th races back.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Churchill Downs - Race #5 - Post: 2:55pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $19,000 Class Rating: 67

Rating: 3

#2 KANTASTIC (ML=4/1)
#1 BELLA MOON (ML=7/2)
#9 ALMAFUERTE (ML=6/1)
#6 FAST TRACK KATHERN (ML=4/1)


KANTASTIC - Geroux rode this animal for the first time in the last race and comes right back in today's contest. This filly is number one in earnings per start. Give the once over to this animal in the post parade. BELLA MOON - This animal didn't run well in the slop in her last race around the track at Indiana Downs. You probably want to discount that performance. ALMAFUERTE - You always have to be on the patrol for bankroll building jockey/handler tandems; we have one right here. I like the fact that this first-timer has been working over the same track she'll be making her debut on. Gets help from Kenneally with the addition of Lasix. The trainer here (Kenneally) has a highly positive ROI with 1st timers. FAST TRACK KATHERN - Rider hops up on after getting to know the race horse by riding last race out. That's always a big time angle. Here is an appropriate handicapping angle that I've used many times before. Play a filly (like this one) getting Lasix for the second time.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 ROUSSALKA (ML=4/1), #7 CAROLINA REAPER (ML=8/1),

ROUSSALKA - Should have at least finished in the money in the last two months in a sprint event to be worth the chance at nominal odds in a sprint. 4/1 odds isn't enough for this participant when examining the most recent showings. CAROLINA REAPER - No picnic to invest in this steed today. Make her show you something in a sprint event before you play her in a race of 6 furlongs. This steed hasn't been coming close at the finish recently. Finished fifth in her most recent effort with a most unsatisfactory speed figure. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this group.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #2 KANTASTIC to win. Have to have odds of at least 4/1 or better though

EXACTA WAGERS:
None

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park West

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Claiming - 7.5f on the Turf. Purse: $22000 Class Rating: 95

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE ON THE TURF SINCE MAY 19 OR THREE YEAR OLDS. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 19 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000, IF FOR $20,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (IF


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 6 SEMBLANCE OF ORDER 12/1

# 2 FRONT LINE PAIGE 9/2

# 5 TALE OF FANCY 5/2

I like SEMBLANCE OF ORDER for this event and the potential return justifies the hazardous nature of the long odds. His 90 average has this horse with among the strongest speed figures in here. Looks decent to be up near the lead at the first call. Has garnered reliable speed figures in turf sprint races in the past. FRONT LINE PAIGE - Must be given consideration based on the very good Equibase Speed Fig garnered in the last affair. In this field, this entrant is highly ranked earnings per start in turf sprint races. TALE OF FANCY - Ought to be given a shot here on the basis of the figs in the speed department alone. The average class figure alone makes this one a solid choice.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 3

$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $1 Superfecta (.10 cent minimum wager $2 Pick Six / $1 Pick Three


Claiming $2,500 • 4 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 68 • Purse: $8,500 • Post: 6:11P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Stalker. FOXY ROXY is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * LADY OF FIRE: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. RONNIE'S GIRL: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. FOXY ROXY: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in th e top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
1
LADY OF FIRE
6/5

4/1
3
RONNIE'S GIRL
7/2

9/2
7
FOXY ROXY
8/1

6/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
3
RONNIE'S GIRL
3

7/2
Front-runner
70

64

90.8

54.0

49.5
1
LADY OF FIRE
1

6/5
Front-runner
73

64

71.6

58.4

54.4
6
LADY SIF
6

4/1
Front-runner
49

52

64.8

42.6

31.6
7
FOXY ROXY
7

8/1
Alternator/Stalker
68

59

74.0

56.2

48.2
5
MISTY MONI
5

8/1
Alternator/Non-contender
64

56

66.2

44.6

35.1
4
WARM LOVE
4

12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
68

53

57.0

47.2

38.2
2
BELLA RAQUELLA
2

12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
48

48

46.4

44.8

35.3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Laurel Park

Laurel Park - Race 4

EXACTA, TRIFECTA &DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 4-5) /10 cent SUPERFECTA 50 cent PICK 3 (RACES 4-5-6) / 50 cent PICK 4 (RACES 4-5-6-7) 20 cent RAINBOW PICK 6 (RACES 4-5-6-7-8-9) / $1.00 SUPER HIGH 5


Claiming $16,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 84 • Purse: $23,000 • Post: 2:00P
(RAIL AT 52 FEET). (PLUS UP TO 30% MBF) FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD OR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 19 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCHA RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000, FOR EACH $1,750 TO $12,500 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $10,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES) (WINNERS PREFERRED). (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE ON THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ONTHE MAIN TRACK AT ONE MILE)
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * MYDRINKSELECTION: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse r anks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. CINCY BELLE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. FED UP FIRED UP: Horse has a TrackMast er "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. SWEETER SURPRISE: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
7
MYDRINKSELECTION
6/1

5/1
2
CINCY BELLE
7/2

6/1
6
FED UP FIRED UP
6/1

7/1
4
SWEETER SURPRISE
8/1

9/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
8
LA LA BAMBA
8

9/2
Alternator/Front-runner
81

68

102.4

72.0

61.0
7
MYDRINKSELECTION
7

6/1
Alternator/Front-runner
85

86

99.5

80.7

75.7
2
CINCY BELLE
2

7/2
Alternator/Front-runner
88

71

84.6

81.0

75.0
3
FLEET FLAME
3

4/1
Stalker
75

78

82.1

71.4

59.4
9
LINDA NIN
9

10/1
Stalker
72

68

22.8

43.6

26.1
10
ANGEL OF LOVE
10

12/1
Alternator/Stalker
77

75

87.0

69.0

56.0
4
SWEETER SURPRISE
4

8/1
Trailer
83

80

56.4

79.4

67.4
6
FED UP FIRED UP
6

6/1
Trailer
78

79

54.8

77.4

67.9
1
MOVE OVER HONEY
1

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
71

72

74.4

71.0

58.0
5
CHEF KAREN
5

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
80

78

41.7

67.3

56.8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turf Paradise

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $7000 Class Rating: 74

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE MAY 19, 2017 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,000


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 1 STYLISH COPY 5/2

# 2 MISCHIEF PEARL 6/1

# 5 MYRNA LOU 9/2

STYLISH COPY looks solid to best this field. Had one of the most respectable Equibase Speed Figures of this field in her last race. Has performed admirably lately in sprint races, posting a nifty 63 avg Equibase speed fig. MISCHIEF PEARL - Is tough not to examine based on Equibase Speed Figs which have been very good - 66 avg - of late. MYRNA LOU - Is difficult not to consider based on Speed Figures which have been very good - 69 avg - of late. Has solid Equibase Class Figures relative to this field - worth a look.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Woodbine - Race #9 - Post: 5:08pm - Maiden Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $27,200 Class Rating: 76

Rating: 3

#1 FAIRY HILL (ML=3/1)
#5 THIRTY NINE SEVEN (ML=5/2)


FAIRY HILL - The return on investment when Lermyte and Owens team up is fantastic. Taking a trip down in class; has the form to make her presence felt. Getting a weight break of 5 lbs from last race at Woodbine on September 1st. Could make the difference in this event. THIRTY NINE SEVEN - When a sprinter is back in a race less than 10 days after her last outing, it generally means she's fit. Trainer, McKnight, has been deliberate with this filly off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 MEGALOPSYCHIA (ML=4/1), #2 ADIOS MIA (ML=6/1), #3 ROMANTIC BLISS (ML=8/1),

MEGALOPSYCHIA - Didn't show me enough early zip in the route affair for me to back her in today's sprint affair. Don't feel this horse will do much running in today's race. That last speed rating was quite unimpressive when compared with today's class rating. ADIOS MIA - Doesn't seem to be worth 6/1 in today's event. Pass on her this time. ROMANTIC BLISS - I find it hard to bet on this runner this time out. Make her show you something in a short distance contest before you play her in a race of 7 furlongs. Didn't finish in the money on Sep 12th at Indiana Downs. Followed it up with another lackluster outing.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#1 FAIRY HILL is the play if we get odds of 2/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,5]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, November 19, 2017
Where: FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland, Ohio

Preview: Jacksonville at Cleveland

Gracenote
Nov 16, 2017

Blake Bortles and the Jacksonville Jaguars look for their fourth straight win when they visit the winless Cleveland Browns on Sunday. Bortles threw the ball a season-high 51 times last week in a wild comeback win over the San Diego Chargers to remain in a tie with the Tennessee Titans for first place in the AFC South.





Bortles, who has been plagued by interceptions throughout his career, had some sage advice for his counterpart, Browns rookie quarterback DeShone Kizer. "Try to throw it to your team as much as possible," Bortles said. "It's tough. I've done it (thrown a lot of interceptions) and I've done it for a couple years. I think any quarterback will tell you that's the biggest thing." Bortles has thrown 11 touchdown passes this season and just seven interceptions. Kizer was picked off for the 12th time -- he's thrown for only four TDs -- in last week's 38-24 loss at Detroit.
TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Jaguars -7.5. O/U: 37.5

ABOUT THE JAGUARS (6-3): Jacksonville had five running backs active last week and spread the ball around plenty. Leonard Fournette, who missed the previous two games (one due to suspension), had 17 carries and two receptions while T.J. Yeldon, who had been inactive the first six games, had three carries and six catches. The Jaguars are surrendering a league-low 14.9 points per game and could make life miserable for Kizer with their defense that also leads the NFL with 35 sacks.
ABOUT THE BROWNS (0-9): Both Kizer and backup Kevin Hogan appeared on the injury list with issues, but Kizer is expected to start. Promising wide receiver Corey Coleman also is expected to be activated from the IR after having surgery on a broken bone in his hand. The Browns did get a useful list of bulletin-board fodder during the week when the Jags' Tashaun Gipson said Cleveland will probably go 0-16, the Jaguars will shut them out and that he hopes the offense scores 40 points against them.

EXTRA POINTS
1. The Browns are 1-24 spanning three seasons.
2. Jacksonville WR Allen Hurns (ankle) is out and the team is expected to activate fourth-round draft choice Dede Westbrook 3. The Browns rank 31st in the league in scoring, averaging 15.9 points.

PREDICTION: Jaguars 24, Browns 14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Jacksonville at Cleveland

ATS TRENDS

Jacksonville

Jaguars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss. Jaguars are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. Jaguars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Jaguars are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. AFC. Jaguars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.

Cleveland

Browns are 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games on grass. Browns are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 vs. AFC. Browns are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games in November. Browns are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Browns are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS loss. Browns are 6-20-1 ATS in their last 27 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Browns are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 home games. Browns are 3-12-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Browns are 5-20-1 ATS in their last 26 games overall. Browns are 6-26 ATS in their last 32 games following a straight up loss. Browns are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Browns are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

OU TRENDS

Jacksonville

Under is 4-0 in Jaguars last 4 vs. AFC. Under is 5-0 in Jaguars last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Over is 6-1 in Jaguars last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Jaguars last 5 games overall. Over is 8-2 in Jaguars last 10 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Jaguars last 5 road games.

Cleveland

Under is 4-0 in Browns last 4 games on grass. Under is 6-1 in Browns last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Under is 13-3 in Browns last 16 home games. Under is 4-1 in Browns last 5 games in November. Under is 4-1 in Browns last 5 games in Week 11. Under is 10-3 in Browns last 13 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 8-3 in Browns last 11 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Under is 5-2 in Browns last 7 vs. AFC. Under is 7-3 in Browns last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 9-4 in Browns last 13 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Under is 9-4 in Browns last 13 games following a ATS loss.

HEAD TO HEAD

Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, November 19, 2017
Where: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, Wisconsin

Preview: Ravens at Packers

Gracenote
Nov 16, 2017

Aaron Rodgers is progressing nicely in his rehabilitation from a broken collarbone, but the Green Bay Packers might not be in the playoff race anymore by the time he gets back. The Packers will try to pick up a second consecutive win and stay within sight of the contenders in the NFC when they host the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday.

Rodgers is eligible to come off injured reserve in Week 15 and was seen doing some work with trainers this week on the side, though he will not be eligible to return to team practices for another two weeks. “I think he’s making really good progress,” Packers coach Mike McCarthy told reporters of Rodgers. “I know the training staff and the strength and conditioning staff are very pleased with where he is. He’s moving right along." The Ravens have their own quarterback issues with longtime starter Joe Flacco struggling to get the offense moving consistently. "What is there to say about our offense right now?" Flacco asked reporters. "I think we all can see the obvious when you go out and watch the games on Sunday. We're not performing at the level that we need to, to win football games. It doesn't really matter what you say. It's pretty obvious as to what people see, and we know that. That's why we're working on getting better."

TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Ravens -2. O/U: 38

ABOUT THE RAVENS (4-5): Baltimore is last in the NFL in passing at an average of 165.7 yards and 5.3 yards per attempt but could get another weapon back this week in running back Danny Woodhead. Woodhead went down with a hamstring injury in the season opener but is eligible to come off injured reserve this week and has been practicing with the team. "It’s an opportunity for Joe to have someone to work underneath a little bit, to drop the ball down to when he needs to, to run screens, to put out there as a wide receiver and create matchup issues for people," Ravens coach John Harbaugh told reporters of Woodhead. "That’s the kind of guy that we’re looking for when we signed him. So, we signed him for a reason, and it’s going to be nice to have him on the field."

ABOUT THE PACKERS (5-4): Brett Hundley is starting at quarterback in Rodgers' absence and earned his first win last week by throwing for 212 yards and a touchdown in a 23-16 triumph at Chicago. That touchdown and 90 of those yards went to wide receiver Davante Adams, who was targeted a total of 18 times by Hundley in the last two games. "There's a lot of talking, a lot of game-planning, a lot of just drawing on the board or just talking on the way to meetings about certain routes," Adams told reporters. "Just the small things like that and paying attention to it has led to the success we've had so far."

EXTRA POINTS

1. Packers RBs Ty Montgomery (ribs) and Aaron Jones (knee) have been held out of practice this week and are questionable.

2. Ravens LT Ronnie Stanley (concussion) was limited in practice this week and is questionable.

3. Green Bay S Morgan Burnett (groin) is danger of missing his second straight game.

PREDICTION: Packers 28, Ravens 17

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Baltimore at Green Bay

ATS TRENDS

Baltimore

Ravens are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Ravens are 4-1-2 ATS in their last 7 games in November. Ravens are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games on grass. Ravens are 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Ravens are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a bye week. Ravens are 6-15-2 ATS in their last 23 games following a straight up loss. Ravens are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 road games. Ravens are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

Green Bay

Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Packers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Packers are 36-14-2 ATS in their last 52 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Packers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win. Packers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Packers are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Packers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games in November.

OU TRENDS

Baltimore

Over is 5-0 in Ravens last 5 games overall. Over is 4-0 in Ravens last 4 road games. Over is 4-0 in Ravens last 4 games on grass. Over is 5-0 in Ravens last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Over is 6-1 in Ravens last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 5-1 in Ravens last 6 games following a ATS loss. Under is 4-1 in Ravens last 5 games in November. Under is 7-2 in Ravens last 9 games following a bye week. Under is 33-16-2 in Ravens last 51 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

Green Bay

Over is 7-0 in Packers last 7 vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 7-1 in Packers last 8 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Over is 5-1 in Packers last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Over is 10-2 in Packers last 12 games following a straight up win. Over is 5-1 in Packers last 6 games in November. Over is 5-1 in Packers last 6 games on grass. Over is 5-1 in Packers last 6 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Over is 4-1 in Packers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Over is 8-2 in Packers last 10 games following a ATS win. Over is 17-5 in Packers last 22 games overall. Over is 6-2 in Packers last 8 home games.

HEAD TO HEAD

Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Ravens are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, November 19, 2017
Where: NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas

Preview: Cardinals at Texans

Gracenote
Nov 17, 2017

The poor state of quarterback play in the NFL will be on full display when the Houston Texans host the Arizona Cardinals on Sunday. The Texans’ high-flying offense was grounded when rookie sensation Deshaun Watson’s season ended with a torn ACL, while the Cardinals will start their third different quarterback.


The Texans are 0-3 with Tom Savage under center, including a 33-7 loss to the Los Angeles Rams last week in which he threw two interceptions. "At the end of the day, it really doesn't matter what I say right now or how I view this upcoming week," Savage told reporters. "The only thing that really matters is just winning, and that's it. I can sit here and tell you all day that I want to throw 75 percent or I feel like I'm getting better – that doesn't matter. No one cares about any of that stuff. What matters is winning, and that's what we're going to try to do this weekend." The Cardinals have lost two quarterbacks to injury after backup Drew Stanton suffered a sprained knee in last week’s 22-16 loss to Seattle, prompting them to turn to former first-round pick Blaine Gabbert this week. "He can really spin it," Arizona coach Bruce Arians told reporters. "He's not been in the offense as long as Drew, but he's a very bright guy. We'll tailor it to where he's comfortable when he goes out on the field. He's very athletic, and it would be fun watching him play."
TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Texans -1. O/U: 38.5


ABOUT THE CARDINALS (4-5): Beyond the balky quarterback play, the Cardinals have suffered from an inconsistent ground game. Acquiring Adrian Peterson gave the offense some punch, but he has alternated two big performances with two clunkers and gained just 29 yards on 21 carries against the Seahawks. Arizona’s defense has been excellent against the run, allowing triple-digit yardage only twice, and the secondary has played better of late as it limited Seattle to 212 passing yards.
ABOUT THE TEXANS (3-6): Houston ranks seventh in the league in scoring offense but has totaled only 21 points in two games since Watson’s injury and has failed to crack 300 total yards in either contest. Savage has completed just 47.3 percent of his passes, and leading rusher Lamar Miller averages only 3.9 yards per carry. The Texans are excellent against the run but struggle to stop the pass, so Gabbert likely will have to beat them.


EXTRA POINTS
1. Peterson needs one rushing touchdown to become the ninth player in NFL history with 100.
2. Hopkins has caught a scoring pass in five straight home games.
3. Texans DE Jadeveon Clowney has recorded a sack in three straight contests.


PREDICTION: Cardinals 19, Texans 16

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Arizona at Houston

ATS TRENDS

Arizona

Cardinals are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Cardinals are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS loss. Cardinals are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Cardinals are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. Cardinals are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. Cardinals are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games in November. Cardinals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf. Cardinals are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Cardinals are 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

Houston

Texans are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Texans are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Texans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf. Texans are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Texans are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Texans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Texans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in November.

OU TRENDS

Arizona

Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 road games. Under is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 games overall. Under is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 games following a ATS loss. Under is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Under is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Over is 7-2 in Cardinals last 9 games on fieldturf. Over is 6-2 in Cardinals last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Houston

Under is 6-1 in Texans last 7 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Over is 5-1 in Texans last 6 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Over is 5-1 in Texans last 6 games on fieldturf. Over is 5-1 in Texans last 6 games in Week 11. Under is 9-2 in Texans last 11 games following a ATS loss. Under is 8-3 in Texans last 11 games following a straight up loss. Over is 5-2 in Texans last 7 games overall. Under is 5-2 in Texans last 7 vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 27-12 in Texans last 39 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

HEAD TO HEAD

No trends available.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, November 19, 2017
Where: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, Minnesota

Preview: Rams at Vikings

Gracenote
Nov 17, 2017

Two teams that have streaked to the top of their divisions collide on Sunday, when the Minnesota Vikings host the Los Angeles Rams. Minnesota owns a two-game lead in the NFC North on the strength of a winning stretch that reached five games with last week's 38-30 triumph over Washington.

Case Keenum, who made nine starts for the Rams last season, will be making his eighth for the Vikings as they aim to produce at least 33 points for the third consecutive contest. Los Angeles already has reached or eclipsed that amount in three straight games and leads the NFL with an average of 32.9. The Rams are coming off their fourth consecutive victory, a 33-7 triumph over Houston in which Jared Goff became the first player in franchise history to throw for 300-plus yards (career-high 355) with three touchdowns and no interceptions in back-to-back games. Los Angeles, which is one game ahead of Seattle in the NFC west, is 4-0 on the road this season but has lost four straight meetings with the Vikings.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Vikings -2.5. O/U: 46

ABOUT THE RAMS (7-2): Todd Gurley leads the league with 1,160 yards from scrimmage and ranks fourth in rushing with 754 but has been held under 70 on the ground in each of his last two games. The 23-year-old also tops the NFL with 10 touchdowns despite being kept out of the end zone last week for just the third time this season. While the Rams' offense has been superb, the defense has been nearly as good, ranking first in takeaways (19), third in scoring defense (18 points) and fifth in sacks (28).

ABOUT THE VIKINGS (7-2): Keenum has filled in more than admirably for the injured Sam Bradford, throwing for 1,774 yards with 10 TDs and five interceptions in seven starts, and hopes to keep a now-healthy Teddy Bridgewater on the bench with another strong performance on Sunday. Adam Thielen is Keenum's favorite target as he ranks third in the league with 793 receiving yards, including a season-high 166 on eight catches last week. The 27-year-old has recorded three career games with at least 150 yards, which is the most among all active undrafted players.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Goff has thrown 10 touchdown passes without an interception on the road this year.

2. Minnesota DE Everson Griffen (foot), who is tied for third in the NFL with 10 sacks, was limited in practice Thursday after missing last week's contest.

3. Los Angeles WR Robert Woods is looking to become the fifth player since 1970 to record a TD of at least 50 yards in three straight games.

PREDICTION: Rams 34, Vikings 23