11-19-08

[Mr. IWS]

tim trushel mac goy
cmich

[Mr. IWS]

Vegas Sports Experts

10* Take Ball State (-7) over Central Michigan (NCAA Power Play)
7:00 PM EST

Ball State
• 14-4 ATS in road games the last 3 seasons
• 5-1 ATS after scoring 31 points or more in three consecutive games
• 11-1 ATS after a game where they forced one or less turnovers

[Mr. IWS]

Jr. Sports

NCAA HOOPS

25 units - Wake Forest

[Mr. IWS]

Robert Ferrringo college hoops

2-Unit Play. Take #541 Murray State (+1) over Arkansas State (8 p.m., Wednesday, Nov. 19)
Here this isn’t just a story about two different teams, but two completely different programs. Murray State is one of the OVC’s best and they are used to winning, and winning a lot. They brought back four of five starters from last year’s squad, which was a pleasant surprise in what should have been a down year, and they added a solid Creighton transfer. Arkansas State, on the other hand, is an absolute disaster. They bottomed out last year and will be without four of five starters from last year’s squad. They have played well under new coach John Brady, but I am not ready to buy in until I see them pick up a couple wins and reverse their bad karma. Murray State beat a better ASU team by 14 last year and should manage a ‘W’ here.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #539 Morehead State (+15.5) over Drake (8 p.m., Wednesday, Nov. 19)
Drake is a solid, sound team. But I don't know if they are ready to be laying these types of numbers. they simply lost too much from last year to be expected to go out and lay a 20-point beating on someone. Morehead State has some nice pieces and is a veteran team. I think they can hang around. Morehead has already played a pair of games. They were winning at halftime against a Sun Belt crew and they were only down seven points at Vanderbilt. They got rocked in the second half in both games. But I think they adjust that situation and manage to keep this one in single digits.

1-Unit Play. Take #523 Ball State (+14.5) over Butler (7 p.m., Wednesday, Nov. 19)
I feel the same way about Butler that I do about Drake - they simply lost too much to be laying these types of numbers this early in the year. Mix in the fact that people are looking for an "easy" play today because of the short schedule and this will be a favorite square target. We'll be on the other side. Before their Horizon League run the Bulldogs had a lot of trouble covering thick home lines last year. Their style is more defensive and deliberate, so I don't see them posting a monster blowout. Further, they are coming off a semi-emotional opener against a team that beat them last year. Seven of the last 10 in this series have been decided by 16 points or less, which keeps us in range. BSU has more motivation here and I think they take the cash.

2-Unit Play. Take #531 Kent State (-1) over St. Louis (8 p.m., Wednesday, Nov. 19)
"People that want to see a good college team should come out (tonight), though they might not see one in us." That's a quote straight from the mouth of St. Louis coach Rick Majerus. His team is made up entirely of freshmen and three seniors - one of which is injured and will play hobbled. Kent State beat St. Louis by 41 points last year - yes, 41 points. the Flashes are not as strong as that team, but they have eight of their top 10 back from that club.

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Lock College FB 11/19
4 units Central Mich +7

[Mr. IWS]

atslocks.com

Ball St -6.5 @ Central Michigan: Ball St -6.5 (10 unit play)

Cleveland @ Detroit Over/Under 192: Under 192 (10 unit play)

Ball St @ Butler -14: Butler -14 (10 unit play)

[Mr. IWS]

Erin Rynning

bulls +7 / playmaker

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Lock Club
4 Jazz -10
3 Pistons -2.5
3 St. Louis +1.5

ATS Financial Package
3 Over 55.5 Ball/C.Mich
3 Rockets -4.5
3 76ers -3

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Balfe

College Football
Central Michigan +6.5 over Ball State
CMU has won back to back MAC Titles and a win tonight would land them in the title game again. This obviously will be their toughest test of the season, but they have won 18 of their last 20 MAC games and at home are getting no love with the oddsmakers. This CMU senior class is deep and this is a statement game for them as all the focus is on the 14th ranked Ball State team. Lets face it. Ball State probably couldn't beat most teams in the SEC or Big 12 and obviously are not the 14th best team in the nation. The weather will be a factor tonight as it should be cold and snowy. CMU has a decent run defense and usually are month in the bank at home. Dan LeFevour will take this CMU team as far as he can. Look for him to make good passes and to scramble for rushing yardage. Take Central Michigan plus the points and hit the money line if you are feeling up to it.

NBA Basketball
Timberwolves +3.5 over Sixers

NCAA Basketball
South Florida +7.5 over Virginia

[Mr. IWS]

Savannah Sports

NBA Basketball
3 Units on Philadelphia -3.5

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso BB 11/19
25 units Atl Hawks -9.5
3 units Pistons -4
3 units Kent St +1 (this was given out as +1, now line is -1.5 but was +1 at one time-You choose) Swept board yesterday and with FB

[Mr. IWS]

Dave M@linsky

Denver Nuggets @ San Antonio Spurs
PICK: 4* Denver Nuggets +1

We fully understand the line move in this one, which has now made the Spurs the favorite. We just do not agree with it, and it has opened the door for excellent value to the visitors.

Through the years Denver has had a poor ATS record in those rare occasions in which the Nuggets played a home game, and then had to go to the Central Time Zone the following night. It makes a great deal of sense – playing at the Denver altitude takes more out of a team than any other venue, and heading eastwards across a time zone actually means a loss of two hours of recovery and preparation, one for the time zone itself, and another because of the earlier tip-off time. We have followed this closely, and have taken advantage often, including some 6* plays in the past.

We do not believe that applies in any way tonight, however. The Nuggets were off on Monday, and Tuesday’s rout of Milwaukee was little more than a scrimmage – the stating lineup only played 134 of the 240 floor minutes, with no one going more than 28. In fact, reserves Linas Kleiza and J. R. Smith were on the court more than any starter. Instead of fatigue creating a negative it was the ideal way to prepare for this game, a nice comfortable scrimmage in which they built a 20-point lead, and continued the flow of confidence since Chauncey Billups came on board (they are 6-1 in his seven starts).

Yes, the Spurs enter this one on a three-game win streak, a remarkable achievement when four of your starters are Roger Mason, George Hill, Fabricio Oberto and Michael Finley (perhaps Bruce Bown here, instead of Finely, to try to check Carmelo Anthony a bit). But while that it a tribute to Pops, take it with a grain of salt. Three games back they did pull a stunner against Houston, out-scoring the Rockets 12-0 over the final 4:44 to gut out a 77-75 win. That was a major roll of the dice, but the last two wins were simply a case of out-smarting weak opponents in close games, as they escaped past the short-handed Kings and Clippers in struggles that went to the final possession. They have been buoyed by facing the 26th weakest schedule in the league so far this season, which helps to make them an over-rated item here, and we do not mind getting the far better team in this price range.

[Mr. IWS]

ANDRE GOMES

1* Washington under 200
1* LA Clippers PK
1* Denver +1

[Mr. IWS]

RON RAYMOND'S 5* NBA BEST BET WINNER! (8-0 RUN)
Pick # 1 Sacramento Kings /New Orleans Hornets Over 195.5 -110




RON RAYMOND'S 5* NHL BEST BET WINNer!!
Pick # 1 Vancouver Canucks (120)

[Mr. IWS]

igz1 sports

Wednesday Action !!
Tuesday Recap: 1-0 CFB (+80) pts : 1-0 NBA (+80) pts : 2-2 CBB (-16) pts

CFB
3* Central Michigan +7 (-110)

NHL
3* Boston -135
3* Under 5 (-120) Vancouver vs NY Rangers

NBA
3* Oklahoma City +1 (-110)
3* Chicago +7.5 (-110)

CBB
3* Charlotte -1.5 (-110)

[Mr. IWS]

charlies sports
wednesday nov 19, 2008

ncaaf. central michigan+7 (500* )
ncaaf. ball st @ central michigan over 54 (30*)
cbb. butler-14' (20*)
cbb. virginia-7 (20*)
nba. wizards @ hawks over 201 (10*)
nba. denver-2 (10*) free play

[Mr. IWS]

Wizard of Odds Guaranteed Selections
Date: Wednesday, November 19, 2008


LATE BREAKING COLLEGE HOOPS STEAM WINNER
526 Virginia -7.5 7:00 EST

[Mr. IWS]

Sebastian




200* Central Michigan
100* Ball State / Central Michigan Over





50* NY Rangers / Vancouver Under 5

[Mr. IWS]

Jim Hurley




5* Central Michigan +7

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Akmens Full Card (4-0) Last Night

Cbb

10* Butler -14.5

Nba

10* Atl -9.5

10* Detroit Over 191

10* Philly Under 189.5

Ncaaf

Pass

Nhl

Pass

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner:

300* NBA Over 192.5 Sac/NO

100* CBB Villanova -18.5

25* CFB Ball State -7

10* CBB NC Wilmington +16.5

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso FB 11/19
25 units Ball State -7

[Mr. IWS]

Brando basketball, no Inner Circle plays

Dominic Brando Sports 2008-09 NBA/NCAA Basketball Records Grid:
NBA 4-9-0 for -625.00 Units (Special 150 Units 0-0, Top 100 Units 4-9, Regular 50 Units 0-0)
NCAA 2-1-0 for +42.50 Units (Special 150 Units 0-0, Top 100 Units 0-0, Regular 50 Units 2-1)

Wednesday NBA/NCAA Basketball High Volume Report #1:
NBA Top Rated 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #507 PHILADELPHIA 76'ERS -2/-125 over Minnesota TWolves
NCAA Top Rated 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #526 VIRGINIA CAVALIERS -7/-115 over South Florida Bulls
NCAA Top Rated 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #532 ST LOUIS BILLIKENS +2/-115 over Kent State
NCAA Top Rated 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #535 NC CHARLOTTE PICK/-120 over Appalachian State

[Mr. IWS]

North Coast

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3* Marquee C. Mich
3* total on the over

[Mr. IWS]

Billy Coleman paid and confirmed:

NBA
4* Detroit - 3.5
3* LA Clippers +1.5
3* Dallas +4.5/5
College
4* Kent State + 1
3* Morehead St +15.5

[Mr. IWS]

Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: College Football
Game: Ball State Cardinals @ Central Michigan Chippewas - Wednesday November 19, 2008 7:00 pm
Pick: 3 units TOTAL: Under 54.5 (-110)




Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: Philadelphia 76ers @ Minnesota Timberwolves - Wednesday November 19, 2008 8:00 pm
Pick: 3 units TOTAL: Under 189 (-105)


Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: College Basketball
Game: Niagara Purple Eagles @ Villanova Wildcats - Wednesday November 19, 2008 7:00 pm
Pick: 3 units ATS: Niagara Purple Eagles +18.5 (+100)

[Mr. IWS]

vegas-runner | CFB MoneyLine Triple-Dime Bet
103 Ball St. (-130) Sportsbetting.com vs 104 Cent. Michigan
Analysis:
**** NCAAFB & NFL MIXED "PRIME-TIME" TEASER of the WEEK ****





BALL ST +1/2 & STEELERS -3.5 (3*)...Teaser...





Here is a situation that using a Teaser Bet, offers us just too much Value, not to take a Position...even though we are having to use a game tonight, and one tomorrow to for the wager...

Ball State is well aware that this will be one of those games that their entire season will be judged upon...And playing on the road will allow them to get even more respect for a huge win in front of a National TV Audience...More importantly, I see no reason at all that this team will not be able to rise to the occassion and get the win, as well as extract a lot of revenge for losing to CMU last year...What we can't forget is that in that game, Ball St went in as a Double-Digit Fav that just didn't come to play...So we should see a 100% effort from them tonight, as well as total focus on the task at hand...Bottom line here is this...Although we may come back and make a Straight Bet on them as well Tonight, I just can't pass up the opportunity to get them at what is ultimately a "PICK" against a team they can really dominate...And after speaking to some of the sources we have who are Books, I see us on their side with this play because the biggest liability they have so far on this ESPN Match-Up...is on CMU "ML"...which is getting most of the work...

Then, Part II of this wager goes down tomorrow night...and the Steelers get another chance to improve their record at home and increse their lead in the Division...After last week's close game, I expect Pittsburgh to come out looking to make this a one-sided affair from the start and create a lot of problems for the Bengals offense...They are also aware of what happend to the Eagles for taking this club lightly and thinking they can put it away when they feel like it...only to walk away with the 1st tie in 6 years...Pitt won't allow Cinnci to have that kind of opportunity against them tomorrow...especially since the L/3 times they've played...the Steelers have outscored them by a combined "51" pts or an average of "17" pts per game...

So let's go ahead and take a 3* Position on all this Value...and make this our NCAAFB & NFL MIXED "PRIME-TIME" TEASER PLAY OF THE WEEK...VR

[Mr. IWS]

Mike Lineback

Started off red hot..Cooled down a little ..
13-6 in the nba..
1-4 last 5 plays...


5* Nuggs..5* is his highest.Lost last 5* friday night on the Rockets

4 1/2 * Clippers

4* Cavs

Mike went 6-0 in the nfl on sunday ...

Small Opinion on the over in college foots tonight

[Mr. IWS]

Spritzer

CFB

Ball State (C Mich D very bad)

[Mr. IWS]

Ron Meyer

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ChalkBoard=Cent Mich

[Mr. IWS]

Frank Patron

7500 Unit College Lock

Ball State Cardinals -7

[Mr. IWS]

Stan Sharp NCAAB

St Louis +1.5 -110

Double dime

[Mr. IWS]

DOC
NBA GAME OF WEEK

5-Unit NBA Game of the Week - #506 Take Detroit Over Cleveland (7:30 p.m. EST, Wednesday) The Cavs have quickly become the darlings of the oddsmakers and the public. And for the most part it is deserved – they have won eight straight games and covered in four of the last five. However, five of those wins came at home and this will be the biggest test they have faces on the road as their previous opponents during that streak were New Jersey, Chicago and Dallas. In fact, this will be their toughest game since the winning streak started regardless of venue. Detroit is 7-3 this season and this will be just their fourth home game of the season. Cleveland is coming in on a back-to-back while the Pistons have had two nights of rest. Detroit has won and covered three of the last four meetings between these two teams and they have absolutely dominated the last two meetings in Detroit. The Cavs have averaged only 72 points on offense in their last two meetings in Detroit. This is a very public line and we think we are getting a good 3-4 points of value here.

[Mr. IWS]

RAS one play 1 unit Under 137 ARk St

[Mr. IWS]

Lenny Stevens




10* Philadelphia 76ers





10* Wake Forest

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Lock Club




4* Utah Jazz -10
3* Detroit Pistons -2.5





3* St Louis +1.5

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Financial




3* Ball St / Central Michigan Over 55.5





3* Houston Rockets -4.5
3* Philadelphia 76ers -3

[Mr. IWS]

JOHN RYAN

Ai Simulator 7* graded play on Central Michigan – AiS shows an 85% probability that Central Michigan will lose this game by 8 or fewer points and a also has a 48% probability of winning the game. I would not recommend to add a money line bet to the 7* amount, but rather reducing it to 6* with the line and 2* on the money line – if you are looking for a variation to play. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 59-27 for 69% since 1997. Play against a road team off 3 straight wins against conference rivals and is undefeated on the season. Here is a 2nd system that has gone 54-23 ATS for 70% since 1992. Play on a home team after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 8 or more consecutive straight up wins. Here is the third system reinforcing the graded play that has gone 68-26 ATS for 72% since 2002. Play on a home team after 6 or more consecutive straight up wins and is now playing in a conference game. Central Michigan is a series of strong roles for this upset bid. AiS shows an 87% probability that CMU will score 28 or more points. Note that they are a solid 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they score 29 to 35 points over the last 3 seasons; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a top-level team sporting a win percentage of > 75% since 1992. Take Central Michigan.

[Mr. IWS]

DOC
NBA GAME OF WEEK

5-Unit NBA Game of the Week - #506 Take Detroit Over Cleveland (7:30 p.m. EST, Wednesday) The Cavs have quickly become the darlings of the oddsmakers and the public. And for the most part it is deserved – they have won eight straight games and covered in four of the last five. However, five of those wins came at home and this will be the biggest test they have faces on the road as their previous opponents during that streak were New Jersey, Chicago and Dallas. In fact, this will be their toughest game since the winning streak started regardless of venue. Detroit is 7-3 this season and this will be just their fourth home game of the season. Cleveland is coming in on a back-to-back while the Pistons have had two nights of rest. Detroit has won and covered three of the last four meetings between these two teams and they have absolutely dominated the last two meetings in Detroit. The Cavs have averaged only 72 points on offense in their last two meetings in Detroit. This is a very public line and we think we are getting a good 3-4 points of value here.




DOC
NCAA football

3 Unit Play. #104 Take Central Michigan over Ball State (Wednesday 7:00 pm ESPN 2) It end’s tonight! The Cardinals enter this game with an undefeated record but their lack of playing anybody good will finally catch up with them. The Chippewas challenged themselves during the non-conference portion of the season and that has prepaid them for the MAC. They are 6-0 in conference play and like Ball State control their own destiny for a chance to play in the Motor City Bowl. Central Michigan has won the last four games in this series by an average of 10 points. They hung 58 points on the Cardinals last season and without star WR Dante Love, the Cardinals lack the big play guy to put them over the top. Play the homer and watch your money grow.

[Mr. IWS]

Benny Frederics - Regular Plays:

Atlanta In Nba // Butler In College