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Al Cimaglia: Hawthorne Racecourse Late Pick 4 Analysis
May 30, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
Hawthorne Racecourse has 12 races scheduled for tonight. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 has a $25,000 guaranteed pool. That sequence starts in Race 9 and it will be my focus.
On Saturday, Kyle Husted led the pilots with five trips to the winner's circle. Husted was also the top conditioner with two training wins.
Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.
Race 9
2-Super Park (9/2)-Broke stride in season debut and then had a sharp qualifier in 155.2 on 5-22. This barn has been cold but fits well with this crew and should be forwardly placed.
3-Killer Credit (4-1)-Gets post relief and class relief in 2nd start on Lasix. This could be a wake-up situation but wouldn't recommend taking a short price. Has only raced 6 times over the past 2 years.
10-Flashy Dude (8-1)-Smolin makes his 2nd consecutive appearance taking over from the owner/trainer. Last week's effort was the best since shipping in from CalX.
Race 10
5-Redayfortheladys (7/2)-This will be the 3rd race this year restarting on Lasix and has been facing better. This is a soft spot and should be a main player if close to 100%.
8-Rock Jagger (12-1)-This is the 3rd start at Haw this year, has notched 1 win and should be a big price. Warren might duck and then make an early move to get into striking range at the top of the lane.
10-Trump Train (15-1)-Wilfong's choice over #6 paced the 2nd half in 54.1 and was just caught at the wire. Started from post 9 last time and the fractions this week could be more lively than a 59.1 first half.
Race 11
3-White Satin (7-1)-Makes the 3rd start for Team Leonard and showed improvement last week. Paced the 2nd half in 56.1 with a 26.4 last 1/4 to cash a 3rd place check. This could be the night for a more aggressive steer and a chance to take a picture.
6-Princess Mooss (5/2)-Raced better last week in 1st start on Lasix and this is a softer spot. Has recorded only 1 win in 12 tries but has hit the board in 9 of 11 races at Haw and has banked over $44k in Stickney. Ridge Warren is the new pilot and should be a major player with a sharp steer.
Race 12
7-Mudville (2-1)-Brink trainee is a perfect 3-3 this year and has looked like a veteran in winning. Has been an odds-on chalk in the last 2 starts, that could be the case again and with a smooth journey may reward backers.
9-Alwaysshowfaith (5-1)-The post draw helps the price and if Bender can work an efficient trip this 3-year-old appears to have the best chance of taking down #7.
0.50 Late Pick 4
2,3,10/5,8,10/3,6/7,9
Total Bet=$18
Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 5/30/21
May 30, 2021
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.
Click Here to View Today’s Santa Anita Workout Report
RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B+
Single: 4-Midnight Mystery
Forecast: Midnight Mystery got caught in a torrid pace duel (:21 1/5, :43 4/5) in a similar starter optional claiming turf sprint last month and paid the price late, but since that race he’s worked very well (as usual) and projects to face less pace pressure today. We’re expecting the War Front gelding to be on or near the lead and this time keep on going, so at 5/2 on the morning line we’ll make him a win play and rolling exotic single.
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RACE 2: Post: 1:35 PT Grade: C+
Use: 3-Rock N Rye; 4-Barsini Red
Forecast: Barsini Red and Rock N Rye finished a distant second and third, respectively, behind runaway winner Big City Lights when they debuted in maiden sprint for juveniles earlier this month. We can say with a high degree of certainly that there is nothing in here remotely as good as ‘Lights, so with any kind of improvement off that race each has a legitimate to earn their diploma in what appears to be a below par race for the level. In that race ‘Rye was finishing with interest despite failing to change leads while winding up just a half length behind ‘Red and may have a bit more room to improve, so we’ll give him a very slight edge on top while including both in rolling exotic play. Tread lightly here.
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RACE 3: Post: 2:07 PT Grade: B-
Use: 1-Circleofchampions; 2-Funkenstein; 8-Harbor Sky
Forecast: Let’s take a 10-1 flyer on the first-timer Harbor Sky in this challenging maiden state-bred turf miler that requires a spread in rolling exotic play. The S. McCarthy-trained gelding has done some good work in the a.m. and gets a considerable break in the weight with the presence of J. Pyfer in the saddler. The barn’s first-timers often run better than they work, and this son of Majestic City appears to be a good mover with some ability. Circleofchampions may be the best of the known element and is guaranteed a ground-saving trip from his favorable rail draw. The C. Gaines-trained colt exits a highly-rated race that produced a career top speed figure and not much more will be needed today. Funkenstein is a progressive type with a nice recent workout to indicate he’s ready for another forward move. We’ll be expecting this son of Smiling Tiger to settle in mid-pack and then take hold from the quarter pole home.
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RACE 4: Post: 2:41 PT Grade: B-
Use: 3-Hapi Hapi; 5-Full Draw
Forecast: Full Draw returns to dirt and a repeat of his seven length maiden claiming victory over this track and distance three runs back should be good enough to handle this soft assignment. He’s been fairly consistent for a cheap type, having hit the board in four of five career starts over the local strip. Hapi Hapi also has a solid record over the Santa Anita main track (in the frame in five of seven starts) and was a better-than-looked third with a wide trip in a similar affair last time out. These are the two we’ll be using in our rolling exotics in a race that we’ll otherwise not get too involved with.
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RACE 5: Post: 3:15 PT Grade: B
Use: 6-Sensible Move; 7-Chao Mar; 8-Beautiful Temple
Forecast: Sensible Move is a first-timer bred for speed and grass (Summer Front) and comes from a capable outfit while showing a series of workouts that should have her fit and ready for a major effort first crack out of the box. The D. Pederson-trained filly is a good mover with a touch of quality and really doesn’t have a whole lot beat in this state-bred affair for older fillies and mares. Beautiful Temple is another debut runner that deserves some consideration in an open affair. She’s bred for grass on both sides of her pedigree (Temple City from a Kitten’s Joy mare) and has displayed good speed in the morning, though she really hasn’t been finishing well in her drills. Perhaps she’ll stick much better on turf. Chao Mar closed with a bit of interest in her debut to finish third when outrunning her 26-1 price in a similar maiden turf sprint earlier this month. She has a right to produce a forward move and should appreciate today’s extra half-furlong.
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RACE 6: Post: 3:48 PT Grade: X
Single: 9-Sweet Sonny
Forecast: Sweet Sonny is a 10-race maiden and not one to trust, but she has numbers that are good enough to handle this weak maiden claiming field of fillies and mares. In the frame in her last pair and never off the board in four starts over the Santa Anita main track, the B. Koriner-trained filly is drawn comfortably outside and should be on or near the lead throughout. However, she offers no real value at 9/5 on the morning line (and likely to go lower) so you can use her as a rolling exotic single but otherwise pass the race.
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RACE 7: Post: 4:21 PT Grade: B-
Use: 3-Keep Dancing; 5-Prance; 7-Unbreakable
Forecast: Prance backs up to a mile, a distance that we suspect will bring out her best, so in a below average starter optional claiming turf event for fillies and mares the N. Drysdale-trained filly may be capable of settling in the second flight and producing a winning late kick. She’s 8-1 on the morning line and at that price is worth at least a small play. Keep Dancing handled a modest state-bred maiden field earlier this month in decent fashion and a repeat of that race puts her in the thick of it, class hike notwithstanding. The daughter of Clubhouse Ride is most effective when held up early and cut loose late. Unbreakable probably doesn’t offer good wagering value at 2-1 on the morning line (she just failed as the favorite in a similar spot) but on pure numbers she’s a major player based on her maiden score two runs back, so we’ll toss her in as well.
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RACE 8: Post: 4:52 PT Grade: X
Single: 4-Soothsay
Forecast: Let’s stick with Soothsay this five-runner edition of the Summertime Oaks for sophomore fillies, though the K. McPeek-trained shipper Crazy Beautiful has strong credentials as well. Soothsay is undefeated in two starts and won the Santa Anita Oaks-G2 following a maiden sprint, so she’s a filly of some quality and produced a significant forward with regards to speed figures between her first and second start. The daughter of Distorted Humor continues to train well and projects to be in a good stalking position outside and have every chance to extend her perfect streak to three. At 4/5 on the morning line, she’s a rolling exotic single but most likely will be too short to play in the win pool.
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RACE 9: Post: 5:26 PT Grade: B-
Use: 1-George Herman Ruth; 4-Beaudacious; 5-Fly to Mars
Forecast: Fly to Mars lost a toughie at 2/5 last time out over this course and distance after being off the track for two months but will be a bit better price today in this allowance optional claimer for state-bred older turf horses. The veteran gelding projects to draft into a good stalking position and then have his chance to exert his superiority under F. Prat, who’s always gotten the most run out of him. Beaudacious earned a career top speed figure when easily handling maidens last time out and if he can turn in two alike he’ll be dangerous on the one-level raise. George Herman Ruth will enjoy a ground-saving trip from the rail in his third start in his current form cycle, and with another forward move – his speed figures have risen with each outing - the son of Grazen will be right there. We’ll give preference on top to Fly to Mars but include all three in our rolling exotics.
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Jerry Shottenkirk: My Late Pick 4 Ticket at Golden Gate
May 30, 2021 | By Jerry Shottenkirk
Golden Gate’s Late Pick Four on Sunday has a couple of allowance optional claiming races that are inviting, particularly the eighth race, which is a 1 1-4-mile event.
The suggested $64 ticket this week takes a 4x4x4x2 approach in a sequence that seems to be evenly matched for the most part.
Here’s a look at the principals involved on this exotic play:
Race 6 (6:50 p.m. ET, claiming)
IZ INVINCIBLE’s form cannot be overlooked (with three straight wins) and he moves up in price. It’ll be a form vs. class battle, and he could be up to the task. LORD WIMBORNE usually makes a late run but forced the issue early last time, mainly because of lack of pace. He’ll get a better setup here. MANY ROSES was a factor at higher levels here last year and makes his first off the claim for Jonathan Wong, who hits at 34 percent in first off claim. MEGAMEISTER has the speed to put himself into the mix from the beginning and can dig in if allowed to set a moderate pace.
Race 7 (7:20 p.m. ET, allowance optional claiming)
I’M A ROCKETTE had solid outings in her last two with a win and a third, and has won going two turns over this strip. CREATIVE ROMANCE missed by a head last time and will be bearing down in the run to the wire. Ran well at a decent level last out. TAKE A TIME OUT was sharp in a maiden win, then fizzled vs. allowance runners on the turf. Back to the main track and can close into this pace. MISS PEAKY BLINDER was fourth in the Cal Oaks last out and broke her maiden two back. Has responded to the switch from southern California to the Bay area.
Race 8 (7:50 p.m. ET, allowance optional claiming)
MULHOLLAND HIGHWAY drops out of a 1 7-8-mile turf race at Turf Paradise and shortens to 1 1-4 miles. Won here in February. AUTUSMS WORLD has never been the distance but it bred to run forever on the front end. OF GOOD REPORT was third in a tough spot last time and looks to be on the improve. Has not been the distance but the pedigree says he’s a candidate. GALLANT WARREN closed going 1 1-8 miles and had won two straight going into that one.
Race 9 (8:20 p.m. ET, claiming)
TROUBLE N PARADISE romped last time and a repeat win would be no surprise. Is usually well spotted and has won two of her last three and three of her last six. SIMPLY PERFECT drops in class and her speed can take her farther than usual in this spot.
Golden Gate Fields Late Pick 4 on Sunday:
6) #1 Iz Invincible, #3 Lord Wimborne, #4 Many Roses, #6 Megameister.
7) #1 I’m a Rockette, #3 Creative Romance, #4 Take a Time Out, #5 Miss Peaky Blinder.
8) #3 Mulholland Highway, #4 Autisms World, #5 Of Good Report, #7 Gallant Warren.
9) #9 Trouble N Paradise, #10 Simply Perfect.
50-cent Golden Gate Fields Late Pick 4 (races 6-9): 1-3-4-6 with 1-3-4-5 with 3-4-5-7 with 9-10 ($64).
Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks
Santa Anita - Race #3
Santa Anita - Race #5
Picks Notes #2 Funkenstein He turned in a pretty encouraging first turf try last out, and he'll probably still offer a playable price with that run under his belt. Chance from a good spying spot. #1 Circleofchampions He definitely has a claim on this on form, but the barn has been pretty cold this month, so I'm willing to stand against today. #9 Tallemark He has shown some signs of life since moving to the grass, and maybe his first turf try without blinkers will bring out something a bit better -- he's not far off what it'd take to land this. Race Summary Funkenstein proved he could handle the turf last out, and the race flow suggests he could land a pretty nice trip while in touch in midpack. Something like the 6/1 ML price would feel fair.
Santa Anita - Race #8
Picks Notes #1 Aristeia She hasn't been finishing her route races with a ton of enthusiasm, so she cuts back to this sprint spot while adding blinkers. Wonder if the sharper trip and equipment change will wake her up at a price? #8 Beautiful Temple Debuter doesn't land in the deepest spot for the level, and she draws well to be able to avoid some trouble out wide. Pedigree says yes. #6 Sensible Move Another debuter who seems to have some claim on this soft spot, she has been working forwardly and is another bringing a turfy enough pedigree with her to this. Race Summary Aristeia gets blinkers while trying a turf sprint for the first time, and maybe she's a little bit overlooked here while doing something new.
Picks Notes #4 Soothsay She backed up the maiden win with a nice score in the Santa Anita Oaks, and she looks likely to be tough right back with this group. #2 Crazy Beautiful Very top-heavy race between these two, and this filly certainly has the classier running lines of the top pair as she comes out of the Kentucky Oaks. #1 Lady Aces She posted a good maiden win last time out, and she has the pedigree to handle the move around two turns. Not out of the question if she loves the added ground. Race Summary Soothsay and Crazy Beautiful should probably be tough to get past here, but the former is not at all exposed after just two starts, and both have been razor sharp
Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks
Gulfstream Park - Race #2
Gulfstream Park - Race #8
Picks Notes #1 Thinkaboutit Has taken on stronger company, mainly on the turf, and gets back to the main track; he broke his maiden on dirt last fall and can take it to his competition early on. #3 Picking Up Pennies Was a clear maiden winner last out and makes his first in more than three months; has trained well for his return. #2 Florala Al Showed good speed much of the time and can dig in and make a race of it against other early-lead-seeking foes. Race Summary Thinkaboutit has excellent speed, gets an inside post and can dig in vs. challengers here.
Gulfstream Park - Race #9
Picks Notes #1 Lalali Was along for fourth last out and does her best when she's slightly off the pace; she'll probably have no choice today and can make a run at the leaders. #3 Emolga Set the pace and tired late going longer; seven furlongs could be a perfect fit. #6 Race Day Speed Has been in stronger races lately and this drop to the bottom claiming level might be the perfect move. Race Summary Lalali will get a good stalking run, can pass the early leaders and hold off the closers; well spotted here.
Picks Notes #1 Lagertha Was along for second in a similar stakes race last out and can get a better trip; will benefit from the ground-saving run and can be up in time. #4 Choose Joy Beat Lagertha in the Golden Beach and can get another good trip here; has won two of her last three and will be driving late. #7 Sav Ran well in Canada and makes her first start since September; has a long list of works and is ready for her return. Race Summary Lagertha gets a good draw and has the speed to save her inside space; has a decent kick and fits well here.
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Sunray Park
Sunray Park - Race 6 Maiden Special • 4 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 65 • Purse: $23,500 • Post: 4:15P FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.
Horse
Line
Odds
Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * TUCUM: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. GAMBLING COWBOY: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. Horse is dropping in class, has an inside post position and isn't a Trailer. ONE MARK: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. TUCUM GAMBLING COWBOY ONE MARK
Unknown Running Style: KISS ME D ORO (20/1) [Jockey: Ramos Christian - Trainer: Vega Raul V].
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Class
Speed
FigureSILVER PONZI Front-runner TUCUM Front-runner CHROMATIC JAZZ Front-runner REGGIE J Front-runner ONE MARK Alternator/Front-runner GAMBLING COWBOY Stalker SPURS N LATIGO Trailer WHERE IS TROCHU Trailer COLOR ME GONE Alternator/Non-contender RED RHUMBA Alternator/Non-contender
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)
Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 12 Trial • 350 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 87 • Purse: $4,000 • Post: 10:57 QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR TWO YEAR OLDS. 124LBS. (NO SEX ALLOWANCE).
Horse
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Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * MOOKKIE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post positio n next to it gets out of the gate fast. RUN BY YOUR CARTEL: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. DOCS FASTLANE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. NOMAD: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Quarter Horse h as a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. MOOKKIE RUN BY YOUR CARTEL DOCS FASTLANE NOMAD
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Class
Speed
FigureMOOKKIE Fast YNOT TONIGHT Average/Trouble-prone KNOCKOUT CARTEL Fast HRH SIGNIFICANTEAGLE Average/Trouble-prone HOLLYWOOD EAGLE MRL Slow NOMAD Fast FORTUNATE CORONA Slow DOCS FASTLANE Fast CALIFORNIA STATE Fast/Trouble-prone RUN BY YOUR CARTEL Fast
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 10 - Claiming - 330y on the Dirt. Purse: $17530 Class Rating: 66
QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES 
# 4 ALUSHE 6/1
# 3 OUR WAR HERO 8/1
# 8 TICTOCTEE 10/1
I give my vote to ALUSHE here. Garnered a formidable speed figure in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this race. Don't overlook this gelding in your wagers - very dangerous with Delgado aboard. Has competed well in short races. OUR WAR HERO - Is worth a look and may be a bet - strong speed figs (74 average) at today's distance and surface recently. He looks very good in this spot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the midpoint. TICTOCTEE - Looks respectable to be up near the front end at the first call. Must be considered based on the competitive speed figure posted in the last race.
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Golden Hour Wagers - Race #3 - Post: 5:26pm - Optional Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $63,000 Class Rating: 100
Rating:
#6 CARMELITA'S MAN (ML=8/1)
#7 MR. BROWNSTONE (ML=5/1)
#5 FLY TO MARS (ML=5/2)
#4 BEAUDACIOUS (ML=8/1)
#11 TABLE FOR TEN (ML=5/1)
CARMELITA'S MAN - This entrant could be tough in today's contest, especially since Cedillo rode in the last race and now should be better acquainted with this one. Look for this one to go all the way at some pretty good odds in this race. Ran fourth in last race, but not more than 5 from the lead at the end. MR. BROWNSTONE - Gelding has shown some speed. This shorter distance should be better for him. Puype will try adding the 'shades' today in hopes of an improved performance. FLY TO MARS - This should be an easier task than what he was asked last time out against 'open' company. I expect a lot from this thoroughbred. His speed figs under similar conditions are tops in this bunch. Earnings per race is something that I think can be a very important handicapping factor. This racer is ranked at the very top in this field. A definite class advantage goes to this horse. To me, that's a good indication he will be very competitive in this grass race. BEAUDACIOUS - Aboard this entrant on April 30th and Desormeaux is back again in the irons in today's contest. I like to play this handicapping angle, a thoroughbred coming back off a nice effort within the last month or so. Horse has improved at least two speed figure points in last 2 races. I look for that to continue its positive trend in this race. TABLE FOR TEN - Nice winning percent this jock and conditioner tandem have been putting together. When a racer finishes on the board as often as this gelding does, you will usually want to use him in your exotic wagers. The recent bullet 59.4 work should put this gelding on track for today's outing. Always beware of the longer priced animal when a trainer has an 'uncoupled' entry in a race.
Vulnerable Contenders: #1 GEORGE HERMAN RUTH (ML=4/1), #2 FOOTHILL (ML=8/1),
GEORGE HERMAN RUTH - I don't have a 'use' sensation about this horse in this race. FOOTHILL - The speed figure last time around the track doesn't fit very well in this event when I look at the class rating of today's affair. Mark this mount as a likely underpriced contender.
STRAIGHT WAGERS: Putting our cash on #6 CARMELITA'S MAN to win. Have to have odds of at least 6/1 or better though
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Energy Downs 307 Racing
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 6 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $5300 Class Rating: 71
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER IN 2021. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,000.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES # 1 CASH MONEY 8/5
# 2 LISBON 9/2
# 3 SMOKIN B 7/2
CASH MONEY is my choice. Might best this group here, showing quite good figures of late. Bethke should be able to get this gelding to break out quickly in this contest. Ought to be carefully examined in this race if only for the decent Equibase speed fig posted in the last outing. LISBON - Had one of the most favorable speed figures of this group in his last contest. Is a strong contender based on figs posted as of late under today's conditions. SMOKIN B - Has decent Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a bet in this race. Will almost certainly go to the lead and might never look back.
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Belmont Park - Race #4 - Post: 2:31pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $28,000 Class Rating: 76
Rating:
#4 MY SACRED PLACE (ML=3/1)
MY SACRED PLACE - This gelding's last race was back on Jul 5th but I do believe he can run a good one coming off a vacation. In my secret file of handicapping angles, this is a good one. Horse's last 2 speed figs are higher than today's class rating. A good sign we have a strong contender here. This animal likes the dirt a whole heck of a lot better. Look at the start 2 races back on March 1st and take a note on the surface change. We may be sitting on a real live one! Horse has improved at least two speed figure points in last two races. I look for that to continue in this event.
Vulnerable Contenders: #2 SUPER SILVER (ML=2/1), #5 MILLEAN (ML=9/2), #8 BELLAMY DOLCE (ML=6/1),
SUPER SILVER - If you keep betting these kind of 'bridesmaid' types, you're going to be dissatisfied most every time. MILLEAN - This gelding didn't race too well last time out of the box. Should be difficult for this horse to beat this bunch off of that last speed fig. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure close to today's Equibase class figure, so put him on the likely underlays list. BELLAMY DOLCE - This young horse isn't going to beat the veterans today, maybe another time.
GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - MY SACRED PLACE - I'm betting on this one today. An easier group is going to make a big difference. Will be strong today.
STRAIGHT WAGERS: #4 MY SACRED PLACE is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better EXACTA WAGERS: 4 with 1
TRIFECTA WAGERS:None
Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park
05/30/21, GP, Race 4, 2.22 ET
05/30/21,GP,4,7F [Dirt] 1:20:01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $32,000 (includes up to $4,000 FHBPA-FOA - FHBPA Florida Owners Awards). FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. Weight, 118 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000.
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Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.66, ROI 1.05/$1
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occurs Win% ROI 100.0000 7 Doo Wop Don 5/2 Zayas E J Plesa. Jr. Edward SFEL 21 52.38 1.66/$1 097.3814 2 Gods Promise(b+) 2/1 Diaz. Jr. J Joseph. Jr. Saffie A. TWC 21 52.38 1.66/$1 096.2787 1 Boldness 5/1 Gonzalez E Fawkes David J 21 47.62 1.48/$1 095.7710 4 Maybe After Later(b+) 6/1 Maragh R Campitelli Jessica J. 21 52.38 1.66/$1 095.1555 3 Alphalete 20/1 Sutherland C Quinones Jennifer A. 21 52.38 1.66/$1 095.0053 6 Hierro 15/1 Berrios H I Pita Daniel 21 52.38 1.66/$1 089.6837 5 Proud Contender 4/1 Reyes L Abreu Fernando 21 52.38 1.66/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -2.6186
[Category]Condition
[All Dirt] *Not Actual Post 1 And Distance 7f Or 7 1/2f
*Scratches may change this condition
BATTAGLIA :
Belmont Free Picks for Today
Note: We play exacta boxes!
Race #2 post time 1:31
#1 Vineyard Sound (5-2)-does his best running on an off track winning 4 of 8 with a second. He is coming off a layoff but was taking on tougher, has won 2 of 3 here, gets I.Oritz, and Rice is hitting at 19% with her runners coming off a layoff.
#4 No Lime (3-1)-is another who like an off track winning 2 of 4 with a second. He drops in class and should be a good price.
#7 Shamrocked (8-1)- showed good speed and finished second last out beaten 2 lengths and was claimed. New trainer runs him back at the same 10k level and despite winning with only 3 of his 47 starters has not had enough time to screw this one up. Note one of his 3 wins came with a new claim in his first start (he didn’t have time to mess him up)
#3 Tale of Mist (15-1)- Long shot play. This one has been in the money in 10 of his 14 starts on an off track and could help our payoffs.
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