11-20-08

[Mr. IWS]

Dominic Brando's NFL/NCAA Teaser Club Release for Thursday/Saturday November 20th/22nd, 2008:
NFL/NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock 4 Team 14 Point Teaser Isolation:
1) #106 PITTSBURGH STEELERS +3.5 over Cincinnati Bengals
2) #128 OHIO STATE BUCKEYES -5.5 over Michigan Wolverines
3) #156 PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS PICK over Michigan State Spartans
4) #170 HOUSTON COUGARS -1.5 over UTEP Miners

Lance's Lock


Overall record: 696-589-24

Current streak: 2 wins

Todays play: Ga. Tech -3

Vegas Hotsheet

CFB - Miami +3.5

Sports Network

Pittsburgh & Over


NFL Preview - Cincinnati (1-8-1) at Pittsburgh (7-3)

By Tony Moss, NFL Editor

(Sports Network) - The Pittsburgh Steelers will look to remain above the fray in the AFC North on Thursday night, when Mike Tomlin's team welcomes the struggling Cincinnati Bengals to Heinz Field.

Pittsburgh opens Week 12 with a one-game advantage on its only meaningful competition, the 6-4 Baltimore Ravens, in the AFC North.

The Steelers moved a game up on Baltimore on Sunday, outlasting the Chargers, 11-10, in a thriller won on a 32-yard Jeff Reed field goal with 11 seconds to play. In a game played partially in snowy conditions, Pittsburgh managed to beat the Bolts despite not being credited with a touchdown on the day.

What should have been a Troy Polamalu fumble return for a TD on the game's final play was incorrectly taken off the board due to a misinterpreted penalty on San Diego, but that mistake didn't change the fact that the Black and Gold turned in another sensational defensive performance.

Pittsburgh limited a talented San Diego attack to just 213 net yards on the day, including 57 yards on 18 carries from LaDainian Tomlinson, and intercepted Chargers quarterback Philip Rivers twice on the afternoon.

The victory, coupled with the Ravens' 30-10 loss at the Giants, helped strengthen the Steelers' chances of both winning the division and securing an all-important first-round playoff bye.

Mike Tomlin's squad currently sits in a tie with the similarly 7-3 Jets for the No. 2 seed in the AFC, behind only the 10-0 Titans.

A win over the Bengals would be an important springboard for the Steelers as they begin an arduous four-game stretch that includes trips to meet the Patriots (11/30), Ravens (12/14), and Titans (12/21), as well as a home contest versus the resurgent Cowboys (12/7).

Cincinnati's goal on Thursday night will be avoiding defeat for a third straight week, which would be something of an achievement for a club that began the year with eight consecutive losses.

The Bengals very nearly extended their winning streak to two this past Sunday, but Shayne Graham's 47-yard field goal attempt in the closing seconds of overtime drifted wide right to keep Marvin Lewis and company from returning to the win column.

The tie was the NFL's first since Nov. 10, 2002, when the Steelers and Falcons dueled to a 34-34 deadlock, and was Cincinnati's first tie since a 31-31 result with the Houston Oilers on Nov. 9, 1969.

Expected to make his sixth start of the year for the Bengals at quarterback, and fifth consecutive, is Ryan Fitzpatrick. No. 1 quarterback Carson Palmer remains sidelined by a persistent elbow injury, and has been ruled out for Thursday though he has yet to be placed on season-ending injured reserve.

SERIES HISTORY

The Steelers lead the all-time regular season series with the Bengals, 46-30, and have won four straight over Cincinnati since last losing a game in the series, at home in 2006. Pittsburgh was a 38-10 road winner when the clubs met in Week 7, and swept last year's home-and-home, including a 24-10 home decision in Week 13.

In addition to their regular season advantage, the Steelers also scored a 31-17 road win over the Bengals in the 2005 playoffs.

Bengals head coach Marvin Lewis is 3-9 all-time against the Steelers, while Pittsburgh's Mike Tomlin is 3-0 against both Lewis and Cincinnati as a head coach.

WHEN THE BENGALS HAVE THE BALL

Fitzpatrick (1050 passing yards, 5 TD, 6 INT) comes off his best passing day as a Bengal, as he completed 29-of-44 passes for 261 yards with a touchdown and no interceptions in the loss to the Eagles. The Harvard product's 89.3 passer rating was the best of his starting career. Fitzpatrick's big day also meant good things for wideout T.J. Houshmandzadeh (73 receptions, 4 TD), who caught 12 balls for a season-high 149 yards and a touchdown. Houshmandzadeh has at least six receptions in each of his last eight contests. Running mate Chad Johnson (41 receptions, 4 TD) had another quiet day with four grabs for 34 yards, however. In the running game, Cedric Benson (283 rushing yards, 1 TD, 10 receptions) managed just 23 carries for 42 yards on the ground, but had six receptions for 37 yards out of the backfield. The Bengals are 30th in the league in both rushing offense (83.7 yards per game) and passing offense (158.9 yards per game). The Cincinnati o-line has arguably been the offense's biggest problem, surrendering 38 sacks through 10 games.

Pittsburgh comes into Week 12 ranked No. 1 in the league in total defense (237.6 yards per game), rushing defense (68.9 yards per game), passing defense (168.7 yards per game), yards allowed per carry (3.0), rushes surrendered of 20 yards or longer (1), is tied for the league lead in sacks (36), and is No. 2 in scoring defense (15 points per game). In other words, the Steeler "D" is fairly good. The pass rush has been the strength of the club all year, with outside linebackers James Harrison (67 tackles, 12 sacks, 1 INT) and LaMarr Woodley (40 tackles, 9.5 sacks, 1 INT) leading the way. Harrison had a sack and an interception of the Chargers' Philip Rivers last week. The run-stopping effort has been fueled by nose tackle Casey Hampton (11 tackles) and end Aaron Smith (33 tackles, 4 sacks) up front, with inside linebackers James Farrior (70 tackles, 2 sacks) and Larry Foote (37 tackles, 1.5 sacks) cleaning up behind them. If the group has a weakness, it is probably in coverage, though cornerbacks William Gay (20 tackles) and Ike Taylor (43 tackles) held their own last week and hard-hitting strong safety Troy Polamalu (43 tackles, 4 INT) came up with a dazzling interception. The Steelers could get cornerback Deshea Townsend (hamstring) back this week, but Bryant McFadden (forearm) remains out.

WHEN THE STEELERS HAVE THE BALL

The Steelers come off a week in which they racked up 24 first downs and 410 net yards without a turnover, but still couldn't manage a touchdown against the Chargers. With the offense now having gone six quarters without a TD, finishing off drives will be job number one for Ben Roethlisberger (1990 passing yards, 10 TD, 11 INT) and company this week. Roethlisberger completed 31-of-41 passes for 308 yards in less-than-ideal weather conditions, but was sacked four times to boost the offensive line's bloated number of sacks allowed on the year to 35. No. 1 wideout Hines Ward (53 receptions, 5 TD) had a big game with 11 catches for 124 yards, while Santonio Holmes (34 receptions, 2 TD) hauled in five balls for 63 yards on the other side. Tight end Matt Spaeth (15 receptions), subbing for the injured Heath Miller (21 receptions, 1 TD), had his best game as a pro with six receptions totaling 55 yards. Miller (ankle) is considered questionable for Thursday. The Steelers' bread-and-butter remains running the football as evidenced by Willie Parker's 25-carry, 115-yard effort against the Chargers. The triple-digit effort was Parker's first since a Week 2 win over the Browns.

Roethlisberger has struggled most this season when opponents have been able to apply pressure to him, but the Bengals, who rank next-to-last in the NFL with just 11 sacks, don't look like a great candidate to get that job done. Cincinnati sacked the Eagles' Donovan McNabb just twice in five full quarters last week, with end Robert Geathers (36 tackles, 2.5 sacks) breaking through for his second sack in as many weeks. A Bengals secondary that had struggled to make plays for much of the year also intercepted McNabb three times, with cornerback Johnathan Joseph (42 tackles, 1 INT) and recently acquired safety Chris Crocker (4 tackles, 1 sack, 1 INT) both notching picks. The Bengals are No. 15 in the league against the pass (206.6 yards per game) as Week 12 commences. Cincinnati is just 23rd versus the run (131.1 yards per game), but held Brian Westbrook and the Eagles' ground attack in check last week. The Birds managed just 68 yards on 18 carries, with linebackers Brandon Johnson (37 tackles, 1 INT) and Dhani Jones (74 tackles, 1 INT) combining for 11 tackles to help fuel the effort.

FANTASY FOCUS

Apart from Houshmandzadeh, who has consistently put up numbers this season (many of them in garbage time), the Bengals have been short on reliable fantasy starters. Johnson has had an extremely disappointing year, Fitzpatrick doesn't have the passing numbers to be deemed a viable option, and while Benson has offered the running game a spark, don't look for him to run wild against the hard-hitting Steelers run-stopping group. The Bengals defense should remain on waiver wires, as should kicker Shayne Graham.

It's a great week to start Steelers, since the Bengals don't put much pressure on the quarterback and Roethlisberger and his receivers should operate without much resistance. The same goes for Parker, who appears destined to put up triple-digits. Tight end Heath Miller is worth considering too, though you'll have to consult the injury report to make sure his ankle will allow him to go. The Steelers defense remains a must-start, as does the deadly accurate Reed.

OVERALL ANALYSIS

The Steelers are probably looking ahead beyond the Bengals, but that's actually a good thing for Pittsburgh. Fully aware of the difficult schedule the next month will present, the Steelers know they need to stockpile one more win against an inferior opponent that hasn't often answered the bell in terms of effort this year. Fitzpatrick will spend the game running for his life thanks to the Steelers pass rush and his own weak line, Benson won't be able to complement him, and the Bengals defense won't be able to handle either Parker or the Pittsburgh receivers for any length of time. Look for the Steelers to run away and hide in a game they simply must have.

Sports Network Predicted Outcome: Steelers 31, Bengals 7

weather report for pittsburgh : SNOW ACCUMULATION OF UP TO 6 INCHES IS POSSIBLE FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY AS A COLD NORTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPS ACROSS THE LAKES IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT.

Vegas Hotsheet

NFL - Cin/Pitt - OV 34.5

[Mr. IWS]

Frank Patron

7500 Unit College Football Locked

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets -3

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner:

200* CFB Miami +3.5

100* NBA Over 206.5 LAL/Phx

25* CBB Oklahoma State -7

25* NFL Over 34.5 Pitt/Cin

10* CBB Missouri +4

[Mr. IWS]

Kelsos

10 UnitsBengals (+11) over Steelers
8:15 PM -- Heinz Field
Mostly cloudy with a 40-percent chance of snow. Winds blowing from the West at 10-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 25.

3 UnitsBengals/Steelers UNDER 34½ Points
8:15 PM -- Heinz Field

[Mr. IWS]

NSA.

NFL 20* Pittsburgh -10.5
CFB 20* Miami/G.Tech under 41
NFL 10* Pittsburgh under 34.5
CFB 10* Miami +3.5
NBA 10* Detroit +7
CBB 10* So Illinois +12.5

[Mr. IWS]

JB Sports | CFB Side
dime bet
Georgia Tech -3.0 (-120) Miami

[Mr. IWS]

ANDRE GOMES

1* Detroit +7

[Mr. IWS]

kb hoops

Mizzou +4

[Mr. IWS]

vegas-runner | CFB MoneyLine Double-Dime Bet
108 Georgia Tech (-130) Sportsbetting.com vs 107 Miami
Analysis:

*** NCAAFB & NFL MIXED 2* TEASER PLAY of the DAY ***



(Please Check Back for Possible UPGRADE)





GEORGIA TECH +4 & STEELERS -3.5 (2*)...Teaser...

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Balfe:

NFL Football
Steelers -11 over Bengals
The Bengals will be with out Ocho Cinco tonight due to a suspension. T.J Houshmandzadeh will be the only player the Steelers have to worry about. Houshmandzadeh will also be returning kicks because Chapman is out also. If the Bengals get this guy hurt they wont score another point for the rest of the year. Cincinnati took a beating in last weeks tie to the Eagles. The Steelers play great home defense and always handle the Bengals well. Look for Pittsburgh to make sure that the Bengals don't tie or beat this other team from Pennsylvania. If Pittsburgh plays up to their potential this should be a blowout.

College Football
GTech -3.5 over Miami
One of the rules in the betting bible is always play the favorite when the public is on the underdog. You rarely see public money ever on the side of the dog. The general public just loves to bet favorites. Miami has won 5 in a row, but this game should be about discipline. The Canes are known for their wild outbursts and in a game against a GTech team with a coach that disciplined Navy for all those years this could get frustrating for Miami. The bottom line is both teams play great defense, but the running game clearly favors GTech. Look for the Yellow Jackets to get a big home victory. I don't want to say Miami is overrtated, but they are not as good as their record.

NBA Basketball
Lakers/Suns Over 205

NCAA Basketball
Southern Illinois +12.5 over Duke

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Akmens Full Card

Cbb

10* Usc Under 137

10* Rice Under 124

10* Duke Under 139.5

10* Vandy -6

10* Tulsa +8

Nba

10* Detroit +7

Nfl

Pass

Ncaaf

10* Georgia Tech -3.5

Nhl

10* New Jersey -145

10* Dallas -125

10* Colorado -130

[Mr. IWS]

DOC
NHL

5 Unit Play. #54 Take Over in Pittsburgh @ Atlanta (7:05 pm NHL Center Ice) The Thrashers have been a strong over play all season long and have went over tonight’s posted number six of their last seven games. Expect another high scoring game on Thursday since the Penguins boast some of the best offensive players in the league led by Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin. Parley this with Pittsburgh’s No. 1 goalie Marc-Andre Fleury being doubtful for this evening with an undisclosed injury and a strong situation for the over sets up. We will not worry about who wins this game since both teams are on fire and just collect with the over.




DOC
COLLEGE BASKETBALL

3 Unit Play. #721 Take Cal Poly over Rice (7:00 pm) The play-in game of the BYU Invite takes place today with the winner of this game getting the opportunity to be pounded by BYU. Both teams are terrible and thus taking the points is the only side to consider. The Mustangs return three starters from last year’s squad and play a slow down style of offense that can frustrate teams if they are not familiar to it. Rice is bad as well and making the long flight to Provo will doom them in.

[Mr. IWS]

JOHN RYAN
college football

Ai Simulator 10* graded play on Georgia Tech - AiS shows an 80% probability that GT will win this game by 4 or more points. AiS also shows a very strong running game by GT with an 88% probability that they will gain a minimum of 250 rushing yards. note that GT is 15-1 ATS (+13.9 Units) when they rush for 250 to 300 yards since 1992. AiS also shows an 82% probability that GT will score a minimum of 28 points. note that GT is 19-4 ATS (+14.6 Units) when they score 29 to 35 points since 1992. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has produced a record of 184-115 ATS since 1997. Play on any team off a blowout loss by 21 points or more to a conference rival and with a winning record on the season. Miami's scoring defense has been quite good over their recent games allowing 10 points to Wake, 17 at UVA, and 14 to Va-tech. This, whoever places them into a horrible role noting they are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Take GT.

[Mr. IWS]

Erin Rynning
G.tech /playmaker in cfb

[Mr. IWS]

Trace Adams

1500* - Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets,

500* - Cincinnati Bengals

[Mr. IWS]

Savannah Sports

NFL Football
3 units on Cincinnati +11

NCAA Football
3 units on Miami +3.5

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Financial Package
3 Miami +3.5
3 U. Cal Davis +12.5
3 Celtics -7

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Lock CLub
3 Steelers -10.5
4 Seton Hall +9
3 Vanderbuilt -5.5
3 Over 204 Lakers/Suns

[Mr. IWS]

lenny stevens

10 - miami fl

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast
North Coast

Regular Opinion
Steelers -11

Thursday Night Marquee
GT -3

[Mr. IWS]

KB Hoops

5* Pistons +7 -120 **POD**

[Mr. IWS]

Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: College Basketball
Game: USC Trojans @ Seton Hall Pirates - Thursday November 20, 2008 7:00 pm
Detail: IC'S COLLEGE UPSET SHOCKER! - IT'S A DOG OFCOURSE!
Pick: 3 units (Play of the Day) ATS: Seton Hall Pirates +8.5 (-105)



Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: NFL Football
Game: Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers - Thursday November 20, 2008 8:15 pm
Detail: IC'S MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL WINNER!
Pick: 3 units (Normal) ATS: Cincinnati Bengals +11 (-110)

[Mr. IWS]

Brando college, no Inner Circle plays and I posted the football already

Dominic Brando Sports 2008-09 NBA/NCAA Basketball Records Grid:
NBA 4-10-0 for -750.00 Units (Special 150 Units 0-0, Top 100 Units 4-10, Regular 50 Units 0-0)
NCAA 3-3-1 for -92.50 Units (Special 150 Units 0-0, Top 100 Units 1-2-1, Regular 50 Units 2-1)

Thursday NBA/NCAA Basketball High Volume Report #1:
NCAA Top Rated 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #718 MEMPHIS -22/-120 over Tennessee Chattanooga
NCAA Top Rated 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #708 ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS -10/-120 over UC Davis
NCAA Top Rated 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #712 WASHINGTON -19/-120 over Florida International
NCAA Top Rated 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #728 UCLA BRUINS -9/-115 over Michigan Wolverines
NCAA Top Rated 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #729 IOWA HAWKEYES -8/-125 over Citadel Bulldogs

Dominic Brando Sports
Capper details

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass

NHL
20* NJ

NBA
50* Detroit Pistons

NCAAB
20*UNLV

NFL
10* Pitt

NCAAF
20*GTECH/Miami under


100* Steam Play GTech

[Mr. IWS]

JEFFERSONSPORTS
NFL 37-16 last 53 (70%)
NCAA HOOPS 7-3 (70%)
CURRENT ALL SPORTS RUN 12-3-1 (all posted, did not include last nights winner cause I could not post it)

NBA
LAKERS-4.5
LAKERS OVER 206.5

[Mr. IWS]

RON RAYMOND'S 5* NHL BEST BET WINNER
Dallas Stars (-135)






RON RAYMOND'S 5* NBA BEST BET WINNER! (9-0 RUN)
Pick # 1 Detroit Pistons /Boston Celtics Under 183.5 -110

[Mr. IWS]

Helmut comp pick:

705/706 Illinois @ Vanderbilt OVER

The Illini have played two games this season against Eastern Washington and Texas A&M CC and both of these games approached 140 total possessions. No reason to think that we don’t get that many possessions against a Commodores team that should be much more up-tempo than either of the first two Illini games. With these many possessions the teams would have to be very inefficient on offense for this game to go under.

While a slug fest could break out it’s just not the Commodores style to play that way. Last season the lowest posted total on a Commodore game was 135.5 and only 1/35 played under today’s total. All though they did lose some scoring off last year’s team with the departure of Foster and Gordan the style remains the same.

[Mr. IWS]

Stan Sharp

Georgia Tech -3 -110

Double

[Mr. IWS]

Dominic Brando Sports 2008-09 NBA/NCAA Basketball High Volume Program Records Grid:
NBA 4-10-0 for -750.00 Units (Special 150 Units 0-0, Top 100 Units 4-10, Regular 50 Units 0-0)
NCAA 3-3-1 for -92.50 Units (Special 150 Units 0-0, Top 100 Units 1-2-1, Regular 50 Units 2-1)

Final Thursday NBA/NCAA Basketball High Volume Report:
NBA Top Rated 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #701 DETROIT PISTONS +8/-120 over Boston Celtics
NBA Top Rated 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #703 LA LAKERS -4/-125 over Phoenix Suns
NBA Top Rated 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #703 LA LAKERS/PHOENIX OVER 205/-120
NCAA Top Rated 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #718 MEMPHIS -22/-120 over Tennessee Chattanooga
NCAA Top Rated 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #708 ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS -10/-120 over UC Davis
NCAA Top Rated 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #712 WASHINGTON -19/-120 over Florida International
NCAA Top Rated 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #728 UCLA BRUINS -9/-115 over Michigan Wolverines
NCAA Top Rated 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #729 IOWA HAWKEYES -8/-125 over Citadel Bulldogs

Dominic Brando Sports
Capper details

[Mr. IWS]

sports firn
NBA: Detroit Pistons at Boston Celtics - Celtics -8
Handicapper: CONSENSUS CLUB
Note: N/A

NBA: Los Angeles Lakers at Phoenix Suns - Over 205
Handicapper: CONSENSUS CLUB
Note: N/A

NCAAF: Miami Hurricanes at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets - Georgia Tech -4
Handicapper: CONSENSUS CLUB
Note: N/A

NFL: Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers - Under 35
Handicapper: CONSENSUS CLUB
Note: N/A

[Mr. IWS]

Special K
THURSDAY COLLEGE BASKETBALL 20* SUPER (HIGH ROLLER SPECIAL):
727 20*SUPER K - MICHIGAN WOLVERINES (CBB)

[Mr. IWS]

Billy Coleman

NBA
3* Detroit + 6.5

College
4* Vandy - 5.5
3* Rice -3.5

[Mr. IWS]

VEGAS RUNNER


Sat, 11/22/08 - 3:30 PMvegas-runner | CFB Side Triple-Dime Bet
119 Illinois -2.5 (-110) Sportsbetting.com vs 120 Northwestern
Analysis: *** NCAAFB 3* "EARLY STEAM" GAME of the WEEK ***



Thu, 11/20/08 - 7:45 PMvegas-runner | CFB Side Double-Dime Bet
108 Georgia Tech -3.0 (-110) BetUS vs 107 Miami
Analysis: ** NCAAFB 2* "PRIME-TIME" ESPN PLAY of the DAY **



Thu, 11/20/08 - 7:45 PMvegas-runner | CFB MoneyLine Double-Dime Bet
108 Georgia Tech (-130) Sportsbetting.com vs 107 Miami
Analysis:
*** NCAAFB & NFL MIXED 2* TEASER PLAY of the DAY ***







(Please Check Back for Possible UPGRADE)





GEORGIA TECH +4 & STEELERS -3.5 (2*)...Teaser...





Although we already have 3*s Pending on the STEELERS -3.5...I really feel that this is an opportunity to try and extract even more Profit from the books...Especially since we can get GTECH at over a FG DOG at Home Tonight...We may possibly be looking to UPGRADE this WAGER...as well as get down on a STRAIGHT BET or 2, on these Match-Ups...But I wanted to get the TEASER up and out of the way, while we are still able to get PITT at -3.5, and GT at +4...before any movement forces us to take a worse number...VR







Thu, 11/20/08 - 7:45 PMvegas-runner | CFB Side Double-Dime Bet
107 Miami -41.0 (-110) Sportsbetting.com vs 108 Georgia Tech
Analysis:
*** NCAAFB 2* "PRIME-TIME" TOTAL PLAY of the DAY *** (OVER 41)



With 41 being such an important Number in Football....If the "Steam" has forced your book to adjust to 41.5, like I have been informed many are planning to do...even with more public work coming in on the Under so far...I highly recommend that you BUY the 1/2 POINT and take it OVER 41...VR






Thu, 11/20/08 - 7:45 PMvegas-runner | CFB MoneyLine Single-Dime Bet
108 Georgia Tech (-130) Sportsbetting.com vs 107 Miami
Analysis:
* 1* NCAAFB "PRIME-TIME" ESPN TEASER BET *





GEORGIA TECH +4 & OVER 34 MIA/GT...(1*)...Teaser

[Mr. IWS]

Fairway Jay

20 Rice

[Mr. IWS]

Alatex super play

Michigan