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Top Bet ...
Most popular bet so far is New Orleans who opened -6 and now are -7 (+105)
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South Point ...
"Took Chiefs ML -460 ... $46,000 to win $10,000"
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Since 2003, in games with high winds (10 MPH or stronger) the UNDER is 438-348-10 (56%) ... including 20-13-2 (61%) in the playoffs
Forecast calls for average wind of 10 MPH for TEN vs KC
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Top Bet ... on TEN-KC
Chiefs open -7, top out at 9, back to 8.5 Friday.
"This is the only wild card game where we got sharp action." Pros jumped on KC early. "59% of cash, 65% of bets are backing KC."
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CG Technology ... on TEN-KC
Chiefs open -7 Monday, hit 9 on Tuesday, Bounced between 8.5/9 rest of week, with "large bet on Chiefs" Friday taking it back to 9. However, down a full point today to 8.
Wagering includes $10K moneyline bet on Titans. Total opened 44.5, peak of 45, low of 44. "Sharps split on total, while public betting the over. Chiefs winning but not covering, and total staying under is ideal for us."
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Bookmaker ... on ATL-LAR
Rams open -6, get to 7, dip to 5.5, now 6.
"Action has been a bit of a roller coaster as the early money was on Atlanta, and then nothing but Rams money for the next four days."
On Thursday/Friday, "We’ve attracted more action on the underdog. The under is a popular pro play here, but the betting public loves the over." Total opened 49, now 48.
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CG Technology ... on ATL-LAR
Opened Rams -6, now back to 6 after trips to 6.5 on high end and 5 on low end.
"We're seeing strong sharp action on both sides of this line. The public is split as well."
Wagering includes $50K bet on Falcons ATS. "We are also seeing money on account on Falcons moneyline." Sharps also betting the under. Total opened 49.5, now 48.
"Rams winning but not covering, along with the over, is our ideal situation."
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Top Bet ... on ATL-LAR
Rams open -5.5, reach 6.5, now back to 5.5. Until Friday
"This was the only game where we had any kind of line move in favor of the underdog." 59% of cash, 63% of bets are on Atlanta.
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Bet The Greek ... on Wild Card needs
"Dogs in all four games, just like everyone else probably."
On today's two games, slightly more sharper action on Chiefs.
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The past two seasons favorites of a touchdown or more are 58% (76-56-3) against the spread
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No Idea Why NFL Trend of the Day ...
Since the 2010 season, 70% (yes, seventy percent) of home games for the Kansas City Chiefs have went UNDER the total
The UNDER during this time is 43-18-4 versus the number.
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Rams lead the league in scoring (29.9 ppg)
In the past 15 years, teams that have scored 28 PPG or more are 24-33 ATS (42.1%) in the playoffs
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The Greek Sportsbook ...
Sharp Action
Chiefs (small)
TEN-KC under
ATL-LAR under
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MARKET UPDATE : TEN vs KC
TIX-COUNT = CHIEFS 1.5 to 1 ... UNDER 2 to 1
$$$-BET = CHIEFS 1.25 to 1 ... UNDER 1.25 to 1
Greatest RISK for Books = TEASERS (All KC)
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CG Technology ... Update
"Not surprising since it is first game of weekend KC has become our biggest football liability as of now. When factoring in Teasers (which almost all include KC) this is a huge game for the book to start the weekend"
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Biggest Upsets - Wild Card History (Since 1978)
2010: Seattle (+10) over New Orleans
1996: Jacksonville (+8.5) over Buffalo
1983: Los Angeles (+8.5) over Dallas
2011: Denver (+8) over Pittsburgh
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In the last 6 wild card games (dating back to 2013) with a spread of -6 or greater. The Under is 6-0
The underdog is averaging 11.2 ppg in those 6 games.
The Under is also 13-5-2 (72.2%) overall in wild card games over the last 5 years
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Favorites of a touchdown or more have won 9 straight playoff games and 13 of the last 14.
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Favorites favored by a touchdown or more last 5 years in the wild card round
16-3 SU (84.2%)
11-7-1 ATS (61.1%)
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BetOnline ...
House needs Titans
62% of cash on Chiefs -8
83% of cash on KC -450
O/U 44.5 is split 50/50
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