Service Plays Monday 10/26/20

[Buckeyefan80]

Paul Leiner
2000* Rams -6

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Joey Spikes

Bankroll Builder

50 Dime Selection

OVER 44.5 Bears/Rams

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Ben Burns:

Rams -5.5 GOW

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John Ryan

5% NFL Game of the Month

Chicago Bears +6

The Rams have four wins against two losses, and the four wins are against the teams that comprise the NFC East (Dallas, Washington, Philadelphia, and the NY Giants). The two losses were at Buffalo and San San Francisco. The Bears have one home loss in a low-scoring 19-11 game t the Indianapolis Colts in Week 4. They defeated Tampa Bay 20-19 in Week 5 and followed that up with a 23-16 road win at Carolina.

My power ratings rank the Bears as the 11th-best NFL team overall. They rank 22nd in total offense, split between a 25th ranking in the passing game and 17th rank in their ground attack. By comparison, the Rams rank 9th overall, 8th in passing, and 10th in their ground attack. However, when these metrics adjusted for strength of schedule (SOS), the Rams drop down the rankings listed as an average NFL team.

The significant advantage for the Nears is their defense that ranks 3rd-best overall in the NFL. Khalil Mack is the heart and soul of the defensive unit and has played at Pro-Bowl caliber levels in each of the first six games. He has played on 360 snaps attaining 29 pressures broken down to include five sacks, 21 quarterback hurries, and three quarterback hits. Linebacker Roquan Smith known for his speed and coverage excellence, leads the Bears with 41 tackles.

The Bears defensive unit has allowed just four receiving touchdowns on the season, ranking best in the NFL, with the Dolphins and Colts ranked second allowing seven touchdowns.The Bears have achieved these results without relying on using the blitz, ranking 25th with a 19% blitz percentage of plays. Their secondary and linebacker coverage is elite, and Rams QB Goff will struggle to complete passes. The Bears defensive front can contain the Rams ground attack rendering the Rams play-action pass plays useless.

The reason play action works is that the linebackers must respect a ground attack. The Bears do not need to blitz Goff and do not have to bring their safeties closer to the line-of-scrimmage to stop the run. Whether the Bears play a bracket-zone or man scheme, the Rams receivers will have trouble getting separation from the defenders making throws hard to complete.

Nick Foles has not set the world on fire since taking over the starting QB position from the much-maligned Mitch Trubisky. His QBR is lower than Trubisky, but Foles wins. Just as he did in the 2016 regular season and culminating in the Super Bowl Championship and an MVP award for the Philadelphia Eagles. I am not suggesting a futures bet just yet on the Bears, but they are a united offensive unit when he is on the field, and Foles somehow makes the entire team better.

Here is a great betting system that has earned a 37-9 ATS mark, good for 79% winners over the last 7 seasons. The requirements are to bet on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points facing an opponent that failed to force a turnover in each of their last two games.

From the machine learning models, the Bears defense shall contain Rams defense to a 30% or lower third-down percentage and score a minimum of 21 points. In past games in which the Bears met or exceeded, this pair of performance measures has earned them a 54-9 SU record for 86% wins and a 52-9-2 ATS record for 85% winning bets that covered the spread by a minimum of 11 points.

Take the Bears and the points.

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Adam Chernoff Bears/Rams O44'

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Worlds Worst Picker
Peabody’s pick
Bears

We take
Rams

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Charliessports
rams -6 1/2
over 44

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ATS not lock club

Under

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Uncle Harry
Level 3 - Rams

[TAWJR]

Who is Uncle Harry ?ratings

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Mississippi Kid
Rams -6 1U

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Zack Cimini

LAR -6
The Bears and Rams are meeting in prime time for the third consecutive year. The prior two matchups were low-scoring, with the Bears posting a 15-6 victory in 2018 and the Rams recording a 17-7 triumph last year. Even with QB Nick Foles starting, Chicago’s simplistic offense plays right into the hands of the Rams' defense. Grab Los Angeles.

7-3 IN LAST 10 LAR ATS PICKS | +365

2-1 IN LAST 3 CHI ATS PICKS | +85

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Northcoast

2* Rams under44x
marquee T/O Chicago +6