Service Plays Monday 1/22/18

[New York Knight]

JR ODONNELL


3* Tampa Bay -125

3* Minnesota / Ottawa over 5.5

[New York Knight]

Vernon Croy

8-UNIT CBB Game of the Year

North Carolina Tar Heels -3.5

[New York Knight]

Indian Cowboy
**4U MONDAY NCAAB
Ohio St/Nebraska Under 138.5

4 Unit NBA - New Orleans OVER 228

[New York Knight]

Pinnacle Sports Picks

NBA: Memphis Grizzlies +3

[New York Knight]

Ultra Sports

NCAAB

Indiana
Baylor

[New York Knight]

Strike Point Sports


3-Unit Play. Take #711 Phoenix (+4.5) over Milwaukee (8 p.m., Monday, Jan. 22)

Phoenix is in a good spot here as they get a Bucks team without their do-it-all player in Giannis Antetokounmpo. The Greek Freak leads the Bucks in nearly ever statistical category, and they won't be able to cover this line without him. Phoenix has the ability to be a scrappy team in spots like this and they will give the Bucks everything they can handle. The Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last four games when playing on two days rest and the road team is 7-1 ATS in their last eight meetings. Take the Suns in this one.

[New York Knight]

Vegas Sports Informer


4 Unit Play. Take #10 Calgary -1.5 +135 over Buffalo (9:05p.m., Monday January 22)

If you are looking for a hard fought and close NHL hockey game then you might not want to watch this game at Scotiabank Saddledome. The Calgary Flames have dominated the Buffalo Sabres as of late and the Sabres have dropped 7 out of their last 8 NHL games. Calgary is coming off a horrible home loss 2-nights ago as the Winnipeg Jets beat the Flames 2-1 in a shootout but tonight I see the Flames taking control of this game early and it will be a long night for the Sabres. Calgary is 4-1 against Eastern Conference opponents and the home team in this series is 19-3-1.

[New York Knight]

Vegas Sports Informer


4 Unit Play. Take #703 Utah -2 over Atlanta (7:35p.m., Monday January 22)

Here is a non-conference matchup between a team that struggles at home and on the road (Hawks) against a team that always struggles on the road (Jazz). The reason why I like the Jazz tonight is that the Jazz are finally getting healthy and with Rudy Gobert back on the court I see the Jazz stealing this road matchup. Tonight give me the better overall team against a team that can't win at home. The road team in this series is 5-1 ATS and the Utah Jazz are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

[Calidreaming]

C Jordan 1000 play on Charlotte in NBA

[illmatics]

Rainman Top Play:

NCAAB
**Bet 22 Units to WIN 20 Units: #730 TCU +1.5 HAMMER PLAY 9pm est

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Budin - CEO

Monday's Pick

The Brooklyn College Boys have a 50 DIME play on North Carolina at Virginia Tech. North Carolina is -3 1/2 as of 1:30 Eastern as I put my site live.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Don Johnson Advantage One System (249-257)

2* Hawks +2.5
2* Suns +5
2* Wizards -1.5
2*TCU +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Sports Masters - Richie B. (Yesterday 1-2 -2 Units)

NCAA BK:
2* Indiana +1.5
1* Illinois +12

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wayne Root
No Limit Ohio State
Millionaire Virginia Tech.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr. Bob - NBA
**CHARLOTTE (-10) over Sacramento

Rotation #702 – 4:05 pm Pacific

Sacramento continues to struggle without backup PG Frank Mason, who has been great this season and is sorely missed. The Kings were only outscored by 11 points in the 538.6 minutes that Mason was on the court this season (-1.0 points per 48 minutes) and they’ve been outscored by 11.9 points per 48 minutes when he’s not in the game. Part of that is due to facing mostly other team’s second units but my analysis does rate Sacramento a couple of points worse without Mason and the Kings are just 6-15 ATS this season when Mason has played fewer than 10 minutes.

I also like Charlotte’s current rotation and I have the Hornets rated 1.3 points higher than their season rating. My current player-specific ratings favor the Hornets by 13 ½ points in this game and I’ll take Charlotte in a 2-Star Best Bet at -10 points or less and for 1-Star up to -11.

**ATLANTA (+3) over Utah

Rotation #704 – 4:35 pm Pacific

This will sound familiar, as I’ve gone against the Jazz in 3 of their last 4 games. The return of C Rudy Gobert does not make the Jazz any better, as taking minutes from the very effective Ekpe Udoh is not a good idea and Gobert has been less effective this season than Udoh, who did not play last night. Gobert has a plus-minus of -37 points this season while Udoh the Jazz have out-scored opponents by 55 points when Udoh has been on the court and the overall value of Udoh’s statistics are better too. Utah is probably no worse with Gobert instead of Udoh but having Gobert back supplies us with some line value against the Jazz, who are already overrated for two other reasons – Joe Johnson is back in the rotation and Thabo Sefolosha is now out for the season.

Sefolosha’s +47 plus-minus is best among Utah’s key players and Utah has been outscored by an average of 9.7 points per 48 minutes when the aging and defensively inept Joe Johnson is on the court this season (-112 points in 555.3minutes). Utah is just 6-12 straight up since Johnson returned from injury and the Jazz are a worse than average team with their current rotation.

I won two of my three recent games going against the Jazz in Utah (won with Indiana and New York and lost with the Clippers) and now the Jazz go on the road against a scrappy Hawks team that has played pretty well at home recently. Utah is just 5-18 straight up and 9-14 ATS on the road this season, including 1-2 straight up as a road favorite of more than 2 points (beating only the lowly Kings). Atlanta is currently a bit underrated and the Hawks have recent home wins over Dallas, Washington, Portland, San Antonio and New Orleans. I went against Atlanta in their most recent game versus Chicago and they lost that game by 16 points but the Hawks are 14-3 ATS following their last 17 losses and I expect them to play better than their norm tonight. My ratings favor the Hawks by 1 point and I’ll take Atlanta in a 2-Star Best Bet at +3 points or more and for 1-Star down to +2.

*Chicago (+6.5) over NEW ORLEANS

Rotation #705 – 5:05 pm Pacific

Chicago is now 13-7 straight up and 17-4 ATS with Nikola Mirotic playing and my ratings favor New Orleans by just 4 points in this game with current rotations for each team (Chicago being without Kris Dunn makes no difference). I am once again on the Bulls. I’ll take Chicago in a 1-Star Best Bet at +6 points or more.

*Phoenix (+5) over MILWAUKEE

Rotation #711 – 5:05 pm Pacific

The Bucks are not the same team without superstar Giannis Antetokounmpo, who is scheduled to miss his second consecutive game. Milwaukee has been outscored by an average of 7 points in the 3 games they’ve played without Antetokounmpo this season and the one victory was an overtime win against tonight’s opponent back in November. I think the Suns can compete with the Bucks without their star again tonight, as my ratings favor the Bucks by just 2 ½ points without Antetokounmpo. That may not seem right but consider that every key player on the Bucks has a plus-minus per 48 minutes of -10 points or worse when they are not on the court with Antetokounmpo. Bledsoe’s plus-minus without Antetokounmpo is -78 points in 232 minutes (-16.1 PM per 48). Henson is -36 in 162.4 minutes (-10.6 per 48). Middleton is -133 points in 509.1 minutes (-12.5 per 48). Snell is -107 in 310.2 minutes (-16.6 per 48). Maker is -119 points in 337.6 without Antetokounmpo (-16.9). Brogdon is -122 in 388 minutes (-15.1) and Dellavedova is -56 points in 213.8 minutes without Antetokounmpo (-12.6 per 48). I don’t actually think the Bucks are more than 10 points worse than an average team without Antetokounmpo but they are certainly significantly worse and I don’t think the line has been adjusted enough. I’ll take Phoenix in a 1-Star Best Bet at +5 points or more.