11-21-08

[Mr. IWS]

Nostradamus

Valparaiso +6
St Bonaventure -3
Portland -10

Bowling Green -4
Miami (ohio) +3
San Jose St +3.5

Atlanta -7.5

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner:

300* NBA Over 192.5 Phi/LAC

50* CFB Fresno State -3.5

25* CBB Ole Miss -2

10* CBB Miami -6.5

[Mr. IWS]

Players of America


Today's Selections

Sport: NCAA Football
Game: Fresno State Bulldogs vs. San Jose State Spartans
The Play: Over 49.0
Play Description:
Star Value: 5* (50 Units)
Writeup: N/A

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy The Moose
Game: Orlando Magic at Indiana Pacers Nov 21 2008 7:05PM
Prediction: Orlando Magic
Reason: The Magic are 8-3 SU but only 6-5 ATS this season. Tonight look for them to get the SU win and cash in at the window. In their last 7 games the Magic are 5-2 ATS. Orlando is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games played with 2 days rest between action. The Pacers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win. Indiana is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning % on the road of .600 or better. The road team is 13-6-1 ATS in the last 20 meetings between the clubs. Play on the Orlando Magic -.

[Mr. IWS]

The Consensus Group Guaranteed Selections
Date: Friday, November 21, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: Bottom Line it is all about BIG WINNERS and we have a HUGE WINNER in College Football tonight! ALL FIVE of our football handicappers are making this play a BEST BET! The Computer Game Simulator gives our play a 91% chance of covering for us! You can get our 6000* MAC CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR tonight for just $25 and you will be a WINNER or there will be NO CHARGE! We are on a 23-8 CFB run!! 11/20/2008

6000* MAC CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR
110 Toledo -3 7:00 EST

[Mr. IWS]

MARC LAWRENCE PLAYBOOK


Friday, November 21st
TOLEDO over Miami Ohio by 3
With both teams branded by the shame of identical 2-8 season marks, we’ll
be surprised if either squad shows any interest or intensity in this snoozer
(mercifully, this game will not be televised on ESPN). Toledo certainly has
more incentive: head coach Tom Amstutz will abdicate his throne at season’s
end but can we really trust ‘Tommy Large’ in a lame duck chalk role? With
the Rockets closing out the campaign at home again next week, we’d rather
try Tom as a home dog against Bowling Green when the fi nal curtain falls
on his 8-year head coaching run. UT does own a money-making 13-2 ATS
record as chalk off a double-digit defeat but the RedHawks counter with a
recent 3-0 SUATS series dominance. All things considered, we’ll opt to do our
impression of Bradbury Robinson back in 1906 and ‘pass’.



Buffalo over BOWLING GREEN by 1
Unlike the MAC road kill mentioned above, we wouldn’t mind checking
out this tussle between East Division leading Buffalo and 2nd place
Bowling Green. Head coach Turner Gill has worked wonders with the Bulls
in just three seasons, improving from a 2-10 SU start in 2006 to winning
the team’s 4th game in a row in ’08 last week to become bowl eligible.
Tonight’s trip to Bowling Green marks the fi nal stop on Buffalo’s 2008
‘Revenge Tour’ and the Bison have rolled to a perfect 4-0 ATS mark against
their earlier opponents in that role (UB has also cashed six in a row as a
road dog). Yes, the Bee Gees can qualify for postseason play with a victory
here but with Buffalo coach Gill being the answer to this week’s TRIVIA
TEASER on page 2, we’d rather go running with the Bulls than take fl ight
with the Falcons.



SAN JOSE ST over Fresno St by 3
Fresno State limped its way to bowl eligibility with a win over New Mexico
State last week but Pat Hill’s current team looks more like shelter mutts
than the best-in-show Bulldogs that bullied their way to a 9-4 campaign in
’07. One of those wins was a merciless 30-0 thrashing of San Jose State so
you know Spartan coach Dick Tomey will have his team breathing fi re for
this rematch – if he can get his boys to shake off back-to-back losses where
they were outscored 62-17. SJSU already owns the six wins needed to go
bowling but may need a seventh win to seal the deal following that pair of
ugly defeats. With the series visitor posting a weak 1-5 ATS mark lately and
San Jose State proudly displaying a 3-0 SUATS record in its most recent Last
Home Game scenarios, we’ll look for a Spartan effort from the home team
tonight.

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Lock Club
3 Toldeo -3
4 Middle Tenn State +10.5
4 Spurs -4
3 Celtics -6
ATS Financial Package
3 Fresno St. -3
3 Blazers -4
3 Seton Hall +13

[Mr. IWS]

Erin Rynning NBA:

Charlotte: +8

Playmaker: Chicago +4

[Mr. IWS]

RON RAYMOND'S 5* NBA BEST BET WINNER! (10-0 RUN)
Pick # 1 Los Angeles Clippers /Philadelphia 76ers Under 190

[Mr. IWS]

igz1 sports

Friday Action !!
Thursday Recap : 2-0 CBB (+170) pts : 2-2 NHL (-9 ) pts : 0-1 NBA (-88) pts : 0-1 CFB (-88) pts

NHL
3* Over 5.5 (+100) Anaheim vs St Louis
3* Over 5.5 (-125) Philadelphia vs Buffalo
3* Under 5.5 (-110) Phoenix vs Carolina

NBA
3* Over 189 (-110) New Orleans vs Oklahoma City

CBB
4* Xavier -1 (-110)

Adding a few more CBB games in a few hours so check back !
Will Add the last part of my CFB card later in the evening .

[Mr. IWS]

M@linsky Hoops ( Friday )

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5* Cal Irvine +6.5
4* Chattanooga +13
4* den/lakers Under 205.5

[Mr. IWS]

Handicapper: Nite Owl Sports
Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: New Orleans Hornets @ Oklahoma City Thunder - Friday November 21, 2008 9:30 pm
Pick: 3 units ATS: New Orleans Hornets -9.5 (-110)



The Ok City Thunder is just what the doctor ordered for a talented NO Hornets team that simply has not been playing very well lately, having droppped 5 of their L7 games. However, there are many reasons to feel good about Hornets' chances for a cover in this game, both in the form of positives for NO and negatives for Ok City.

Starting with the positives for NO, we see that Hornets were 14-6 ATS LY vs C teams, with an average MOV of 9 points in those 20 road set ups. Given that Ok City is a "D" team at best, we can expect a double digit win for this Hornets team that likes to pound crappy teams. And that's just what they did to the thunder LY when they were the Seattle Sonics, beating them all three times they platyed, and covering in the last two (wins of 14 and 31 points).

Apparently, neither the move from Seattle nor the nickname change from Sonics to Thunder has helped Ok City much, as they are an awful 1-11 overall, incl 1-6 SU and 1-5-1 ATS at home in the new "digs" in Ok City. And in those 7 home games at their new home, the average MOL for thunder is 10.5 points, with their latest home trainwreck a 20 point humiliation laid on them by the Clippers, of all teams.

Still another edge results from the fact that the Hornets played several games (as the home team) in Ok City during the 2005 -06 and 2006-07 seasons, first in 2005-06 while the NO Superdome was being repaired after the damage inflicted by hurrricane katrina in Seot 2005, and then some more games in the 2006-07 season, at which time NO ownership was considering a move out of the Bayou State, with Ok City as a possible new home.While that did not come to pass, many Ok City fans took a liking to the NO players, and vice versa, so it will be interesting to see who these Okie fans will actually root for in this game, especially in NO breaks out on top early, as we expect they will.

While we don't often suggest laying this many points on the road in NBA, we see this game as a potential blowout, so lay up to 10 points on NO, and also consider reducing the points down to 5< by doing a cross-sport teaser to our big five unit play in CFB tonite. For those newsletter readers, you'll have to buy that pick or one of our CFB packages to find out who it is. And speaking of that CFB pick tonite, what a pick it is --- it's our 8 unit (5 units ATS, 3 units ML) MAC Game of the Year #2 (we won our MAC GOY #1 last month with Ball State in its covering win over western kentucky). And we are 13-5 in our last 18 five unit picks TY in CFB, NFL and NBA.

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso

10units sj. st

3 units buffalo

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast
Northcoast

3* Toledo -3

Top Opinion
SJST +3'
BG -4

Regular Opinion
Mia/Tol over 49'
Buf/BG over 56
Fres/SJ under 48'

[Mr. IWS]

John Ryan
7 Miami Ohio

[Mr. IWS]

DOC
college football
3 buffalo

[Mr. IWS]

LENNY STEVENS

pass football


10 orlando
10 nuggets

[Mr. IWS]

M@linsky Hoops ( Friday )

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add

4* southern Ill / UCLA under 126

[Mr. IWS]

Rocketman

Chicago @ Golden State
Play: 3* Chicago +4

Golden State is allowing 105.3 points per game overall and 106.8 points per game at home this season. Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Pacific. Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss. Bulls are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference. Bulls are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Bulls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing SU record. Bulls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Bulls are 23-11 ATS in their last 34 games following a SU loss. Warriors are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Warriors are 9-21 ATS in their last 30 home games. Warriors are 15-36 ATS in their last 51 games following a SU win. Warriors are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Warriors are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Warriors are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Warriors are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a losing SU record. Warriors are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. We'll play Chicago for 3 units tonight!

[Mr. IWS]

Keith Martin Sports

CBB
Tennessee -10

[Mr. IWS]

RAS bought and confirmed USC U 148

[Mr. IWS]

RAS

USC/Chattanooga Under 148

[Mr. IWS]

seabass foots

30 san jose st +3.5

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Balfe

College Football
Fresno State -3.5 over San Jose State
The Spartans got a lot of hype earlier this season when they played Boise at home and they never had a shot in that game. Fresno was projected to be a top team in the WAC, but injuries have slowed them down. Both teams have a ton of injuries, but the coaching and experience is on the side of Fresno. San Jose simply cannot score. Fresno's defense stinks, but in the end the Bulldogs will be too much offensively. Take Fresno.

NBA Basketball
TWolves +6 over Celtics

NCAA Basketball
Morgan State +6.5 over Marshall

[Mr. IWS]

Vegas Sports Experts

10* Take Bowling Green (-4) over Buffalo (NCAA Power Play)
6:00 PM EST

Bowling Green
• 10-3 ATS after allowing 9 points or less in the last game
• 6-2 ATS over the last 8 games
• 4-1 SU vs. Buffalo the last 5 games

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10* Take Toledo (-3) over Miami-OH (NCAA Power Play)
7:00 PM EST

Toledo
• 5-0 ATS coming off a two game road trip the last 3 seasons
• 3-0 SU & ATS coming off two consecutive road losses
• 6-1 ATS after having lost 4 of the last 5 games

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10* Take Fresno State (-3.5) over San Jose State (NCAA Power Play)
9:30 PM EST

Fresno State
• 12-1 SU vs. San Jose State since 1992
• 3-0 SU coming off an UNDER the total this season
• 15-3 SU coming off a conference win by 7 points or less

[Mr. IWS]

Southcoast Sports
531 Tennessee Volunteers -10 1/2

4-Units (7:00 P.M. CST)

Middle Tennessee St. may be thinking major revenge after the Volunteers routed them 109-40 last season. The Tennessee Volunteers have had no trouble scoring in their first two outings, ripping Tennessee Chattanooga 114-75 and pasting Tennessee Martin 91-64. The Volunteers have won 6 straight over the Blue Raiders, with the last 4 wins being by double digits. Let's not forget the the Volunteers are the number 14 ranked team in the country and that the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders have lost 18 straight to ranked opponents dating back to 1996. The Volunteers roll in their first road test of the season.

Take the Tennessee Volunteers -10 1/2 for 4-Units.



Trends worth Considering:

Volunteers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Volunteers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. Sun Belt.



Blue Raiders are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.

Blue Raiders are 1-6-2 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games.



Thanks and Good Luck

[Mr. IWS]

Savannah Sports

NCAA Football
4 Units on Fresno State -3
3 Units on Miami-Ohio +3

[Mr. IWS]

Andre Gomes

NBA - 505 Orlando Magic @ 506 Indiana Pacers

In order to elaborate a pick, as I’ve referred before, I need 3 essential factors which together give me enough confidence to make a play: emotional edge, matchups edge and value on the line. We have in here a case where the 3 factors together favor an high affair game and we have also a very good price in here. Both the Pacers and Magic are coming from good wins. The Pacers easily defeated the Hawks by 113-96, while Orlando defeated the Raptors by 103-90. So, we are in front of two teams that are without confidence and which will try to play a good game today. Both teams like to play on a fast tempo game trying to spread the floor on the offense. For some reason, Orlando is the second on the league in 3pts attempts, with 24.7 per game and the Pacers are fifth with 20.0 attempts, so it will be normal that we will see some 3pts shots being made tonight, as with both teams being confident, it won’t hard for them to score some of those attempts.

On the other side, the presence of Dwight Howard will make the Pacers set up an even higher than usual pace, having in account the team just can’t stop him. I remember Howard had 26-39 FG against the Pacers last season! 66.6% FG! And Howard will come fired up for this game, as he hasn’t been playing well lately. He had the worst game of his career against the Bobcats (foul trouble the whole game) and against the Raptors, he was well defended by Bosh and O’Neal. The Pacers don’t have any solutions to stop Howard and the team is actually coming from a game where they allowed just 28 points against the Hawks in the paint. But you have to note that Josh Smith was out, Al Horford played for just 7 minutes and Marvin Williams is now more an outside shooter. That won’t happen tonight for sure, with Howard in the court.

The Pacers last season had to raise the pace of their game against the Magic, in order to be competitive and the result of that was the three games of the series ending with 224, 236 and 233 points. Today this game will have the same conditions and only a very bad night in terms of FG% will prevent both teams from scoring more than 100 points each. At last, we have the question of the value. We are talking about a game which line was at 205.5 points and now we can find it just a little bit above 200 points, so I’m taking the over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Regular Play) on 505/506 Over 201,5 @1.97 on 5Dimes

[Mr. IWS]

Bob akmens full card

cbb

10* duke -13.5

nba

10* spurs -4.5

10* lakers -8.5

ncaaf

10* sj state +3

nhl

10* buff -145

[Mr. IWS]

Tom Fresse
20* Wac GOM

San Jose St is in a 40-16 ATS System that says to Play On any team who is off a conference loss by 21 or more points if they have won between 51% to 60% of their games this year. The Spartans are 11-3 ATS their last 14 lined home games. Fresno St is 1-9 ATS in all games this year and they are 0-7 ATS their last 7 games as favorites. The Bulldogs are 0-7 ATS after allowing 17 or more points in the first half of two straight games and they are 0-8 ATS off one or more straight ATS losses. 20* WAC CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH PLAY ON SAN JOSE ST

[Mr. IWS]

Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: College Basketball
Game: Mississippi Rebels @ Utah Utes - Friday November 21, 2008 6:30 pm
Pick: 3 unit(s) ATS: Utah Utes +2 (-110) (Normal)

Yes, I know the Utes are playing an SEC team but as you know I follow the SEC very closely. I need to have very good reasoning and motivation for a particular team to make a play as I simply do not make many plays. Having said that, did you know that Utah has a new coach in Coach Boylen. He used to be the Assistant Coach at Michigan State under Tom Izzo and was with the Houston Rockets before that as assistant coach when this team won their respective championships. The guy is just 41 years old! He is a great coach and has great wisdom of the game. Utah is 1-1 and this is the first big game of the year at home and you better believe that the 10th winningest program in college basketball history will be fired up for this game in a big way. I look for these young Utah players, 5 of which are freshman recruits, as well as the fourt returning starters to make a difference today. Remember, this is this Ole Miss's squad's first road game. These two teams have no history of playing each other and although Ole Miss is 2-0, they were both home wins against South Alabama and Arkansas State. Utah just destroyed Wisconsin Green-Bay 79-60. Let's roll with the Running Utes as if they get a lead early they might not just look back in this game as they will look to bury the Rebels early.


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Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: New York Knicks @ Milwaukee Bucks - Friday November 21, 2008 8:30 pm
Pick: 3 unit(s) TOTAL: Under 209.5 (-110) (Normal)

I like the under here for several reasons. For one, you might already be aware but Jamal Crawford has been traded to Golden State for Al Harrington. That certainly makes for an interesting dynamic for this game. Usually it takes a team a bit prior to that individual getting set with his new team and gel with them. Take for example A.I. when the Pistons lost to the Nets in game one of his new start with his team. Such is the case here. The Bucks are good folks. Remember, the Bucks beat the Knicks in game 1 earlier this year. There were many that got onto to the Knicks for that loss, but the Bucks are better than most people give them credit for. They defeated the Knicks 94-86 in that game on the road. The Bucks are a defensive team - heck, they held the Celtics to 102 points at home in overtime. They held San Antonio to 78 points and Phoenix to 104 points in regulation. Why can they not hold the Knicks to around a 100 if less considering they have a new rotation so to speak tonight. Plus, the Bucks come off a tough road trip which included Utah and Denver. The Bucks play overs on the road and unders at home as it is much more of their pace. Look for this game to be around the high 190's.


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Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: College Football
Game: Fresno State Bulldogs @ San Jose State Spartans - Friday November 21, 2008 9:30 pm
Pick: 3 unit(s) ATS: San Jose State Spartans +3.5 (-105) (Normal)

You ever wonder why some lines are 3.5? Gosh, why not just make it an even field goal right? Well, it is because Vegas increases their edge. In essence, an increase in the shaved dice in order for them to win more likely when you butt heads. Consequently, that is what you have here. Look, would you rather take a Fresno State team that although is 4-1 on the road, still hits the highway for a nationally televised game at night, with 2/3rds of the public on them, who has MISSED 9 STRAIGHT COVERS, beat La Tech by a field goal when favored by -4.5, beat Utah State by 2 when favored by 16, beat UCLA by 5 when favored by a touchdown and who beat Toledo by 1 when favored by 6 - or would you rather bet on a San Jose State team that is not backed by the public, who is at home for this game, who has revenge from a 0-30 to this team last year, who comes off an ugly 17-41 loss at Nevada and who has a top 30 defense in many categories in the league? The bottom line is, let's take the better defense, as good defense has the edge over good offense in my opinion, plus tack on the fact of the home field advantage and revenge with Fresno State one of the worst cover teams of 2008-2009, I will gladly take San Jose State to get it done here at home. The Spartans are 5-1 ATS when following a game they allowed more than 40 points.

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast
3* small college play Toledo-3
Marquis play San Jose +3-
top opinion Bowl Green-3-
reg opinions: MiaOh over 49-, Buff over 56, and Fresno under 48-

back @10:00 am cst on sat

[Mr. IWS]

The real animal


Pick title: 2* Toledo -3
Pick Date: 11/21/2008
Pick description:
Two teams both 8-2 won’t attract much interest on the premium service tonight. But Toledo is way overdue to win a home game. The Rockets have posted at least four victories per season at the Glass Bowl each year this decade (41-6 entering 2008) and probably much longer. The fact they are 0-4 at home probably has more to do with Coach Amstutz stepping down. There’s no familiarity for the RedHawks here, as they haven’t visited the Glass Bowl this decade. The Rockets played Western Michigan statistically even in their last game on November 15th. Miami of Ohio has lost three straight allowing 31 or more points in each. In their last road game they surrendered over 500 total yards at Buffalo in a 20-point setback. At least the Rockets have covered their last two at home against the likes of Western and Central Michigan, two of the best three teams in the conference according to the standings. Toledo will be a home underdog to Bowling Green next week and I sense they’ll want to send out Coach Tom on a high note.