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Tony Mejia
Event: (225565) Chile at (225566) Ecuador
Sport/League: SOC
Date/Time: September 5, 2021 5PM EDT
Play: Ecuador -106
Chile arrives in Quito on a three-match losing streak after losing to Brazil 1-0 for the second time three months, so it is desperate to get on track since it hasn’t scored in three consecutive CONMEBOL qualifying matches. Ecuador comes off a 2-0 win over Paraguay and has the benefit of playing a second home game in this qualifying period, not to mention employing its tremendous altitude advantage against a slumping side. The call here is to back Ecuador on the 3-way money line.
Trace Adams
Notre Dame and Florida State will meet for the third time since the 2018 season, only this time they will meet in Florida instead of Indiana.
Last year saw the Irish take a 42-26 decision and back in 2018 the Irish won it 42-13, both wins coming in South Bend and both games playing Over the posted price.
Change of venue tonight and also a change in Over/Under if you ask me as I see this game at Doak Campbell Stadium holding Under the posted price.
The Irish lost a ton of talent off of last year's team that made it into the college football playoff, but they still have a formidable defense to hold the fort. The Seminoles return 17 starters and in their second season under Mike Norvell I expect them to be much better on the defensive side of the ball.
Both teams will be breaking in "new/old" quarterbacks, as Jack Coan formerly of Wisconsin, and McKenzie Milton formerly of UCF will lead their teams on offense tonight.
My guess is the defense will be a little bit ahead of the still-learning offenses and this will be a game that holds just a few points shy of landing over the total.
Play the Under.
2* NOTRE DAME-FLORIDA STATE UNDER
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero
Camarero - Race 2 Allowance • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 101 • Purse: $11,000 • Post: 3:10P FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 20 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE AUGUST 5 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE JULY 5 ALLOWED 5 LBS.
Horse
Line
Odds
Race Type: Lone Front-runner. FAST CHARRA is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * BIG LEMON: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. GATO GUA PO: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. UNCLE DREW: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Spe ed Figure at the distance/surface. FAST CHARRA: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. BIG LEMON GATO GUAPO UNCLE DREW FAST CHARRA
Line
Class
Speed
FigureFAST CHARRA Front-runner GATO GUAPO Stalker DRAGSTER Alternator/Stalker BIG LEMON Alternator/Stalker UNCLE DREW Trailer
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Ruidoso Downs
Ruidoso Downs - Race 11 Derby • 440 Yards • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 101 • Purse: $929,225 • Post: 4:42P QUARTER HORSE 440Y, ALL AMERICAN QUARTER HORSE DERBY - GRADE 1 FOR THREE YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE QUALIFIED FOR THE FINALS OF THE 2021 ALL AMERICAN QUARTER HORSE DERBY. (TEN FASTEST TIMES) (NO ALSO ELIGIBLE LIST) WEIGHT: 126 LBS. IF ANY OF THE QUALIFIERS FOR THIS RACE SHOULD HAVE A POSITIVE TEST FOR AN ILLEGAL SUBSTANCE, THAT HORSE WILL BE GIVEN A NO-TIME FOR THE TRIALS AND THE NEXT FASTEST HORSE WILL BE MOVED INTO THE RACE.
Horse
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Odds
Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * EMPRESSUM: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. CANDY BLOOD: Horse's win p ercentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. INSTYGATOR: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. EMPRESSUM CANDY BLOOD INSTYGATOR
Line
Class
Speed
FigureAPOLLITICAL REDFLASH Average EMPRESSUM Fast MISTER ILLUSION Fast SHOTT GUN Fast CANDY BLOOD Fast JETTZ Fast INSTYGATOR Fast FLASH RILEY Average SEPARATE SENTENCE Average FAVORITE DOC Average
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Kentucky Downs - Race #2 - Post: 12:53pm - Maiden Special - 6.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $135,000 Class Rating: 77
Rating:
#14 GILLIAN ELIZABETH (ML=8/1)
#12 LADYBELUCKY (ML=5/2)
GILLIAN ELIZABETH - This filly has the top turf number in her last race. It doesn't take a college grad like The Brain to figure this here thoroughbred has a good chance. This filly likes to be near the lead. Today's event is a shorter distance and should increase her chances to win. I just may give this one a chance. Should improve off last race where she did run outside the top 3, but was within five lengths at the wire. LADYBELUCKY - Utilizing this jockey/handler combination is a good decision. Beschizza is right back for another affair today after sitting atop this equine for the first try on Aug 1st and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. Kenneally drops this one in today for only her 2nd effort. Should do better than last out.
Vulnerable Contenders: #3 TOWSER (ML=5/1), #6 MISTHAVEN (IRE) (ML=6/1), #1 JUSTASTAR (ML=8/1),
TOWSER - I just don't have a positive sensation about this mount in this contest. MISTHAVEN (IRE) - Doesn't appear to have enough good aspects to justify the reward. JUSTASTAR - Not the right 'fit' in this race.
STRAIGHT WAGERS: Go with #14 GILLIAN ELIZABETH on top if we're getting at least 5/2 odds EXACTA WAGERS: Box [12,14]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:[12,14] with [12,14] with [2,4,6,8,11] Total Cost: $10 SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [12,14] with [12,14] with [2,6,8] with [2,4,6,8,11] Total Cost: $24
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Blackfoot
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 1 - Trial - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $1000 Class Rating: 82
QUARTER HORSE 350Y, TWO YEARS OLD WHICH ARE ELIGIBLE TO ENTER THE TRIALS. WEIGHT 122 LBS. TEN FASTEST WILL QUALIFY TO THE FINAL TO BE RAN SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 25, 2021 AT POCATELLO DOWNS. AQHA WILL CONDUCT HAIR TESTS.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES 
# 3 BUTTERED COOKIE 8/5
# 2 WALL STREETE 3/1
# 1 EAGLE ASSAULT 2/1
I think BUTTERED COOKIE is a solid choice. Has very good Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a bet for this event. With Dominguez in the saddle guiding her, this filly will most likely be able to break out early in this contest. With a respectable 80 speed fig last time out, will unquestionably be a factor in this competition. WALL STREETE - Lately Valenzuela has been hot which may give the edge to this colt. Could best this group based on the Equibase Speed Figure - 89 - of his last outing. EAGLE ASSAULT - He has been racing very well lately while recording solid Equibase speed figs. Has respectable front speed and will most likely fare soundly against this group of horses.
BATTAGLIA Free Play :
Saratoga
RACE 10
Selections 3-2-9-4 Rating 2 stars
#3 Danny California-loves this track winning 4 of 6. He finished third against tougher last out and this drop in class will make him tough at a good price.
#2 Mystic Night– missed his third win in a row last out when he finished second beaten a length and a half. He runs for 24% winning trainer Brown and is the one to beat.
#9 Superfecto-made the lead last out but finished second a length and a quarter behind our top pick. He gets leading rider today and that will help his chances.
#4 Thomas Shelby-runs for one of our favorite trainers who has been a part of both of our $90+ exacta hits the past three weeks. This one has won 4 of 8 this year with a second and two thirds and will be a big price.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Prairie Meadows
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 5 - Maiden Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $13104 Class Rating: 48
FOR REGISTERED STATE BRED MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, FIVE, AND SIX YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES # 2 LANCELOT N ELAINE 4/1
# 3 ROGER P 5/1
# 6 MARY'S BOY 3/1
I've got to go with LANCELOT N ELAINE. Has respectable front-end speed and ought to fare admirably against this group of animals. Must be considered given the class of races run lately. This equine could surprise this field at a solid price. ROGER P - With Gonzalez in the saddle guiding him, this gelding will probably be able to break out quickly for this race. In fine fettle, and coming back soon again today. MARY'S BOY - Entries trained by Birzer in dirt sprint races are typically sound. The extreme drop in company can only help out this entrant today.
PointSpreadReport(SAM CASEY)
SUNDAY 9/5/21 COMP PLAY: MLB TWINS @ RAYS UNDER 9.
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COMP PLAY SUNDAY 9/5/21: MLB PIRATES @ CUBS OVER 9.
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