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Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Pimlico - 5/18/24
May 18, 2024
Jeff Siegel’s Pimlico “What You Need to Know"
Saturday, May 18, 2024
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “What You Need to Know” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.
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RACE 1: Post: 10:30 ET Grade: C+
Main Ticket: 4-Master of Malice; 9-Lieutenant General; 10-Gift Exchange
Backups/savers: 1-Irish Heartbeat.
Forecast: Master of Malic finished a distant second in his only start last June at Delaware (he was six lengths clear of the rest) before being stopped on. He finally makes it back to the races for a barn that has superior stats with layoff runners, and if the son of Palace Music returns as well as he left he’ll rate a decent long shot chance (8-1 on the morning line) in this wide open abbreviated turf sprint for straight maidens. With More than Ready on the bottom side of his pedigree, he’s got a right to move up on grass. Lieutenant General displayed good speed at Keeneland in a hot race before weakening to finish a distant fourth last month; this group is considerably easier and the shortening up from seven furlongs to five eighth certainly shouldn’t hurt the W. Ward-trained gelding. Gift Exchange is a first timer by Hard Spun drawn on the far outside. He’ll probably need the race, but the work tab at Fair Hill looks sneaky good, so at 5-1 on the morning line he’s worth tossing in somewhere.
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RACE 2: Post: 11:05 ET Grade: C+
Main Ticket: 4-Breakwater; 8-Chelonian; 5-St. John’s
Backups/savers: 7-Rakia; 2-Porquerolles.
Forecast: Breakwater can best be described as a one-paced plodder, but most in this two-turn first level allowance are, too. He’s a solid fit on numbers, picks up turf master F. Prat, and may be able to tag the speed close home in a wide open guessing game of a race. Chelonian was scratched yesterday and appears to have found a better spot in this moderate affair. The J. Ness-trained gelding is a first-off-the-claim play for a stable that excels with this angle (33%), so a considerable amount of improvement is more than likely. The son of Gun Runner should be within striking range throughout. St. John’s had a couple of runs over the jumps, and neither went well. Back on the flat last time out, the son of Hard Spun turned in a solid third place finish and if he can turn in two alike he should at least get a piece of it again today.
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RACE 3: Post: 11:41 ET Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 1-Mirahmadi
Backups/savers: none.
Forecast: Mirahmadi is a maiden in a winner’s race (not sure why) but actually holds a distinct class edge, having finished a close second in the Del Mar Futurity-G1 in his last appearance last September. The B. Baffert-trained colt trained extremely well at Santa Anita (his home base) before shipping East, and this first time Lasix user will have no difficulty with this group if he runs back to his juvenile form. At 7/5 on the morning line and likely to go lower, the son of Into Mischief looks very much like a short-priced rolling exotic single.
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RACE 4: Post: 12:16 ET Grade: B
Main Ticket: 4-Apple Picker; 3-Disco Ebo.
Backups/savers:
Forecast: Apple Picker exits a pair of much tougher graded stakes – two runs back she won the Barbara Fritchie S.-G3 at Laurel - and is dropped into a listed spot today against a field she should very much beat. Listed at 7/5 on the morning line, the daughter of Connect has won two of three previous starts at this six furlong distance, so this shortened trip shouldn’t bother her at all. Disco Ebo is a win machine, having taken half of her 22 career starts with speed figures that compare fairly well with our top pick. She does her best work on the lead but might have some company early on, and she couldn’t handle our top selection two races back, though at this six furlong distance the veteran mare may put up more resistance.,
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RACE 5: Post: 12:51 ET Grade: B-
Main Ticket: 6-Barbtourage; 2-Marian Cross (GB).
Backups/savers: 7-Rye Smile; 8-Up for It.
Forecast: Barbtourage stopped to a walk in her recent comeback at Keeneland but she shows a bullet workout since and retains Johnny V., so we’re going to draw a line through that last race and give the daughter of Into Mischief another chance, especially at five furlongs in her first try on grass. Marian Cross (GB) is back sprinting where she’s probably most comfortable and based on her promising fifth place finish (beaten less than two lengths) in her debut at this trip at Gulfstream Park the G. Motion-trained filly may be the most dangerous of the off-the-pace types.
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RACE 6: Post: 1:28 ET Grade: B
Main Ticket: 6-Frost Free; 1-Mr Skylight; 7-Catahoula Moon.
Backups/savers: none.
Forecast: Frost Free couldn’t handle Valentine Candy in the Bachelor S. at Oaklawn Park last month (he earned a career top speed figure in defeat) but few around can cope with that son of Justify’s late kick. This is an easier spot, so the son of Frosted should be able to return to winning form in this year’s renewal of the Chick Lang S.-G3 for sophomore sprinters. There are other speed types in this six furlong dash, but on paper he’s the quickest of the quick. Mr Skylight has gradually improving numbers, and while he’s not as fast as Frost Free quite yet he’s getting close. With a clean trip from the rail, the son of Practical Joke should be able to make a run for it. Catahoula Moon, first or second in seven of 11 career starts, is another that needs a slight forward move to challenge our top pick but if there’s a pace meltdown he’s the most likely in the field to benefit.
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RACE 7: Post: 2:08 ET Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 7-Fluffy Socks
Backups/savers: 3-Blissful; 1-Sweet Dani Girl
Forecast: Fluffy Socks has been facing many of the best older distaff grass runners in North America throughout most of her career and should thoroughly enjoy this class relief with the drop into the Gallorette S.-G3. She’s a perfect one-for-one over the Pimlico lawn (she won the Selima S. four years ago) and with good racing luck and anything close to her best race the veteran mare should justify her 6/5 morning line price.
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RACE 8: Post: 4:49 ET Grade: B-
Main ticket: 6-Prince of Jericho; 1-Coastal Mission
Backups/savers: 3-Super Chow.
Forecast: Prince of Jericho dropped a tough photo finish to Coastal Mission in the Frank Whitely S. at Laurel last time out but there is a four pound shift in weights in his favor plus the cozy outside draw while ‘Mission must leave from the rail. Truthfully, they’re very difficult to separate so rather than split hairs we’ll include both on our ticket.
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RACE 9: Post: 3:30 ET Grade: B
Main ticket: 10-Abrumar
Backups/savers: 4-Turning Point; 12-Fulmineo.
Forecast: Abrumar was forced to race wide without cover every step of the way when understandably fading off the board in the American Turf S.-G2 two weeks ago at Churchill Downs. He’s back on short rest, makes a major switch to I. Ortiz, Jr., and should drop over into the second flight, save ground, and then kick home when set down. He’s won two races while on the pace but we truly believe he’ll be most effective if held up early. At 5-1 on the morning line, he's a win play and major push in the various exotics.
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RACE 10: Post: 4:10 ET Grade: B+
Main ticket: 5-Corporate Power
Backups/savers: 8-Tuscan Sky.
Forecast: Corporate Power is improving with each start, as you would expect a son of Curlin to do, and after finishing a strong second in a tough allowance race at Aqueduct in the slop he’ll add blinkers today and should continue to improve with distance, experience, and maturity. With a win today, he could earn a start in the Belmont Stakes-G1 at Saratoga in three weeks.
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RACE 11: Post: 4:53 ET Grade: B-
Main ticket: 8-Boat’s a Rockin; 2-Carotari; 1-Grooms All Bizness
Backups/savers: 11-Witty; 12-Beer Can Man.
Forecast: Here’s an extremely difficult edition of the Jim McKay Turf Sprint, a wide open grass grab bag in which nothing would surprise. Best advice is to include as many as your budget allows in rolling exotic play. Boat’s a Rockin turned in a career best performance when second at 44-1 in the Turf Sprint Championship at Aqueduct in November and makes his first start since with a light work tab that may (or may not) have him totally cranked up. The veteran gelding has won 11 of 24 career starts, has speed figures that are sufficient, and the style that can be effective on the lead or from a stalking position. He’s 6-1 on the morning line, and that seems about right. Carotari (a perfect two-for-two over the Pimlico lawn) and Grooms All Bizness (a mid-pack runner from the rail who should benefit from a ground-saving trip) are two of several others that have a decent look at good prices and are worth including on the main ticket.
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RACE 12: Post: 5:52 ET Grade: B
Main ticket: 5-Running Bee; 10-Emmanuel; 9-Beatbox.
Backups/savers: 3-Balnikhov (Ire).
Forecast: Running Bee is fresh from a confidence building overnight win at Keeneland and moves back into stakes competition in peak form for trainer Chad Brown. The son of English Channel projects to enjoy an ideal second flight, stalking journey and then have every chance to seal the deal in the final furlong. It’s a tough, competitive affair but he’s 9/2 on the morning line and that’s a price worth taking if you can get it. Emmanuel has plenty of back class and was a close third (beaten a half-length) in last year’s edition of this race, the Dinner Party S.-G3, and a repeat of that performance might make him the winner. Beatbox can really turn it on late, so with some help up front he’ll be quite dangerous in the final furlong. You can toss out his last race at Fair Grounds; he was very wide throughout without cover and never really had much chance.
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RACE 13: Post: 7:01 ET Grade: A-
Main ticket: 5-Mystik Dan
Backups/savers: 9-Imagination; 8-Tuscan Gold.
Forecast: Though he’s never won back-to-back races, and the 14-day turnaround from his Kentucky Derby score is less than ideal, Mystik Dan is the pick, especially if the track turns up wet. Yes, he benefitted from a ground-saving trip at Churchill Downs but he was the only one among the first seven up front not to wave the white flag when then pressure was turned on at the quarter pole, so we’ll give him full credit for the victory and expect that he’ll come back and do it again. Drawn beautifully in the four post with three non-speed types inside, the son of Goldencents projects to effortlessly draft into an ideal second flight, ground-saving journey, just as he did in Louisville. We’re expecting that the end result will be pretty much the same.
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RACE 14: Post: 7:43 ET Grade: B
Main ticket: 2-Sheriff Ronnie
Backups/savers: 5-Frightland; 1-Armando R
Forecast: Sheriff Ronnie has won four of his last five starts from either a pace setting or stalking position, so no matter what the pace flow turns out to be the J. Ness-trained gelding should be able to adapt. He’s also two-for-three over a wet track, should that come into play. He’s listed at 4-1 on the morning line but we doubt we’ll get it.
Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Santa Anita - 5/18/24
May 18, 2024
Jeff Siegel’s Santa Anita “What You Need to Know
Saturday, May 18, 2024
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “What You Need to Know” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.
View Jeff Siegel’s Prime Plays Video
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RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: X
Main Ticket: 1-Miss Rockette
Backups/savers: 5-Ms Bo J.
Forecast: Miss Rockette was extremely well-meant in her debut at Oaklawn Park last month but couldn’t quite stay the trip when after opening up a three length lead in mid-stretch, gave way late to finish second in a hot race while winding up seven clear of the rest. It was a winning race in defeat, so a similar effort today should be more than good enough to earn the B. Baffert-trained filly a diploma. The daughter of Into Mischief shortens up a half furlong, lands the good rail, and seems likely to employ gate-to-wire tactics at a very short price.
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RACE 2: Post: 1:30 PT Grade: B-
Main Ticket: 6-Aventapp; 8-Teen Drama.
Backups/savers: 4-Inner Beauty.
Forecast: Aventapp exits a pair of tougher races and is realistically spotted in this $25,000 claiming turf dash for fillies and mares. The M. Glatt-trained mare employs an effective stalking strategy, and after a couple of months of freshening should be primed for a major effort. Teen Drama is a two time winner over the local lawn and like our top pick should enjoy this easier task after failing to make an impression in a pair of recent starter allowance events. She can dictate her trip from her comfortable outside draw.
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RACE 3: Post: 2:00 PT Grade: C+
Main Ticket: 4-Instinct D’ Oro; 7-Square D’ Oro
Backups/savers: 3-Aloha Chrome.
Forecast: Instinct D’ Oro, one of two speed-and-fade types from the H. Palma barn, had an outing in a maiden $50,000 dash in his debut last month, received no action (45-1), and after flashing some early speed faded readily. However, the race turned out to be extremely fast for the level and this is a considerably easier spot, so he’ll almost certainly stick around longer with the possibility that he may get brave if he can shake loose early. Square D’ Oro, the other Palma, also is dropping to the bottom after a pair of outings in which he displayed some speed before packing it in. It will be interesting to see if he bothers his stablemate during the early going, or whether he’ll respond better to patient handling and a stalking strategy.
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RACE 4: Post: 2:30 PT Grade: B-
Main Ticket: 6-Magic Account; 4-Western Power; 5-Getemdusty.
Backups/savers: none.
Forecast: Magic Account has been knocking on the door and looks ready to graduate in this split of the third race. Nosed out in his comeback two runs back and then finishing a solid second while four lengths clear of the rest last time out, the H. Palma-trained gelding has produced a forward move in each of his three starts and with another bit of improvement today could be set to earn his diploma. Western Powerhas enough speed to keep our top pick within range, and at this lower level the son of Liam’s Map should remain a factor much of the way. The race he exits is considerably stronger than the one he’s in today, so improvement is highly likely. Getemdusty may be the most dangerous of the closers and if the speed types do each other in the S. Miyadi-trained son of Boisterous could find himself in the right place at the right time.
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RACE 5: Post: 3:05 PT Grade: C+
Main Ticket: 8-Dr. Soulfire; 9-Pinehurst.
Backups/savers: 1-Vorpal; 7- Sky Cloud.
Forecast: Dr. Soulfire drops to his lowest level ever in this restricted (nw-2) $25,000 claiming turf sprint and may have found his friends. He has a previous win over this course and distance and numbers that fit, and while he lacks tactical speed this extended sprint distance should complement his style. Additionally, he’s reunited with “win” rider U. Rispoli. Pinehurst graduated over the local lawn last time out with a comfortable pace stalking trip from a favorable outside draw. He lands the outside again, and with a similar journey today the P. D’Amato-trained gelding should have every chance for a repeat score.
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RACE 6: Post: 3:38 PT Grade: B-
Main Ticket: 7-Bolt d’Vine ; 1-Well Funded.
Backups/savers: 2-Apple Fest; 6-Tahini.
Forecast: Bolt d’Vine hadn’t shown all that much prior to her most recent gate drill (5f, :59.4hg), which caught the eye and actually was quite good. She debuts in a moderate maiden special weight dirt sprint and really won’t have to be a world beater to be highly competitive. We’ll consider a small gamble at or near her morning line of 4-1. Well Funded shortens up and ran reasonably well when second over this track and distance in her debut in January. It wasn’t much of a race, but this one isn’t, either.
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RACE 7: Post: 4:39 PT Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 2-The Wild Grazer; 4-Getthemoney.
Backups/savers: none.
Forecast: The Wild Grazer returned off a long layoff to score handsomely with a career top number in a lesser allowance affair over this tricky Hillside course in late March and a repeat of that effort today should be good enough to win this year’s edition of the Mizdirection S. for older fillies and mares. The lightly raced Irish-bred filly likes to settle early and blast home, and despite the fact that the pace projects to be creepy crawly the J. Mullins-trained import has the turn of foot to outkick the leaders close home. Getthemoney, a strong third in the Monrovia S.-G3 under these conditions, has rising numbers, excellent tactical speed, and plenty of room for further improvement. She’s back with “win” rider J. Hernandez and projects to enjoy an ideal trip, either as a presser or a pacesetter. She’s the one to fear most.
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RACE 8: Post: 5:09 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket: 7-Winterfell
Backups/savers: 2-Fame; 5-Wise Counsel; 8-Pony Express.
Forecast: Winterfell shows the classic two-sprints-and-a-stretch-out pattern and a superior workout (5f, :59h) since raced plus, as a son of Arrogate, he should really enjoy this stretch out in distance. The B. Baffert barn has superior stats with the sprint-to-route angle (28%) and with top rider J. Hernandez staying aboard, anything close to his morning line of 4-1 will offer a solid wager. We’ll use him in the win pool and as a strong push in the various rolling exotics.
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RACE 9: Post: 5:39 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket: 8-Vegas Burner; 7-Mischelof (Chi).
Backups/savers: 2-Precision Strike.
Forecast: Vegas Burner has been earning very fast speed figure lately and may prove to be a timely claim by S. Knapp after demolishing maiden $50,000 claiming sprinters in his most recent outing last month. He’s unproven around two turns, so this stretch out to a middle distanance presents something of a challenge, but if the son of American Pharoah grabs control early as expected and doesn’t pull or get rank he’s very likely to take this field gate to wire. Mischelof (Chi) has solid recent form but is just 1-for-19 in his career and probably isn’t one to trust. He’s a one-paced grinder but based on his runner-up effort at this level last month he should be capable of clunking up for a piece, and if our top pick makes any mistakes he’ll be in a good position to pick him up.
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RACE 10: Post: 6:09 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket: 4-Pippa Philipa
Backups/savers: 8-Runamileinmyshoes; 2-Miz Clubcali.
Forecast: Let’s go with a good price chance in the nightcap, a mile grass affair for older maiden fillies and mares. Pippa Philipa stretches out after the prerequisite two sprint tighteners and has a pedigree (with Curlin on the bottom) to suggest this two turn trip will be well within her scope. She finished fifth, beaten eight lengths, in her most recent start but the winner won by seven, so she was actually lapped on the others at the wire. Also, she broke poorly, fell far back, was given too much to do but still closed resolutely to finish much closer than she had a right to. We liked her gallop out, too. The M. McCarthy-trained sophomore will get the patient ride she needs with the switch to M. Smith, so at or near her morning line of 12-1, she’ll offer a nice gamble.
Al Cimaglia: Hoosier Park Late Pick 4 Analysis
May 18, 2024 | By Al Cimaglia
Hoosier Park has a 12-race card to wrap-up harness action for the week. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 9, and it will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.
Race 9 (9:48 PM EST)
2-Shooting In Place (7/2)-Not sure if this 3-year-old is the best in here but not going to use a 2/5 shot (1) Sabonis to start off this sequence. These are 3-year-old colts that have raced only 7 or 8 times. Trace Tetrick gets the drive tonight on the Quevedo pupil, and the colt is a perfect 5 for 5 this year. Should offer more value than the program chalk and both have done similar work thus far.
Race 10 (10:06 PM EST)
5-Quixote (3-1)-Finished 2nd at this level in a decent try considering had missed a start and it was a quick mile. Has had trouble finishing off races but the Haynes barn has been clicking over the past 30 days and will respect. Will look for a smooth steer and for Brandon Bates to get every drop out of this 4-year-old.
7-JK Victory (5/2)-Came off a nice win, moved up to this class and put in a no try mile from post 8. Gets a positive driver change in Tetrick and will overlook the last start. Could be sitting on a much better try and hopefully the price will be better than the morning line.
Race 11 (10:24 PM EST)
1-Babe's Darla (9/2)-Beat similar in the beginning of April, came off cover to roll by and got a sharp steer. Should be a player at a square price if can get away in good shape when the wings fold.
3-Splash Of Pink (6-1)-Fits with this group and finally gets an inside post draw. Atlee Bender should work an efficient trip and be in position at the head of the lane to finish best of all. Will fade the 7/5 chalk # 7 and look for some value in this leg.
Race 12 (10:42 PM EST)
5-Dixie Dream (9/2)-Stayed inside and almost caught the leader. Should follow the same plan here and might be closer to the front turning for the wire.
6-Skwyway Brittney (4-1)-Left hard to get on the engine in last and the trip took its toll. Faded down the lane last time but tonight faces a bit easier and should be a player.
10-LA Rockin Shania (20-1)-Will swing for a price with this team Tetrick entry. The inside pair could have enough gate speed to help this one get a decent early seat. Will look for an efficient trip and to be rolling down the lane.
$1,00 Late Pick 4
2/5,7/1,3/5,6,10
Total Bet=$12
Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks
Hawthorne - Race #5
Hawthorne - Race #6
Picks Notes #5 Dream Nap Think Hugh Robertson’s barn is going to land this one way or another, but I’m willing to give this debuter a look on the tote and track ahead of this one. Wouldn’t surprise. #3 Miss Mikos Wouldn’t be any surprise if she handled these without much trouble after the solid Fair Grounds try off the bench, and any reasonable upside here makes her tough. #7 Irish Spark: She showed little at 5/1 in the debut run, but she’s finding an easier spot today while getting in with Illinois-bred friends after trying that open spot at Oaklawn. Race Summary Dream Nap goes first out in a spot that doesn’t feel that deep overall, and I wonder if maybe she’s ready enough to handle her stablemate.
Hawthorne - Race #8
Picks Notes #4 Twirling Roses Not a whole lot of finishing form on the page in this spot, and he has some room to bounce back after the non-effort last out. Along late at a midrange price? #6 Whatdoyouthinkmark Interested to see who shows up today – he rolled in his Canterbury debut before finishing up the track at 50 cents on the dollar in Prairie Meadows stakes company. High-ceiling threat? #1 Simple Logic The overall form is pretty honest if you toss the last two dirt tries, and he would benefit if a few of these hooked up early on. Race Summary Twirling Roses should offer a decent number while having a lot of room to bounce back off the dud last time out. Think the January try might be competitive here if he can get back to it.
Picks Notes #8 All About Tonite He’s probably a bit of a reach, but I like that he stepped up off the $15,000 claim with a respectable effort in special weight company here last out, and he was in with a couple decent groups on the turf last year. Hoping we’re catching him at the right time at an OK number. #6 Interlude He’s back fresh after a dull Fair Grounds run in November, but his Horseshoe Indianapolis form from last summer would probably play well with these. One of the ones. #4 Not Falling Back Firster brings an appealing turf pedigree with him, so get a look on the track. Couple others to consider at least for underneath spots include pace player #2 Ravin’s Town, #11 Wolf Hunter, and #12 Even the Wind. Race Summary I feel like there are a lot of players in here capable of landing a decent piece of this, so it’s a fun way to end the card. All About Tonite might not be a huge price, but it should be playable enough while getting over to the grass in good form.
Frank Carulli's Daily Picks
Delaware Park - Race #2
Delaware Park - Race #3
Picks Notes #7 FAST LEARNER (3-1) As good as any in dreadful field, draws favorable post. #5 I WANNA ROCK (12-1) Drops, sheds weight, switches barns, could surprise on best. #4 ON THE CHILL (2-1) Opened long lead in long sprint but will be an underlay. Race Summary FAST LEARNER ran second in his second start behind a rival who came back to finish second in a $10k/nw2 claimer. He stopped in a heavily-bet seasonal debut, now gets Lasix in a field that is a combined 0-for-80. Bet to win and place and play a 4-5-7 exacta box.
Delaware Park - Race #6
Picks Notes #6 GEAUX YOSHKA (8-5) Lightly-raced 5-year-old has best numbers and best company lines. #5 BONNIE BILL (2-1) Overtaken by 5-2 second choice at 5-1/2F at Laurel, sheds 10 pounds. #3 SPRITZER (5-1) Only horse in field with a win this year, use underneath in gimmick wagers. Race Summary Tampa shipper GEAUX YOSHKA, the beaten favorite in his last two starts for higher claiming tags, looks best on paper. He finished behind a pair of winners who are a combined 16-76 with $242k in earnings. He tries a shorter sprint in his second start off the claim. Bet to win and place.
Picks Notes #1 EXCITABLE BOY (3-1) Passed by deep closers in the slop, can take speed farther with blinks on again. #6 ROCKET DRAGON (8-5) Romped in three straight at Tampa, landed minor awards in fast follow-ups. #4 HAILEYSFIRSTNOTION (5-2) Seized moment after fave got left at start and despite ‘very wide’ drift. Race Summary EXCITABLE BOY, close-up for a half mile in the 3-path at Oaklawn, gave way to a trio of deep closers in a $140k allowance. He should show good zip from the rail as the light weight in the field on the cutback to 5-1/2F. Bet to win and place.
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Belterra Park
PURCHASE
Belterra Park - Race 1 Maiden Claiming $7,500 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3-6 • CR: 53 • Purse: $9,600 • Post: 12:15 FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, FIVE, AND SIX YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500 (OHIO REGISTERED FOALS PREFERRED).
Horse
Line
Odds
Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. LITTLE MUSIC is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * LITTLE MUSIC: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. H orse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. REDNECK AGENDA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distan ce/surface. LITTLE MUSIC REDNECK AGENDA
Line
Class
Speed
FigureLITTLE MUSIC Front-runner REDNECK AGENDA Front-runner BLOSSOM DIVA Alternator/Stalker VEECATION Alternator/Non-contender ANNIE ROSE Alternator/Non-contender
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Miles CityPURCHASE
Miles City - Race 4 Claiming $3,200 • 5 1/4 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 54 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 12:55 FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,200.
Horse
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Odds
Race Type: Lone Front-runner. WATCHNTHETIDEROLL is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * OMAHA RUTSCH: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. Horse ha s a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. WESTERN CHARM: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. Horse is dropping in class, has an inside post position and isn't a Trailer. WATCHNTHETIDEROLL: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. OMAHA RUTSCH WESTERN CHARM WATCHNTHETIDEROLL
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FigureWATCHNTHETIDEROLL Front-runner ATHENIAN PRINCESS Stalker SCRATCH ME Alternator/Stalker WESTERN CHARM Alternator/Stalker OMAHA RUTSCH Alternator/Stalker FESSY Alternator/Non-contender GONEWITHTHEBREEZE Alternator/Non-contender
Emerald Downs - Race #2 - Post: 1:59pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,500 Class Rating: 64
Rating:
#1 LOTSA STEEL (ML=3/1)
LOTSA STEEL - Pena was aboard this filly last out and was impressed enough to take the horse right back. This filly should get an ideal trip in this spot. She looks like the only 'stalker' in this affair. Ranked at the top in earnings per start. Another sign that this animal is classy.
Vulnerable Contenders: #5 SEEYAMIA (ML=5/2), #6 HARBOR LASS (ML=7/2), #2 LADY MORMONT (ML=9/2),
SEEYAMIA - Hard to bet on at 5/2 odds after the most recent showings. 5/2 is not offering enough value for any mount in a sprint of 5 furlongs that hasn't hit the board in a short distance contest recently. HARBOR LASS - Not probable that the speed figure she notched on May 4th will be enough in this race. LADY MORMONT - No accomplishments for this horse in a sprint race over the last couple months tells me that this filly is in a very difficult spot Finished fourth in her most recent performance with a disappointing speed figure. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to prove victorious after that in this group.
STRAIGHT WAGERS: #1 LOTSA STEEL is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better EXACTA WAGERS: Pass
TRIFECTA WAGERS:Pass SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Canterbury Park
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $14500 Class Rating: 62
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR MINNESOTA BRED WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000. MINNESOTA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES 
# 1 SPOILED BRAT 15/1
# 8 EXTRA INDY 9/2
# 2 RUN BAMBI RUN 5/2
SPOILED BRAT looks to be a competitive contender and is a very good value bet given the line at 15/1. EXTRA INDY - She has been running solidly and the Equibase Speed Figs are among the most competitive in this group of horses in this race. Garnered a competitive speed figure last time out. RUN BAMBI RUN - Conditioner has strong win rate (22 percent) at this distance and surface. Looks very good to be on or close to the lead at the first call.
Lone Star Park - Race #4 - Post: 2:59pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,000 Class Rating: 74
Rating:
#8 KOLKATA (ML=5/2)
#5 ART QUEEN (ML=15/1)
#6 SUPERCENTS (ML=4/1)
KOLKATA - Based on this mare's recent efforts, she should profit from today's shorter distance. Believe in this horse. No other viable pace gives this equine a strong chance at the winner's circle. You always have to be on the prowl for money generating rider/trainer duos; we have it right here. Mare shipped to this track and won; now goes for a double. Look at this pattern of improvement. 62/70/74 are the last three speed figures. Took a big class drop last out, and I think she may have needed it. Scholl enters her at a similar class level today. I'd expect an improved performance. ART QUEEN - This filly is in fine form, having run a nice race on May 11th, finishing second. Hernandez was aboard this filly in the last race and was impressed enough to take the horse right back. I really like sprint horses that make a quick turnaround. The improved Equibase speed figures over the last 3 races is strong. Broberg drops her in this race ready to win. SUPERCENTS - Just missed hitting the board on Apr 26th at Lone Star Park. With respectable morning odds in this race, she has my interest.
Vulnerable Contenders: #4 ITS MY MONEY TOO (ML=2/1), #2 POETIC UNION (ML=8/1),
ITS MY MONEY TOO - Unlikely that this runner can take the punishment of another tough run down the stretch after the last two efforts. Tough to back since I think a 'strong performance bounce' is in the works in today's event. POETIC UNION - You figure that this animal is going to win today just because she's always close. Just doesn't get the job done often.
STRAIGHT WAGERS: #8 KOLKATA to win at post-time odds of 5/2 or better EXACTA WAGERS: 8 with [5,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:Box [5,6,8] Total Cost: $6 SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 5 - Claiming - 8.3f on the Turf. Purse: $28000 Class Rating: 94
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 18 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT ONE MILE OR OVER SINCE APRIL 18 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES # 11 CASTAGNO 5/1
# 9 HOKU 2/1
# 10 MADISON LUVS DUKE 6/1
I think CASTAGNO is a strong choice. Is a contender - given the 84 speed figure from his most recent race. With a strong jockey who has won at a strong 17 percent rate over the last 30 days. This has to be one of the top selections. HOKU - Shows evidence of the look of a lucrative play, averaging a solid 87 speed rating which is one of the most competitive in this group of horses. The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Pino running at this distance are the top in this group. MADISON LUVS DUKE - Looks very strong for the conditions of this race today, showing solid figures in turf route races as of late. Ness and Pennington have won 27 percent of their races giving this animal a solid chance.
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