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Penn St Time for a letdown tonight for the road traveling Wolverines. Michigan tallied a solid 74-62 home win against Ohio State on Sunday afternoon and can’t count on two peak performances in back to back dates. The Wolverines have recorded three consecutive wins to rank them in fifth place in the Big 10 conference standings be playing great defense. They don’t score a lot of points and average 74 points per game, ranking them 178th overall. The Nittany Lions are looking good, winning four out of their last five games behind stifling defense, and they were very competitive in Sunday’s loss to Purdue by 3 points. They have only allowed an average of 61 points in their last three home games, and they are up against a Michigan team that is only averaging 74 points on the season. By far the biggest factor is the three point shooting. It really favors Penn St in a big way. Michigan will give up three’s as their three-point defense ranks down at 210th in the country, and Penn State now features a stellar 38% mark from three-point territory. That is why these home teams continue to win.
Virginia Tech Clemson had four straight ATS covers and then hit the wall in their last two games by dropping both contest outright. Virginia Tech has won six of their last eight games and continue to climb up the ACC standings. This season’s results are fairly defined as Clemson is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games against teams with a winning home record. The Vegas oddsmakers have this game right. Even though the Tigers are in the top 25 polls, the Hokies are a slight favorite at home. It usually pays to respect the Vegas numbers that sometimes clash with the AP or Coaches poll. The favored Hokies are probably deserving as they’ve been very successful covering the spread everywhere as they are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in the ACC. Look for Justin Robinson to lead Virginia Tech to their seventh win in their last nine games during this winning streak. Repeat: Vegas Oddsmakers got this one right!
3-Unit Play. #745 Take St. John's (+5) over Marquette (8:30 p.m., Wednesday, February 21)
We've back the Johnnies the each of the last two games as they've extended their current win streak to four. Included in that was a home win over this Marquette team. In that game the Golden Eagles had their full roster. Here in this second meeting their top scorer Markus Howard is doubtful. His 21.3 ppg is a big reason why this team scores so well. I think minus Howard the Red Storm win this game outright and continue their winning ways.
3-Unit Play. #752 Take Tulsa (-1.5) over UCF (9 p.m., Wednesday, February 21)
Very quietly this Tulsa team can earn their 10th C-USA victory of the season. Winners of five straight coming into this game, they'll be good for it tonight. UCF has pretty much had a wash of a season. They've never been healthy this season, and even though they've done relatively well at 17-9, I think their expectations were even greater. The Golden Hurricane have won six of seven home games in league play, and tonight they get this one as well minus the modest number.
3-Unit Play. #756 Take Minnesota (-3) over Iowa (9 p.m., Wednesday, February 21)
This season has been a dreadful one for the Gophers. They went from Top 15 team with expectations to perhaps challenge for the Big Ten title to all but bound for the NIT. However, it's their final home game of the schedule, and I expect if nothing else this team sends four-year guard Nate Mason out with a win in front of Minnesota fans. Iowa is in the league standings cellar for a reason. All seven of the Hawkeyes' road Big Ten losses have come via double figures. Let's hope Minnesota steps up for this one. Play the home team here.
Best of Luck -
4-Unit Play. Take #701 Xavier -6 over Georgetown (Wednesday, February 21st at 6:30 PM ET)
Take Xavier ATS as my 4-Unit CBB Smash for Wednesday night. This pick falls into one of my top CBB systems and Xavier is hands down the superior team here tonight. Xavier has played a much tougher strength of schedule than the Hoyas this season, actually night a day difference and it will show tonight. Xavier is coming off a bad loss against Villanova so they will be looking for a big bounce back win tonight as well. The Musketeers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 trips to Georgetown and the road team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 games played between these two teams. The Hoyas weak schedule has made some of their stats look better than they actually are and the Hoyas are just 11-23 ATS in their last 34 home games. Play Xavier ATS.
4 Unit Play. Take #4 Anaheim -120 over Dallas (10:05p.m., Wednesday February 21)
The Anaheim Ducks come back to the pond off a big road against Vegas in their last game winning 2-0 and the Ducks come back to the Honda Center winners of 3-Straight. The Dallas Stars come to Anaheim dropping their last road game in San Jose 5-2 and have dropped 2 out 3 heading into this game. Anaheim will most likely have Ryan Miller (7-4-5, 2.63 GAA, .918 SVPCT) in the net tonight and he has won his last 2 starts and Miller was in the net when the Ducks beat Vegas on the road. The Ducks come into this game winning 5 out 6 against Western Conference opponents and the Ducks have won 7 out of their last 9 home games. Lets also throw in that the Dallas Stars are 1-6 in Anaheim.
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