Service Plays Saturday 8/14/21

[onetrikpony]

LasVegasKings:
Hammer
Marlins ML(-145)
—

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK

• Game: (983) Milwaukee Brewers at (984) Pittsburgh Pirates
  Date/Time: Aug 14 2021 7:05 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4 units
  Play: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (-110) A Ashby (LHP), M Keller (RHP) Must Start
  
  If at first you don't succeed….try try again …Pirates really gonna sweep a DH?? Doubling down with the RL….but gonna take the ML as well no matter how bloated….1 to 2 MLB bets are just flat out lucrative if boring and sometimes risky!
  The key is long term winning however!
  
• Game: (983) Milwaukee Brewers at (984) Pittsburgh Pirates
  Date/Time: Aug 14 2021 7:05 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4 units
  Play: Milwaukee Brewers -194 A Ashby (LHP), M Keller (RHP) Must Start
  
  Duh
  
  
  
  
  
  
  • Game: (955) Chicago Cubs at (956) Miami Marlins
    Date/Time: Aug 14 2021 6:10 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
    Play Rating: 4 units
    Play: Miami Marlins -154 Z Davies (RHP), Z Thompson (RHP) Must Start
    
    As a general rule of thumb….(hope I don't get my ass kicked by Rosengurtle!) the Cubs aren't dogs to “bad teams” and this fits for the Fish at home….with a solid 4-10 SU record since they won the series….plus we get to FADE DAVIES AND BACK ZACH…..YES PLEASE!
    
  • Game: (955) Chicago Cubs at (956) Miami Marlins
    Date/Time: Aug 14 2021 6:10 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
    Play Rating: 4 units
    Play: Miami Marlins -1.5 (+125) Z Davies (RHP), Z Thompson (RHP) Must Start
    
    From +175 allllllllll the way down to +125…..and STILL quite far off compared to our numbers….not only is Davies close to as fade-able as Alzolay…Thompson is a HUGE boon over last night's starter for the Fish and should be able to give the bullpen a rest that only had to send 3 pitchers out following Jesus compared to the Cubs sending out 6 relievers!
    Again …from the “if it ain't broke don't try to fix it” department…..BOOM goes the dynamite of an even bigger and more decisive win than even last night!
    
  • Game: (969) Oakland Athletics at (970) Texas Rangers
    Date/Time: Aug 14 2021 7:05 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
    Play Rating: 5 units
    Play: Oakland Athletics -1.5 (-130) J Kaprielian (RHP), J Lyles (RHP) Must Start
    
    14-4 and 12-2 runs backing this play as we have a system largely based upon using what “we know” (RIP Denny) about teams at a point in the season 2+months in…inside a series where the road divisional foe is favored again after a loss as a favorite….with a record % discrepancy of ~20 points or higher!
    The ROI on this play is an amazing 33% just since 2019 with a final score averaging 8 runs to 4 runs in a win for the road chalk!
    Some of this stuff is easily made to add +EV aspects to a play that I rate AT LEAST a 5 UNIT hammer….but to top off the outside the teams playing….Jansen Visconti is behind the plate in Arlington tonight….and those of you with my All Access are used to me referencing umpires and nicknames etc…. specifically hometown hero and whores and the like. Visconti is THE.show off of show offs when it comes to standing down home crowds…particularly in heated division matchups. His lifetime road divisional chalk record is 17-5 SU…while he has upped the ante of late…14-2 SU and 13-3 RL winners with him since 2019!
    On top of this…the A's are a perfect 5/5 against the RL with JV umping the game. Lyles is a FAAADE…while Kaprielian is one of the best second half starters and has become a stopper!
    Playing this one in many ways….but especially this and ML full game!
  
  
  

[rocky57]

H&H Sports

NFL Preseason Football
Dime - Jets -140 (Moneyline)
Dime - Packers -169 (Moneyline)
Dime - Chargers -177 (Moneyline)

MLB
Triple Dime - Rays -105
Double Dime - Yankees +125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Tierney

NFL

CLEVELAND BROWNS @ JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS | 8/14 | 7 p.m. ET

CLEVELAND +2.5

It did not take long for Trevor Lawrence fever to kick in. The rookie QB has yet to take a snap outside of practice, yet the Jaguars are yielding points in his coming-out party. Nor has new coach Urban Meyer called a play in the pros. If this were a regular season meeting, the Super Bowl-minded Browns would be clear favorites over a team just trying to win a game. Cleveland does have a pair of starters on the mend from injury, but so what? DE Myles Garrett and CB Denzel Ward would have been limited regardless. The Browns are eighth on the Super Bowl champion odds board in part because of depth. The Jags can be found near the bottom, even with the irrational exuberance surrounding the boy wonder Lawrence

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R.J. White

NFL

Jets +1.5

I don't like what I've seen from Giants camp so far, with several veteran players retiring before even playing a snap with this team, not to mention the practice scuffle the team endured last week. On the other side, Robert Saleh did an awesome job motivating his players while in San Francisco, and I expect more of the same as a head coach. The QBs in this game are iffy on both sides, so I'll just back who I think is the better coach, especially if I'm catching points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Godfatherlocks august 14th picks

mlb

*** top rated 2000 unit picks ***



#1 - new york yankees +120 (mlb)



#2 - kansas city royals -115 (mlb)



#3 - seattle mariners +125 (mlb)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Zack Cimini

TORONTO @ SEATTLE | 08/14 | 10:10 PM EDT
TORONTO -135
ANALYSIS: Friday featured one of the strangest ninth innings on the year in MLB between the Blue Jays and Mariners. Seattle stole the win as big underdogs with a bases-loaded, walk-off victory. Yet, on Saturday night look for the Blue Jays to snap out of their two-game funk of three runs or less against lefty Yusei Kikuchi. Play the Blue Jays.

+2176 91-70 IN LAST 161 MLB PICKS
+1591 39-23 IN LAST 62 TOR ML PICKS
+664 32-24 IN LAST 56 SEA ML PICKS
3:49 PM

ST. LOUIS @ KANSAS CITY | 08/14 | 7:10 PM EDT
ST. LOUIS +105
ANALYSIS: The sporadic St. Louis Cardinals surprisingly have the second best win streak in MLB at four. To reach at fifth straight win, Jon Lester must overcome his woeful first two starts as a Cardinal. Expect a lot of runs as St. Louis drew five walks and scored five runs against Royals pitcher Brad Keller last Saturday. Take the team with momentum in St. Louis.

+2176 91-70 IN LAST 161 MLB PICKS
+345 6-3 IN LAST 9 KC ML PICKS
3:47 PM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sportsline Computer

MLB

Milwaukee -195

[dawggy]

dr. chuck

• Game: (961) San Diego Padres at (962) Arizona Diamondbacks
  Date/Time: Aug 14 2021 8:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4 units
  Play: San Diego Padres -1.5 (-135) J Musgrove (RHP), T Gilbert (LHP) Must Start
  
  Padres believe it or not hit lefties well…very well…as lefties….and the play here (similar to the A's spot) nearly the best on the board and NEVER would we pass on it….in fact gonna play it for the trifecta
  
• Game: (961) San Diego Padres at (962) Arizona Diamondbacks
  Date/Time: Aug 14 2021 8:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4 units
  Play: 1H San Diego Padres -0.5 (-130) J Musgrove (RHP), T Gilbert (LHP) Must Start
  
  BOOM!
  
• Game: (961) San Diego Padres at (962) Arizona Diamondbacks
  Date/Time: Aug 14 2021 8:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4 units
  Play: San Diego Padres -210 J Musgrove (RHP), T Gilbert (LHP) Must Start
  
  Enormous price…but there is NO way this offense loses 2 games in a row to the Dbacks and they aren't WINNING 2 games in a row…..amazing last spot of the night….
  
• Game: (975) Houston Astros at (976) Los Angeles Angels
  Date/Time: Aug 14 2021 9:07 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4 units
  Play: Houston Astros -193 L Garcia (RHP), J Barria (RHP) Must Start
  
  10-1 spot….yep….based largely on the fact we had the Angels last night early and often and maybe even to win outright….and it was for naught….11 times this season and this is a WINNER of large ROI
  
• Game: (975) Houston Astros at (976) Los Angeles Angels
  Date/Time: Aug 14 2021 9:07 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4 units
  Play: Houston Astros -1.5 (-125) L Garcia (RHP), J Barria (RHP) Must Start
  
  Correlated
  
• Game: (975) Houston Astros at (976) Los Angeles Angels
  Date/Time: Aug 14 2021 9:07 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4 units
  Play: 1H Houston Astros -190 L Garcia (RHP), J Barria (RHP) Must Start
  
  Easy as pie….
  
• Game: (975) Houston Astros at (976) Los Angeles Angels
  Date/Time: Aug 14 2021 9:07 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4 units
  Play: 1H Houston Astros -0.5 (-140) L Garcia (RHP), J Barria (RHP) Must Start
  
  Duh….
  
• Game: (977) Toronto Blue Jays at (978) Seattle Mariners
  Date/Time: Aug 14 2021 10:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4 units
  Play: George Springer Over 0.5 RBIs
  
  Like that hit a home run prop….but while I think the way to go for the total and side in this game is in doubt….what Springer has done LATELY and also AGAINST Kikuchi lifetime is insane to pass up THIS VALUE….and still close to the +250 HR prop action….but he can get it in any way even a sac fly
  Leadoff home run completely on the table if ya ask my analytics…and Kikuchi is bleeding home runs this season in fact with a 22.7% HR/FB rate and 9 home runs allowed in his last 8 starts and ONLY the last start did he not allow any!