Originally Posted by
trigger1583
August Young
Boston Bruins +180 over Florida Panthers (7:00PM EST) This a pure value play which is at a ridiculous number. First of all, playoff dogs of +165 or higher have produced a +2.1% on the blind. This includes a +4.3% when on the road. Florida is the better team, and we've made that clear this series as we've cashed with Florida on multiple occasions. However; Boston still have the best goaltender in the league this season from a pure metrics standpoint, and have enough grit to make this interesting. The Bruins are 7-8 as a dog this season for a +3.4% ROI, which includes a +18.8% as a +130 dog or higher. However, they have never been priced higher than +145 which makes this a must-buy situation in our estimation. Does Florida advance? Probably. Should they be -200 or so? Nope.