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Thread: Service Plays Thursday 3/11/21

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    Bob Valentino
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    Tommy Brunson
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    Karl Garrett
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    Larry Hartstein

    BOSTON @ BROOKLYN | 03/11 | 7:30 PM EST
    BROOKLYN -2
    ANALYSIS: The Celtics are getting Marcus Smart back and they're drawing all the money for their visit to Brooklyn. But Boston has not covered any of its last six road games. The Celts face a Nets team that's won 10 of their last 11. Lay the small number.

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    Big Al

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    Kyle Akins

    MINNESOTA @ NEW ORLEANS | 03/11 | 8:00 PM EST
    UNDER 238.5
    ANALYSIS: Minnesota had been playing with a coach who had no time to install anything or work with his players, and it showed. There has been a little bit of a chance for some installation over the All-Star break for Minnesota, and that should lead to the Timberwolves playing a bit more under control. Minnesota unsurprisingly is a huge underdog as it travels to New Orleans for this game. The Under is 11-0 when the Timberwolves are a road dog of at least seven points with more than one day of rest.

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    DOUG UPSTONE

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    Joe Nelson (VegasInsider CBB) - Best Bet - Nevada +5

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    Matt Fargo

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    OSKEIM

    • Game: (761) Seattle U at (762) California Baptist
      Date/Time: Mar 11 2021 7:30 PM EST
      Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
      Play Rating: 4%
      Play: California Baptist +1.0 (-110)

      My math model favors California Baptist by 1.5 points in this game and the underdog is a perfect 6-0 ATS in the past six meetings in this series. The previous three meetings have been decided by a combined five points so getting points in this matchup is a significant value. The Lancers are a profitable 24-14-2 ATS in their last 40 games overall, 21-10-1 ATS in their last 32 games with rest, and 10-3 ATS in their previous thirteen games off an against-the-spread loss.
      California Baptist's success begins at the offense end of the floor where it is averaging 79.7 points per game on 47.9% shooting from the field and 39.7% from beyond the arc. The Lancers are ranked 28th in the nation in points per game, 31st in field goal percentage, and 4th in three-point field goal percentage. I also like the fact that California Baptist possesses a huge advantage under the boards (37.7 rebounds per game vs. 34.1 rebounds per game).
      Grab the point with California Baptist and invest with confidence.
    • Game: (677) Penn State at (678) Wisconsin
      Date/Time: Mar 11 2021 9:00 PM EST
      Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
      Play Rating: 4%
      Play: Penn State +5.5 (-110)

      My math model only favors Wisconsin by 3.84 points in this game and the Nittany Lions are a profitable 8-3 ATS in their last eleven games versus teams with a winning record and 6-2 ATS in their last eight games as underdogs. The Nittany Lions have won three straight and four of their last five overall, including an impressive 66-61 upset win over Maryland in their regular-season finale.
      Penn State possesses several important advantages in this game, including under the boards where the Nittany Lions are ranked 106th in the nation in rebounds per game (36.6). Wisconsin is ranked 249th in the nation in rebounds per game (33.8). Penn State is ranked 46th in steals per game (8.0), which is significantly better than Wisconsin's 6.0 steals per game (227th). Penn State also owns an edge in turnovers created per game (11.5 vs. 8.8).
      With Penn State standing at 6-0 ATS versus teams with a win percentage between .501 and .600 this season, grab the points with the Nittany Lions and invest with confidence.

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    PURE LOCK


    Game: (747) Fresno State at (748) Colorado State
    Date/Time: Mar 11 2021 11:30 PM EST
    Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
    Play Rating: 4%
    Play: Colorado State -8.5 (-110)




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